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Author Topic: Not enough Corona Virus Vaccine until 2024, at earliest  (Read 998 times)
mindrust
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October 04, 2020, 06:11:01 PM
 #21

What is even more likely that; there may never be a covid19 vaccine.

Even if someone makes one, it is probably not going to work as effective as we all imagined and might even break something else in your body.

Come to think of... why isn't there a vaccine for HIV?

I also don't understand why people insist on vaccines... Develop a drug that reduces the viral load on your body and bam you are healthy again. (that's how they treat HIV patients.) Why is USA paying those chemical engineers and pharmacists for? Make a goddamn pill.

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October 04, 2020, 06:21:14 PM
 #22

Let's say this prediction is correct. Do we really need as many vaccines as there's people in the world? Of course we don't.
By the time this is released, some will have antibodies, some will be dead, cildren don't get sick so they won't need it, healthy teenagers don't need it, most healthy people don't need it, they will simply fight it of. People in very hot climates won't need it, as the virus doesn't spread there. This will greately limit the real number of vaccines they need to make.

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October 04, 2020, 07:25:56 PM
 #23


2024 isn't that long we have waited for almost forever already for some HIV vaccine that still hasn't invented yet even today.
There was an article lately that I came across which the ingredients of the vaccine come from sharks, which we may have to kill thousands of sharks soon to create more vaccine.

Let's say this prediction is correct. Do we really need as many vaccines as there's people in the world? Of course we don't.
By the time this is released, some will have antibodies, some will be dead, cildren don't get sick so they won't need it, healthy teenagers don't need it, most healthy people don't need it, they will simply fight it of. People in very hot climates won't need it, as the virus doesn't spread there. This will greately limit the real number of vaccines they need to make.

Some of the infected people claimed aspirin works for them. That is something to consider.

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October 04, 2020, 07:55:53 PM
 #24

Many countries believe that Covid 19 vaccines will save them from the situation, thus making some sort of unclear, and unconcise plan to slowdown, and fight the virus.

This news might actually cause panic in our world, especially to those who believes in the vaccine.

In my thoughts, this statements by the CEO was released for different countries and its citizens to not get their hopes up and expect an immediate delivery of the vaccine once the trial is all done. But it's just a way of my own thinking seeing that there are many countries conducting research about the vaccine.

Is this a strategy of the company to increase the price with regards to the high demand of the vaccine throughout the world? what's your thought?
Vaccines for every single person around the world does not seem as something necessary to me, we need enough vaccines to protect all of those that have been shown to be more vulnerable to develop important symptoms when getting the disease, this for the most part means the elderly needs to be vaccinated, according to what I have read 9% of the population around the world is above 65 years old, with a population of 7.8 billion this means we need 702 million vaccines, this should be possible during the next year, while the rest could be unnecessary or at least not as big of a priority as the first billion vaccines.
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October 04, 2020, 08:23:10 PM
 #25

[snip]
Some of the infected people claimed aspirin works for them. That is something to consider.
Well, for the reason that we have different alternative medicines that will perhaps cure us of the virus infection and vaccines is no make sense if we can heal ourselves. Perhaps this news will begin to have panic selling in the market. But this is not a big deal from the bitcoin price and other crypto enthusiast holder, they know that this is temporary and after a few weeks, it is naturally surging back even though how many news will pop-up [good thing as of now, all good news].

Stay safe always and be careful with the said virus infections.









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October 04, 2020, 08:45:37 PM
 #26

Impacts are already seen just by staying of the virus in half a year, 4 years would be a lot difficult I must say. But I think we could turn to a normal routines gradually, we don't need an exact numbers of vaccine as the whole population in the world, we need to prioritize people who is at risk of catching the virus, those who has weak immune system and the old ones. I haven't read about clinical trials in a while, seems like they are failing, I hope the do found it asap.
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October 04, 2020, 08:57:12 PM
 #27

Many countries believe that Covid 19 vaccines will save them from the situation, thus making some sort of unclear, and unconcise plan to slowdown, and fight the virus.

This news might actually cause panic in our world, especially to those who believes in the vaccine.
If anyone think that creating a new Vaccine is a cake walk then they are in for a hard reality. All the pharmaceutical companies are after the Vaccine but it will take a long time as they need to conduct numerous test which will take over an year or two even if the Vaccine is developed and then to manufacture it on a global scale it will take some more time and hence you need to learn to live and adapt according to the situation rather than waiting for a vaccine.
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October 04, 2020, 09:25:14 PM
 #28

In my thoughts, this statements by the CEO was released for different countries and its citizens to not get their hopes up and expect an immediate delivery of the vaccine once the trial is all done. But it's just a way of my own thinking seeing that there are many countries conducting research about the vaccine.

Is this a strategy of the company to increase the price with regards to the high demand of the vaccine throughout the world? what's your thought?
When creating a new vaccine then it wouldnt really be that too simple and would really just require small amount of time.Basing off on how many trials should be done then that would really be a long process just like other vaccines are created.As said that we cant really say that it is already available since its had been tested and it do work.There are lots of phases to be passed first before on making a production. If vaccine would be created in 2024 at least then i cant imagine on what would be the world looks like. Number of infected person would shoot up to the roof but somewhat there are lots of pharmaceutical companies would really be rushing out to create the cure yet this would involved in a multibillion business for sure.

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October 04, 2020, 10:06:33 PM
 #29

This is how the pharmaceutical industry makes money through a vaccine, if they reasoned it could not be possible to produce
a vaccine for all humans worldwide. It takes 4 years for everyone to get the vaccine, this is a smart way to make the price of
a vaccine expensive. Therefore, almost all pharmaceutical industries are trying to make a vaccine for COVID-19, because they
know that if they have succeeded in making  the vaccine, demand must be high. And it could be a business opportunity with
a very high demand.

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October 04, 2020, 10:14:06 PM
 #30

It's really sad to hear that kind of news, many people are hoping and praying for the vaccine to come out. We have seen the devastating effect of the virus to us in just a half year, what will happen to us if it continues for many years before the cure comes out? I hope scientists can find other ways to completely get rid of this virus. We can do nothing but continue to strengthen our resistance and follow protocols to prevent disease for us to survive.
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October 04, 2020, 10:16:52 PM
 #31

The people that believe the covid 19 vaccine was the only thing to save them from the covid 19 problem definitely dont follow the pandemic movement because ever since the long clinical trials with no concrete result and different lies from the government it understandable that people have to look for another alternative which will slowdown the covid cases which are doing exercises, eating of foods that contain Vitamin D so I'm not surprised it will about 4 years before there will enough covid 19 vaccines

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October 05, 2020, 01:50:16 AM
 #32

I just watched from a media company through FB that the Chinese government, the manufacturer of their vaccine can produce at least 600 million of doses of vaccine by the end of the year.

And for the next year, it will increase by a billion and more. But there are other manufacturers too that aims to produce a billion just like Pfizer and Moderna.

It's indicated on this article: China aims to make 1 billion COVID-19 vaccine doses a year.

What's interesting is that they're already talking about manufacturing which means to say, that we have the vaccine already.  Smiley

I wish that things will get back to normal again even if it will take to 2024 but with modern technology, I believe that it will become faster.

This is actually a great stand that can oppose the statement of the CEO Mr. Poonwala. This could actually mean that they're now fighting over the credibility of the vaccine, due to the statements given by the CEO himself. Because, for what I've read, his statements implied that vaccines normally takes really long for it to be announced in public "safe and viable". Ergo, they are now competing for the market .
It really takes a lot of time for a vaccine to be labeled as safe and working. But with all of the testing trials that's being conducted in different parts of the world and with several pharmaceutical companies, the process becomes easier and quicker.

As much as they also wants some shortcut, the whole process has been made and many are in the last phase of trials. But the twist is that they all talk about manufacturing which is exciting but this is another process and shall take a long time too, from manufacturing to distribution.

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October 05, 2020, 03:06:53 AM
 #33

Interesting, and pretty bad news if true.

My impression is that investors have priced in a miraculously fast vaccine development timeline, expecting widespread vaccination within 1-2 years of the pandemic's onset. I always thought that was unrealistic.

Now the question is, when will the market price in the real situation? Or.....will it ever? Maybe the Fed will just keep pumping enough money in that everyone stays too scared to sell.

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October 05, 2020, 04:49:10 AM
 #34

There are countries that claim that the vaccine can be finished next year, some say it is four years from now, and my own country says it is making a covid-19 vaccine and is in the final stages of testing.  This makes me very confused about the veracity of this vaccine itself.  Is there really a vaccine for Covid?  who really invented the covid-19 vaccine?  when will the vaccine really be finished?  This confusion has even worsened the psychological state of the community, they no longer believe in Covid-19, especially with the vaccine.  So that the number of victims of Covid continues to increase because of the decline in public awareness of the dangers of Covid itself.

Till now the WHO hasn't approved any vaccine against COVID 19. Hope that answers your question.

Since COVID 19 is caused by a virus, it is almost impossible to manufacture a vaccine that is 100% effective. Many of the health agencies are saying that they will approve a potential vaccine, if it's proven to be 50% to 70% effective. Russia and China has started mass-production of their vaccines, although these don't have the approval from the WHO.
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October 05, 2020, 05:13:45 AM
 #35

He maybe considering the whole world population in which yeah it is too much to handle in this year alone,but remember that each country has
 cities and there are cities that has no virus that will less the count
of vaccine needed.

so all and all it is the peoples help that will succeed in this fight,isolating in areas in which the vaccine will be distributed so it will come
 little as days go by.

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October 05, 2020, 05:41:12 AM
 #36

Actually this is the time that would be taken to inject vaccine to each and every citizen on the face of this Earth which actually is pretty different. Consider it this way. Many diseases still exist to which most of the citizens are not vaccinated but the remaining majority which is vaccinated ensures that they do not act as a carrier of the disease therefore it technically makes the disease non-infectious. So target isn't to give vaccine to each and every human being. Target with these vaccine is to make sure that enough majority of people remain vaccinated so that the chain of infection can be broken. Because if we are talking about the whole world even 2024 looks too unrealistic for me think how many people are living in what type of remote areas in god knows which country.
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October 05, 2020, 06:35:59 AM
 #37

What is even more likely that; there may never be a covid19 vaccine.

I think that the pharma companies expect to have something like the flu vaccines. People will have to get it at around 2 weeks before the "expected outbreak period" to be effective.
Hence it's pretty cheap for how new it is.
(Imho this is great as business model and awful for health, but who cares?)

Even if someone makes one, it is probably not going to work as effective as we all imagined and might even break something else in your body.

After the first few million shots we'll have a better image.
After such a rush it's clear that at least some will be awfully bad. Of course, some will blame the virus.

I also don't understand why people insist on vaccines... Develop a drug that reduces the viral load on your body and bam you are healthy again. (that's how they treat HIV patients.) Why is USA paying those chemical engineers and pharmacists for? Make a goddamn pill.

The politicians who decide have advisors for this kind of stuff. And the advisors are obviously people from the pharma industry.
Also most probably new drugs will be much more expensive, unfortunately.

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October 05, 2020, 06:53:32 AM
 #38

I also don't understand why people insist on vaccines... Develop a drug that reduces the viral load on your body and bam you are healthy again. (that's how they treat HIV patients.) Why is USA paying those chemical engineers and pharmacists for? Make a goddamn pill.

Isn't HIV antiviral therapy really expensive? It was when it was first developed anyway. Remdesivir (an HIV treatment) is being used as a COVID-19 therapy but has been widely criticized as being too expensive.

From efficacy and cost-effectiveness standpoints, vaccines have been shown to be superior to antiviral therapy. Here is one study:

Quote
Expanded antiviral prophylaxis delayed the pandemic, averting 48% of infections and deaths, and gaining 282,329 QALYs, with a less favorable cost-effectiveness ratio than adjuvanted vaccination. Adjuvanted vaccination was the most effective strategy and was cost-effective, averting 68% of infections and deaths, and gaining 404,030 QALYs at $10,844 per QALY gained relative to stockpiled strategy.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3428215/

And another that suggests vaccines have similar efficacy to antiviral treatment but better cost-effectiveness:

Quote
No intervention was the most expensive and least effective option. In sensitivity analyses, lower vaccination costs, higher annual probabilities of influenza, and higher numbers of workdays lost to influenza made vaccination more cost-effective than treatment. If vaccination cost was less than 16 US dollars or time lost from work exceeded 2.4 days per episode of influenza, then vaccination was cost saving compared with all other strategies.

Conclusion: Influenza vaccination for healthy working adults is reasonable economically, and under certain circumstances is cost saving. Antiviral therapy is consistently cost saving.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15639212/

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October 05, 2020, 07:02:28 AM
 #39

There are a lot of countries right now are creating their vaccine and there are some just waiting on it, there is a lot of news and rumors about the total finish date of the vaccine which is taken for next year I think 2024 is too much right?. There is news recently that other vaccines are already tested on the humans and they are waiting for the feedback and what are the side effects of this, also it depends on the country what is the price of it.

Actually this is the time that would be taken to inject vaccine to each and every citizen on the face of this Earth which actually is pretty different. Consider it this way. Many diseases still exist to which most of the citizens are not vaccinated but the remaining majority which is vaccinated ensures that they do not act as a carrier of the disease therefore it technically makes the disease non-infectious. So target isn't to give vaccine to each and every human being. Target with these vaccine is to make sure that enough majority of people remain vaccinated so that the chain of infection can be broken. Because if we are talking about the whole world even 2024 looks too unrealistic for me think how many people are living in what type of remote areas in god knows which country.

AFAIK there are countries that are already made COVID free and this is a good thing but there are a few of it are cant survive this pandemic outbreak, and we don't know what is happening. Because of not good government? or just an uncontrolled person. Cooperate is the best thing we must need to prevent this virus.

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Salauddin1994
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October 05, 2020, 07:12:36 AM
 #40

If the vaccine isn't available every citizen are going to be in peril many countries and organizations try to seek out a vaccine for the corona virus in various ways some try to form an inactive vaccine some a live and a few a dna vaccine. The smallpox vaccine has been discovered using this method additionally the primary approved vaccine against ebola which has spread to african countries within the sort of a plague has been developed during a similar manner.
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