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Author Topic: 2021-1-2 Coindesk - Bitcoin Worth $1B Leaves Coinbase as Institutions ‘FOMO’ Buy  (Read 238 times)
acquafredda (OP)
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January 03, 2021, 09:09:53 AM
 #1

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On-chain data shows big money continues to chase bitcoin amid the frantic bull run. That’s a sign of institutions catching the “FOMO” bug, according to one analyst.
  • Institution-focused Coinbase Pro exchange registered an outflow of over 35,000 bitcoin worth more than $1 billion early Saturday, according to data source CryptoQuant.
  • The large outflow comes a day after 12,063 coins left the exchange and represents institutional FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying, according to Ki Young Ju, CEO of the Korea-based blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant.
https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-worth-1b-leaves-coinbase-as-institutions-fomo-buy-analyst

When even Coindesk talks about FOMO, I am thinking I do not understand what is happening! Or, maybe, I really do.
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January 03, 2021, 11:57:22 AM
 #2

What is interesting in this particular case is that all these BTCs actually remain in the possession of Coinbase - in other words they just move into their cold wallets. From the perspective of those of us who know what Bitcoin really is, it seems a bit ridiculous - but when it comes to security it may be better to be taken care of by professionals - I'm sure most of these big investors wouldn't be good at it.

As for FOMO, I think many of them missed the right opportunities if they only now decided to invest, as if BTC was created only last year. Message to everyone who has BTC in their possession, don’t sell it at these low prices, because if they are willing to pay over $30k now ask yourself how much it is actually worth.

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January 03, 2021, 08:43:02 PM
 #3

Tether folks now they need plenty of money for legals. Damage already done, so pump for ....


Holy fck

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January 03, 2021, 08:57:00 PM
 #4

Tether folks now they need plenty of money for legals. Damage already done, so pump for ....


Holy fck

And then they'll tell some of their wall street friends to short it and we'll get news from tether CEO saying on twitter sorry folks, we're insolvent. Then there will be a dump and he'll come back saying his account got hacked and people will buy again and then we'll hear that he really was insolvent needed time to flee the country.
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January 04, 2021, 02:06:01 AM
 #5

I am very skeptical of this article. Institutional investors do not fomo buy similar to ordinary investors. Also, a judge will determine Tether’s case on January 15. Might this be Tether held in exchanges are traded quickly for bitcoin for safety?

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January 04, 2021, 06:02:59 AM
 #6

I am very skeptical of this article. Institutional investors do not fomo buy similar to ordinary investors.

says who?

institutions aren't some mythical beings that only buy bottoms and sell tops. they may have stronger hands than retail---because they have deeper pockets---but they chase markets like everyone else.

Also, a judge will determine Tether’s case on January 15. Might this be Tether held in exchanges are traded quickly for bitcoin for safety?

nope, the 35k outflow came from coinbase, who doesn't support USDT.

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January 04, 2021, 08:19:58 AM
 #7

To add some more meat to the BBQ, institutionals investors do not tend to behave as retail investors who are basically easily to fool into the worst sneak oil scam. If they bought into btc so bad it's probably because they also got what it means to protect an asset from the enemy's eyes.
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January 05, 2021, 02:35:50 AM
 #8

I am very skeptical of this article. Institutional investors do not fomo buy similar to ordinary investors.

says who?

institutions aren't some mythical beings that only buy bottoms and sell tops. they may have stronger hands than retail---because they have deeper pockets---but they chase markets like everyone else.

Also, a judge will determine Tether’s case on January 15. Might this be Tether held in exchanges are traded quickly for bitcoin for safety?

nope, the 35k outflow came from coinbase, who doesn't support USDT.

Institutions hire traders who know what they are doing and do have a method for their trades. They do not fomo buy and cause the price to move up very fast that would also cause slippage.

What outflow? Can you give me a source on this?

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January 05, 2021, 03:17:58 AM
 #9

Institutions hire traders who know what they are doing and do have a method for their trades. They do not fomo buy and cause the price to move up very fast that would also cause slippage.

"fomo buying" doesn't have to imply market buying on an exchange. just because there was a 35k outflow from coinbase doesn't mean it was a market buy. it was likely done OTC. i was just implying that institutions get "fear of missing out" like everyone else, even if they are a bit more methodical about how they enter the market.

i also don't think the prospect of slippage will necessarily stop institutions from entering a market. coinbase disclosed that microstrategy's buys were done partially OTC and partially through third party brokers/exchanges.

What outflow? Can you give me a source on this?

check the OP. Wink

https://twitter.com/ki_young_ju/status/1345425421131649024

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January 06, 2021, 12:26:19 AM
 #10

@figmentofmyass. Sorry. I got lazy from reading all these different articles. I did not bother to look again.

In any case, you speculate institutions will fomo buy bitcoin on these high prices? They might be too smart for this. Dumping on the people is their job hehe. I do not think they will fomo buy to hold bitcoin at their own expense.

I am only being my skeptical self hehehe. People in the cryptospace can sometimes become very excited about anything to hype.

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January 06, 2021, 02:21:29 AM
 #11

What is interesting in this particular case is that all these BTCs actually remain in the possession of Coinbase - in other words they just move into their cold wallets. From the perspective of those of us who know what Bitcoin really is, it seems a bit ridiculous - but when it comes to security it may be better to be taken care of by professionals - I'm sure most of these big investors wouldn't be good at it.

As for FOMO, I think many of them missed the right opportunities if they only now decided to invest, as if BTC was created only last year. Message to everyone who has BTC in their possession, don’t sell it at these low prices, because if they are willing to pay over $30k now ask yourself how much it is actually worth.
Yeah. It is surprising thay they are the one chasing those that's left in the circulation with a different and higher price when there were a lot of chances before that they can buy it cheaply. Maybe they know something that there's gonna be a bitcoin rush sooner or later.

It may be only them that knows it but us, we knew what is waiting for bitcoin in the nearest future and they've just realized it lately and wasted those moments when it's best to buy.

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January 06, 2021, 10:16:44 AM
 #12

Bitcoin is slowly becoming an asset accepted by institutional investors as a long-term investment and I think we should focus on the long-term.
It's not like the 2017 frenzy when the retail world was running the show. Now we are at war with a financial world that has much more money and power than us, so hold your coins tight. This is just the beginning.
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January 07, 2021, 04:12:20 AM
 #13

@Karartma1. Do you really assume that institutional investors are buying bitcoin presently on where its price is? This might be the bubble stage and buying now is gambling that it might pump more. Institutional investors do not behave like this.

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January 07, 2021, 06:04:31 AM
 #14

@Karartma1. Do you really assume that institutional investors are buying bitcoin presently on where its price is? This might be the bubble stage and buying now is gambling that it might pump more. Institutional investors do not behave like this.

the stock market is in a bubble too. it's been making nonstop ATHs for years. who do you think is the driving force behind that? institutions, of course! Wink

institutions do not only buy at the bottom of bear markets---i dunno why you are clinging to that assumption. they buy whatever is going up. and bitcoin is performing better than every other asset on the market.

several institutions (skybridge, ruffer, microstrategy, etc) recently said they were buying in november/december. give it a few weeks and another big name will drop. just wait.

Quote
“We are seeing institutional capital flowing in at the fastest pace in the history of our business, and it is being deployed by some of the world’s largest institutions and some of the most famous investors,” Michael Sonnenshein, managing director at Grayscale Investments, told CNBC in a phone interview Friday. Flows into Grayscale’s publicly traded Bitcoin Trust have increased roughly 6x from a year ago, he said.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/18/new-bitcoin-investors-buying-20-million-or-more-have-flooded-into-crypto-this-year-as-the-price-so.html

2 weeks ago they were diving into the market. you think that's suddenly changed because the price went up?

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January 07, 2021, 07:47:15 AM
 #15

@figmentofmyass. However, look at the chart. This appears to be very similar to a bubble ready to burst. Similar to the 2 bubbles bitcoin has witnessed in the past. You reckon institutions would take that risk by buying today? Also, if the market is really manipulated by them, would it not he better to buy the bottom and manipulate it to sell during the height of the pump?

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January 07, 2021, 09:51:48 AM
 #16

@figmentofmyass. However, look at the chart. This appears to be very similar to a bubble ready to burst. Similar to the 2 bubbles bitcoin has witnessed in the past. You reckon institutions would take that risk by buying today? Also, if the market is really manipulated by them, would it not he better to buy the bottom and manipulate it to sell during the height of the pump?
Like figmentofmyass already explained, I think they can sustain whatever price levels they want. Before the covid19 crash that happened in March, wall street was in a bubble too and it popped. Nonetheless, here it is at those prices again without any actual link to what's happening in the economy.
Maybe bitcoin price is going up to a certain point and then it will magically pop because of some unforeseen (or carefully planned) black swan.
I have 100% confidence in bitcoin as an asset and as a technology but I don't trust what drives the market right now.
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January 07, 2021, 01:22:04 PM
Last edit: January 07, 2021, 06:00:16 PM by cr1776
 #17

@figmentofmyass. However, look at the chart. This appears to be very similar to a bubble ready to burst. Similar to the 2 bubbles bitcoin has witnessed in the past. You reckon institutions would take that risk by buying today? Also, if the market is really manipulated by them, would it not he better to buy the bottom and manipulate it to sell during the height of the pump?
Like figmentofmyass already explained, I think they can sustain whatever price levels they want. Before the covid19 crash that happened in March, wall street was in a bubble too and it popped. Nonetheless, here it is at those prices again without any actual link to what's happening in the economy.
Maybe bitcoin price is going up to a certain point and then it will magically pop because of some unforeseen (or carefully planned) black swan.
I have 100% confidence in bitcoin as an asset and as a technology but I don't trust what drives the market right now.

Is it a bubble?  Maybe.  I do recall though that every single new high - $0.30, dollar parity, $10, $30, $100, $1000 and gold parity, $2000, $10000, $20000 - was also called a bubble.  Every time people said it was a bubble.  Even dollar parity, because it was a "ponzi", "wasn't secure", etc.  Really, I think that there were at least 10-12 times when people have said it was a bubble that I've noticed.  It has been much more than 2 bubbles though.  Each time may have been a bubble at the time, but for longer term, it didn't matter.  Some people called the guy who bought the pizza for Laszlo stupid for doing it in payment for bitcoin because it was worthless - many others thought it was great.  (Now the reverse is true calling Laszlo stupid for doing it, but he is anything but stupid.)

Remember EVERY time is different than the last.  This time institutional buying is more long term than trading, e.g. things like short term trading on Coinbase/Coinbase Pro/Gemini vs MSTR, Square, Galaxy, MassMutual, Guggenheim, and of course, GBTC (which is in turn owned by places like ARK, Kinetics, etc.)  From what I've read, these are long term holders looking for diversification.   Would they panic sell?  Perhaps, but much less likely than leveraged traderson any of the trading platforms or people in 2017 who were trying to make a quick buck and then panicked.  This adds stability to the fiat price and also decreases supply for sale which alone will increase the fiat price, let alone the halving last year, and the increase in demand.

Sure each time people were saying "bubble" there was volatility, but likewise each time there was an order of magnitude or 2 growth in fiat price and then it came down some, but nowhere near back to the earlier prices.  It then ended up retracing back to the next high.  

I have said it before, but anyone who has bought and held over the past 11 years has done great.  Even buying during the $1000 bubble, or the $30 bubble etc.  

Likewise, each year that bitcoin survives makes it much more likely it won't collapse.  2010, 2011, collapse was possible, low in my opinion at the time, but possible.  With time, with each institution and each person involved that likelihood has dropped.  It is always still possible, but extremely unlikely now.





acquafredda (OP)
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January 07, 2021, 02:13:56 PM
Merited by cr1776 (1)
 #18

This was a great conversation and I am glad many of you follow the press board.
One thing I know is that, as cr1776 stressed, this time is completely different. We have never been here before, there are so many new players in this game that I am sure nobody knows what it is going to happen.
If these price levels will be sustained we will know that institutional investors are here to stay. If not, fasten your seat belt in any case.
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January 08, 2021, 01:27:22 AM
 #19

@figmentofmyass. However, look at the chart. This appears to be very similar to a bubble ready to burst. Similar to the 2 bubbles bitcoin has witnessed in the past. You reckon institutions would take that risk by buying today? Also, if the market is really manipulated by them, would it not he better to buy the bottom and manipulate it to sell during the height of the pump?
Like figmentofmyass already explained, I think they can sustain whatever price levels they want. Before the covid19 crash that happened in March, wall street was in a bubble too and it popped. Nonetheless, here it is at those prices again without any actual link to what's happening in the economy.
Maybe bitcoin price is going up to a certain point and then it will magically pop because of some unforeseen (or carefully planned) black swan.
I have 100% confidence in bitcoin as an asset and as a technology but I don't trust what drives the market right now.

They can sustain whatever price levels they want? Where would all the unlimited money supply to sustain it come from? How would this not affect inflation? What you say is not logical.

Also, we have already witnessed financial bubbles burst because it cannot be sustained. 2007 housing bubble, 2014 and 2017 bitcoin bubbles and few other financial bubbles in history. Read them.

@cr1776. However, if you looked at the chart, does this stage of bitcoin’s price not look like in a stage of a bubble? Is this sustainable? Are the institutional investors’ funds unlimited to sustain this trajectory?

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January 08, 2021, 07:20:26 AM
 #20

Where do you think the printed money goes? It certainly doesn't go in my pockets, let alone in yours.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CURRCIR
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m0
Yes, it's logical to me: the more they print the more they sustain the crippling economy.
You're right on one thing though: where the heck is inflation?
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