Before jump into the content, I hope you are doing well and enjoying the crazy bull run of bitcoin.
Bitcoin is volatile and it rises or falls in small or big changes over time. This thread is published to give information about Bitcoin streaks. The term of streak is familiar with gamblers but for non-gamblers and non-native English speakers, you might confuse about it. Let's me explain a bit.
Streak means something happen in-a-row, continuously. It can be win / loss, rise/ fall. The alternative term can be spell. It is a language term and you can choose one that fits you, just understand the meaning of streak I use here.
Definitions- Rise streaks: a streak when % change between close price and open price is Positive (>0) for at least 5 days in-a-row.
- Fall streaks: a streak when % change between close price and open price is Negative (<0) for at least 5 days in-a-row.
- Generally, streaks here are 5+-days streaks (positive or negative).
We are enjoying the crazy bull run so let's get started with Rise streaks.
Rise StreaksColor codes
SummaryBitcoin broke the record in 2017 and increased a lot after that but in some indicators (below), the current bull run and this year are not the longest and biggest run of bitcoin. It is true in indicators for total rise streaks, total days of all streaks within a year, maximum of longevity of streaks within a year, average value of % changes of price for all streaks within a year.
Details2017 is the year is highest total rise streaks (10), second is 2019 (9), 2013 ( 8 ).
+----------------------------+
| rank year YearlyStreak |
|----------------------------|
1. | 1 2017 10 |
2. | 2 2019 9 |
3. | 3 2013 8 |
4. | 4 2016 7 |
5. | 5 2020 7 |
6. | 6 2015 6 |
7. | 7 2018 4 |
8. | 8 2014 3 |
+----------------------------+
Top 3 years in mean of poc_s of all streaks in each year are: 2013 (31.47%), 2017 (28.51%), 2014 (22.52%)
+------------------------+
| rank year poc_s |
|------------------------|
1. | 1 2013 31.46625 |
2. | 2 2017 28.507 |
3. | 3 2014 22.52 |
4. | 4 2018 21.8975 |
5. | 5 2020 18.19571 |
6. | 6 2019 18.19333 |
7. | 7 2015 14.46667 |
8. | 8 2016 11.60429 |
+------------------------+
Ranks for all Rise streaks according to poc_s values
+------------------------------+
| rank year _spell poc_s |
|------------------------------|
1. | 1 2017 34 80.68 |
2. | 2 2013 7 69.7 |
3. | 3 2013 6 50 |
4. | 4 2013 8 46.11 |
5. | 5 2019 45 43.37 |
6. | 6 2013 1 43.26 |
7. | 7 2017 29 40.27 |
8. | 8 2017 31 37.87 |
9. | 9 2020 54 32.23 |
10. | 10 2017 30 29.42 |
11. | 11 2017 32 28.73 |
12. | 12 2018 35 28.64 |
13. | 13 2020 50 27.93 |
14. | 14 2018 38 27.75 |
15. | 15 2014 9 26.27 |
16. | 16 2019 42 25.4 |
17. | 17 2017 33 24.58 |
18. | 18 2019 46 23.98 |
19. | 19 2014 11 23.79 |
20. | 20 2015 16 23.08 |
21. | 21 2016 19 20.64 |
22. | 22 2016 24 20.21 |
23. | 23 2018 37 19.76 |
24. | 24 2015 12 19.14 |
25. | 25 2015 17 17.89 |
26. | 26 2019 44 17.6 |
27. | 27 2014 10 17.5 |
28. | 28 2020 48 16.88 |
29. | 29 2020 53 16.84 |
30. | 30 2016 23 16.6 |
31. | 31 2019 43 14.7 |
32. | 32 2020 52 14.52 |
33. | 33 2017 25 13.34 |
34. | 34 2013 3 13.13 |
35. | 35 2017 28 11.94 |
36. | 36 2017 27 11.92 |
37. | 37 2019 47 11.65 |
38. | 38 2018 36 11.44 |
39. | 39 2019 41 11.12 |
40. | 40 2013 5 11.08 |
41. | 41 2019 39 10.57 |
42. | 42 2015 15 10.38 |
43. | 43 2016 20 10.25 |
44. | 44 2020 49 10.16 |
45. | 45 2015 13 9.64 |
46. | 46 2013 2 9.49 |
47. | 47 2016 21 9.25 |
48. | 48 2013 4 8.96 |
49. | 49 2020 51 8.81 |
50. | 50 2015 14 6.67 |
51. | 51 2017 26 6.32 |
52. | 52 2019 40 5.35 |
53. | 53 2016 18 2.18 |
54. | 54 2016 22 2.1 |
+------------------------------+
Fall Streaks2014 is the most terrible years according to total fall streaks (9). For rest years, there is no significant difference when the values range from 3 to 1. If you notice, total fall streaks each year (in bull or bear market, tend to be less than total Rise streaks). Amazing right?
+----------------------------+
| rank year YearlyStreak |
|----------------------------|
1. | 1 2014 9 |
2. | 2 2018 3 |
3. | 3 2016 3 |
4. | 4 2020 2 |
5. | 5 2019 2 |
6. | 6 2013 1 |
7. | 7 2015 1 |
+----------------------------+
2018 is the year with most terrible mean of poc_s value for all streak in that year (-16.92%), next years are 2014 (-12.07%), 2016 (-11.03%).
+-------------------------+
| rank year poc_s |
|-------------------------|
1. | 1 2018 -16.92333 |
2. | 2 2014 -12.07111 |
3. | 3 2016 -11.03333 |
4. | 4 2019 -10.745 |
5. | 5 2020 -9.955 |
6. | 6 2015 -9.45 |
7. | 7 2013 -8.71 |
+-------------------------+
Ranks for all Fall streaks according to poc_s values
+-------------------------------+
| rank year _spell poc_s |
|-------------------------------|
1. | 1 2018 15 -22.91 |
2. | 2 2016 12 -20.37 |
3. | 3 2014 8 -17.6 |
4. | 4 2014 10 -17.27 |
5. | 5 2014 7 -15.94 |
6. | 6 2019 18 -14.9 |
7. | 7 2018 16 -14.46 |
8. | 8 2014 9 -13.83 |
9. | 9 2020 20 -13.7 |
10. | 10 2018 17 -13.4 |
11. | 11 2014 4 -11.82 |
12. | 12 2014 6 -9.84 |
13. | 13 2015 11 -9.45 |
14. | 14 2013 1 -8.71 |
15. | 15 2014 2 -8.53 |
16. | 16 2016 13 -8.53 |
17. | 17 2014 3 -7.6 |
18. | 18 2019 19 -6.59 |
19. | 19 2020 21 -6.21 |
20. | 20 2014 5 -6.21 |
21. | 21 2016 14 -4.2 |
+-------------------------------+
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My life is not done yet. I will write an abstract soon!
Anyway, enjoy for now
![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)