Not really. I think bulls are getting greedy. They are now piling on longs. I think the next leg up is going to squeeze out the last of the early shorters and trap lots of bulls who think we are in a new impulsive uptrend. Then I think we'll see a significant correction to this month long relief rally. I could easily see a push into the $8,000s before a flush to the $5,000s.
Before the pandemic was declared, I personally lived in the belief that several smaller or larger dumps would occur before halving because the whales will manipulate markets to get some extra cheap coins, and this would be a pretty normal thing. But now we have a factor called COVID-19, which is still a pretty big unknown for all markets, and BTC is no exception. Although I am fully open to any possibility, it somehow seems like something big (like proclamation of pandemic) should happen to make a significant drop of $2000 or $3000 in the very short term.
I certainly am not a person who relies on TA like you, and therefore cannot comment on the possible technical developments. But regardless of the current situation, I think halving will still influence the positive trend, though I have no doubt that there are people who can change that trend and bring down the price at any moment.
