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Author Topic: Does it still make sense to dollar cost average when the market is crazy bull?  (Read 229 times)
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April 16, 2021, 11:19:19 AM
 #21

Of course it makes sense. DCA works always because you can't predict the future. It is always better to do DCA than to try to time the market. If you believe that Bitcoin is going to keep going up in the long run, and that it will reach $100k and eventually $1M, trying to time the market (risking losing) makes no sense.

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April 16, 2021, 03:38:11 PM
 #22

Thanks guys, looks like we have all kinds of differing opinions.

I think I'm going to do a hybrid, I'll call it short-term DCA.

I plan to every week invest about 25% of my total principal.  I will be taking my best guess what the biggest dip of the week will be and buy then.
So after a month, I will be done entering the market.

It's like buying the mini-dip over the period of a month.  After a month, the new low is clearly higher than last month's low in this market.

I can't imagine BTC will be worth 180k by year's end but that's what I hope.  I would be happy if it did 100k.

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April 16, 2021, 03:43:21 PM
 #23

Hi, normally I'm a fan of dollar cost averaging.  But I'm thinking of not really dollar cost averaging because the market is obviously a very bull market right now for BTC.

What do you think will be the best strategy to enter the bitcoin market today?

Pick the lowest dip I can find say, this week, and invest all my principle. Or, dollar cost average anyway....if so, over what time horizon? Surely not over the next year.  Maybe a week? A month?

I personally believe that the train has almost left the station, which is why I am wondering if it makes no sense to dollar cost average at this time.


It is my opinion that the best thing that you can do is to not doubt your strategy once you have picked one, dollar cost averaging is great for the long term as you're not picking a specific point in time in which you can buy, rather what you are doing is that by buying every single week pretty much with the same amount of dollars then overall you're still going to get some decent amount of bitcoin.

There are obviously times in which this is not optimal like when the market is going through a bull run but that is not really the point of that strategy, so if you do not really feel comfortable using it right now maybe it is time to rethink why you choose that strategy in the first place.

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April 16, 2021, 08:52:49 PM
 #24

Well perhaps, the Dollar Cost Averaging can still make sense until before the next halving. You were right when you said that the train almost left the station. But it doesn’t mean that you’re not able to chase it and jump in. There will be a lot of bubbles in Bitcoin in the next few days, in that, you can still execute the same strategy you have. However, a small markup still is considered, so perhaps DCA can still be helpful if you are going to jump in on time, that is only my own opinion.









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April 16, 2021, 10:48:09 PM
 #25

The investment concept will be same like you choose an investment place in stock or traditional market. You have to choose pariode of time before you buy a coin.

In case you will buy bitcoin, first of all you have to know how to buy bitcoin or how to safe bitcoin. Yoh have to choose an exchange that reputable in crypto industry.

Bitcoin is already high, a day ago its price has touched new all time high $65.000 but now seem like it has been correcting. It means, there still a chance for you to lose your money if you buy bitcoin, although you choosing it for long term investment.
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April 17, 2021, 05:49:47 PM
 #26

The point of investing is to buy low and sell high. The prices are low in the bear market and high in the bull market. If you don't have any Bitcoin in bull market, you should only try short-term investment with hopes of selling close to the peak of the bubble. If you already have Bitcoin, then it makes more sense to continuously sell it in the bull market after it crossed some price level that you can confidently say will be the bottom of next bear market.

You could still dollar cost average if you don't plan to sell in the next 4 years, but it won't be the most profitable strategy.

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August 30, 2021, 10:06:29 AM
 #27

It makes even more sense to DCA. If you are in crazy bull as you think you are now and yes I know the original post was written a few months ago but guess what it still makes it valid now and in fact when I see posts from April and May and June it proves now close to 50k you were always right to dollar cost.

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August 30, 2021, 06:04:45 PM
 #28

I personally believe that the train has almost left the station, which is why I am wondering if it makes no sense to dollar cost average at this time.

Dollars cost averaging isn't for short term investors. If you're likely going to sell tomorrow or within the shortest timeframe then you don't dollar cost average as that'll be pointless. For example why not just buy into your position when Bitcoin was lower then buying in batches.

Dollar cost averaging help secured long term against volatility of the market and give you the chance of constantly adding to your stacks, it also provide the opportunity of buying Bitcoin at a cheaper rate and overall making your entry point lower.

Dollar cost averaging, I will recommend even when there's a bullish market provided you're a long time investors and not speculating for the short term profits. Bitcoin could be overprotective as sine point and if you just go all him, and it rekted, that might destroy you.

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August 30, 2021, 06:16:05 PM
 #29

Hi, normally I'm a fan of dollar cost averaging.  But I'm thinking of not really dollar cost averaging because the market is obviously a very bull market right now for BTC.

What do you think will be the best strategy to enter the bitcoin market today?

Pick the lowest dip I can find say, this week, and invest all my principle. Or, dollar cost average anyway....if so, over what time horizon? Surely not over the next year.  Maybe a week? A month?

I personally believe that the train has almost left the station, which is why I am wondering if it makes no sense to dollar cost average at this time.


Depends on you because market cant really be determined whether it would already be going up and this is why its important that you do have at least some idea on what you are doing specially if knowing about the trend.

This is something that differs on each person because we do have our own perspective towards the price and we do have our own goals.Some would consider it as a long term and some do go for short term.
If you arent that really tending to seek profits in short term then i would say that dollar cost averaging isnt really something that you do need to consider on.

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August 30, 2021, 08:48:51 PM
 #30

Investors that tend to buy during the bull and it's part of DCA, they won't be that much hurt because they'll have a series of buying during the dip. There will always be those that would buy when the market is at high and that's why DCA still works no matter what condition we're at with the market. It is necessary to buy at the dips but you'll never be sure if it's really the lowest that you can pinpoint whenever you've decided to buy.

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August 31, 2021, 10:53:41 AM
 #31

Investors that tend to buy during the bull and it's part of DCA, they won't be that much hurt because they'll have a series of buying during the dip. There will always be those that would buy when the market is at high and that's why DCA still works no matter what condition we're at with the market. It is necessary to buy at the dips but you'll never be sure if it's really the lowest that you can pinpoint whenever you've decided to buy.

Is it not wonderful to not worry about bear or bull? I do not mind buying near the top because I will always be sure to get it back at value or higher eventually,,, even if I have to wait for years. And DCA means you never really miss the bottom either, so you always end up being high in positive value. Stop worrying and guessing,,, go DCA!

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tvplus006
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August 31, 2021, 02:54:48 PM
 #32

I'd say dollar cost average with a smaller amount if you are convinced it is a bull market.

During a bear market, increase the amount.

As a rule, in a bull market, you need to trade bitcoin, increasing its amount and, accordingly, in a bear market, on the contrary, it is necessary to increase the number of stablecoins in the wallet. In this case, you will always have the opportunity, in case of a dump, to buy BTC at a lower price, thereby increasing its amount in the wallet.

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August 31, 2021, 05:13:26 PM
 #33

Hi, normally I'm a fan of dollar cost averaging.  But I'm thinking of not really dollar cost averaging because the market is obviously a very bull market right now for BTC.

What do you think will be the best strategy to enter the bitcoin market today?

Pick the lowest dip I can find say, this week, and invest all my principle. Or, dollar cost average anyway....if so, over what time horizon? Surely not over the next year.  Maybe a week? A month?

I personally believe that the train has almost left the station, which is why I am wondering if it makes no sense to dollar cost average at this time.


Depends on you because market cant really be determined whether it would already be going up and this is why its important that you do have at least some idea on what you are doing specially if knowing about the trend.

This is something that differs on each person because we do have our own perspective towards the price and we do have our own goals.Some would consider it as a long term and some do go for short term.
If you arent that really tending to seek profits in short term then i would say that dollar cost averaging isnt really something that you do need to consider on.

Something that only your own understanding will lead you to the right path, if you understand what will be the directions there's
no problem holding after you buy, not even correction takes place you are still in control.

More on how well you expect the current situation. Some may work it out daily and some will keep the ball rolling and hold until it
reached the target that they set it up.

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