🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread

[morvillz7z]

Someone mentioned earlier that draws are highly unlikely in BO1 games.
Welp, we had two draws so far in the first two days of Blast Premier Series, so i have 4 more picks for today (only skipped the first match).
Can Vitality get a third draw in a row? UNJINXED hah

I also have ENCE ML (v sAw) parlayed with NIP v ENCE O 26.5 and Fnatic v mousesports O 26.5 (total odds 4.28)

edit; ENCE survived somehow

edit2; https://i.ibb.co/DQfDYdt/zdgfhzdh.png 

[1715621169]

1715621169

[1715621169]

1715621169

[1715621169]

1715621169

[1715621169]

1715621169

[tomahawk9]

off to a good start today with Over 26.5 thanks to ENCE and god Allu vs NiP (:

<...> so I am just backing underdogs here and there and hope for upsets. <...>

Well, there was an upset today, Dignitas 16-8 vs. VPro. Idk what the odds were for DIG but some ppl made some nice profits today.

I think you have a typo in your last bet, I guess it should say over 26,5 since it is BO1 match.

Thx. Fixed!

[Trofo]

<...> so I am just backing underdogs here and there and hope for upsets. <...>

Well, there was an upset today, Dignitas 16-8 vs. VPro. Idk what the odds were for DIG but some ppl made some nice profits today.

Well I got them around 2.4 if I am not mistaken. I already deleted the ticket so don't have it to check.


Interesting thing happened in the 3rd map of Secret - Aliance, the server crashed and we will have a repeat of the 3rd map. The teams were pretty even at that point with Aliance slightly ahead but Secret with better heroes for endgame so I guess it was fair but I feel Aliance lost more. If you are playing against Secret and leading I don't think you want to give them another chance to steam roll you.

[ralle14]

Interesting thing happened in the 3rd map of Secret - Aliance, the server crashed and we will have a repeat of the 3rd map. The teams were pretty even at that point with Aliance slightly ahead but Secret with better heroes for endgame so I guess it was fair but I feel Aliance lost more. If you are playing against Secret and leading I don't think you want to give them another chance to steam roll you.

Before the long pause happened during the third map Alliance were in a great position Secret's mid was struggling hard and their carry about to get the first item in a good timing.  I was able to get Alliance with 2.8 odds but unfortunately it got voided because of the match remake.

Someone mentioned earlier that draws are highly unlikely in BO1 games.
Welp, we had two draws so far in the first two days of Blast Premier Series, so i have 4 more picks for today (only skipped the first match).
Can Vitality get a third draw in a row? UNJINXED hah

Guess I was wrong.

The CT economy is just too fragile it only takes one or two losses in a row for the other side to come back just like that.

[STT]

The way a team can come back during a map is great if live odds are possible, people really can jack the odds to one side and thats with even 1 map remaining.   It does test the faith in that team as an underdog in that moment but if like 2.95x odds pop up I see no reason not to risk some capital on a comeback.

[Harkorede]

@Harko  a small break every once in a while is good, plus, we gotta take care of that bankroll, eh? football leagues are coming back very soon (:  oh, and the Blast Premier playoffs starts next friday and they'll be BO3.

Yeah right since Dream Hack ended I've not been placing bets per se, I don't bet on what I don't understand, Lol.

I parlayed Niqma ML and Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.50 for a total odds of 3x+

To be honest I knew Team Secret were due for a loss, and Alliance seemed like a capable to team, but I had quite a number of movements today so I wasn't able place the bets before the game started.

[tomahawk9]

The way a team can come back during a map is great if live odds are possible, people really can jack the odds to one side and thats with even 1 map remaining.   It does test the faith in that team as an underdog in that moment but if like 2.95x odds pop up I see no reason not to risk some capital on a comeback.

I was talking to a guy the other day who does this shit for a living (betting in CSGO). He showed me some of his winnings and ROI in live bets in the last 3 weeks and the guy makes bank! I might give live betting a shot during the BLAST premier playoffs.

I parlayed Niqma ML and Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.50 for a total odds of 3x+

Shitty wednesday in Dota all around

Thursday picks
Dota
Nigma - Liquid O2.5 @1.91 ✖
CSGO
MouZ - MAD O26.5 @1.84 ✔
FURIA - Chaos U26.5 @1.81 ✔
100T - Cloud9 O26.5 @1.86 ✔

[Harkorede]

Thursday picks
Dota
Nigma - Liquid O2.5 @1.91

I went with a single dota 2 game today and that was on Niqma ML @ 1.80

They made up for their shortcomings of yesterday, It's quite unfortunate that they couldn't allow Liquid win a map for you to win on your pick as well.

Do you have any idea when a CS:GO best of 3 or 5 tournies will start ?

[morvillz7z]

Vitality ruined so many betslips with their loss against sAw. I can't believe i took those miserable 1.17 odds to fill my parlay, it hurts as the other two games finished as i anticipated (mous v MAD over 26.5 and Fnatic's win over Dignitas). At least there was another draw, 4th in four days for me.

Do you have any idea when a CS:GO best of 3 or 5 tournies will start ?

BLAST Premier playoffs are BO3, also DreamHack Masters (Playoffs phase) will start this Monday July 8th.

au revoir dear draws! 

[tomahawk9]

Two major upsets today (sAw, VP) + Triumph with the draw vs. Evil Geniuses, and here I am glad that i avoided ML. 3/3 in CS    EG vs Triumph was intense!

2morrow:
Dota
Nigma +1.5 @1.94 ✔ void
Alliance ML @1.82 ✔
CSGO
MIBR ML @1.72 ✔

I went with a single dota 2 game today and that was on Niqma ML @ 1.80

I never expected a 2-0 in this match, I thought we were going to go to a decisive third game.

I can't believe i took those miserable 1.17 odds to fill my parlay

Trying to boost those odds a little bit, huh? Been there, done that...And it stings when it doesn't go your way :/

[Trofo]

I can't believe i took those miserable 1.17 odds to fill my parlay

Trying to boost those odds a little bit, huh? Been there, done that...And it stings when it doesn't go your way :/

I hate that happening so much that I burdened myself with a rule that I will never play odds below 1.5 on my high stake ticket. I try to avoid them completely and usually take a handicap on the opponents in that situations.

Still managed to lose a low stake ticket due to that match yesterday. My local bookie has a special offer of boosted odds if you have 6 games on your multi ticket and I had 5 choices yesterday and decided to add that game as well. Unfortunately, I can just play match lines BO1 CS games, no handicaps or over/under.

[tomahawk9]

Team Liquid were given an auto win and were 1-0 because of Nigma's internet issues, but the latter cameback with gunz blazing and absolutely dominated Liquid in game 2, wtf??

game 2 lasted a lot less than ESL one's commercials, just 13min thank u, Team Earlygg https://i.ibb.co/ChVj1W1/earlygg.png

I hate that happening so much that I burdened myself with a rule that I will never play odds below 1.5 on my high stake ticket. over/under.

I don't usually go with 1.50 or below in my singles, it's just not a good long-term strategy, plus, there's no fun in going with 1.30 or 1.20 =P

[batang_bitcoin]

game 2 lasted a lot less than ESL one's commercials, just 13min thank u, Team Earlygg https://i.ibb.co/ChVj1W1/earlygg.png

Haha, I'm watching and witnessed this game. I can't believe that Puppey's gang have to call GG that early but it's them, pro players usually do this whenever they see a lot of errors and there's no chance for turning the tides in favor of them.
The early set for Game 3 was in favor of Nigma and it's still on going as I type this, W33 managed to dominate Nisha's morphling but it's morphling and can adopt any scenario and Nisha coped up. 20-6 is the score and the game is in favor of Team Secret, not yet finished but I don't think Miracle's spec will carry this game even if he goes full pack items.

[Harkorede]

Team Liquid were given an auto win and were 1-0 because of Nigma's internet issues, but the latter cameback with gunz blazing and absolutely dominated Liquid in game 2, wtf??

game 2 lasted a lot less than ESL one's commercials, just 13min thank u, Team Earlygg https://i.ibb.co/ChVj1W1/earlygg.png

I hate that happening so much that I burdened myself with a rule that I will never play odds below 1.5 on my high stake ticket. over/under.

I don't usually go with 1.50 or below in my singles, it's just not a good long-term strategy, plus, there's no fun in going with 1.30 or 1.20 =P

Team Secret you mean 

I had Team Secret ML in a 3-game parlay and honestly, I must thanks to the auto 1 Map win, Nigma could have won it, but it would have been such a big shame if ended losing the game despite the early advantage.

CSGO, There were no upsets in today's fixtures, that's why I prefer the BO3 games

[Avirunes]

CSGO
MIBR ML @1.72

GJ @tomahawk9. Seems like you are on good win streak.

MIBR vs Cloud9 was really fun to watch. MIBR are really not that good in overpass but still they had a good lead playing on CT side. Fallen really played godlike as expected with his AWP. Also insane comeback from MIBR in map 2 (inferno) and map 3 (dust2).

Today we have some crazy quarterfinals in Blast Premier Spring. Will go with Europe first:

Fnatic vs Vitality (my pick: over 2.5 maps @1.86)
ENCE vs mousesports (my pick: ENCE ML @1.99 / safer with ENCE +1.5 (@1.31))

[tomahawk9]

CSGO, There were no upsets in today's fixtures, that's why I prefer the BO3 games

We almost got one. Triumph were close to KO'ing Gen.G but the latter manage made a great comeback.

MIBR vs Cloud9 was really fun to watch. <...>

Man, TACO and FalleN is such a deadly duo. IIRC FalleN had like 16 kills in round 7 of map 1? something crazy like that lol Good luck in your picks.

Most NA games have been 10/10 so far so i'm going with NA teams again:
CSGO
FURIA - Gen.G O2.5 @1.94 ✖
EG - MIBR O2.5 @1.88 ✔
Dota
Team Secret -1.5 @1.65 ✔

[Avirunes]

Man, TACO and FalleN is such a deadly duo. IIRC FalleN had like 16 kills in round 7 of map 1? something crazy like that lol Good luck in your picks.

Yeah 16-17 in just 7 rounds, he was really unstoppable in initial rounds of map 1. His whole team had kills in single figures while he already passed the double figures. TACO wasn't good in map 1 but he did good and lifted the play for MIBR in map 2 and map 3.

Let's see how MIBR performs today against EG.

[STT]

They are world champions, I never understood why they arent still that same threat.    Did they just get older or some obvious problem or other teams got better and specifically adapted to their tactics because when you are at the top it makes you the target of everyone in the game.   I still remember them being nobody and defeating Fnatic on mirage, they werent even paid properly at that time and Flusha gifted them plane flights I think it was for a LAN.

I see they have each won the others map pick and now Dust2 decider, glad Tarik and his team arent failing badly at least.  Still slightly surprising to me, not a confident bet.

[FlightyPouch]

They are world champions, I never understood why they arent still that same threat.    Did they just get older or some obvious problem or other teams got better and specifically adapted to their tactics because when you are at the top it makes you the target of everyone in the game.   I still remember them being nobody and defeating Fnatic on mirage, they werent even paid properly at that time and Flusha gifted them plane flights I think it was for a LAN.

I see they have each won the others map pick and now Dust2 decider, glad Tarik and his team arent failing badly at least.  Still slightly surprising to me, not a confident bet.

I guess they are at the point where they are burning out. This is the hardest part in esports, professional players do it non-stop. Practice over practice and continuous tournaments to attend to, that is why players can he easily burn out and retire, no choice but do streaming or coach. I guess TariK can do better but they are being covered by this new players that can dominate the majors and minors. Even s1mple is falling behind Zywoo.

[Harkorede]

How terrible do you feel you added a relatively small-odd bet to your single bet to boost the total Odds a bit and then bang! You lost the bet because of that ? It stings right ? I still haven't come to terms with myself, I took Mbir ML live during the 2nd Map they were around 2-6 up (not sure) @2.44 and I really don't know what I was thinking, I looked for another live game to increase the Odds to at least 3x, the rest they say is history