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Author Topic: Bitcoin 2021 top and end of year predictions  (Read 315 times)
Bergkampsballs (OP)
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March 06, 2021, 09:26:37 AM
 #1

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000

EOY 2021: $65,000
EOY 2022: $100,000
EOY 2023: $150,000
EOY 2024: $300,000
EOY 2025: $500,000
longyenthanh
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March 06, 2021, 09:52:45 AM
 #2

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000

EOY 2021: $65,000
EOY 2022: $100,000
EOY 2023: $150,000
EOY 2024: $300,000
EOY 2025: $500,000

Maybe you will say that I am too much optimistic, but I think there is a very good chance that this year ATH will be set at around $200k
The bull run will end at the beginning of next year and we will have 2 years of bear market, i.e. a repeat of the situation from 2018.


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cogwise
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Wilhelm
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March 06, 2021, 10:08:41 AM
 #3

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000

EOY 2021: $65,000
EOY 2022: $100,000
EOY 2023: $150,000
EOY 2024: $300,000
EOY 2025: $500,000

OK you are a n00b here. No problem Smiley

Facts:
Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle
ATH is about 6months after halving
Low point is a year after ATH

This year there will be an ATH.
Stable until probably 90-110k
Unstable upward to 190k or more crazy

After that it will crash down in the oncoming 300 days
It will then go to $45k or so. Typically ATH/6.

So your estimates for 2022-2024 are going to be way off.
The next halving is in May 2024 so the next ATH (around $1M) will be around may 2025
2022-2025 are going to be pain and suffering for new investers...

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
longyenthanh
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March 06, 2021, 10:23:49 AM
 #4

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000

EOY 2021: $65,000
EOY 2022: $100,000
EOY 2023: $150,000
EOY 2024: $300,000
EOY 2025: $500,000

OK you are a n00b here. No problem Smiley

Facts:
Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle
ATH is about 6months after halving
Low point is a year after ATH

This year there will be an ATH.
Stable until probably 90-110k
Unstable upward to 190k or more crazy

After that it will crash down in the oncoming 300 days
It will then go to $45k or so. Typically ATH/6.

So your estimates for 2022-2024 are going to be way off.
The next halving is in May 2024 so the next ATH (around $1M) will be around may 2025
2022-2025 are going to be pain and suffering for new investers...

You can't be sure that every cycle will be the same. What you wrote is just very likely, but if it always did, it wouldn't be free market.
The market is influenced by many external factors. You saw for yourself how the market reacted to Musk's investment .. The same may happen if something bad happens and the market reacts with a panic sale.
But I agree that your predictions are very possible  Smiley


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cogwise
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Bergkampsballs (OP)
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March 06, 2021, 11:08:02 AM
 #5


OK you are a n00b here. No problem Smiley

Facts:
Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle
ATH is about 6months after halving
Low point is a year after ATH

This year there will be an ATH.
Stable until probably 90-110k
Unstable upward to 190k or more crazy

After that it will crash down in the oncoming 300 days
It will then go to $45k or so. Typically ATH/6.

So your estimates for 2022-2024 are going to be way off.
The next halving is in May 2024 so the next ATH (around $1M) will be around may 2025
2022-2025 are going to be pain and suffering for new investers...

Sorry if I'm misunderstanding but Bitcoins halving was in May 2020 so 6 months after would have meant it would peak in November?

I was factoring in that there's a lot of big companies getting involved so I don't think we'll see the same kind of bear market that we had in 2018. I'm guessing that there will be a less significant bear market followed by another peak in 2022 this time around.

You may well be right though and I appreciate you giving your estimates. I guess we're all going to have different ideas about how this will play out so that's why I'm trying to get estimates from people like yourself who probably have a better idea than I do Smiley
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March 06, 2021, 01:15:17 PM
 #6

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000

EOY 2021: $65,000
EOY 2022: $100,000
EOY 2023: $150,000
EOY 2024: $300,000
EOY 2025: $500,000
I don’t speculate that much with Bitcoin, I’m just prepared to buy every dip price, and hold some until it reaches my target price. I usually don’t set-up a peak price since I don’t want to disappoint myself if bitcoin fails me to make money.

Well, we can’t go up for the whole year in the next five years, this is not possible to happen and there’s no history of this one since we always have corrections along the way. I’ll just leave my price prediction at the end of 2025, I think this will be around $150k.

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Wilhelm
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March 06, 2021, 02:54:47 PM
 #7


OK you are a n00b here. No problem Smiley

Facts:
Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle
ATH is about 6months after halving
Low point is a year after ATH

This year there will be an ATH.
Stable until probably 90-110k
Unstable upward to 190k or more crazy

After that it will crash down in the oncoming 300 days
It will then go to $45k or so. Typically ATH/6.

So your estimates for 2022-2024 are going to be way off.
The next halving is in May 2024 so the next ATH (around $1M) will be around may 2025
2022-2025 are going to be pain and suffering for new investers...

Sorry if I'm misunderstanding but Bitcoins halving was in May 2020 so 6 months after would have meant it would peak in November?

I was factoring in that there's a lot of big companies getting involved so I don't think we'll see the same kind of bear market that we had in 2018. I'm guessing that there will be a less significant bear market followed by another peak in 2022 this time around.

You may well be right though and I appreciate you giving your estimates. I guess we're all going to have different ideas about how this will play out so that's why I'm trying to get estimates from people like yourself who probably have a better idea than I do Smiley

You are right that things are different but that's what was said the last two cycles.
I firmly believe the cycles are driven by the fixed algorithm and how humans react to it.

As everyone my guess is as good as anyone's. Just sharing my experience  Kiss

Yes november would be the peak. But I'm looking at July and August to be on max alert.
How high it will be, nobody knows but when your grandma asks what a bitcoin is and everyone is talking about it you need an exit strategy STAT!

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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March 06, 2021, 03:35:17 PM
 #8

I think we will have a similar cycle to 2013 with two tops. Maybe 100k before summer, bear market over summer and then top out maybe 200-250k.
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March 06, 2021, 03:49:21 PM
 #9

It is hard to tell how much the price would be at the end of this year or even the highest price but since this is just for fun and prediction,
I am guessing the highest price would be around $70-90K for this year and the price before this year end could be around $80K.

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March 06, 2021, 04:51:47 PM
Merited by Wilhelm (1)
 #10

Facts:
Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle
ATH is about 6months after halving
Low point is a year after ATH

This year there will be an ATH.
Stable until probably 90-110k
Unstable upward to 190k or more crazy
You can't be sure that every cycle will be the same.
I tend to agree with the statement of Wilhelm, Bitcoin price now was in the third cycle of having a new ATH right after halving has a great effect on the price and might will happen after another 4 years will pass.  It could reach a $100k price at the end of this year and the speculation of a repeating cycle will drop the price start on the last quarter by next year.

But speculations will remain speculation, nothing will change to the crypto sphere it is always unpredictable by its price.
If you will believe this Bitcoin Price Prediction For 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 And 2025, you will see it was predicted more than $100k by the end of this year. (I'm not sure either) Wink
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March 06, 2021, 04:52:37 PM
 #11

You are right that things are different but that's what was said the last two cycles.

It would be more correct to write that ATH usually occurs 1 to 1.5 years after halving, which was the case with halving in 2016 - and all this we see today is probably not yet a consequence of halving but the result of institutional investment and interest in BTC. It is also questionable whether things will continue as they were before, which would mean things will follow the pattern of halving -> ATH -> big correction -> crypto winter/accumulation.



Bergkampsballs, if we stick to the cycle, then next year should bring a new correction and a crypto winter that could last until halving 2024 - but that's just an assumption based on past events that may or may not be accurate Wink

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March 06, 2021, 05:54:22 PM
 #12

If the cycle continues $3000 will get you a Lambo in 8 years  Kiss

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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March 06, 2021, 07:06:30 PM
 #13

If the cycle continues $3000 will get you a Lambo in 8 years  Kiss

At the rate we're going $3,000 will more likely be the price of a mars bar than a lambo   Grin

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/03/06/bidens-covid-stimulus-bill-passes-senate-legislation-heads-house/6886446002/
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March 06, 2021, 09:52:22 PM
 #14

2021 Peak:     $150k

2021 EOY:      $80k
2022 EOY:      $120k
2023 EOY:      $220k
2024 EOY:      $300k
2025 EOY:      $500k



Basically I think late summer / early Fall peak is likely this year around $150k. Think we'll get a moderate bear market, but with many institutions holding long term and likely eating up all they can handle once it goes back under $80k or so I think it'll only be like a ~60% drop that'll take a few months to go down, spend a few months around the bottom, and then be moving back up less than a year after the 2021 peak. Then a gradual bull market the next couple years (with plenty of ups and downs of course) before the next halving causes a big 2025 but it won't be quite as insane as previous bull markets because BTC will already be pretty mainstream by then, so maybe the price doubles or so to $600k+, then comes back down to $500k by end of that year.
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March 06, 2021, 10:37:02 PM
 #15

According to geopolitical events and the regulations below are my predictions.
2021 peak: $65,000

EOY 2021: $35 ,000
EOY 2022: $45000
EOY 2023: $40-60
EOY 2024: $100,000
EOY 2025: $300,000
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March 06, 2021, 11:00:05 PM
Last edit: March 07, 2021, 05:15:37 AM by Wilhelm
 #16

If the cycle continues $3000 will get you a Lambo in 8 years  Kiss

At the rate we're going $3,000 will more likely be the price of a mars bar than a lambo   Grin

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/03/06/bidens-covid-stimulus-bill-passes-senate-legislation-heads-house/6886446002/

Bitcoin waits until you don't look and then it shoots off in a random direction...  Tongue

*edit: typo FML

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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March 07, 2021, 04:22:08 AM
 #17

If the cycle continues $3000 will get you a Lambo in 8 years  Kiss

At the rate we're going $3,000 will more likely be the price of a mars bar than a lambo   Grin

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/03/06/bidens-covid-stimulus-bill-passes-senate-legislation-heads-house/6886446002/

Bitcoin waits unto you don't look and then it shoots off in a random direction...  Tongue

As long as it continues to head in the general direction of North then we're all good.
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March 07, 2021, 05:16:45 AM
 #18

If the cycle continues $3000 will get you a Lambo in 8 years  Kiss

At the rate we're going $3,000 will more likely be the price of a mars bar than a lambo   Grin

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/03/06/bidens-covid-stimulus-bill-passes-senate-legislation-heads-house/6886446002/

Bitcoin waits unto you don't look and then it shoots off in a random direction...  Tongue

As long as it continues to head in the general direction of North then we're all good.

95% chance it will IMO  Grin

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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March 07, 2021, 07:24:08 AM
 #19

There are only 2 scenarios that can happen in my opinion.
1. Repetition of previous cycles
I think this has a higher chance of happening, it will be the same 4 year cycle as before and that means after the current correction price will continue shooting up each time with a bigger rise and another 20% to 30% correction before another leg up.
In this scenario ATH will be between $400k to $500k to match the size of the previous cycles.
This scenario also has a chance of growing bigger (as the trend suggests) which means the ATH could be higher but for now lets stick to repetition only since so far from the bottom of the crash ($3200) until now is exactly the same as previous cycle.

2. An entirely new trend
The chance of this is lower but it is still possible to see the cycles be broken finally. In this case the ATH would be lower, it could be less than $100k but that also means there won't be any bubbles like before either so there won't be any bubble burst and no long bear market either. We could see a couple of months of bear market before it is replaced once again with the bull market.
I believe that this is the final type of cycle that bitcoin is going to see but not for another decade. For now we will see the same old cycles repeat.

BTW these prices in both scenarios are for end of 2021.

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March 07, 2021, 10:52:51 AM
 #20

Hi,

I was interested to know what you think Bitcoin will peak at this year and what you think the price will be at the end of each year up until 2025

Here's what I think could be a fair estimate:

2021 peak: $95,000



I cannot suggest what will be the peak of this bull market but there are few youtubers who are claiming that based on the historical data End of September (2 weeks before or after), it will be the peak of this bull run. So if you see a parabolic run near September/October be sure to book some profits so that we don't hold our coins in the next bear market.
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