Unless things change fast for Trump, by that I mean the economy improves, racial tensions ease and there is positive news in the media on a prolonged basis - it seems Trump will find it extremely difficult to get re-elected. He might have won the Presidency in 2016 thanks to the electoral college even though he lost the popular vote but this time round many people will go for Biden as a protest vote against Trump even though they do not endorse either.
It will make interesting viewing as and when the votes are counted and results made public on election night.
Honestly in recent days / week or so I've been learning towards thinking that Biden is going to win both the popular vote and the electoral college. I really don't see how swing voters are going to agree with Trump and his rhetoric, and people are going to be voting in droves against him.
Coronavirus and the economy taking a massive hit has really horribly hurt Trump, and Trump isn't able to admit that some of this can be said to be his fault due to him not being quick enough with his response and taking leadership.
I said before he'd be able to get out of this if he showed that he was doing all that he could. But I really don't see Trump being able to get out of this one as nicely as he gets out of everything else.
Economy COULD improve by November, though that is a lot of improvement from today -- as November really isn't that far away right now. Economy is still HEAVILY relying on federal aid and stimulus money to come in for it to continue to function. I still expect there to be federal money on the table for businesses for paying their employees when November comes around.
Though there is one point that everyone forgets. It truly only really matters what happens in the battleground states. Trump could lose by a TON for the popular vote, and still squeak by an electoral college win.
Joe Biden is going to have to go on the debate stage soon. Plus he's going to announce his VP soon, that will be a defining moment of this camp.