he has a point. CBDCs require infrastructure that could be extended to cryptocurrency. it would therefore be attractive for banks and brokers to begin offering cryptocurrency services to generate commissions, interest, etc.
i also see CBDCs---especially if blockchain-based---as having better potential for frictionless interaction between fiat and cryptocurrencies than current online banking systems.
Sounds like such a big stretch to me - first there needs to be a big infrastructure around these digital currencies, which might not happen if they will flop
i'm obviously talking about what happens if they don't flop, so that's not the most interesting objection.
a half dozen european countries, china, japan, and the USA are all looking into CBDCs. there is clearly a lot of momentum behind the idea, partly because the coronavirus pandemic has revealed weaknesses in the banking system re the ability of banks and bureaucracies to meet immediate liquidity needs. sure the idea might flop, but there are good reasons to believe it won't.
then it's actually not guaranteed that they will be easily compatible with crypto, especially if these digital currencies will be closer to banking networks
compatibility isn't required for what silbert is talking about. it would just be the ultimate ideal, so that CBDCs could eventually be traded against cryptocurrencies using decentralized protocols.
CBDCs are not like banking networks since they allow users to sidestep banks entirely. for example, it should be much easier to find p2p bitcoin liquidity if everyone has fed accounts instead of dozens of different banks and e-money services.
and then the last big "if" is that the companies might simply choose not to deal with crypto for some reasons.
doesn't that apply today? what does that have to do with CBDCs?
on the other hand if CBDCs do catch on then banks, merchants, brokers, etc will need to support them. that will in turn create new incentives to support cryptocurrencies, as stated above. will every company in the world integrate crypto? of course not, but that's not the point.