Bitcoin Forum
September 12, 2024, 07:19:40 AM
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
News
: Latest Bitcoin Core release:
27.1
[
Torrent
]
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
More
Bitcoin Forum
>
Bitcoin
>
Mining
>
Mining speculation
>
prediction on next diff increase?
Pages:
«
1
[
2
]
All
« previous topic
next topic »
Print
Author
Topic: prediction on next diff increase? (Read 2005 times)
CoinToTheMax
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 25
Merit: 0
Re: prediction on next diff increase?
March 25, 2014, 06:25:50 PM
#21
Quote from: smooth on March 25, 2014, 06:19:16 AM
Quote from: davejh on March 24, 2014, 01:46:26 PM
Quote from: bjalbert on March 23, 2014, 03:23:05 PM
A couple sites appear to be around 15%. I was hoping it would be less and with Antminer S2's hitting the market I don';t think this will change unless people stop hashing with old miners. opinions.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
I was looking at this a couple of weeks ago and for most of the last year the average hashing rate increase has held surprisingly steady. This rate has slowed a little in the last two months but I suspect that all of the 28 nm ASIC designs will actually see things jump back up. As an example, over the last few days it's pretty clear that some significant new capacity has hit the system.
http://hashingit.com/5-the-bitcoin-runaway-mine-train
The growth rate has not been at all steady. The graph on that block post is very misleading. Here is a better one:
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/growth.png
This is better indeed.
naRky
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Bitcoin is the future...
Re: prediction on next diff increase?
March 25, 2014, 11:26:19 PM
#22
im trusting
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
▄██▄
▀███
█
█
█
█
▄██▄
▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
▄██▄
▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
▄██▄
▀██▀
▀█▀
▀██▀
▀▄ ▄▀
▀▄ ▄▀
▀▄ ▄▀
▀▄ ▄▀
▄██▄
▀██▀
AFFILIATE
NETWORK
FOR SMART CONTRACT
PROJECTS AND ICOs
HOME PAGE
|
FACEBOOK
|
TWITTER
|
TELEGRAM
█
███
█████
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
███ ███
██ ███
██ ███
█ ██ ███
██ ██ ███
███ ██ ███
████ ██ ███
█████ ██ ▄███████████▄ ███
███ ██ █████▀ ▀████▄ ███
███ ██ ██▀ ▀██ ███
███ ██ ▄███████████▄ ██ ███
███ ██ ██▀ ▀██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███
███ ██ ██▄ ▄██ ██ ███
███ ██ ▀███████████▀ ██ ███
███ ██▄ ▄██ ██ ███
███▄ ▀████▄ ▄█████ ██ ▄███
▀███▄ ▀███████████▀ ██ ██ ▄███▀
▀███▄ ██ ██ ▄███▀
▀███▄ ██ ██ ▄███▀
▀███▄ ██ ██ ▄███▀
▀███▄ ██ ████▀
▀███▄ ██ █▀
▀███▄ ▄███
▀███▄ ▄███▀
▀█████▀
b
i
tcomo
LEAD
GENERATION
▄██▄
▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
▄██▄
▀██▀
▀██▀
█
█
█
█
█
▄██▄
▀██▀
davejh
Full Member
Offline
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
⇾
Re: prediction on next diff increase?
March 26, 2014, 05:22:28 AM
#23
Quote from: smooth on March 25, 2014, 06:19:16 AM
Quote from: davejh on March 24, 2014, 01:46:26 PM
Quote from: bjalbert on March 23, 2014, 03:23:05 PM
A couple sites appear to be around 15%. I was hoping it would be less and with Antminer S2's hitting the market I don';t think this will change unless people stop hashing with old miners. opinions.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
I was looking at this a couple of weeks ago and for most of the last year the average hashing rate increase has held surprisingly steady. This rate has slowed a little in the last two months but I suspect that all of the 28 nm ASIC designs will actually see things jump back up. As an example, over the last few days it's pretty clear that some significant new capacity has hit the system.
http://hashingit.com/5-the-bitcoin-runaway-mine-train
The growth rate has not been at all steady. The graph on that block post is very misleading. Here is a better one:
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/growth.png
I'm not sure what's misleading about it? The data is taken directly from the stats on blockchain.info and plotted on a log scale. The trend line is an attempt to put a best fit on the numbers and it was a surprisingly good fit. Certainly there are other ways that that line could be plotted but the point was to see how closely this approximates an exponential growth pattern and predict what the trend might look like.
ujka
Hero Member
Offline
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Re: prediction on next diff increase?
April 06, 2014, 06:56:33 AM
#24
Quote from: ujka on March 23, 2014, 11:00:52 PM
Quote from: roslinpl on March 23, 2014, 04:05:23 PM
Quote from: Hypnoise on March 23, 2014, 03:53:55 PM
64% decrease at the moment
what are you talking about? Decrease of what? 64% ?
Jan, 1st - 10 Ph/s
Feb, 1st - 20 Ph/s 100% increase/month
Feb, 1st - 20 Ph/s
Mar, 1st - 30 Ph/s 50% increase/month
Mar, 1st - 30 Ph/s
Apr, 1st -?? 40 Ph/s 33% increase/month
Apr, 1st - 45 Ph/s 50% increase/month
Post needed correction...
smooth
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
Re: prediction on next diff increase?
April 06, 2014, 07:06:14 AM
#25
Quote from: ujka on April 06, 2014, 06:56:33 AM
Apr, 1st - 45 Ph/s 50% increase/month
Not surprising. 50%/month is right around 1.5%/day, which is what we see here:
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/growth.png
Pages:
«
1
[
2
]
All
Print
Bitcoin Forum
>
Bitcoin
>
Mining
>
Mining speculation
>
prediction on next diff increase?
« previous topic
next topic »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Bitcoin
-----------------------------
=> Bitcoin Discussion
===> Legal
===> Press
===> Meetups
===> Important Announcements
=> Development & Technical Discussion
===> Wallet software
=====> Electrum
=====> Bitcoin Wallet for Android
=====> BitcoinJ
=====> Armory
=====> Mycelium
=====> Hardware wallets
=> Mining
===> Mining support
===> Pools
===> Mining software (miners)
===> Hardware
=====> Group buys
===> Mining speculation
=> Bitcoin Technical Support
=> Project Development
-----------------------------
Economy
-----------------------------
=> Economics
===> Speculation
=> Marketplace
===> Goods
=====> Computer hardware
=====> Digital goods
=======> Invites & Accounts
=====> Collectibles
===> Services
===> Currency exchange
===> Gambling
=====> Games and rounds
=====> Investor-based games
=====> Gambling discussion
===> Lending
=====> Long-term offers
===> Securities
===> Auctions
===> Service Announcements
=====> Micro Earnings
===> Service Discussion
=====> Web Wallets
=====> Exchanges
=> Trading Discussion
===> Scam Accusations
===> Reputation
-----------------------------
Other
-----------------------------
=> Meta
===> New forum software
===> Bitcoin Wiki
=> Politics & Society
=> Beginners & Help
=> Off-topic
=> Serious discussion
===> Ivory Tower
=> Archival
===> Корзина
===> CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware
===> Chinese students
===> Obsolete (buying)
===> Obsolete (selling)
===> MultiBit
-----------------------------
Alternate cryptocurrencies
-----------------------------
=> Altcoin Discussion
=> Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Tokens (Altcoins)
=> Mining (Altcoins)
===> Pools (Altcoins)
=> Marketplace (Altcoins)
===> Service Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Service Discussion (Altcoins)
===> Bounties (Altcoins)
=> Speculation (Altcoins)
-----------------------------
Local
-----------------------------
=> العربية (Arabic)
===> العملات البديلة (Altcoins)
=====> النقاشات
===> إستفسارات و أسئلة المبتدئين
===> التعدين
===> النقاشات الأخرى
===> منصات التبادل
=> Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
===> Marketplace (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Mining (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Trading dan Spekulasi
===> Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya
===> Topik Lainnya
=> Español (Spanish)
===> Mercado y Economía
=====> Servicios
=====> Trading y especulación
===> Hardware y Minería
===> Esquina Libre
===> Mercadillo
=====> Mexico
=====> Argentina
=====> España
=====> Centroamerica y Caribe
===> Primeros pasos y ayuda
===> Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas)
=====> Minería de altcoins
=====> Servicios
=====> Tokens (Español)
=> 中文 (Chinese)
===> 跳蚤市场
===> 山寨币
===> 媒体
===> 挖矿
===> 离题万里
=> Hrvatski (Croatian)
===> Trgovina
===> Altcoins (Hrvatski)
=====> Announcements (Hrvatski)
===> Off-topic (Hrvatski)
=> Deutsch (German)
===> Anfänger und Hilfe
===> Mining (Deutsch)
===> Trading und Spekulation
===> Projektentwicklung
===> Off-Topic (Deutsch)
===> Treffen
===> Presse
===> Altcoins (Deutsch)
=====> Announcements (Deutsch)
===> Marktplatz
=====> Auktionen
=====> Suche
=====> Biete
=> Ελληνικά (Greek)
===> Αγορά
===> Mining Discussion (Ελληνικά)
===> Altcoins (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Mining (Ελληνικά)
=> עברית (Hebrew)
=> Français
===> Actualité et News
===> Débutants
===> Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin
===> Mining et Hardware
===> Économie et spéculation
===> Place de marché
=====> Échanges
=====> Produits et services
=====> Petites annonces
===> Le Bitcoin et la loi
===> Wiki, documentation et traduction
===> Développement et technique
===> Vos sites et projets
===> Hors-sujet
===> Altcoins (Français)
=====> Annonces
=> India
===> Mining (India)
===> Marketplace (India)
===> Regional Languages (India)
===> Press & News from India
===> Alt Coins (India)
===> Buyer/ Seller Reputations (India)
===> Off-Topic (India)
=> Italiano (Italian)
===> Guide (Italiano)
===> Progetti
===> Discussioni avanzate e sviluppo
===> Trading, analisi e speculazione
===> Mercato
=====> Mercato valute
=====> Beni
=====> Servizi
=====> Esercizi commerciali
=====> Hardware/Mining (Italiano)
=====> Gambling (Italiano)
===> Accuse scam/truffe
===> Mining (Italiano)
===> Alt-Currencies (Italiano)
=====> Annunci
===> Raduni/Meeting (Italiano)
===> Crittografia e decentralizzazione
===> Off-Topic (Italiano)
=> 日本語 (Japanese)
===> アルトコイン
=> Nederlands (Dutch)
===> Markt
===> Gokken/lotterijen
===> Mining (Nederlands)
===> Beurzen
===> Alt Coins (Nederlands)
===> Off-topic (Nederlands)
===> Meetings (Nederlands)
=> Nigeria (Naija)
===> Politics and society (Naija)
===> Off-topic (Naija)
=> 한국어 (Korean)
===> 대체코인 Alt Coins (한국어)
=> Pilipinas
===> Altcoins (Pilipinas)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Pilipinas)
===> Pamilihan
===> Others (Pilipinas)
=> Polski
===> Tablica ogłoszeń
===> Alternatywne kryptowaluty
=====> Nowe kryptowaluty i tokeny
=====> Tablica ogłoszeń (altcoiny)
=> Português (Portuguese)
===> Primeiros Passos (Iniciantes)
===> Economia & Mercado
===> Mineração em Geral
===> Desenvolvimento & Discussões Técnicas
===> Criptomoedas Alternativas
===> Brasil
===> Portugal
=> Русский (Russian)
===> Новички
===> Бизнес
=====> Барахолка
=====> Обменники
===> Идеи
===> Кодеры
===> Майнеры
===> Политика
===> Трейдеры
===> Альтернативные криптовалюты
=====> Токены
=====> Бayнти и aиpдpoпы
===> Хайпы
===> Работа
===> Разное
===> Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin
=====> Новости
=====> Юристы
=> Română (Romanian)
===> Anunturi importante
===> Offtopic
===> Market
=====> Discutii Servicii
===> Minerit
===> Tutoriale
===> Bine ai venit!
===> Presa
===> Altcoins (Monede Alternative)
=====> Anunturi Monede Alternative
=> Skandinavisk
=> Türkçe (Turkish)
===> Bitcoin Haberleri
===> Pazar Alanı
===> Madencilik
===> Ekonomi
===> Servisler
=====> Fonlar
===> Proje Geliştirme
===> Alternatif Kripto-Paralar
=====> Madencilik (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
=====> Duyurular (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
===> Konu Dışı
===> Yeni Başlayanlar & Yardım
===> Buluşmalar
=> Other languages/locations
Loading...