Three millionth account registered

[icopress]

In May 2017, we celebrated the first million users, which is almost 8 years after the launch of the forum. Looking back, some of us may remember the discussion dedicated to the anniversary 2 millionth user who was registered on 03/04/2018. And although it was an alternative account, this does not negate the fact that it was a historical moment when we summed up the results and looked into the future with enthusiasm.

• At the time of this posting, 2,999,089 profiles have been registered and I expect the Three Millionth User to be registered within 24 hours.

This is the anniversary thread and the continuation of the discussion started by Vod...... Are you ready for 2,000,000? / Below are a few anniversary quotes ..

Sorry if it sounds VERY ironic that an alt has been the 2000000th account on this platform, but there are quite a few things that I have to tell you all, possibly a new post will be better. I started as a small BTC speculative investor and cared little about the tech, I then became a shitposting Bounty Hunter. But over the months I've come to realize that it's much more than being either of them. I am trying to learn about the technology, not only BTC, but also the alts. I feel that the socio-economic impact/aspect of this revolution will be far more reaching than just the tech and it is yet to come, although I still am a noob and monetize my original account (can't help it, the pay is lucrative); I try to improve my posts and contribute to the community in  the small ways that I can.

Hi guys, I am glad to take the uid #1999999.

[1714997369]

1714997369

[1714997369]

1714997369

[1714997369]

1714997369

[1714997369]

1714997369

[icopress]

I believe many will try to register this coveted three millionth ID, so if you suddenly decide, remember that the name "Three Millionth Loser" is already taken.

- And by the way, below you can see a more accurate forecast presented by tranthidung.

So if this parameter (new daily members) won't break it record in 2021 at 11413, the forum will need more than 24 hours (~ 1.47 days) to hit the 3th million users.

[Vod]

• At the time of this posting, 2,999,089 profiles have been registered and I expect the Three Millionth User to be registered within 24 hours.

You trying to ninja sneak merits?   2,999,089 is not 3,000,000.  Let's wait for the proper thread.  

OK, I merited you - but only because you linked to a thread I had forgotten about.  lol

[icopress]

You trying to ninja sneak merits?   2,999,089 is not 3,000,000.  Let's wait for the proper thread.  

OK, I merited you - but only because you linked to a thread I had forgotten about.  lol

Man, believe me, I'm not looking for merit ... This post was only to give impetus to the discussion, since, in my opinion, this event is a great opportunity to chat. And I honestly had no desire to necropostate in your thread because I was not sure how soon you would answer, (in case I would suggest changing the thread name).

[Vod]

Man, believe me, I'm not looking for merit ...

Dude, I believe you.  

You obviously put time and energy into the post, and it wasn't a simple post first for the merit type thread.  

I hope the  and the "lol" will show people I was just toying with a buddy.

(The two millionth profile is no longer active)

[RapTarX]

(The two millionth profile is no longer active)

But his main account is active- https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1074228
According to a feedback on that profile from ibminer, the account has been created by allahabadi and he was active in 13th January 2021.

Anyone planning to be the 3 millionth user?

[LoyceV]

Meanwhile on modlog:

Code:

Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973893
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973892
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973889
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973887
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973886
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973885
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973884
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973881
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973880
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973878
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973875
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973877
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2973873
Nuke user: N/A in topic #0 by member #2999146

Odds are user 3000000 will be a spammer too.

[icopress]

I hope the  and the "lol" will show people I was just toying with a buddy.

Knowing you, I can say that you are sometimes a little aggressive (depending on your mood, I suppose), and your "lol" can have different contexts, after all, not everyone is as thick-skinned as LoyceV...

You obviously put time and energy into the post, and it wasn't a simple post first for the merit type thread.  
(The two millionth profile is no longer active)

I saw .. And the millionth user is also unfortunately not active, As far as time goes, you're right, though I spend more time creating graphics than creating a post. p.s. Do not forget that you will soon have an anniversary 20,000 post, which I think should be dedicated to OgNasty.  

[allahabadi]

(The two millionth profile is no longer active)

But his main account is active- https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1074228
According to a feedback on that profile from ibminer, the account has been created by allahabadi and he was active in 13th January 2021.

Anyone planning to be the 3 millionth user?

The issue is that I've lost my password... 🥺

[Vod]

I can say that you are sometimes a little aggressive (depending on your mood, I suppose)

True that.   But at least the reason was identified.  Who likes waking up to messages like this?. 

Do not forget that you will soon have an anniversary 20,000 post, which I think should be dedicated to ...

Leaving scammers behind; I only was interested in the big one that was attacking my family.   I have nice plans for 20k post, but you just swiped the merit I would have got from announcing it!

   <-- means I'm joking about the last part.

[jamyr]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats

Total members = 2983267

??

Total members == to number of registered users correct?

[Vod]

More reasons to add ~icopress to your trust list.  

While waiting for the 3,000,000th user, I missed my 300th day on the forum.  
(Ok, I guess I could not have spent 26 hours online since his post seven hours ago.  My bad.)

Total time logged in: 301 days, 1 hours and 53 minutes.

Next stop:  One year of my life here reading/writing.  (And I've never botted)

[icopress]

Total members = 2983267
Total members == to number of registered users correct?

These statistics do not include deleted accounts, of which there are currently 16,117. So if we sum up all archived profiles, inactive and active, we get "Largest profile on Bitcointalk", (2,177,346+651,889+170,047=2,999,282). I suspect deleted profiles are merged with archived ones ... (clarification). In any case, on the bpip website, you can view not only statistics, but use many other interesting features.

Edited: Wow, it's good that someone quickly realized their mistake ^[****0] .... But I managed to read it and I can say that then the numbers do not converge. Bpip displays 5 columns related to accounts (and as far as I know, deleted accounts did not violate general numerology in any way). Therefore, I concluded that remote profiles should be included in either "Archived Profiles", "Inactive Profiles" or "Active Profiles" (which is unlikely).

[tranthidung]

About plots

• The two plots show how people are more actively creating new users on the forum especially since December 2020.
• You can easily see this fact from how the boxes explode in the last 3 months (November 2020 to January 2021 - incomplete month).
• They are mainly or partially come from the SEO-attacks.
• The last plot (for 2020 only) gives a better visual view, after excludes the extraordinary upsurge in January 2021

As of writing, the forum has 2983322 members totally, according to Stats center

Now, let's go to some available stats and small estimation.

• Required new members to hit 3th million record: 16678.
• In median of 16 days in January of 2021 (p50 value in the raw result table): there is 1911 new members daily. The max value is 11413.
• So if this parameter (new daily members) won't break it record in 2021 at 11413, the forum will need more than 24 hours (~ 1.47 days) to hit the 3th million users.
• If it fluctuates around the median (1911), it might takes up to 8.73 days (~ 9 days) with the range of estimation based on interquartile range (939 to 4893 that are p25 and p75 values respectively) will be 3.41 days to 17.8 days.
• To recap, there is a 50% that it would take the forum from 3.41 days to 17.8 days (based on the interquartile range) to hit 3th million member record. The most likely waiting time is 8.73 days (based on the median)

Code:

Summary for variables: n_mem
     by categories of: m 

        m |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   2020m7 |      30.0     379.6      48.6     386.0     351.0     402.0     277.0     501.0
   2020m8 |      31.0     395.6      85.3     386.0     333.0     423.0     284.0     660.0
   2020m9 |      30.0     393.4      70.8     406.5     342.0     454.0     256.0     510.0
  2020m10 |      31.0     416.9     166.2     372.0     338.0     429.0     266.0    1018.0
  2020m11 |      30.0     588.2     193.3     507.0     428.0     703.0     384.0    1014.0
  2020m12 |      31.0    1886.3    1549.2    1483.0    1003.0    2424.0     554.0    9060.0
   2021m1 |      16.0    3153.4    3114.7    1911.0     939.0    4892.5     575.0   11413.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total |     199.0     879.2    1357.8     424.0     369.0     740.0     256.0   11413.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

How about daily new posts?

In contrast to daily new members, the statistic for total of daily new posts reached its peak in December 2020, not in January of 2021. Below are some plots and stats. Data interpretation can make in the same way above.

Possible reasons:

• New members (spammers) are faster dectected and nuked in Jan 2021, so they can not abuse as long as in December 2020.
• Those members are created and currently inactive, to prepare for future spam attacks.

Raw results

Code:

Summary for variables: n_posts
     by categories of: m 

        m |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   2020m7 |      30.0    6382.6     586.7    6477.5    6175.0    6724.0    5091.0    7534.0
   2020m8 |      31.0    6270.6     283.6    6299.0    6068.0    6460.0    5606.0    6820.0
   2020m9 |      30.0    6290.3     527.1    6259.0    5888.0    6659.0    5477.0    7628.0
  2020m10 |      31.0    6498.0     513.7    6445.0    6134.0    6840.0    5462.0    7909.0
  2020m11 |      30.0    7556.1     642.0    7647.0    7238.0    8006.0    5756.0    8621.0
  2020m12 |      31.0    8554.2    1310.5    8176.0    7633.0    9161.0    6738.0   11538.0
   2021m1 |      16.0    7902.0     743.1    7747.5    7287.0    8106.5    7133.0    9653.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total |     199.0    7006.6    1119.5    6718.0    6247.0    7633.0    5091.0   11538.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Details

Code:

     +-----------------------------+
     |      date   n_mem   n_posts |
     |-----------------------------|
185. | 01jan2021    5871      7840 |
186. | 02jan2021    1891      7294 |
187. | 03jan2021    3914      9653 |
188. | 04jan2021    2481      9331 |
189. | 05jan2021    2121      8009 |
190. | 06jan2021    1699      7710 |
191. | 07jan2021    1624      7878 |
192. | 08jan2021    1252      8204 |
193. | 09jan2021    5951      7661 |
194. | 10jan2021    7917      7133 |
195. | 11jan2021     576      7280 |
196. | 12jan2021     612      7785 |
197. | 13jan2021     626      7207 |
198. | 14jan2021     575      7268 |
199. | 15jan2021   11413      8662 |
200. | 16jan2021    1931      7517 |
     +-----------------------------+

Recent rises and spikes from daily new members, daily new posts, and woke-up cases probably come from same or different companies. The common thing is they come from spammers or people want to do attacks on the forum, try to compromise the forum for their own jobs.

• See details for woke-up cases

[RapTarX]

Who registered the three millionth account?

[ShowOff]

Who registered the three millionth account?

Here it is, I think this user is not sleeping because he is waiting for the right time to register himself as a user of three million. Unique ID for the bitcointalk forum account.




1. One million users

2. Two million users

3. Three million users

I'm sure the bitcoin community will continue to grow and so will the number of users of this forum. 11 years 2 months ago(±) was when the first account was registered in the forum (admin). Congratulations to the incredible number of users.

[aoluain]

 

I believe many will try to register this coveted three millionth ID, so if you suddenly decide, remember that the name "Three Millionth Loser" is already taken.

- And by the way, below you can see a more accurate forecast presented by tranthidung.

So if this parameter (new daily members) won't break it record in 2021 at 11413, the forum will need more than 24 hours (~ 1.47 days) to hit the 3th million users.

...and Three Millionth Loser  

[icopress]

Congratulate everyone! We have finally crossed the 3 million registration mark!

...and Three Millionth Loser  

It's very ironic, isn't it? Especially considering that this username was registered under number 2999999. 
And hopefully Three Millionth User will answer soon on this thread .. Although I think it's someone's alt.

[RapTarX]

Congratulate everyone! We have finally crossed the 3 million registration mark!

...and Three Millionth Loser  

It's very ironic, isn't it? Especially considering that this username was registered under number 2999999. 
And hopefully Three Millionth User will answer soon on this thread .. Although I think it's someone's alt.

There were a few attempts I guess and someone saw this username and thought they were late to register the three millionth account. See the 2999998th user- 3 Millionth User
I planned earlier to register but forgot as I was busy with other things.

[The Sceptical Chymist]

You trying to ninja sneak merits?   2,999,089 is not 3,000,000.  Let's wait for the proper thread.  

Lol, I merited him because even if the 3 millionth member mark hasn't been hit yet (perhaps by now it has), this thread made me aware of how many registered users there actually are--it's a fact that I don't really care about, but when it hits a level that high it's sort of interesting.

Too bad it's just a large number and doesn't at all reflect on the quality of the membership on the forum.  So many accounts are alts or inactive or are just straight-up shitposters that 3 million is completely inflated if you compare it to the number of members active right now who don't just drop spam like they're throwing a bottle of piss from their car onto the highway.  You know what I mean even if I'm not expressing it correctly.

As it stands, it's the lowest numbers that are the ones to be the proudest of.