I know exactly when I will rank up!

[coinlocket$]

Do you?  

Everything below is assuming you have the merit required and @theymos hasn't spoiled it to you.

Me and a few more have this privilege to know when they will hit the Legendary rank.
Legendary rank needs a random value from 775 to 1030 in activity status.

Assuming a maximum of 14 activity every 2 weeks we can calculate:
(Activity max-Activity min)/14=(1030-775)/14=18.2 resets.

Since we can't have a decimal value for obvious reasons we get 19 chances to hit the rank up.

100/19=5.2%

Only 5% of Legendary knows when they will rank up on the last reset  



Nothing more just writing my paranoia here.

[1715181717]

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1715181717

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1715181717

[1715181717]

1715181717

[Daniel91]

Do you?  

Everything below is assuming you have the merit required and @theymos hasn't spoiled it to you.

Me and a few more have this privilege to know when they will hit the Legendary rank.
Legendary rank needs a random value from 775 to 1030 in activity status.

Assuming a maximum of 14 activity every 2 weeks we can calculate:
(Activity max-Activity min)/14=(1030-775)/14=18.2 resets.

Since we can't have a decimal value for obvious reasons we get 19 chances to hit the rank up.

100/19=5.2%

Only 5% of Legendary knows when they will rank up on the last reset  



Nothing more just writing my paranoia here.

Yes,  you are right!
Soon,  you will have celebration 😀
In fact,  I'm sorry that you had to wait so long.
With some luck,  you could become legendary long time ago.
Any way,  I think it's safe to congratulate you in advance 😀

[suchmoon]

Assuming full 14 activity points every two weeks, there are only 8 points to be gained in the 19th period (as evidenced by your activity score of 1022) so I think that means only 8/(1030-775+1) = 3.125% of wannabe-Legendaries can be sure.

[AB de Royse777]

Well you can make it more interesting. Delete few hundreds post from the beginning and your activities will lower again and you will not fear for becoming the highest ranked user :-P

On a serious note, this must be a long waited Rank. Congratulations in advance!

[The Sceptical Chymist]

Nothing more just writing my paranoia here.

What are you paranoid about?  If anything I'd have ants in my pants waiting for the next activity period if I were you--imagine if Theymos upped the activity requirement to rank up before next Tuesday.  You'd be pulling your hair out!

Just as an aside, something similar almost happened to me before I hit Legendary in January 2018.  Yeah, I almost ran up against the 100-meter, reinforced concrete wall of the merit system before ranking up by about two weeks (if I recall correctly; it's been a while).  Other members weren't so lucky.  Hero members got 500 airdropped merits but still had to earn 500 more to hit Legendary, assuming they had the activity requirement met.  OP, you might know that already but that's a little history lesson for the members who haven't been here long.  It was like a different world back then, before Jan. 2018.

I'd pre-emptively congratulate you, but I don't want to jinx anything.

Edit:

Congratulations in advance!

Guess you're not nearly as superstitious as me.  lol

[coinlocket$]

What are you paranoid about?

Every 2 weeks I open the forum to see I rank up.

The paranoia starts in my mind "do I have a bugged profile?"  


Edit

Assuming full 14 activity points every two weeks, there are only 8 points to be gained in the 19th period (as evidenced by your activity score of 1022) so I think that means only 8/(1030-775+1) = 3.125% of wannabe-Legendaries can be sure.

Well, technically people with activity on the 1st period between 775 and 777 can be more unlucky since they can rank up with 20 periods, not my case tho.

[suchmoon]

The paranoia starts in my mind "do I have a bugged profile?" 

Yes. The NSA is definitely listening. Or at least some PFY at Cloudflare.

[rhomelmabini]

You've been xkeyscore'd. This is my advanced congratulations.

[Pffrt]

So you are lucky or unlucky
I think there is a thread about observing who is hitting Legendary on which activity point. You can get the actual result from that thread, can't find the thread now.
Congrats in advance.

[LoyceV]

I checked if you have some easy old posts to report just to mess with you, but I don't think it can clear a 14 days Activity period

[hosseinimr93]

I think there is a thread about observing who is hitting Legendary on which activity point. You can get the actual result from that thread, can't find the thread now.

You are probably talking about the topic created by TheBeardedBaby.
[LIST ] Legendary Rank up Observer.

[dkbit98]

OP your legendary road will never be forgotten 
Just for fun I created one countdown link for you (not 100% correct)
https://countingdownto.com/?c=3190627

[mole0815]

Unbelievable what you have to go through. But now the end is in sight.

I can imagine that theymos will intervene manually and hide an easteregg so that you will have to wait 14 days longer than the previous maximum

[examplens]

The paranoia starts in my mind "do I have a bugged profile?"  

Are you sure that you will be ranked up even if you reach 1030+ activity? What if something goes wrong here?
I'm just trying to feed paranoia. 

I remember, also waited for the maximum activity to catch Legendary rank. Just don't forget to post in your last Hero weeks 

[PrimeNumber7]

I am happy you will be a legendary within the next two weeks. If 2020 has taught us anything, it is that nothing is impossible, so who knows what will happen at the next activity period (I kid, I kid).

There is somewhat of an argument that people with very high merit should have lessor activity requirements to rank up. Maybe once a user has 110% of the merit required to rank up (excluding any merit they had 'grandfathered'), 1/2 of additional merit they receive could go towards required activity, up to a limit. This could be an additional reward for those of us who are stong contributors to the forum community.

[hd49728]

You are probably talking about the topic created by TheBeardedBaby.
[LIST ] Legendary Rank up Observer.

Congratulations for your next rank in coming days.

Who want to bet with me?

I bet that $coinlocket$ will be the only one in the Rank up observer thread who have to wait for the 1030 activity point to rank up to Legendary rank. Period for the bet: today to next 1 year.  

[Steamtyme]

I checked if you have some easy old posts to report just to mess with you, but I don't think it can clear a 14 days Activity period

 That would have been the funniest dick move I've seen in a while.
I still don't get why nobody pointed out the changes that theymos announced after the last DT change. I imagine it didn't stir up to much drama as it only affected Hero/Legendary
Not like the sounds of a million voices being snuffed out all at once, when it affected newbies.

Enjoy the paranoia  

[TheBeardedBaby]

Congratulations for your next rank in coming days.

Who want to bet with me?

I bet that $coinlocket$ will be the only one in the Rank up observer thread who have to wait for the 1030 activity point to rank up to Legendary rank. Period for the bet: today to next 1 year.  

I can tell you that @BitCryptex was in the exact same situation just a round back. He ranked up on the last round. So sorry for loosing you bet, but sometimes coincidence are so unacceptable
So what did I win this time ?

What is puzzling me is at what exact activity you are supposed to rank up. We all have much more posts than activity so, you get 14 with every new post in the new round. From 1022 til 1030 you have 8 different possibilities, so we don't really know.

[LoyceV]

What is puzzling me is at what exact activity you are supposed to rank up. We all have much more posts than activity so, you get 14 with every new post in the new round. From 1022 til 1030 you have 8 different possibilities, so we don't really know.

One way to find out is deleting a couple thousand posts

[AB de Royse777]

What is puzzling me is at what exact activity you are supposed to rank up. We all have much more posts than activity so, you get 14 with every new post in the new round. From 1022 til 1030 you have 8 different possibilities, so we don't really know.

How it's 8 different possibilities? I see:
1. He is going to have 1022+14 in the next period, and he become the Legendary (1030+)
2. Delete minimum 7 posts from the beginning to make sure they were already added in the activity counts. So in the next round he will have 1022-7+14 which will possibly still keep him in Hero :-D
3. We can keep reporting his early posts to ensure minimum 14 gets deleted in each round :-P
4. Someday the system will get tired and will award him the rank eventually without having 1030 activities.

Assuming coinlocket$ makes at-least one post in each round.

One way to find out is deleting a couple thousand posts

Only two digit numbers will do :-P

[TheBeardedBaby]

What is puzzling me is at what exact activity you are supposed to rank up. We all have much more posts than activity so, you get 14 with every new post in the new round. From 1022 til 1030 you have 8 different possibilities, so we don't really know.

How it's 8 different possibilities? I see:
1. He is going to have 1022+14 in the next period, and he become the Legendary (1030+)
2. Delete minimum 7 posts from the beginning to make sure they were already added in the activity counts. So in the next round he will have 1022-7+14 which will possibly still keep him in Hero :-D
3. We can keep reporting his early posts to ensure minimum 14 gets deleted in each round :-P
4. Someday the system will get tired and will award him the rank eventually without having 1030 activities.

Assuming coinlocket$ makes at-least one post in each round.

One way to find out is deleting a couple thousand posts

Only two digit numbers will do :-P

You have 1023,1024,1025,1026,1027,1028,1029 and 1030 all those different activity are a possible rank up case.
If your post count = you activity score, you can do it by deleting a few posts back to see when it was you actual rank up, but in our case to get your post count to equals your activity then we have to delete a few thousands posts.
That is what Loyce is talking about.

Let me explain a bit, for every post count you get an activity point, but you have a restriction to get only 14 activity points in a two weeks period. If your post count is higher than your activity, those activity points that are over the post count are not lost. With every first post in the new activity period you get automatically extra 13 points activity (in those cases when the post count is at least 13 points over the current activity).
Here an example
You have 50 posts and 28 activity, the new 14 days cycle have started and you make a new post (51 total posts), then you activity will go to 42. Let's say after that post you go to some nice place for vacation and you come back after 3 weeks (the new cycle has started again) and you make only one post again. Your activity will go to 52 same as your post count.

On the other hand:
If you have 140 activity and 1000 post count you need to delete 861 posts to reduce your activity with 1.

[AB de Royse777]

You have 1023,1024,1025,1026,1027,1028,1029 and 1030 all those different activity are a possible rank up case.

All these activities in fact including the 1036th, are in one round which is the next round. Of course if no one is reporting and successfully is deleting at least 7 old activities to make it at 1029.

[TheBeardedBaby]

You have 1023,1024,1025,1026,1027,1028,1029 and 1030 all those different activity are a possible rank up case.

All these activities in fact including the 1036th, are in one round which is the next round. Of course if no one is reporting and successfully is deleting at least 7 old activities to make it at 1029.

You can't delete activity, you can only delete posts and post count = activity with the 14 days restriction rule and the 1 post in the cycle rule.
Read the above post I edited.

Yes you can :-D

Let's get go with you.

Activity: 1036
Merit: 2087
Posts: 4167

You have 1036 activity right now. Go back to your post history and delete one post from your 1st to 1035th post. Check back after few minutes (give it a half an hour the max), you will see you have 1035th activity.

Chellange accpeted, let's see. I deleted a random posts from 2018, I won't post anyting in the next few hours/until I get a activity change. That will be interesting to test

[LoyceV]

Assuming full 14 activity points every two weeks, there are only 8 points to be gained in the 19th period (as evidenced by your activity score of 1022) so I think that means only 8/(1030-775+1) = 3.125% of wannabe-Legendaries can be sure.

Now you're assuming theymos made a linear scale for the chance of reaching Legendary between 775-1030 Activity.
From what I've seen, I expect something like this:

b*(1-0.15*^s/_b)

[AB de Royse777]

On the other hand:
If you have 140 activity and 1000 post count you need to delete 861 posts to reduce your activity with 1.

You can't delete activity, you can only delete posts and post count = activity with the 14 days restriction rule and the 1 post in the cycle rule.
Read the above post I edited.

Yes you can :-D

Let's get go with you.

Activity: 1036
Merit: 2087
Posts: 4167

You have 1036 activity right now. Go back to your post history and delete one post from your 1st to 1035th post. Check back after few minutes (give it a half an hour the max), you will see you have 1035th activity.

Edit:
My current activity is 1134
Wait for it :-P

[LoyceV]

You have 1036 activity right now. Go back to your post history and delete one post from your 1st to 1035th post. Check back after few minutes (give it a half an hour the max), you will see you have 1035th activity.

As long as you have more Posts than Activity, your Activity can only be a multiple of 14.

My current activity is 1134
Wait for it :-P

You can make it 1120, but not 1133. Unless you delete 80% of your posts.

[AB de Royse777]

As long as you have more Posts than Activity, your Activity can only be a multiple of 14.

Correct!

My current activity is 1134
Wait for it :-P

You can make it 1120, but not 1133. Unless you delete 80% of your posts.

I already deleted one of my post from the very beginning. I am waiting for 1133 because the way I understood the activity system, it will reduce one activity from that deleted post of mine.

[suchmoon]

As long as you have more Posts than Activity, your Activity can only be a multiple of 14.

Correct!

My current activity is 1134
Wait for it :-P

You can make it 1120, but not 1133. Unless you delete 80% of your posts.

I already deleted one of my post from the very beginning. I am waiting for 1133 because the way I understood the activity system, it will reduce one activity from that deleted post of mine.

Only one of these statements can be true. I'm quite certain LoyceV is right so all you're doing is just confirming the hegemony of AI with your experiment. We're doomed.

[LoyceV]

I am waiting for 1133 because the way I understood the activity system, it will reduce one activity from that deleted post of mine.

See:

You only need to make at least one post in each activity period to be able to collect the activity at a later date. For instance, you could make one post in three different periods and you would then have 3 posts and 3 activity, but a potential activity of 42. Once you made the 42 posts you would then have 42 activity but no more.
~
If your post count eclipses your activity by 14 or more then you will only need to make one post in the new period to get the full 14 activity. For instance, your post count is 200 but your activity is only 28. To get another 14 activity you will only need to make one post in the new period and you will then have a total of 42 activity.

[TheBeardedBaby]

We waited enough.I was 100% sure about how the activity system is working and It seems I was right.
I did delete one post from 2018 just to test it and after almost 2 hours of waiting, there was no activity change.

This confirms that my statement above is correct.

[AB de Royse777]

I did not run away but fall asleep and once I woke up I was expecting to see I have 1133 and now what!!!

We're doomed.

I did delete one post from 2018 just to test it and after almost 2 hours of waiting, there was no activity change.

Doomed!
Sorry bud.

~snip~

Confession: Not long ago, I deleted many posts and the activity lowered by the same number. I was arguing on that basis. Now I have no clue why that time it lowered, I do not remember if that was lowered by 14 though but I feel it was not.

[hosseinimr93]

Confession: Not long ago, I deleted many posts and the activity lowered by the same number.

This can happen only if your activity is equal to post count.

.....Now I have no clue why that time it lowered, I do not remember if that was lowered by 14 though but I feel it was not.

Your activity decreased, because you deleted all posts made in one (or more) two-week activity period.

Activity = min (14*n, posts)
in which n = number of two-week periods in which you make at least one post.

So, as long as your post count is bigger than 14*n, your activity can change only by 14, 28, 42, ....

If you enter a new two-week period and make a post, your activity increases by 14.
If you delete all posts made in a two-week period, your activity decreases by 14.

[tranthidung]

Can I give you my congratulation in advance?

Will you rank up today, @coinlocket$?  

[coinlocket$]

Ding, soon.

[TheBeardedBaby]

Ding, soon.

Let me be the first one to congratulate you (soon). BTW I already checked you account this morning but you were not active. Well, today is the day
Congrats, it's been a long wait.. Now you have nothing more to chase unfortunately.

[mole0815]

Ding, soon.

Yeah coinlocket$



That went fast. Now your paranoia can disappear again and enjoy your new (final) rank

[LoyceV]

Ding, soon.

Congratulations Mr. Legendary! Welcome to the Club.

I checked if you have some easy old posts to report just to mess with you, but I don't think it can clear a 14 days Activity period

 That would have been the funniest dick move I've seen in a while.

I can think of another dick move: theymos could introduce a new Rank above Legendary right now, that requires twice the Activity you needed to become Legendary. All this just to mess with Steamtyme

[-CryptoViking-]

Congrats on becoming a legendary It was the longest haul for you so it must feel extra sweet to finally ding Gz Gz

[The Sceptical Chymist]

Yeah coinlocket$
<snip>
That went fast. Now your paranoia can disappear again and enjoy your new (final) rank

You took the words right out of my mouth--I was going to congratulate OP on hitting Legendary and assuage his anxiety/paranoia about the system not working right for whatever reason. 

Weird, I remember you when you were a newbie, coinlocket$.  I recall reading a lot of your posts (I think you made a good deal of them in Meta and/or Reputation) and was intrigued by your choice of username as well.  It's weird seeing you all grown up and Legendary--that silly maternal instinct I somehow possess despite me not being female makes me want to pinch your cheeks and ruffle your hair.  But I can't and won't--but I do wish you the best of luck henceforth, and you're an example to others on how to rank up from scratch.

[PrimeNumber7]

I checked if you have some easy old posts to report just to mess with you, but I don't think it can clear a 14 days Activity period

No, don't do this.

Keep coinlocket$ Legendary!

[Steamtyme]

I can think of another dick move: theymos could introduce a new Rank above Legendary right now, that requires twice the Activity you needed to become Legendary. All this just to mess with Steamtyme

I'd have to be honored if anyone put any effort into something for the sole purpose of screwing with little ol me. I'm all about the little dick moves... more of a prick move than anything; and I'm never going to give them up. 

Congrats OP. Always a fun time rolling over the odometer.