Rate NotATether's sports bets

[NotATether]

I haven't been doing well with my parlays for the past few days so I wanted to seek some quick advice from people who gamble here frequently, if the legs I'm choosing are absolute trash or hopeful of hitting.

Here's the first one. Napoli, Roma, Inter Milan, Rennes, Lyon and PSG all to win, total 9.61x odds. Any legs you think I should replace?

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

If you are doing very well with your legs then I would suggest continue because when you will get different selections from different people then you will get confused.

It seems you have gone with the favorites and I think last week we seen favorites to win most of the matches. If this was two weeks ago then you would not get your slip correct LOL

Enjoy the good times brother.

[NotATether]

If you are doing very well with your legs then I would suggest continue because when you will get different selections from different people then you will get confused.

It seems you have gone with the favorites and I think last week we seen favorites to win most of the matches. If this was two weeks ago then you would not get your slip correct LOL

Enjoy the good times brother.

Thanks brother, my legs from the EPL are the only legs that are mostly successful. Too many times I did an analysis or just took the lowest 1X2 odds in the other leagues and then I lose 1 or 2 out of 4 legs. Remember how nearly everyone lost their Spurs leg in last week's Betnomi prediction thread? 

So I feel like some my legs are going to surprise me with draws. And I don't really want to wait until Saturday for next week's EPL matches so I've mostly been betting in Serie A and Bundesliga. La Liga has so far been a minefield for me, and Ligue 1 is uncharted territory as far as my bets are concerned.

We shall see what other people come up with, I don't trust my legs at this point 

[tyKiwanuka]

1) Parlays are only good, if all (or the majority) of selections have value, because you multiply the value with it.
2) I am a firm believer, that there is very few value to be found pre-match in the big leagues these days. If you are not dedicating 24/7 to this, you won't be able to find valuable bets longterm.

So I would strongly advise against playing these kind of parlays, you will lose Go with single bets for a start and see how you do. Even better is, if you search for some niche and become an expert there. This can be other/smaller sports or smaller leagues/lower divisions in football.

If you just do this for fun, then you can play those parlays of course, but don't complain about losing then

[swogerino]

I see that you have chosen teams which are expected to win as they are considered strong teams playing against weaker ones.While in most of the cases these teams win when they are playing at home this is not always true.The fact that you keep losing is that you play parlays with 6 games or more and the more games you choose for your bet the higher the risk of losing that bet.Try to lower the number of the games in your parlays and you will probably see better results.

[Yogee]

I guess it's not a bad choice to pick the favorites but have you checked the list of injuries or covid infected players? It will give you some idea on what the line up will be before the match starts. If I am going to parlay that many games, I would choose favorite teams that would play at home. Consider replacing or revising the odds for Inter Milan.

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

Thanks brother, my legs from the EPL are the only legs that are mostly successful. Too many times I did an analysis or just took the lowest 1X2 odds in the other leagues and then I lose 1 or 2 out of 4 legs. Remember how nearly everyone lost their Spurs leg in last week's Betnomi prediction thread?  

I do not take part but if you are talking about the match against Leicester then yes it was unexpected considering how well Tottemham performed in the recent times. However there are few teams I do not trust in EPL. Utd, Arsenal are some of them. I think Tottenham lost me some money in the past too and I did not have much confident on them.

<snip>

My losing ratio in parlays are very high but it's a bit better when it's in-play. What I mean a bit better is may be 1 out of 100 😛.

But I make more parley (even two fold) then placing single bets. Single bets make me money though but someone I get too excited and add up one or two more legs and eventually lose. In the recent time I was lucky with the free bet I had from the clubhouse in sportsbet,io. I was able to hit an odd of 4+ in a four fold.

[Fundamentals Of]

Just an opinion here based on a limited experience in multi-betting. A total of 6 games in parlay is hard to win. It happens very seldom that all 6 bets will win despite their being favorites.

I am curious as to how much you are betting on these. If that is only a small amount which is just intended for fun then I guess it is all right. But if you are betting with an amount big enough to make you scratch your head all throughout the day then I think you should reduce your parlay bets to around 3-4 games.

[Coin_trader]

Just an opinion here based on a limited experience in multi-betting. A total of 6 games in parlay is hard to win. It happens very seldom that all 6 bets will win despite their being favorites.

I am curious as to how much you are betting on these. If that is only a small amount which is just intended for fun then I guess it is all right. But if you are betting with an amount big enough to make you scratch your head all throughout the day then I think you should reduce your parlay bets to around 3-4 games.

I believe he is asking for the opinion about his pick and not an advice about the winning probability of the parlay quantity pick match.


I notice you pick the team with high probability rate which is usual on parlay. Picking the other side will be more riskier so your pick is right.

[NotATether]

Just an opinion here based on a limited experience in multi-betting. A total of 6 games in parlay is hard to win. It happens very seldom that all 6 bets will win despite their being favorites.

The only reason why I would take 5+ legs in a parlay is to get a 9% odds boost from Sportsbet, but quickly I'm realizing that it's not worth it.

I am curious as to how much you are betting on these. If that is only a small amount which is just intended for fun then I guess it is all right. But if you are betting with an amount big enough to make you scratch your head all throughout the day then I think you should reduce your parlay bets to around 3-4 games.

I got a bankroll of 1mBTC and am betting 0.01mBTC in all these games. I'm currently down to 0.76mBTC cause of mistakes I made.

~snip

I believe he is asking for the opinion about his pick and not an advice about the winning probability of the parlay quantity pick match.

My response above pretty much summarizes why I took 5/6 leg multis, but I'm going to limit myself to a maximum of 3 legs going forward.


I scrapped all the bets I wrote about above (because I'm serious about winning  ) and decided to bet on the EFL Cup. Specifically in the Everton vs Man United game.

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/f3e0f1b0-00f3-41cb-8c58-

7 total singles here, one of which is a risk-free bet (Corners Under 10.5 @1.67x)

Two bets on Correct Score 2:3 and 1:4 using my Super Boost, so it'll be a good day if I win one of those.

Fairly large odds on Multigoals 1:2 1:3 1:4 and 2:3 2:4 3:4 1:5.

An auxiliary Everton/ManU to win & BTTS to increase my reward. At this point I may risk losing my corners bet while sustaining minimum losses.

And a hedge bet of Everton to win & Asian Total Under 3.5 in case they surprise us with a 2:1 or 1:0.

So the scores for which I make a net win, in order of biggest win, are 1:4 2:3 2:4 2:5 1:5 1:3 1:2 2:1. And the scores for which I sustain partial losses are 1:0 2:0 3:0, all draws >0:0. I got an 8th BTTS bet on this match that's parlayed with Spurs winning the other EFL game today.

My (near) total losses will be for all outcomes with 0:0 0:1 2:1 3:1 4:2 4:1... etc. I say near because in most probable of these cases my corner bet will soften the blow a little bit. I am expecting Everton to score 1 or 2 goals in this game without Rodriguez playing. I don't care much what ManU does as long as they score something.

[kkaroul4]

I like this kind of prediction well I would watch first what will happen to your parlays in a few days and after that if things goes well I will follow your tips, I hope you would have a good result on your next predictions.

[notblox1]

I don't like taking to much matches from French Ligue1 because they are very unpredictable, and I even have a friend from France working in betting industry who confirmed that for me.
I like adding some double chances and asian handicaps to reduce risk and increase chances, but everyone has good and bad days, and please don't bet more than you can afford to lose.

[BTCGOLD]

Normally these are bets where you take relatively little risk of losing. The problem is if you take a odds of 1.35 5x, that in theory you should lose.
In fact, you should do one at a time and not continue for too long, and combine it with bankroll management.

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

<snip>

One of my three fold is going to die in less than 10 minutes LOL

This is what I do in the in-play market. I need ajax to win in the next 10 minutes.

Most of the time I make 2 or 3 folds instead of a very long slip. Less legs, less risk however it's hard to win still.

7 total singles here, one of which is a risk-free bet (Corners Under 10.5 @1.67x)

There are nothing which is risk free until you get the result you expected. I go for over market most of the time and many times I was stuck at the exact number like say it's over x.5 and the result was x.

[nelson4lov]

(...)
Here's the first one. Napoli, Roma, Inter Milan, Rennes, Lyon and PSG all to win, total 9.61x odds. Any legs you think I should replace?
(...)

It's going well so far. Rennes and Inter Milan both won by 1 goal. I have a feeling that we would not have an upset tonight unlike yesterday with Juventus embarrassing 3-0 defeat.  After incurring a lot of losses that ate almost all of my bankroll, I have decided to stop playing long parley bets and concentrate on smaller bet slips then I increase my stakes. It's either a single or a multi bet with a max of 3 selections and so far so good it has been paying off well as I focus on events which I think are more than likely to happen.

Here's an example of the kinda parley I play nowadays:


At the time of writing this post, Milan is leading Lazio by 2-0 and Roma is ahead with 1-0. Let's see how the remainder of the parley goes. Goodluck @NotATether!

<snip>

One of my three fold is going to die in less than 10 minutes LOL
~Snipped

It's funny how Ajax messed up that beautiful slip with their 1-1 draw. Ajax had 1.13 odds to nail the game but end up losing their early lead without being able to score again. Pathetic.

[Fundamentals Of]

Just an opinion here based on a limited experience in multi-betting. A total of 6 games in parlay is hard to win. It happens very seldom that all 6 bets will win despite their being favorites.

I am curious as to how much you are betting on these. If that is only a small amount which is just intended for fun then I guess it is all right. But if you are betting with an amount big enough to make you scratch your head all throughout the day then I think you should reduce your parlay bets to around 3-4 games.

I notice you pick the team with high probability rate which is usual on parlay. Picking the other side will be more riskier so your pick is right.

A pick is not automatically right simply because it has low odds. Odds, especially pre-game, can only reflect so much. As I said, a 6-match parlay which is all composed of favorites still seldom wins.

Just an opinion here based on a limited experience in multi-betting. A total of 6 games in parlay is hard to win. It happens very seldom that all 6 bets will win despite their being favorites.

The only reason why I would take 5+ legs in a parlay is to get a 9% odds boost from Sportsbet, but quickly I'm realizing that it's not worth it.

That 9% boost is indeed enticing. Sportsbet knows very well how to set a trap. I wish you luck in your next bets, anyway.

[NotATether]

Alright guys here's my new bet courtesy of Sportsbet's Free Bet.

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/0a9e8a0e-b2bb-4dac-b4d9-2f5f808db544



Liverpool and Manchester City should be easy wins on this slip. Sheffield's 2 goal trick from last match was in my view an anomaly and shouldn't be repeated again against Everton. As for Arsenal vs Chelsea I still think Arteta will manage the club so poorly that their disarray will end up giving Chelsea this win and compounding the misery for Arsenal. But instead of taking that bet I am opting for Arsenal and Chelsea to have a lackluster first half and more goals in the second half, if Arsenal even scores at all that is. But this doesn't matter because I still think Chelsea will do better in the second half, assuming Chelsea does over 2.5 goals.

(...)
Here's the first one. Napoli, Roma, Inter Milan, Rennes, Lyon and PSG all to win, total 9.61x odds. Any legs you think I should replace?
(...)

It's going well so far. Rennes and Inter Milan both won by 1 goal. I have a feeling that we would not have an upset tonight unlike yesterday with Juventus embarrassing 3-0 defeat.  After incurring a lot of losses that ate almost all of my bankroll, I have decided to stop playing long parley bets and concentrate on smaller bet slips then I increase my stakes. It's either a single or a multi bet with a max of 3 selections and so far so good it has been paying off well as I focus on events which I think are more than likely to happen.

I'm glad I didn't take this because Napoli would've ruined it for me. I wouldn't have played Inter Milan anyway but they did surprisingly well this week.

[Saint-loup]

Alright guys here's my new bet courtesy of Sportsbet's Free Bet.

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/0a9e8a0e-b2bb-4dac-b4d9-2f5f808db544


[...]

Free bet? What do you mean by free bet please? It's a special bonus they offered to you or it's available for everyone?
How can we get those free bets please?

[NotATether]

Alright guys here's my new bet courtesy of Sportsbet's Free Bet.

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/0a9e8a0e-b2bb-4dac-b4d9-2f5f808db544


[...]

Free bet? What do you mean by free bet please? It's a special bonus they offered to you or it's available for everyone?
How can we get those free bets please?

A bunch of 1mBTC free bets were given to random people's accounts as per Sportbet.io's announcement. They can't be claimed by yourself. When you use a free bet, you'll only get the rewards from the bet you pick, so if for example you bet in a 1.8x odds market, you will only get 0.8mBTC if you win, and not 1.8mBTC. This is to stop people from taking advantage of the system and getting free money of course.

Hi guys,

Good luck with your NBA bets today! wish you all the best!

Santa Steve has dropped some free bets into some random accounts! check it out!

regards

Santa Steve
Sportsbet.io

Speaking of free bets, I used one of them on the Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors game, and I came just in time to see the 4th quarter. So my bets were mainly around that as the game was otherwise done.

I used it on Asian total under 230.5 points, which lost really soon (the Bucks and Khris Middleton were on fire during the last quarter). But this loss doesn't matter, because I had a cool 0.1mBTC wager at 1.78x odds for Asian handicap -29.5 for the Bucks. This back when the score was 115:82, so I secured that win farily quickly.

These free bets expire on 28 December so I plan on using half of them today for the Premier League matches.

[Saint-loup]

Alright guys here's my new bet courtesy of Sportsbet's Free Bet.

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/0a9e8a0e-b2bb-4dac-b4d9-2f5f808db544


[...]

Free bet? What do you mean by free bet please? It's a special bonus they offered to you or it's available for everyone?
How can we get those free bets please?

A bunch of 1mBTC free bets were given to random people's accounts as per Sportbet.io's announcement. They can't be claimed by yourself. When you use a free bet, you'll only get the rewards from the bet you pick, so if for example you bet in a 1.8x odds market, you will only get 0.8mBTC if you win, and not 1.8mBTC. This is to stop people from taking advantage of the system and getting free money of course.

Thank you very much for the explanations NotATether  
Do you know if Sportbet.io will soon make another give away of this kind plz?