different price movement this time

[veznata]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

[logfiles]

Based on the history of Bitcoin price after the halving event, so far, there's not any much difference from the past, and we could go through the same path. Price will reach all-time high, then drop and then start a new accumulation phase.
10-20% correction is too small if bear market begun to take place. Just the other week, Bitcoin dropped by almost 25% in 24 hours after a previous pump. Remember this is happening in the bullish phase.

[Kemarit]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

Everything has change already, bitcoin narrative is so different, we don't know if the 4 year cycle could still be applicable this 2021 or it could be a new cycle coming in because the whole landscape has change already.

What do you mean no choice? We have a options, to either sell and take profit and then re-invest and buy the dip, or simply hold for those who don't want to make things complicated on their end.

[Lorence.xD]

Based on the history of Bitcoin price after the halving event, so far, there's not any much difference from the past, and we could go through the same path. Price will reach all-time high, then drop and then start a new accumulation phase.
10-20% correction is too small if bear market begun to take place. Just the other week, Bitcoin dropped by almost 25% in 24 hours after a previous pump. Remember this is happening in the bullish phase.

The 2020 halving have a difference, the price increase persisted up to this day. With the involvement of institutional investors, the market will be different this time which is a good thing because predictability will lead to people getting less profit and making the market susceptible to manipulation.

[pooya87]

So far nothing has been different. The start of 2021 is very similar to the start of 2017, both cases the previous ATH was broken with many attempts and price slowly went up with 30% corrections on each turn.
That's not all, the bear markets have been similar too. The period between 2013 to 2017 is exactly like the period from 2017 to 2021.

If 2021 continues the same way that 2017 continued and price reaches $500k by the end of the year then we can expect the same bubble and bubble burst afterwards where price falls 80% to $100k and stays there in 2022 and starts rising back up again in 2023.
Otherwise if the rise slows down with more corrections and the $500k price is reached in a much longer time like until end of 2022 then the "cycle" can be broken for the first time in 12 years.

[DapanasFruit]

Based on the history of Bitcoin price after the halving event, so far, there's not any much difference from the past, and we could go through the same path. Price will reach all-time high, then drop and then start a new accumulation phase.
10-20% correction is too small if bear market begun to take place. Just the other week, Bitcoin dropped by almost 25% in 24 hours after a previous pump. Remember this is happening in the bullish phase.

So we can really safely say that even in a bullish phase, a big dump can still be possible though the difference is that it can only be brief and not for a prolonged period. This is just showing us that Bitcoin is really playing its volatile side to the max. I am always amazed looking at Bitcoin especially if we to consider those times when almost nothing was moving the right way and yet we are right now experiencing Bitcoin from one strength to another.

[mk4]

Yea, I'm pretty sure that at some point, the bitcoin price movement in a bull/bear market wouldn't be almost the same as the past bull/bear markets. It's pretty much inevitable. A better question is: when will it break the trend? I totally get the "this time it's different" argument because we have far more adoption today in terms of BTC as a SoV($MSTR, $TSLA, $SQ, etc), but still. It wouldn't guarantee that it will apply in the short-mid term. Time will tell.

[jrrsparkles]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

If bitcoin follows the same path forever then everyone can make money but it is impossible on the paper so the system will adapt to the change of investor's mindset and for sure then price of bitcoin will never become predictable in my opinion. Well, about the correction path I am somewhat agree because more the adoption then people will less likely to sell their chunk when a FUD started to roam which was previously resulted into panic selling situation.

[rodskee]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle.

What do you mean Cycle ? that this happens each after halving? butt hose recent days the price drops just after the New Year but now?

i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections

well it's not only 20% correction because from 41k price drops down to 27k level again weeks ago.

now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

6 digits is not that far because Bitcoin almost break half the value of that , Look this almost took 49,000 this week so what more now?

[Kocret02]

the potential for BTC to go higher is very much possible. now you can see the price of BTC has increased significantly. maybe for the next few years the price of BTC to be 6 digits is a hope that will definitely happen and it's not just a dream. so I think I am optimistic about the future price of BTC

[LogitechMouse]

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Cycles are common in any market but the 10-20% market correction with crypto?? That is too low and knowing that most of the investors in Bitcoin right now are easily affected by the news out there, they can just sell their holdings if they feel panicked thus it will go lower than 20% of its price.

In the long run, it will go upwards base on the stock to flow model. Now with regards to the price movement of Bitcoin, there is not that much difference on it. It is always going upwards then will make a huge correction then go upwards again and this will continue for a long time.

[hatshepsut93]

I don't see how can Bitcoin plateau after reaching ATH, it's way too tempting to not sell at the top, and there's still a lot early investors who would reap massive profits. With each day the term "early investor" gets pushed more and more forward, soon people who joined in 2014-2016 will be considered early, because Bitcoin was 50-100 times cheaper back then.

Bitcoin usually stabilizes during bear markets, when the price stagnates for long periods of time, and this is the most likely scenario this time too - the only thing that can be different is the magnitude of top and bottom.

[Kittygalore]

I don't see how can Bitcoin plateau after reaching ATH, it's way too tempting to not sell at the top, and there's still a lot early investors who would reap massive profits. With each day the term "early investor" gets pushed more and more forward, soon people who joined in 2014-2016 will be considered early, because Bitcoin was 50-100 times cheaper back then.

Bitcoin usually stabilizes during bear markets, when the price stagnates for long periods of time, and this is the most likely scenario this time too - the only thing that can be different is the magnitude of top and bottom.

That would be the worst thing that could happen to bitcoin, plateau meant that the prices will not go up anymore and investing in it will be useless because your investment will not return. That was never been the pattern of any market, plateauing after reaching an all time high.

[Mr.sprin]

I often hear that bitcoin has reached the top and then it will go down. Is this just an assumption of some people or is this just a prediction?
what I know now is that the price of bitcoin is fantastic, from last year I heard the news that bitcoin will also be even better in the future because many big investors have trusted bitcoin.

[sunsilk]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

I'm also believing that pattern but can't be ignored that it could be different this time. But there is an assurance that whenever bitcoin starts to plummet again and if it's the same as the bear market on 2018 then many won't let it pass.

Everyone will keep themselves bitcoin and will buy that cheap coins together with the institutions buying it up. And for the belief that it might be different this time, we might see the same rise as what happened after the announcement of Tesla's purchase.

[so98nn]

Based on the history of Bitcoin price after the halving event, so far, there's not any much difference from the past, and we could go through the same path. Price will reach all-time high, then drop and then start a new accumulation phase.
10-20% correction is too small if bear market begun to take place. Just the other week, Bitcoin dropped by almost 25% in 24 hours after a previous pump. Remember this is happening in the bullish phase.

With the current cycle it feels like bitcoin halving is thing of old school now! The investors who has jumped into crypto recently are the reason why we see such major change. May be we should stop looking at bitcoin the we way did few years back. I can literally see the changes in bitcoin these days, the way it moves, the way world is taking interest into it.

From Tesla accepting its payment in the form of bitcoin to MasterCard thinking about it's adoption we are experiencing modest change in the bitcoin acceptance. All the credit goes to Mr. Satoshi who might have thought all this through! I mean the mega adoption stuff.

So get ready for the surprises in the future. Start thinking about the bitcoin price movements in completely different sense. 

[3meek]

I don't think it's about halving. I think it's a phase of the market - a bullish phase always ends in a bearish phase... In March of this year it will be one year since the bull market... Who knows how long it will last and how strong the next bearish cycle will be!

[KuromaYoichi]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

I think it's different right now from back then because the price didn't move a lot at the last halving, the one that's pushing it right now is a lot of institutional investors which is a major improvement from the last bull run and with the news of tesla and mastercard will accept crypto as a payment option then we are advancing a lot in adoption progress so i think the foundation is definitely stronger than the last time and the price will still continue to climb.

[Maslate]

hello guys we all know BTC price reached peaks an year after each halvening followed by 80-90% major price correction and so on after each cycle. i thought to myself it may be different this time since everyone expect this to happen again. since adoption is growing and more money are involved maybe this time price will just climb slowly up in the next years with some minor 10-20% corrections now and then until it reaches high 6-digit amounts (plateau) after some years. if this happens we have no choice but to hold for longer period otherwise we will not be able to buy back. can you share your thoughts on this?

No, for some reason that we are wrong thinking about history repeats itself, that was not what I saw now, and obviously, the market changing this time. And this time, I'm not thinking about the halving effect, it is obsolete for me. What makes this huge inflation is due to new sets of investors are in the market now. These institutional investors making a huge change that we can't imagine.

But, we can't be confident as well that huge correction is never to happen. Not exactly, yet to be possible and it might come someday but I don't think it was of the same trend that we are experiencing that last bear season. This is certainly different as the trend also changing.

[isaac_clarke22]

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One can only hope if that "adoption" is truly happening right now. It is a slow climb but hey while we're above 40k, let's do a little bit of trading, why not?
6-digit amounts as you mentioned might take while, but hopefully we'll get there.
We don't have any leads yet on when we might get those fancy 6-digits.
Just don't hold if you need money, otherwise keep holding.