Yeah, gotta admit I don't know what the situation is like for most receiving those cheques but I figure that most who threw their first ones into Coinbase aren't those feeling the hurt yet, probably the entire reddit US crowd heh. Actually met a couple of people putting all of it into Bitcoin in casinos (go figure).
However it goes, definitely not a meaningful impact on the market.
It's not just the $1,200 stimulus checks we need to consider. It's all the various "stimulus programs" raining helicopter money on people. I know multiple people who took $10K+ in extended unemployment while working off the books, or drew on other programs like small business grants. Those people had tens of thousands of dollars to put into whatever they wanted, and I believe this sort of behavior has been completely rampant across the population. So many people were handed so much fucking money for absolutely no reason.
I don't personally know anyone who put that money into BTC, but that's just anecdotal. It's painfully obvious that
all assets are being inflated in value by the combination of QE and fiscal stimulus, and we also know from surveys about Bitcoin ownership and data from Square, etc. that it's not just a miniscule part of the population now that's investing in it.