(*) though not large weather events I've found after several times seeing it reported that I was under a 'super typhoon' here in SE Asia and looking out my window at mild blue skies.
maybe looking out your northern facing window (towards the continent) would show blue skies.but if you look at the ocean facing window you might see the typhoon
also SE asia is about 5mill Km
2 and a super typhoon is only about 0.25mill km
2so only about a 1 in 20 ratio of it being right above/inrange of your town
also the further inland you live the less the risk.