Belgian Jupiler league 23/24 - discussion

[ILuckyGuyI]

Genk are going to play an away game against Mechelen today. Genk are the 3rd with 42 points and Mechelen are the 10th with 32 points. After a 4-game bad form, Genk managed to get a win in their last game. Mechelen lost only once in their last 5 games (4W 1L). In the last 5 head-to-head games, Genk won 3 times and Mechelen won twice. Maybe Genk's chance is really low but they still have a chance to catch up with Club Brugge mathematically. So, I believe they will win this game.

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[ILuckyGuyI]

Genk are going to play an away game against Mechelen today. Genk are the 3rd with 42 points and Mechelen are the 10th with 32 points. After a 4-game bad form, Genk managed to get a win in their last game. Mechelen lost only once in their last 5 games (4W 1L). In the last 5 head-to-head games, Genk won 3 times and Mechelen won twice. Maybe Genk's chance is really low but they still have a chance to catch up with Club Brugge mathematically. So, I believe they will win this game.

They drew with Mechelen 0-0 and Club Brugge won their game against St. Liege 3-1. Antwerp also won their game against Waasland-Beveren 3-2. Now, Club Brugge have 57 points. Antwerp are the 2nd and Genk are the 3rd with the same points (43). There is a huge point difference and there are only 9 weeks left to the end. Club Brugge seem that they will be the champions very easily. The competition for the 2nd place is going on and I think Antwerp will manage to make it.

[casperBGD]

They drew with Mechelen 0-0 and Club Brugge won their game against St. Liege 3-1. Antwerp also won their game against Waasland-Beveren 3-2. Now, Club Brugge have 57 points. Antwerp are the 2nd and Genk are the 3rd with the same points (43). There is a huge point difference and there are only 9 weeks left to the end. Club Brugge seem that they will be the champions very easily. The competition for the 2nd place is going on and I think Antwerp will manage to make it.

actually, they have Championship round after the regular season, and all teams start with half number of points from regular season, top four teams join the Championship group, and play for the title
it is still a large advantage for Brugge, and probably they are already Champions, but there is 15 rounds more (6 in Championship group) and the difference will cut in half, so it is seven points at the moment, with 6 tough matches in Championship group, with three best other teams

nevertheless, Brugge is in the series, and it could be expected that they will keep the advantage and get the title, or at least from this point it looks like that

one more for Brugge, de Ketelaere is on AC Milan scanner, and will probably leave at the end of the season
https://sempremilan.com/cm-milan-open-talks-with-entourage-of-club-brugge-playmaker-why-he-fits-the-elliott-mould

[Bilgent]

We are in the last 9 weeks and Club Brugge are very comfortable because of having a 14-point difference with their closest competitors Antwerp and Genk in Jupiler League. If we don't see a surprise, Club Brugge will be the champions two times in a row.

[casperBGD]

Mouscron is playing with Kortrijk tonight, and that seems as a good value to bet on them, although both teams are near the bottom, on the brink of relegation zone, Mouscron is actually getting out from there, and Kortrijk is going down, so momentum is on Mouscron side

both teams are close to complete tonight, and I think that Mouscron will get points tonight, which could brought them a bit far from relegation zone, they lost in Cup throughout the week, but staying in Jupiler league is certainly a priority, so I will try my luck @3

[babygun]

We are in the last 9 weeks and Club Brugge are very comfortable because of having a 14-point difference with their closest competitors Antwerp and Genk in Jupiler League. If we don't see a surprise, Club Brugge will be the champions two times in a row.

Chances are high that Club Brugge retains the title this year, but don't forget that all points will be halved when the play-offs start. And in the past, we already saw some surprises when a team had a big lead!

Mouscron is playing with Kortrijk tonight, and that seems as a good value to bet on them, although both teams are near the bottom, on the brink of relegation zone, Mouscron is actually getting out from there, and Kortrijk is going down, so momentum is on Mouscron side

both teams are close to complete tonight, and I think that Mouscron will get points tonight, which could brought them a bit far from relegation zone, they lost in Cup throughout the week, but staying in Jupiler league is certainly a priority, so I will try my luck @3

There is definitely some value on betting on Mouscron, they seem to be in a better flow than Kortrijk and an odd of 3 is not bad at all. Just placed a small bet also on Mouscron to win.

[ILuckyGuyI]

Club Brugge are going to play an away game against Waasland-Beveren this evening. Club Brugge are the leader with 57 points and Waasland-Beveren are the last with 21 points. Club Brugge didn't get any loss (5W) and Waasland-Beveren didn't get any win (2D 3L) in the last 5 games in the league. C. Brugge have been getting wins in home games for 4 weeks. In the last 5 head-to-head games, C. Brugge won 3 times, Waasland-Beveren won only once and one game ended in a draw.

Missing player(s) at Waasland-Beveren: Brendan Schoonbaert, Aboubakary Koita (7 goals)
There is no missing player at Club Brugge.

C. Brugge are at a very comfortable position now and this is another easy game for them. If we don't see any surprises, C. Brugge will beat their opponent. But I feel like C. Brugge could lose points this time. Because there are only 9 weeks left and Waasland-Beveren fight for not relegating from Jupiler League. So, we could see a draw here.

[ILuckyGuyI]

C. Brugge are at a very comfortable position now and this is another easy game for them. If we don't see any surprises, C. Brugge will beat their opponent. But I feel like C. Brugge could lose points this time. Because there are only 9 weeks left and Waasland-Beveren fight for not relegating from Jupiler League. So, we could see a draw here.

Club Brugge won this game too with a 2-0 score and they have been having an amazing season so far. Their next game is going to be against Charleroi away this weekend. Charleroi are the 7th with 38 points and C. Brugge are maintaining their lead with 60 points. C. Brugge didn't lose (5W) and Charleroi won only once (1W 2D 2L) in the last 5 games in the league. Charleroi haven't been winning in home games for 3 weeks (2D 1L). C. Brugge won their last 6 away games. In the last 5 head-to-head games, C. Brugge won once, Charleroi won 3 times and 1 game ended in a draw.

Missing player(s) at Charleroi: Modou Diagne, Steeven Willems, Tshiend Ken
There is no missing player at C. Brugge.

My source: https://www.flashscore.com/match/zgmT2lOl/#match-summary

C. Brugge go on so comfortably and they will guarantee their championship when there are 4 games left to the end (if C. Brugge and Antwerp both win all their games until then). I was wrong about Beveren game but I think this time C. Brugge can lose points. Charleroi are not an easy team to defeat away.

[casperBGD]

in recap, interesting round, with Brugge having another good match and away win
Anderlecht made their point in Genk, and made a large step to Championship Group, since they are now fourth, and competition seems to be a bit of the shape, and Oostende does not seem good enough to keep up till the end

~snip
C. Brugge go on so comfortably and they will guarantee their championship when there are 4 games left to the end (if C. Brugge and Antwerp both win all their games until then). I was wrong about Beveren game but I think this time C. Brugge can lose points. Charleroi are not an easy team to defeat away.

there is a Championship group round in the end of regular part, so they are close, but after halving points, difference will be smaller, and all top teams will have better chances, although I do not expect that Brugge will lost title, you should be aware that it is not finished after 34 rounds

[ILuckyGuyI]

..., you should be aware that it is not finished after 34 rounds

Oh, I'm so sorry that I was mistaken.    Yes, the points are going to be divided in half in the playoffs. I actually know that and I don't know why I wrote it like that. It should be a moment that I was preoccupied.    And still, C. Brugge seem as the closest team to reach the championship.

[ILuckyGuyI]

Genk are going to play an away game against Oostende tomorrow night. Genk are the 3rd with 43 points and Oostende are the 7th with 39 points. Genk won only once (1W 2D 2L) and Oostende got 2 wins (2W 1D 2L) in the last 5 games in the league. Oostende have lost only twice in home games (7W 4D 2L). Genk couldn't win their last 4 away games (1D 3L). In the last 5 head-to-head games, Genk won 4 times and 1 game ended in a draw. Genk drew with Oostende 2-2 on Sep 28, 2020.

Missing player(s) at Oostende: Jack Hendry (2 goals), Frederik Jakel, Sidrit Guri, Cameron McGeehan (3 goals), Ari Skulason
Missing player(s) at Genk: Dries Wouters

My sources: https://www.flashscore.com/match/6ixHBZDk/#match-summary
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/oostende/Aw8l9bTk/squad/
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/genk/r3jWUIiN/squad/

Both teams are out of form lately. This can be a hard game for both teams. I think Genk are one step ahead of their opponent and they will get a win with a 1 goal difference.

[casperBGD]

Mechelen is on the line tonight, with their recent plays push them on the edge of Championship group
Gent is a fair level rival, better than them, but with this form, Mechelen could see Europe competition next season, and have solid chances tonight, while @3.5 for a home win could be considered as good value, looking at the table and their recent form

Gent did not lost five matches in a row, but Mechelen is on a strike, with four wins, including two last ones on a side in Antwerp, against Beerschot

[ILuckyGuyI]

Genk are going to play a home game against Beerschot this weekend. Genk are the 3rd with 43 points and Beerschot are the 10th with 37 points. Genk won only once (1W 1D 3L) and Beerschot got 2 wins (2W 1D 2L) in the last 5 games in the league. Genk have lost only twice in their home games (7W 4D 2L). Beerschot won their last 2 away games. Beerschot demolished Genk 5-2 Sep 14, 2020.

There is no missing player at Genk.
Missing player(s) at Beerschot: Marius Noubissi (4 goals)

My sources: https://www.flashscore.com/match/SzhECEgt/#match-summary
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/genk/r3jWUIiN/squad/
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/beerschot-va/EaOtKH1f/squad/

I think this is a chance for Genk to avenge the huge 5-2 loss here. Both teams haven't had a good performance lately. But I think Genk are in a better condition than their opponent. I expect Genk to win and also both teams to score.

[ILuckyGuyI]

Genk are going to play a home game against Beerschot this weekend. Genk are the 3rd with 43 points and Beerschot are the 10th with 37 points. Genk won only once (1W 1D 3L) and Beerschot got 2 wins (2W 1D 2L) in the last 5 games in the league. Genk have lost only twice in their home games (7W 4D 2L). Beerschot won their last 2 away games. Beerschot demolished Genk 5-2 Sep 14, 2020.

There is no missing player at Genk.
Missing player(s) at Beerschot: Marius Noubissi (4 goals)

My sources: https://www.flashscore.com/match/SzhECEgt/#match-summary
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/genk/r3jWUIiN/squad/
                  https://www.flashscore.com/team/beerschot-va/EaOtKH1f/squad/

I think this is a chance for Genk to avenge the huge 5-2 loss here. Both teams haven't had a good performance lately. But I think Genk are in a better condition than their opponent. I expect Genk to win and also both teams to score.

One of my guesses happened and both teams scored goals. But Genk lost the match 1-2.    It was a really interesting match. Actually, Genk were better compared to Beerschot according to the statistics. But Beerschot got a very nice and important win as it helped them get closer to qualifying for Championship Group.

[casperBGD]

important match tonight, two teams with ambitions to join Champions group (seems that half a league still has that ambition, two rounds before final bell)
on the other hand, both are down with form, with Genk having more chances, just because they are currently third, and Charleroi is on position 11, four points down from Genk, a win would put their chances up, lose will get them out, Genk could survive even without a point tonight

since Genk has three loses in a row, would skip this tonight

Mechelen had great chance last weekend to get into top, but missed to win over Gent, and arguably, I think they are now out from the race, so will put something on Oostende, that they will win this weekend and almost secure their Championship group, which would be a great success for them, especially if Sakala would be in for that match

[ILuckyGuyI]

Club Brugge are going to play an away game against Gent this weekend. Club Brugge are the leader with 63 points and Gent are the 12th with 37 points. Club Brugge got 5 wins and Gent (1W 4D) didn't get any loss in the last 5 games in the league. Club Brugge have lost only one away game (10W 2D 1L). In the last 5 (official) head-to-head games, Club Brugge won 3 times, Gent won once and 1 game ended in a draw. In this season, Gent beat Club Brugge 1-0 away on Dec 20, 2020.

Missing player(s) at Gent: Sulayman Marreh, Yonas Malede, M. Ngadeu Ngadjui, Laurent Depoitre (2 goals), Giorgi Chakvetadze
Missing player(s) at Club Brugge: Charles De Ketelaere (1 goal), Mats Rits (2 goals), Noa Lang (11 goals), Hans Vanaken (6 goals), Stefano Denswil

My sources: https://www.flashscore.com/match/Q9dCEW4A/#match-summary
                  https://www.sportsgambler.com/injuries/football/gent/
                  https://www.sportsgambler.com/injuries/football/club-bruges/

Club Brugge have already qualified for Championship Group. They are struggling with injuries and they have some important missing players. Gent managed to beat them once this season and there isn't any reason for them not to do it again. They have been fighting for qualifying for Europa League Group and they have even a chance for Championship Group also. There is a very nice odd for Gent win (2.96).

[casperBGD]

good round in Belgium, and things are almost clear now, with Genk, Oostende and Anderlecht wins in last round

Oostende brought me some wins, missed that on Genk, but from these three one will join Championship group, with Antwerp and Brugge that is already a Champion, IMO, but it will be more than interesting fight for position two

regarding last round, Anderlecht is waiting for a draw from either Genk or Oostende to even have a chance to join top 4, with Genk have to win over Cercle Brugge, that is struggling at the bottom, and needs a point to stay in Jupiler and Oostende having a match in Gent, where home team does not have much motivation to play
seems that Oostende is again best choice, will wait for the weekend

[Cafex]

In the Charleroi-Genk match, both teams had similar statistics and deserved to win. Genk succeeded in winning 2-1 in the end. They needed this win also as they lost their last three matches in the league. Today, there is Leuven-Antwerp match. It is one of the important matches for Leuven as they are making an effort to stay in EL Group. Mbokani (8 goals) will not play in this match at Antwerp. I think that Leuven may get at least one point.

[swogerino]

It will be difficult for Leuven to get a win today against Antwerp.Antwerp is in the second position and is one of the really good teams of the season.I think a draw 1-1 and a both teams to score is the more likely result during this match.

[kayiboyu]

It will be difficult for Leuven to get a win today against Antwerp.Antwerp is in the second position and is one of the really good teams of the season.I think a draw 1-1 and a both teams to score is the more likely result during this match.

It was a quite tough game for Leuven actually but they managed to defeat Antwerp with the goals they scored consecutively in the 25th and 29th minutes. By getting a huge win in this game, they are in a safer condition now in the table.