Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's November 21 - 25 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

• Why is gold going up?
• NZD at 3-month highs
• COVID outbreak in China, oil finds support
• Bitcoin hits new year low amid rumors of another high-profile bankruptcy.

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.



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Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

[FXOpen Trader]

Crypto lender's demise sends fears into digital markets


The unsurprising fall out from the catastrophic and high profile demise of cryptocurrency exchange FTX has begun to make its presence felt.

At the end of the working day in the United States, it became publicly known that BlockFi, a commercial lending company which was founded in 2017 to provide credit services to markets with limited access to simple financial products, had gone bankrupt.

At one point in its five-year lifespan, BlockFi was valued at an astronomical $3 billion, however, like so many components of the modern economy, BlockFi has gone from startup to billion-dollar hyperbole, to ashes in just 5 years.

BlockFi announced earlier this month that it had halted withdrawals, citing “significant exposure” to the FTX exchange in the immediate aftermath of its demise. What that really means is that BlockFi had borrowed money from FTX, and when FTX went to the wall, BlockFi's assets became the interest of receivers.

This has represented yet another dark day for the digital asset sector, and this time has highlighted how it is not just cryptocurrency exchanges with unscrupulous owners that can collapse like a house of cards, but also others offering bona fide financial services such as lending, which can have their lives claimed because the board of directors put its faith in individuals such as Sam Bankman-Fried.

The result of this news is that Bitcoin had dipped in value once again over night, but interestingly it is now rising in value as the European markets opened this morning.

Bitcoin now stands at just a touch over $16,450, but certainly there has been some volatile movement this morning due to the 'sailing close to the wind' nature that BlockFi has demonstrated.

It may well be easy to blame BlockFi's demise on its dealings with FTX, but actually BlockFi had already shown signs of financial strife before Mr Bankman-Fried headed for the hills with his customers' money.

Back in the summer of this year, BlockFi ran into financial trouble and managed to secure a $250 million emergency funding from FTX.

Because BlockFi owed FTX this sum, the receivers moved in on BlockFi when FTX went bankrupt. At that time, Mark Renzi of Berkley Research Group stated in a corporate announcement “With the collapse of FTX, the BlockFi management team and board of directors immediately took action to protect clients and the Company.”

BlockFi revealed in its Chapter 11 petition that its three largest creditor claims are a $729 million indenture from Ankura Trust, a distressed loan administration company, a $275 million loan from West Realm Shires, the holding company for FTX’s US subsidiary, as well as a $30 million settlement payment to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Big debts and a big bankruptcy. The question remains, is it a buyers market right now, or are the bears still out in force?

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 29th NOV 2022


BTCUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $15510

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 15510 on 21st Nov, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar crossing the $16500 handle today in the European trading session.

The price of bitcoin continues to rise after the recent crash and now we are looking to cross the $17000 handle soon.

We can see the formation of bullish engulfing lines in the daily time frame.

The CCI indicator is giving a bullish divergence signal in the daily time frame.

We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $15510 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16124 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 16536 in the European trading session today.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 63 indicating a STRONG demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and 200 hourly exponential moving average.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17000 and 17500.

The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a strong bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: a bullish reversal seen above $15510
• The Williams percent range is indicating an overbought level
• The price is now trading above its pivot level of $16509
• All of the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY market signal

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $15510


We can now see that the price of Bitcoin is moving in a strong bullish momentum and we are expecting more upside waves this week.

The Williams percent range indicator is back over -50 indicating a bullish scenario in the daily time frame.

The MACD has crossed UP its moving average in the 4-hour time frame indicating bullish trends.

We can see the formation of a bullish price crossover pattern with an adaptive moving average AMA100 in the 4-hour time frame.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the support of the channel in the 15-minute time frame indicating a bullish trend.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16155 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 20%.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 16536 and Fibonacci resistance level of 16550 after which the path towards 17000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 1.92% by 310$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 26.099 billion. We can see an increase of 3.95% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

The price of Bitcoin is expected to enter the super bullish zone above the $17000 handle. There is an ascending channel forming with current support at $15510 on the hourly chart of BTCUSD.

We can see that the MACD indicator is back over zero in the 2-hour time frame indicating the bullish scenario present in the markets.

The daily RSI is printing at 41 which indicates a weaker demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17113 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 50%.

The weekly outlook is projected at $17500 with a consolidation zone of $17000.

Technical Indicators:

The moving averages convergence divergence, MACD (12,26): is at 48.30 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at 93.27 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 1.537 indicating a BUY

The bull/bear power (13): is at 217.36 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Bitcoin responds positively as Brazil welcomes crypto payments


Within Latin America, Brazil has for many years been a burgeoning economic force.

It is a large nation with a diversified economy, ranging from manufacturing and engineering to banking and tertiary services and is part of the all-important BRICS (Brazil, India, China, South Africa) economic bloc.

Like all other nations in South America, Brazil is a developing economy, but it has been rapidly developing and is far ahead of all of the other national economies in the continent.

Today, Brazil's government has taken a very prominent step forward in announcing that the country's lawmakers have approved a bill which regulates Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a payment instrument.

Investors appear to have responded well to the news, as Bitcoin began to pump almost immediately, followed by a short squeeze and then it pumped again.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $16,876.80, which is a 2.68% increase over yesterday's value. That may not sound very much on the face of it, but Bitcoin values have been very stagnant recently, so a 2.68% increase when viewed on the chart is quite significant.

Private individuals and businesses have a lot to gain from the new ruling which allows cryptocurrency to be used as a method of payment, because South American economies for many decades now have been synonymous with rampant inflation, draconian capital control laws causing people to lose their money when it depreciates, and in many countries in South America, a deep-seated distrust in the local banking infrastruture or government policy.

Around 10 years ago, neighboring Argentina ordered the liquidation of US Dollar bank accounts held in North America by Argentinian citizens, and that the US Dollars should be repatriated to Argentina and converted to Pesos. At the same time, capital controls were invoked so that nobody could transfer their Pesos out of the country without government permission.

This meant that anyone who adhered to that rule would be at grave risk of substantial loss due to a terrible conversion rate and then having to store Pesos which are notorious for depreciating at the rate of an iron girder falling off a cliff.

At that time, Bitcoin was in its absolute infancy, and still very much an unknown quantity. It had a tiny following of enthusiasts and 1 Bitcoin was worth something like $50, however a core group of Argentinian enthusiasts began to rally the cause of Bitcoin, largely because they saw it as an independent method of conducting their everyday life without the restrictions and inflationary chaos associated with Peso.

Now, many years later, Bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies are very established globally, and South America's largest economy is opening its doors to them.

If this paves the way for greater acceptance across the South American continent, it could well be a boon for citizens as well as for the cryptocurrency market itself.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 01st DEC, 2022


ETHUSD: Piercing Pattern Above $1151

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1151 on 23rd Nov, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar crossing the $1300 handle today in the Asian trading session.

After touching $1300 handle we can see some downward correction in the levels of Ethereum which is expected to enter into a consolidation phase now.

We can see the formation of bullish engulfing lines in the 2-hour time frame.

We can clearly see a piercing pattern above the $1151 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of 1284 and is moving into a consolidation channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1290 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1296 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 67 indicating a STRONG demand for Ether and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

We can see both the bullish harami and bullish harami cross pattern in the 15-minute time frame.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels, which means that the prices are expected to decline in the short-term range.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal and we are now looking at the levels of $1300 to $1350 in the short-term range.

ETH is now trading above its 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1151 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1200 level
• The average true range is indicating HIGH market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1151


ETHUSD is now moving into a mildly bullish channel with the prices trading above the $1200 handle in the European trading session today.

ETH is now preparing to enter into a consolidation phase above the $1250 handle, after which fresh upside waves are expected.

ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1304 in the Asian trading session and an intraday low of 1277 in the European trading session today.

We can see a bullish trend reversal signal with adaptive moving averages AMA20 and AMA50 in the 15-minute time frame.

The resistance of the channel is broken in the daily time frame indicating a bullish trend.

The daily RSI is printing at 52 indicating a neutral demand for Ether in the long-term range.

The key support levels to watch are $1202 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 70% and $1211 at which price crosses 18 day moving average.

ETH has increased by 1.19% with a price change of 15.13$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 7.849 billion USD.

We can see a decrease of 2.57% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH price continues to remain under bullish pressure and after the current consolidation wave is over, we can expect fresh upsides in the ranges of $1300 and $1400 this week.

We can see the formation of a major bullish trendline in place from $1151 towards $1295 levels.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The price of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $1208 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1400 with a consolidation zone of $1350.

Technical Indicators:

The relative strength index (14): is at 67.69 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change: is at 9.65 indicating a BUY

The bull/bear power (13): is at 46.55 indicating a BUY

The high/lows (14): is at 33.40 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's November 28 - December 2 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

• How energy markets are reacting to the COVID surge in China
• GBP rises to 1.21 against USD in bizarre twist
• Brazil to legalize cryptocurrencies   
• The US dollar suffers biggest fall in 12 years.

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Brent Crude Oil is on the up as G7 price cap deals blow


The price of Brent Crude oil is once again on the rise, after a slow and steady decline during early to mid November bottomed out at $76.28 per barrel on November 26.

Since then, the price has been increasing, and today Brent Crude Oil (WTI) is trading at $81.41 per barrel which is a two week high.

This could partly be down to the price cap for oil purchases from Russia having been set by the European Union at $60 per barrel.

This was set late last week in the form of a limit on the price of Russian seaborne crude and therefore constrain revenues the Kremlin makes from the commodity.

However, the market price of crude oil was at the time around $79 per barrel, meaning that the Russian oil companies refused to sell oil to European Union member states which adhered to this price cap, because it is far below the market value.

As a result, demand increased as the potential supply of crude oil to Europe could be affected by the price cap in which European oil purchasers would be expected to adhere to a policy of paying approximately $20 per barrel less than market value for oil imported from Russian oil giants, an offer which of course has been declined by said oil giants as there is no way they will sell oil to commercial clients for three quarters of its real value.

At the end of last week, Russian energy industry had issued a warning that an oil price cap could wreak havoc on the energy markets and push commodity prices even higher. They weren't wrong.

According to an official document from the European Union, this price limit would be subject to regular review in order to monitor its market ramifications. The document stated that the price should be “at least 5% below the average market price" however the $60 that the cap is currently set at is more than 20% less than the average market value of crude oil.

Given that Russia is an OPEC nation and one of its major national industries is the extraction, refinement and export of raw materials for energy generation, there is no likelihood that Russian energy firms would accept this price for oil products.

The raw materials that the Russian economy relies so heavily on are consumable commodities, traded on global exchanges and with the ability to be used as collateral to back economic asset classes and against national debts. These are liquid gold and therefore will be valued and treated as such.

Volatility in the oil market is here once again.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 06th DEC 2022


BTCUSD: Inverted Hammer Pattern Above $16009

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 16009 on 28th Nov, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar crossing the $17000 handle on 06th Dec.

We have seen a continued escalation in the prices of bitcoin due to the increasing global demands and buying at lower levels.

The resistance of the channel is broken in the 15-minute time frame indicating bullish trends.

We can see a bullish trend reversal pattern with the adaptive moving averages, AMA5, in the 15-minute time frame, and AMA20 in the 30-minute time frame.

We can clearly see an inverted hammer pattern above the $16009 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an Intraday low of 16924 and an intraday high of 17098 in the Asian trading session today.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 50 indicating a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin, and the shift towards the consolidation channel in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and its 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 18000 and 18500.

The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a mildly bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16009
• The Williams percent range is indicating an overbought level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $17093
• Some of the moving averages are giving a BUY market signal

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16009


We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bullish momentum and we are expecting moves towards the consolidation phase before any upwards rebound this week.

The RSI indicator is back over 50 indicating a bullish scenario in the daily time frame.

The ichimoku – bullish crossover: tenkan & kijun pattern is seen in the daily time frame indicating bullish trends.

We can see the formation of an inverted hammer / white gravestone pattern in the weekly time frame.

The price of bitcoin has crossed the $17000 handle today ranging near to a three-week High.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16716 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 17300 and Fibonacci resistance level of 17627 after which the path towards 18000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs BTCUSD has decreased by 1.85% by 320$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 18.733 billion. We can see a decrease of 12.48% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

The price of Bitcoin is expected to enter the super bullish zone above the $17000 handle. There is an ascending channel forming with current support at $16395 on the hourly chart of BTCUSD.

We are now preparing to enter the super bullish zone in bitcoin and the prices are expected to gain 100% from the current market levels of $17000 towards $34000 in the starting of next year.

We can see a continuous progression of a bullish trend line formation from $16009 towards the $17169 levels.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 which indicates a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17810 at which the price crosses 18-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $18500 with a consolidation zone of $18000.

Technical Indicators:

The average directional index, ADX (14): is at 27.55 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at 84.15 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 4.84 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 410.57 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

S&P500 closes lower for fourth day as recession fears bite


The S&P500 index closed yesterday at its lowest point in four days following a steady decline as investors in American stocks concern themselves with the possibilities of a recession.

The prestigious index which contains some of Wall Street's most heralded blue chip giants lost 1.44% to close at 3,941.26, while the Nasdaq Composite sank 2% to finish at 11,014.89. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 350.76 points, or 1.03%, to settle at 33,596.34.

The majority of the losses in this week's retraction in US stock values have been caused by bank stocks as well as shares in some media companies, which is perhaps in line with the concern about exposure to unserviceable debt by individuals and businesses should a recession bite.

Investment banks are taking a cautious stance, and Morgan Stanley this week released news that it plans to make redundancies amounting to approximately 2% of its workforce, and whilst inflation in the United States has actually decreased and is now standing at around 7.7%, it is well over 10 in the UK and in some parts of Europe, where many large American corporations have substantial operations and have to fork out more capital to keep pace with the increasing price of everything from materials to logistical costs and wages.

When considering yesterday's declines, the S&P is now down 3.2% this week and the NASDAQ has decreased in value by 3.9%.

The Federal Reserve is still looking at interest rates and has taken a very conservative approach, but it appears that analysts and investors have not ruled out the possibility of a recession taking place across the United States in 2023, even if it is not likely to be to the same extent as the impending recessions in Europe and the United Kingdom.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 08th DEC, 2022


ETHUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $1218

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1211 on 07th Dec, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar moving into a consolidation channel above the $1200 handle today in the European trading session.

We can see the formation of a bullish harami pattern in the 15-minute time frame indicating a bullish trend.

The Williams percent range indicator is back over -50 in the 2-hour time frame.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $1218 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of 1232 and moving into a consolidation channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1234 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1235 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 53 indicating a NEUTRAL demand for Ether and the continuation of the consolidation phase in the markets.

We can see both the bullish harami and bullish harami cross pattern in the daily time frame.

Both the relative strength index and the average directional index are indicating neutral levels, which means that the prices are expected to remain in a narrow range in the short-term range.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal and we are now looking at the levels of $1300 to $1400 in the short-term range.

ETH is now trading below its 100 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1218 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1200 levels
• The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1218


ETHUSD is now moving into a mild bullish channel with the price trading above the $1200 handle in the European trading session today.

ETH is now preparing to enter into a consolidation phase above the $1230 handle, after which fresh upside waves are expected.

ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1234 and an intraday low of 1223 in the Asian trading session today.

We have seen a bullish opening in the markets this week.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 indicating a neutral demand for Ether in the long-term range.

The key support levels to watch are $1191, which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 50%, and $1215 at which price crosses 18 Day Moving Average.

ETH has increased by 0.09% with a price change of 1.07$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 4.698 billion USD.

We can see a decrease of 24.01% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be Normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH price continues to remain under mild bullish pressure and the prices are expected to remain in a bullish traction this week.

After the current wave of consolidation gets over, we are expecting fresh buying pressure above the $1200 handle which will push the price above the $1300 level.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The price of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $1199 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1400 with a consolidation zone of $1350.

Technical Indicators:

The relative strength index (14): is at 53.20 indicating a NEUTRAL.

The STOCH (9,6): is at 69.01 indicating a BUY

The MACD (12,26): is at 0.350 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 1.498 indicating a BUY

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's December 5 - 9 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

• Brent Crude Oil is on the up as G7 price cap deals blow
• UK's recession bites again as pound dives to 1.22 against US Dollar
• The Pentagon signs a $9 billion contract
• S&P500 closes lower for fourth day as recession fears bite

Watch our short and informative video and stay updated with FXOpen.




FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Crypto winter continues big freeze with values as frosty as weather


The weather across parts of Northern Europe and the United Kingdom this week has suddenly turned, and even areas which are ordinarily not associated with snowfall have been covered in a white blanket for a few days.

Travel disruptions at airports have taken place, and a minus figure has been displayed on temperature gauges since Monday.

Finally the real winter weather is here, however the term 'crypto winter' has been in place for quite some time, despite the unusually warm weather during October and November, during which it was not uncommon to see people wearing summer clothes and sitting outside cafes.

The only real sign of winter in the unusually long and pleasant summer conditions was the use in the financial markets sector of the term 'crypto winter', which does not refer to seasons or weather conditions, but instead the 'frozen' values of cryptocurrencies in which prices contract and remain low for an extended period.

Well, now there is a seasonal winter and a crypto winter at the same time.

Bitcoin values once again took a tumble during the early hours of this morning, and by 7.20am UK time, had reached a low point of $17,125 per Bitcoin against the US Dollar.

Over the two hours which ensued, Bitcoin made some headway, increasing to $17,177 but that is still 0.21% down overall during today compared to yesterday.

Looking over the five day moving average, however, the dip in value appears to have been present for a longer period of time. On December 12, values plunged and did not recover until the middle of the morning on December 13, and a 0.44% reduction in value is displayed when charting Bitcoin's performance over the past five days.

Although we certainly still are well ensconced in the Crypto Winter scenario, things are a little brighter than they were last month however. The sun may have been shining across Europe but Bitcoin values were even lower than they are now.

Bitcoin has actually risen by over 5% in value over the course of the past 30 days, so the snow may have fallen and the winter clothes been suddenly put to use, but is this the beginning of the big thaw for the Crypto Winter?

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 15th DEC, 2022


ETHUSD: Three White Soldiers Pattern Above $1222

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1222 on 08th Dec, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar moving into a consolidation channel above the $1250 handle today in the European trading session.

We can see the formation of a bullish doji star pattern in the 1-hour time frame indicating bullish trends.

The commodity channel index indicator is giving a bullish divergence signal in the 1-hour time frame.

We can clearly see a three white soldiers pattern above the $1222 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1286 and is moving into a consolidation channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1287 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1288 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 48 indicating a NEUTRAL demand for Ether and the continuation of the consolidation phase in the markets.

The resistance of the channel is broken on the daily time frame.

The STOCHRSI is indicating an OVERBOUGHT level, which means that the prices are expected to decline in the short-term range.

Some of the technical indicators are giving a BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a NEUTRAL signal due to the market consolidation seen below the $1300 handle.

ETH is now trading below both the 100 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1222 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1250 level
• The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1222


ETHUSD is now moving into a consolidation/correction channel with the price trading below the $1300 handle in the European trading session today.

The prices of Ethereum are ranging near the support of the channel indicating bullish trends.

The MACD indicator is now giving a bullish divergence signal in the 30-minute time frame.

The price of Ethereum broke the $1300 level and then we can see some decline due to short selling of Ether which caused the dip below the $1300 level.

ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1314 and an intraday low of 1281 in the Asian trading session today.

We have seen a bullish opening in the markets this week.

The daily RSI is printing at 51 indicating a neutral demand for Ether in the long-term range.

The key support levels to watch are $1210 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 30%, and $1244 which is a 38.2% retracement from 4 Week High.

ETH has decreased by 2.50% with a price change of 33.04$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 8.409 billion USD.

We can see an increase of 0.58% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

The price of ETH has now entered into a consolidation/correction zone, and after this we are expecting fresh upside waves crossing the $1300 and $1400 levels.

ETHUSD continues to gain bullish traction from a weekly time frame from a 4-hour time frame with the bottom support located at $1075 touched on 22nd Nov.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The price of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $1243 at which the price crosses the 18-day moving average.

The resistance zone is located at $1291 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1350 with a consolidation zone of $1300.

Technical Indicators:

The Williams percent range: is at -24.78 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index (14): is at 62.01 indicating a BUY

High/Lows (14): is at 0.3436 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13): is at 0.6240 indicating a BUY

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's December 12 - 16 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

• Sudden gold price hike attracts speculative attention
• What the future holds for the Fed
• EUR/USD gains bullish momentum while USD/CHF dips further
• GBP makes remarkable gains as UK inflation slows, but it's still 10.7%

Watch our short and informative video and stay updated with FXOpen.




FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

FTSE 100 begins slow recovery from 1 month low


The FTSE 100 index , which is the index containing the 100 most prestigious companies on the London stock exchange plummeted to a one month low on Friday.

There has been some degree of volatility in that particular index during the course of the last 30 days, but overall it has been quite steady and fans back each day.

On Friday, December 16 however, it’s suddenly plunged to 7306, representing its lowest point by far in over 30 days.

Just three days earlier the FTSC 100 index was standing at a very healthy 7526 so to plunge more than 200 points in three days is quite a downward spiral.

Perhaps some of the reason, for it is actually short term rather than anything to do with an overall lingering knowledge that the UK economy is generally struggling and has been for some time.

In fact, some analysts are noting that this is more to do with strikes in the public sector which are taking place during the course of this week having started on Friday last week, which coincides with the sudden plunge of the FTSE 100 index, and that these public sector strikes which affect the logistics and civil service could impede the operations of large corporations.

This would make sense, because of course, everybody is already accustomed to the difficulty economic circumstances which surround the overall UK economy there for such circumstances, would not be likely to have caused the sudden downturn in share performance.

It is, therefore, perhaps, worth looking out for how the FTSE 100 index performs after the strikes have finished and a possible settlement with workers unions may well be reached.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 20th DEC 2022


BTCUSD: Bullish Harami Pattern Above $16325

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of $18360 on 14th Dec, the price started to decline against the US dollar coming down below the $16500 handle in the early Asian trading session today.

The price of bitcoin has since bounced back from its lows touching $16800 levels in the European Trading session today.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a bullish harami pattern above the $16325 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16322 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 16846 in the European trading session today.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with the adaptive moving average AMA20 and MA20 in the 4-hour time frame.

Both the RSI and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 75 indicating an OVERBOUGHT level for bitcoin, and the possibility of an immediate correction in the price towards the $16500 levels.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and below its 200 hourly exponential moving average.

All of the major technical Indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17000 and 18500.

The average true range is indicating high market volatility with a strong bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16325
• The Williams percent range is indicating an overbought level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $16822
• The short-term range is mildly bullish

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16325


We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bullish momentum, and we are expecting moves towards the $17000 levels before any market consolidation this week.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone of the markets.

We are now waiting for the next upwards leg above the $17500 handle which will push the prices towards the $18000 level.

The price of bitcoin is expected to enter into a super bullish zone after crossing the $18000 level.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16329 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 16862 and Fibonacci resistance level of 16885 after which the path towards 17500 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.28% by 47.59$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 21.646 billion. We can see an increase of 72.88% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which is due to heavy buying action seen at lower levels.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin’s price is gaining pace above the $16000 handle and might soon break the $17000 level for more gains above $18000.

The price of Bitcoin has failed to clear the resistance at $18360 and we are now again testing the $18000 level soon.

The start of the festive season with Christmas and New Year holidays might dampen the interest of the global investors, and we will have to wait for the New Year 2023.

The daily RSI is printing at 46 which indicates a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17789 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 13 week low.

The weekly outlook is projected at $18000 with a consolidation zone of $17500.

Technical Indicators:

The average directional index, ADX (14): is at 36.24 indicating a BUY

The ultimate oscillator: is at 58.98 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 1.246 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 144.44 indicating a BUY

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 22nd DEC, 2022


ETHUSD: Bullish Harami Pattern Above $1152

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1152 on 20th Dec, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar crossing the $1200 handle today in the European trading session.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a bullish harami pattern above the $1152 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1217 and moving into a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1221 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1224 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 59 indicating a strong demand for Ether and the continuation of the bullish phase in the markets.

We can see the formation of bullish engulfing lines in the 4-hour time frame.

Both the STOCHRSI and Williams percent range are indicating an overbought market, which means that the prices are expected to decline in the short-term range.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal and we are now looking at the levels of $1350 to $1400 in the short-term range.

ETH is now trading above its 100 & 200 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1152 mark
• Short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1200 level
• The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1152


ETHUSD is now moving into a mildly bullish channel with the price trading above the $1200 handle in the European trading session today.

ETH touched an intraday low of 1209 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 1220 in the European trading session today.

We can see that the price is back over the pivot point in the 4-hour time frame.

The parabolic SAR indicator is giving a bullish reversal signal in the 2-hour time frame.

The Ichimoku price is over the cloud in the 2-hour time frame indicating a bullish tone of the markets.

The price of Ethereum is marching towards a bullish zone against the US dollar and bitcoin. ETH/USD could continue to move higher back towards the $1400 level.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 indicating a NEUTRAL demand for Ether in the medium-term range.

The key support levels to watch are $1184 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls, and $1191 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 20%.

ETH has increased by 0.20% with a price change of 2.43$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 37.617 billion USD.

We can see a decrease of 29.77% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH’s price continues to remain in a bullish zone against the US dollar and bitcoin. ETHUSD is expected to move higher towards the $1300 and $1400 levels this week.

On the upside we are now looking at the immediate targets of 1303 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 13-week low, and 1372 which is a 50% retracement from 13-week high/low.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The price of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $1172 at which the price crosses 18-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1450 with a consolidation zone of $1350.

Technical Indicators:

The average directional index, ADX (14): is at 33.73 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change: is at 0.694 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 9.48 indicating a BUY

High/lows (14): is at 2.49 indicating a BUY

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

FXOpen 2022 Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson

The turbulent trading year of 2022 is soon coming to an end, therefore FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson has taken the chance to reflect on the major market events of the year. Watch now!

• Meta Platforms’ stock price dived in February
• Russia Invaded Ukraine
• USD/JPY Bullish Breakout
• Federal Reserve Delivers the Biggest Rate Hike Since 2000
• The UK Mini-Budget Sent the Pound Lower in September
• EUR/USD Dropped Below Parity
• US Midterm Elections Were a Concern
• US Stocks Bottomed in October But Remain Negative on the Year
• US Tech Sector Announced Major Layoffs in November

Watch our short and informative video and stay updated with FXOpen.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 27th DEC 2022


BTCUSD: Three White Soldiers Pattern Above $16323

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $16387 on 20th Dec, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar and are now ranging above the $16500 handle in the European trading session.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a three white soldiers pattern above the $16323 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16826 and an intraday high of 16970 in the Asian trading session today.

The prices are ranging near the support of the channel in the 1-hour time frame indicating a bullish tone of the markets.

Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 51 indicating a NEUTRAL level for bitcoin, and the shift towards the consolidation phase in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and below its 100 hourly exponential moving average.

Some of the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17000 and 18000.

The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a mildly bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16323
• The STOCHRSI is indicating an oversold level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $16881
• The short term range is mildly bullish

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16323


We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bullish momentum and we are expecting moves towards the $17000 level before any market consolidation this week.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone of the markets.

We are now waiting for the next upwards leg above the $17000 handle which will push the price towards the $18000 levels.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with adaptive moving averages AMA20 and AMA50 in the 30-minute time frame.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the support of the triangle in the 1-hour time frame indicating a bullish trend.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16374 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 16902 and Fibonacci resistance level of 16912 after which the path towards 17000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.08% by 14.24$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 12.985 billion. We can see an increase of 3.96% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin’s price is expected to remain in a consolidation phase before any major moves upwards due to the start of the holiday season, and trading volumes remain thin across the major cryptocurrency exchanges.

We are now looking for an upwards rally in the markets in 2023 with major targets at $20000 and $25000 levels.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 which indicates a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17175 which is a 50% retracement from a 4-week high/low and at $17765 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $17500 with a consolidation zone of $17000.

Technical Indicators:

The MACD (12,26): is at 6.40 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at -29.45 indicating a NEUTRAL

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 0.077 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 2.02 indicating a BUY

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

A Look Back Over 2022


The trading year ends in a couple of weeks from now, and everyone is planning for the holiday season. December, traditionally, is a short month for traders as markets slow down in the second half of the month.

As such, it is the best time to review what happened throughout the year, what moved financial markets, and what might happen in the period ahead.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.