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Author Topic: Clubs to avoid per league in betting  (Read 313 times)
Onuohakk (OP)
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November 02, 2020, 09:43:38 AM
Merited by Bttzed03 (1)
 #1

vailable on UCL, some UEL, some UEFA nation matches, Top 6 leagues in Europe, classic matches/derbies/rivals,
Avoid the following clubs per league
EPL
1. Manchester City/United (against small clubs) #

2. Chelsea (against last 6 on table)#

3. Newcastle*

La liga

1. FC Barcelona (against small clubs and offensive mid tables)#

2. Valencia C.F.

3. Real Madrid (when playing against offensive mid tables)#

4. Real Betis (though don't usually score but, makes attempt)

5. Celta Vigo*

Bundesliga

1. Wolfsburg #

2. Freiborg #

3. Bayern Munich # (Small clubs)

4. Leipzig (only when facing directly to the keeper i.e. just outside the edge of the penalty area, close)

Serie A

1. Atalanta #

2. Juventus *

3. Sampdoria *

4. Milan (edge of box)

Ligue one

PSG (small clubs)

Bordeaux *

Lyon #

Portugal PL

SL Benfica (edge of the box)

Famailcao

SC Braga


* means club will take freekick a
goal attempt at close range, irrespective of the opponent.

# Means club will not take freekick attempt often when fighting for points on table, on a winless streak or missing players.

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November 02, 2020, 10:50:24 AM
 #2

The list is kinda funny to me since majority of the clubs you listed are my favorite teams and I do pick them for my multi-bet setups. I understand why both Manchester City, United and Chelsea made the list but I don't see any reason why you got Bayern and Atalanta considering both teams only had a few minor slip ups here and there. However, they been real solid since then. Since Ronaldo is back, Juventus are beginning to look sharp again. He netted twice in their 4-1 win against Spezia yesterday.



You could rearrange the table more so the data becomes more presentable.


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November 02, 2020, 10:57:57 AM
 #3

I do bet on football for favourite teams and a lot of times I lose the bets not knowing the reason. I get this in mind that when I place bet for a team they lose LOL. For example, I had a bet for Barcelona to win, and they drew, I also had a double bet in Manchester United vs Arsenal match to have over 1.5 goals and Tottenham to win but in the Manchester vs Arsenal match they had only one goal.

What are the references of your finding or you are speaking from experience. I mean I would like to know the specific reasons of each clubs you are mentioning to.

You could rearrange the table more so the data becomes more presentable.
Yeah, I felt the same. I still do not understand the footnoes.

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November 02, 2020, 05:46:54 PM
 #4

The list is kinda funny to me since majority of the clubs you listed are my favorite teams and I do pick them for my multi-bet setups. I understand why both Manchester City, United and Chelsea made the list but I don't see any reason why you got Bayern and Atalanta considering both teams only had a few minor slip ups here and there. However, they been real solid since then. Since Ronaldo is back, Juventus are beginning to look sharp again. He netted twice in their 4-1 win against Spezia yesterday.



You could rearrange the table more so the data becomes more presentable.

@nelson4lov I’ll second that as this list is not perfect, but after burning my money by placing bets on Manchester United, I have decided not to wager anymore bets on them until this season ends.

Furthermore I even doubt that he watches Bundesliga because he told us to avoid placing bets on Bayern, and in my personal opinion Bayern is a reliable team on which one can place their bets on a consistent basis.
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November 02, 2020, 07:11:36 PM
 #5

@nelson4lov I’ll second that as this list is not perfect, but after burning my money by placing bets on Manchester United, I have decided not to wager anymore bets on them until this season ends.

Furthermore I even doubt that he watches Bundesliga because he told us to avoid placing bets on Bayern, and in my personal opinion Bayern is a reliable team on which one can place their bets on a consistent basis.

True that. Like you, I have decided not to pick Manchester United but not until the season ends though. Until they get back to winning ways in the Premier league, I have no business with them. Yesterday's loss was the last straw that broke the camel's back.  I even picked them to win or draw but it still went sideways as they didn't have anything to play and they got outplayed by Arsenal. Either way, I will avoid them till I see improvement. I can't take anymore slip ups now.

As for Bayern, They're one of the very few teams I kinda trust because they've come through one too many times.


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November 02, 2020, 07:29:01 PM
 #6

Maybe the point is good and it's kind of clever to avoid these clubs, they can cost you nervs and money. However, there are gamblers who like exactly challenges like that and like to push their luck, it's some kind of excitement in it. From time to time I try my luck on Manchester and Bayern and I don't regret it although the outcome isn't always best for me.
And true football fans will tell you that is exactly why they like football, the best game in the world.
Btw the list could have been a little more presentable.

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November 02, 2020, 08:09:59 PM
Merited by Onuohakk (1)
 #7

To me, I will say it depends, betting in football is not only about home or away club winning, there are many other betting types like over 2.5 and the likes. With what the OP posted, I think he is only recommending people not to choose these clubs to either win or lose because their game is not predictable, but possibly they are playing over 1.5 goals or something. There are many things to bet while gambling, I can still see alternative reasons to take the clubs. But, I see point in what OP posted, we really need to be careful of some clubs.

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November 02, 2020, 09:32:32 PM
 #8

Avoid the clubs that you think is not performing well but some on the list are great teams so I don’t know why do i need to avoid them where in fact I can bet with them and earn some money. Well, we all have different taste in gambling, do your own research before you bet and just enjoy the match watching it live.  Smiley
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November 02, 2020, 10:00:54 PM
 #9

I suggest you to avoid Başakşehir in all European games because they (their manager and board members) openly admitted to concentrate on local league and don't care about European games at all. This might look strange and our people don't like this attitude because our country points significantly go down for that kind of thing but this is a reality.

Actually you don't have to avoid their matches, but avoid playing for them. Even if you look out a surprise win, this is not the right team to bet on.

Anyway they are playing in Champions League group stage this year and their group is already too hard. I don't see them winning against Paris Saint-Germain, Manchester United and Leipzig. Cheesy
They already lost their first game against Leipzig in Germany and second game against PSG at home by two goals. This Wednesday they will play at home against Manchester United.

R


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November 02, 2020, 11:04:32 PM
 #10

Recommending some of these less competitive non-statistical markets.
You check these markets.
1. Goal to be scored by free-kick (NO) 1.07-1.11 odds. I mean you avoid the likes of Juventus, Barcelona, PSG, Newcastle, and Napoli (they have good set-piece players that can get a direct free kick on target, even without scoring)

2. Goal saved @ Double chance --(12) any. Odds 1.12 - 1.25) Some goalkeepers are better than others however, before placing such bets check out the team. In a match like Liverpool Vs Fulham, you should know that Fulham is likely to have more saves cuz Liverpool will keep making attempts on Fulham but, Liverpool keeper is better right, yes. However, how many shots on target are you expecting from Fulham (I will say barely 3).

3. Foul (double chance @12) any, fouls are less competitive as there are likely to be a team much aggressive than the other.

4. Throw in: Double chance @12, (odds 1.01 -1.05) no one competes for throw-ins whether HT or FT. Excessive defensive team causes throw in forcing one team to have thrown in than the other.
5. Goal kick: Double chance @12, (odds 1.05-1.09) bad attempts, bad headers, heavy crosses, careless dispossession causes goal kick, a dominating team is more likely to win goal kick hence (12) but, dominating teams with careful tactics might not win a goal kick e.g Bayer Munich Vs Koln, both are attacking clubs but, Bayer doesn't shoot carelessly, they prefer from inside the box attempts same with Liverpool, Man City, Barcelona, and big experienced clubs.

6. Corner double chance 12. (odds 1.07-1.2) work best for heavy defensive teams and heavy attacking teams, two attacking teams is never the best as they will both dominate the midfield and fewer corners, avoid Barcelona, Frankfurt and neutral teams (teams that keeps the match at a medium level, they don't like scoring and don't want you to score them e.g Fiorentina, Getafe, Hobro, ATL Bilbao, Sheffield united, Vitoria D. G, Freiburg, Valencia...)

7. Shot on target, double chance (12) (odds 1.09 - 1.25) works best for heavy attacking teams and avoid neutral teams.

8. Red card and penalty together in one match @No. (odds 1.07-1.14) Look for teams that are clean e.g Barcelona, Real Sociedad, Real Valladolid, Juventus, Newcastle, Liverpool, Aab, Bayern Munich, PSV check if it is a derby (avoid), two neutral teams or match value (to avoid relegation or secure championship)

9. One-minute event, corner in 1 minute (No) 1.06 odds, goal kick in 4:00- 4:59 (NO) (odds 1.12) avoid teams that with heavy attacking spirit, neutral teams are better here.

10. Goals in a row by team A or B (3 in a row @NO) Neutral teams are better here, avoid Man City, PSG, Barcelona, Atalanta, Salzburg, lask, Flora Tallinn, bate Borisov, Zenit, Ajax most big teams.

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November 02, 2020, 11:27:30 PM
 #11

@nelson4lov I’ll second that as this list is not perfect, but after burning my money by placing bets on Manchester United, I have decided not to wager anymore bets on them until this season ends.

Furthermore I even doubt that he watches Bundesliga because he told us to avoid placing bets on Bayern, and in my personal opinion Bayern is a reliable team on which one can place their bets on a consistent basis.

True that. Like you, I have decided not to pick Manchester United but not until the season ends though. Until they get back to winning ways in the Premier league, I have no business with them. Yesterday's loss was the last straw that broke the camel's back.  I even picked them to win or draw but it still went sideways as they didn't have anything to play and they got outplayed by Arsenal. Either way, I will avoid them till I see improvement. I can't take anymore slip ups now.

As for Bayern, They're one of the very few teams I kinda trust because they've come through one too many times.


“I scratch my head at players who don’t have enthusiasm for a game of football. Pogba is a hyped player, he should leave Manchester United. He has lost form.

“Sometimes you say ‘there’s no reason to panic’. But the results and performances suggest you should be panicking for Manchester United

“I judge the players by their actions and I just don’t see it. I never looked at a manager expecting to motivate me, that comes from within. Roy Keane has warned Ole Gunnar Solskjaer that his current Manchester United players will get him sacked. His days are numbered

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November 03, 2020, 07:10:37 AM
 #12

But I always bets on those teams like Chelsea, New Castle. Well, it always depends on which team are they going to fight with?
Game is unpredictable and I wonder what are the reasons or maybe a basis for those clubs to be avoided. Actually, we can do bets on both team's score, too. Not to avoid them, but get the opportunity while game started (which I usually do).

Recommending some of these less competitive non-statistical markets.
You check these markets.
-snip.

Wow, these are surely useful. I've bookmarked this and will try to incorporate this guide. Others depends on the set of players and the goals, so probably be the reason to avoid those teams.
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November 03, 2020, 07:29:07 AM
 #13

.....
but after burning my money by placing bets on Manchester United, I have decided not to wager anymore bets on them until this season ends.
They suck in EPL but they seem to be doing well on Champions league.

......
Yeah, I felt the same. I still do not understand the footnoes.
The footnotes actually made this thread even funnier. I haven't read anyone point them out in all the football related topics I read so far. Onuohakk must have tabulated these free kicks and compare whether the team's freekick strategy is to go for the goal, place the ball inside the box for a header, or simply pass it around before attempting for a goal.

R


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November 03, 2020, 07:31:54 AM
 #14

I have laughed a lot by reading the list and the comments.About Manchester United and Real Madrid together with Barcelona I think you are referring to the last two-three years because these teams some years before never lost to small teams especially Barcelona and Real Madrid.I think it all depends on the circumstances and the players each team has at its disposal.

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November 03, 2020, 08:52:45 AM
 #15

I have laughed a lot by reading the list and the comments.About Manchester United and Real Madrid together with Barcelona I think you are referring to the last two-three years because these teams some years before never lost to small teams especially Barcelona and Real Madrid.
A bit offtopic but due to the fact that you mentioned Barcelona I think that fits quite well ...

I'm curious if we can bet on Barcelona again in the near future, they are close to bankruptcy:

Quote
Barcelona could be declared bankrupt if they are unable to reduce their wages bill by 190 million euros by the end of next week, RAC1 reports. Negotiations to lower salaries began on Friday with a meeting between lawyers representing the club and the players.
Source

So currently they are negotiating whether the players will accept (severe) cuts in their salary or not. If not, Barcelona will have to file for bankruptcy and will therefore probably drop out of all international competitions.
This was unfortunately foreseeable, especially due to the lack of income (no spectators, ...), many larger and already highly indebted clubs will probably face a similar problem.

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November 03, 2020, 09:45:29 AM
Last edit: November 03, 2020, 09:56:31 AM by shoreno
 #16

Avoid the clubs that you think is not performing well but some on the list are great teams so I don’t know why do i need to avoid them where in fact I can bet with them and earn some money. Well, we all have different taste in gambling, do your own research before you bet and just enjoy the match watching it live.  Smiley

true but the op may think that the power of free kick are too powerful that it can turn the tides  but afaik free kicks are not done often right ? but this is a soccer game and its hard to score a goal due to the longer distance and faster gameplay , free kicks can really help out a team to win because its initiated closely  . one thing that i didnt knew is that free kicks are schedule before the match happens ? because i thought that free kicks can happen to both teams depending on the run of the game or if someone has a violation  .
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November 03, 2020, 10:22:33 AM
 #17

I saw you mention Manchester City as one of the clubs to consider.
Straight to.
What about the results of Saturday:31/10, Man City who beat S Utd in the Bramall Lane match, even though it was narrow by: {1-0} however, does Man City still have a positive assessment in this 2020 battle.
A little doubt for me about what's on your list, can you please convince into the positive.

And one more how about the club FC Barcelona, ​​it looks like there is something to try.

R


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November 03, 2020, 10:39:44 AM
 #18

there are no clubs that should be avoided during a bet since each match as an history separate from the previous seen.
For sure you have listed some well know club.It means that odds are not high when playing match against small clubs.
Probably it works the strategy to save resources for valuable odds...

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November 03, 2020, 12:22:40 PM
 #19

I have laughed a lot by reading the list and the comments.About Manchester United and Real Madrid together with Barcelona I think you are referring to the last two-three years because these teams some years before never lost to small teams especially Barcelona and Real Madrid.I think it all depends on the circumstances and the players each team has at its disposal.

Those teams are heavyweight in the league and they won't show any shortcomings if the opponents are an underdog. however, this is not always the case because like you said, it depends on the current situation or the player's health. sometimes the unexpected happens when you are underestimating your opponent. so, the lists it's not really legit maybe this is just his own opinion from his own experience.

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November 03, 2020, 01:50:27 PM
 #20

there are no clubs that should be avoided during a bet since each match as an history separate from the previous seen.
It's not entirely avoid but the OP is just giving a "warning" not to bet on these teams for reasons stated in the footnotes. Of course you are still free to bet against them.

I would be skeptical betting on Man U against any team in the EPL right now because of their past performances. I'm likely to bet on their opponent if presented with good odds.



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November 03, 2020, 06:18:54 PM
 #21

Most of the clubs you mentioned can still change to favour people because game can change at anytime. Real Madrid is my favorite team over 5 years now, I never lose my bet on that team. But few weeks now I lose woefully because I make the club permanent club that can never make me lose my bet anytime. When I still have hope that this coming match will be a victory to all my bet.

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November 03, 2020, 07:10:48 PM
 #22

I have laughed a lot by reading the list and the comments.About Manchester United and Real Madrid together with Barcelona I think you are referring to the last two-three years because these teams some years before never lost to small teams especially Barcelona and Real Madrid.I think it all depends on the circumstances and the players each team has at its disposal.

Those teams are heavyweight in the league and they won't show any shortcomings if the opponents are an underdog. however, this is not always the case because like you said, it depends on the current situation or the player's health. sometimes the unexpected happens when you are underestimating your opponent. so, the lists it's not really legit maybe this is just his own opinion from his own experience.

This will definitely be surprising because the big teams in the league lose to smaller opponents even though it is common in matches that there is no way the big teams will be firmly on top. I believe in predictions that low opponents are able to overthrow it.
Sometimes people don't see the physicality of the players, maybe because of fatigue and also lack of concentration on what they are fighting, sometimes it triggers defeat in the first place.

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November 03, 2020, 07:27:14 PM
 #23

@nelson4lov I’ll second that as this list is not perfect, but after burning my money by placing bets on Manchester United, I have decided not to wager anymore bets on them until this season ends.

Furthermore I even doubt that he watches Bundesliga because he told us to avoid placing bets on Bayern, and in my personal opinion Bayern is a reliable team on which one can place their bets on a consistent basis.

True that. Like you, I have decided not to pick Manchester United but not until the season ends though. Until they get back to winning ways in the Premier league, I have no business with them. Yesterday's loss was the last straw that broke the camel's back.  I even picked them to win or draw but it still went sideways as they didn't have anything to play and they got outplayed by Arsenal. Either way, I will avoid them till I see improvement. I can't take anymore slip ups now.

As for Bayern, They're one of the very few teams I kinda trust because they've come through one too many times.


“I scratch my head at players who don’t have enthusiasm for a game of football. Pogba is a hyped player, he should leave Manchester United. He has lost form.

“Sometimes you say ‘there’s no reason to panic’. But the results and performances suggest you should be panicking for Manchester United

“I judge the players by their actions and I just don’t see it. I never looked at a manager expecting to motivate me, that comes from within. Roy Keane has warned Ole Gunnar Solskjaer that his current Manchester United players will get him sacked. His days are numbered
We will make a great mistake sacking this coach, I see a brighter future with this coach, Many of us are hypocrites last week we were celebrating him but just a mistake we turn critics in seconds, let's give him a chance
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November 03, 2020, 11:07:48 PM
 #24

We will make a great mistake sacking this coach, I see a brighter future with this coach, Many of us are hypocrites last week we were celebrating him but just a mistake we turn critics in seconds, let's give him a chance
That's football for you mate, the sport is basically based on results by results I mean the kind that takes you up the first four positions on the table. The one that qualifies you for a Uefa Champions League otherwise, your not doing enough, managing a team that has won the UCL not quite long ago. It's business and thee isn't any sentiments about it. He did well by wining a 0-5 margin goals but then, that's just 3 points until the goal difference counts. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is got to push these players to put in the work as he employs a more tactic strategy to tackle the teams issue.

R


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November 06, 2020, 10:32:07 PM
 #25

Manchester City and Manchester United are really dangerous to bet on this year.  Cheesy  Manchester United are playing terrible in the Premier League this season. They are unstable also in Champions League. Manchester City still don't seem trustworthy to me this year. They haven't started the league too good. They are having difficulties on winning matches comfortably (e. g. against Sheffield last week) in the Premier League. 

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November 06, 2020, 10:51:28 PM
 #26


snip
Thank you for the tip but how do you know that? you don't explain why you're thinking this way and you don't provide any link.
We cant follow blindly your expectations and bet our money on that

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November 06, 2020, 11:56:56 PM
 #27

Valencia are really a very annoying team. I can't fully trust and bet on them any time. They are having much difficulties in scoring a goal when needed. I lost some money on them some time ago and I decided not to bet on them anymore.  Grin

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November 07, 2020, 03:14:44 AM
 #28

Valencia are really a very annoying team. I can't fully trust and bet on them any time. They are having much difficulties in scoring a goal when needed. I lost some money on them some time ago and I decided not to bet on them anymore.  Grin

Most of the clubs you mentioned can still change to favour people because game can change at anytime.

you read what protech said . i was going to say this too  . people change so as players . they loose before but they can win next time because they are going to practice and study thier past games but before you do that you can observed the present gameplay first if they have improvement , dont bet on them the moment they cameback with no wins .

Most of the clubs you mentioned can still change to favour people because game can change at anytime. Real Madrid is my favorite team over 5 years now, I never lose my bet on that team. But few weeks now I lose woefully because I make the club permanent club that can never make me lose my bet anytime. When I still have hope that this coming match will be a victory to all my bet.

never heard of valencia , the team pick by datking but im familiar with real madrid and if im going to bet for the first time i will easily pick on this kind of teams that are already popular in the football world but being a good team still dont secure a win all the time , thats why op has came up with a list for us to prepare .
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November 07, 2020, 01:52:34 PM
 #29

vailable on UCL, some UEL, some UEFA nation matches, Top 6 leagues in Europe, classic matches/derbies/rivals,
Avoid the following clubs per league
EPL
1. Manchester City/United (against small clubs) #

2. Chelsea (against last 6 on table)#

3. Newcastle*
On what ground is this list made? Is it your personal opinion or based on some betting data of a big amount of people and major upsets occurring often? On Superbru there's a badge that shows the teams on which you are often betting wrong. I don't have enough bet history for solid results (more time should pass), but Aston Villa and Newcastle were toughest for me (against whomever they're playing). Do you agree that it's a subjective point with teams that are tough to predict for some people being easy for others and vice versa? And also perhaps the dynamic should be considered (Leeds is surprising this season, I guess, but might not be like this the next season).

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November 07, 2020, 07:16:47 PM
 #30

I love my Spurs team but I think if you are not a supporter,,, I would say my own club is the one to avoid. We constantly get close to 1.5-1.9x against all the other teams in the league who are not in the big four, and we do not always win that.

But you can choose us against the big teams we are around 4x to win then you feel we can at least win 1 out of 4 at any time. Sorry Spurs but you know it is true:)

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December 11, 2020, 08:04:35 PM
 #31

I mostly avoid betting on Manchester United, Arsenal, Barcelona and Real Madrid this season. Manchester United and Arsenal are really playing weird this season and I don't trust any of them. Barcelona are far away from their performance in the last season. Messi was nearly leaving because of the problems in the club. Real Madrid are having a better season comparing to Barcelona but they are very unstable in the league too.

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December 11, 2020, 10:40:15 PM
 #32

this is almost accurate.
I don't understand why "big" teams always in trouble when playing against a small team.
I always think it caused by:
1. the bigger team got under pressure because they think 3 points is a must when facing a smaller team.
2. the smaller team has a high motivation to prove themself. played fluidly because they are nothing to lose since they are the underdog.
3. match-fixing  Angry



manchester united will play well after they defeated. so if they play well in the premier league, they will play badly in another competition, and vice versa.
mark my words  Grin
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December 12, 2020, 11:21:46 AM
 #33

Maybe you can avoid those clubs in betting, but it doesn't mean that people will also need to avoid them if they really like that clubs because that clubs can have more chances to win from their opponent.
If those clubs have those chances, we don't have to avoid it, especially if they have a good player inside their team.
If they can get more info about those club's lists and see they can win, they can still select those lists to place the bet.
I don't know much about all of the clubs @OP mentions, but I see that some clubs have a chance to win the match.

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December 12, 2020, 11:29:39 AM
 #34

I have no ideas what is the point of this thread, why we should avoid those listed teams for betting purpose? All of them are favorite teams on their own local league as well as on UCL/Europa League. If you suggest us to avoid betting on them, do you mean that we should bet on mediocre team or non popular teams that we do not even know?

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December 12, 2020, 11:58:17 AM
 #35

Maybe you can avoid those clubs in betting, but it doesn't mean that people will also need to avoid them if they really like that clubs because that clubs can have more chances to win from their opponent.
If those clubs have those chances, we don't have to avoid it, especially if they have a good player inside their team.
If they can get more info about those club's lists and see they can win, they can still select those lists to place the bet.
I don't know much about all of the clubs @OP mentions, but I see that some clubs have a chance to win the match.
I also don't understand that the OP makes a list of clubs to avoid in betting, even though many good clubs always provide a chance to win by betting.
whether it was because of some bad games or losing because he didn't play well from a lower club and maybe because of maybe the coach's fault, and I think that's normal and maybe there are other reasons the club can't play well.
We recommend that you make a thorough correction so that the club that will be selected knows the reasons and problems.

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traderethereum
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December 13, 2020, 07:24:37 AM
 #36

Maybe you can avoid those clubs in betting, but it doesn't mean that people will also need to avoid them if they really like that clubs because that clubs can have more chances to win from their opponent.
If those clubs have those chances, we don't have to avoid it, especially if they have a good player inside their team.
If they can get more info about those club's lists and see they can win, they can still select those lists to place the bet.
I don't know much about all of the clubs @OP mentions, but I see that some clubs have a chance to win the match.
I also don't understand that the OP makes a list of clubs to avoid in betting, even though many good clubs always provide a chance to win by betting.
whether it was because of some bad games or losing because he didn't play well from a lower club and maybe because of maybe the coach's fault, and I think that's normal and maybe there are other reasons the club can't play well.
We recommend that you make a thorough correction so that the club that will be selected knows the reasons and problems.
I guess he has a bad experience when he selects one of those lists or all of the lists, so he suggests not to place the bets to that clubs.
If he can collect as much info or data as possible, he will know that not all of the clubs in his lists will perform badly because I am sure that the coach will use the other strategy to win the match.
But if we are placing the bets because of suggestions from other people while we don't have much info, that will be our chance to lose because we don't know which team can win.
It is better to analyze every team that will match and search for much information about each team to select the right team to bets.

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December 13, 2020, 09:04:45 PM
 #37

This makes no sense - you can't just avoid teams absolutely just because they underperformed in the past.

There are a time and a place for betting on any event, as long as the odds are in your favour. If one of the teams on your list are offered at 10x odds to win but you estimate that their true chance of victory is really something like 15%, would you take the bet? Definitely.

There are no absolutes in sports tips. Everything is relative to % probability of a winning event and the odds that you are offered for the event.
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December 14, 2020, 06:31:42 AM
 #38

Although I am not a fan of those clubs, I don't have to avoid selecting those clubs if they have a chance to win, especially if I want to place a bet. I think MU/MC, Chelsea, Newcastle, Barcelona, Madrid and else have those chances. If you don't want to choose one of those clubs, that will be okay for me. But if those clubs have a good player, I will still choose that over the opponents. I think you should search for more info about each club. However, those clubs will not win if their opponent has stronger than them.

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December 14, 2020, 11:15:46 AM
 #39

Since we are dealing with football betting on this thread. I want to throw in a question about this as my friend wants to try this out as he is a football fan but is not really that familiar with the betting process. I rarely do bet also so I am seeking some good advice. Do you think it is good to start at betting at football and where can he place bets if we are talking about the big coins like BTC and ETH. Is there a betting website where you can be anonymous?

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December 14, 2020, 03:12:44 PM
 #40

this is almost accurate.
I don't understand why "big" teams always in trouble when playing against a small team.
I always think it caused by:
1. the bigger team got under pressure because they think 3 points is a must when facing a smaller team.
2. the smaller team has a high motivation to prove themself. played fluidly because they are nothing to lose since they are the underdog.
3. match-fixing  Angry



manchester united will play well after they defeated. so if they play well in the premier league, they will play badly in another competition, and vice versa.
mark my words  Grin

I used to notice that in matches involving big clubs.
Maybe because the small team is considered underdog/weak... and the big team underrates them hence fail to prepare well for the match, while the small team prepares harder and is very determined to defeat/draw with the better team.
Or maybe the big team does not just understand the small team very much because they are not well known or popular?
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December 14, 2020, 07:08:27 PM
 #41

I think that especially Arsenal are the team that you should avoid betting on. They are really incompetent about even scoring a goal in Premier League lately. Last night, they played really good according to the statistics but they didn't manage to score even one goal again. Their losing streak still continues. So, they are one of the most untrustworthy teams now.

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