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Author Topic: Charlie Munger: "Bitcoin is an artificial substitute for Gold"  (Read 331 times)
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April 16, 2021, 05:29:57 PM
 #1

The clip over at Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Zh_9cBQSYU

While I have great respect for Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett, it feels like they have missed the boat on Bitcoin - leaving a lot of money on the table as it were. They have famously avoided tech stocks until investing in Apple relatively late and it seems they have gotten increasingly risk adverse in their old age. Personally I think that Bitcoin is an artificial substitute for gold and that is actually a good thing. Having some gold coins myself during Covid, I have sold them face-to-face in the past but most businesses were closed during this time and it simply doesn't feel safe sending such high value items through the post - Bitcoin does not face such a problem. Of course Gold has practical physical world uses as well, but the majority is kept in the form of jewelry or investment grade forms. I find it funny that Charlie seems to have mellowed a bit on it, I'm sure he has labelled it evil in the past..

R


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April 16, 2021, 06:37:30 PM
 #2

and it will be more dangerous if your house is full of gold, robbers will feel attracted to enter. whereas in bitcoin when the thieves enter, what will they take. secret seed? while you keep it in your head or on a piece of personal note paper. would a thief be suspicious? of course not !!!!

Charlie and Warren at the age of getting older still insist that they don't want to accept and realize everything. maybe they don't have an heir who likes bitcoin? need to be questioned. because in their hearts Charlie and Warren recognized Bitcoin and the future of crypto assets. maybe they were both just embarrassed to say it.

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April 16, 2021, 06:49:08 PM
 #3

Let them be. We'll see where they will move their assets with this prolonged pandemic and continued fiat printing.

...I find it funny that Charlie seems to have mellowed a bit on it, I'm sure he has labelled it evil in the past..
And here I am thinking he stepped it up a notch from Peter's "BTC is a fool's gold" by not only calling it substitute but also artificial hehe. I tried to search but what came up was rat poison and not evil.

R


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April 16, 2021, 07:34:39 PM
 #4

I wouldn't say that bitcoin is the artificial substitute for gold as there is a cryptocurrency that is the real artificial substitute for gold. If bitcoin is really the artificial substitute then why does bitcoin is not accepted in some country since gold is accepted by all people. Some people are even hiding from their government that they own some bitcoin.

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April 16, 2021, 07:39:03 PM
 #5

That's not the most interesting quote in that interview IMO. He stated:

"Bitcoin won't be the medium of exchange for the world." This is still too premature if he thinks BTC cannot be developed to have fast transactions and low fees. The best thing about technology is, it can rapidly change.

"The unspeakable in pursuit of the uneatable." Not sure what it means. I think it means bad people chasing useless stuff.

About gold, he is not a gold bug, so ask Schiff instead Grin

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April 16, 2021, 07:45:13 PM
 #6

That's not the most interesting quote in that interview IMO. He stated:

"Bitcoin won't be the medium of exchange for the world." This is still too premature if he thinks BTC cannot be developed to have fast transactions and low fees. The best thing about technology is, it can rapidly change.
I think we're very, very far away from the moment when low fees and fast confirmations are going to be a constant reality. Remember that anything coming up as a new proposal for BTC is going to need at least a few months, if not years, to be added for real to the protocol - and even if the new stuff is considered safe enough regarding potential flaws, there is a very strong and large audience of Bitcoin maximalists which will oppose the proposed feature(s). This will end up as a yet another fork. BTC vs BCH reloaded.
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April 16, 2021, 08:07:28 PM
 #7

I think bitcoin is a digital asset more than a gold in digital gorm, for instance
+ Gold biggest value is that of it's physical appearance, in time past it was kept solely for beautification and in possession of the very wealthy, who did not have any intention to sell, I think bitcoin isn't like that.
+ The rate of Gold increase and it's decrease is lesser than that of Bitcoin's increase and decrease.
 Although I think if bitcoin was to be in physical form or appearance it should be in Gold form just to show it's worth and value.

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April 16, 2021, 08:17:39 PM
 #8

I don't think bitcoin was created for the purpose of replacing previous payment system like gold or fiat. Bitcoin was created to help users manage their own money without the interference of any government and authorities. Bitcoin is also not made to compete with other investment asset, pure bitcoin is a decentralized payment system. We have a different innovation on bitcoin from the banking system. Let him continue his thought and belief, we know that bitcoin is more useful than just a new currency phenomenon.


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April 16, 2021, 09:41:11 PM
 #9

because in their hearts Charlie and Warren recognized Bitcoin and the future of crypto assets. maybe they were both just embarrassed to say it.
Uh, I don't think so.  I have great respect for both of them, and they know what they're doing and they don't need to get involved in an asset that's as unproven and volatile as bitcoin.  They stick to what they do best, which is value investing.  Everyone here is bullish on bitcoin, but I always keep in mind that it's like an echo chamber on the forum most of the time, and that's how bubbles form.  Warren Buffett didn't invest in internet stocks when they were going crazy in the 90s, and he missed out on making some very easy money.  He also missed out on the huge crash in April 2000.  Again, he knows what he's doing and so does Charlie Munger.

Regarding Munger's comparison of bitcoin to gold, it seems to me that's a sentiment that's been floating around for years.  I'm thinking about how many threads I've seen asking which is better or otherwise arguing how bitcoin and gold are similar, and there have been so many of those it's ridiculous.  Ultimately it doesn't matter what any one person thinks (even if it's a brainy investor like Munger); bitcoin and gold do have some similarities, but they're completely different things.

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April 16, 2021, 09:42:11 PM
 #10

It's always compared to gold years ago and the first one was digital gold or new gold in this age. And for those old successful investors, they really won't be able to catch up with the tech stocks because they're living traditionally and don't understand what's in it.
I guess after just a few years from now, with all of those negative statements from these popular and successful investors who have said negatively about bitcoin, they'll change.

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April 17, 2021, 07:42:05 AM
 #11

Substitute?
Artificial?

It is indeed an investment of a very high tier like Gold but substitute is something which is of the same category but when we are talking about bitcoins and Gold they are way different. But Gold is actually something which is way localized and have a lot of market limitations.

Bitcoins is something of the future and the good thing is we are able to invest in it at present, people who compare gold and bitcoins do think that there is no option available to invest other than traditional Investments , but let us understand the fact that Mining ⛏️ is not Mining 💻 !! Did these people even do a research?

Plus digital gold is Centralized, it's controlled and you don't have 100% ability to make any decision in it's regard so therefore I do not think that it's even comparable to decentralized bitcoins where we can do whatever we want without any middle party. There is no waiting time to sell and hold the stocks also. But some companies are trying to control it like that which honestly makes me uneasy.

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April 17, 2021, 07:49:47 AM
 #12

It's always compared to gold years ago and the first one was digital gold or new gold in this age. And for those old successful investors, they really won't be able to catch up with the tech stocks because they're living traditionally and don't understand what's in it.
I guess after just a few years from now, with all of those negative statements from these popular and successful investors who have said negatively about bitcoin, they'll change.
Exactly, they are just putting in action what they are saying, don't invest in something that you don't understand, honestly, we don't really need to hear their opinions about bitcoin because it is going to be the same old thing that they are going to say and I don't think that they will change that and if you are following them then you should probably stop investing because you don't think for yourself and you always seek other's validation.

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April 17, 2021, 11:45:43 AM
 #13

I don't think bitcoin was created for the purpose of replacing previous payment system like gold or fiat. Bitcoin was created to help users manage their own money without the interference of any government and authorities. Bitcoin is also not made to compete with other investment asset, pure bitcoin is a decentralized payment system. We have a different innovation on bitcoin from the banking system. Let him continue his thought and belief, we know that bitcoin is more useful than just a new currency phenomenon.
It wasn't, it's just that these people who thinks that bitcoin is the cure all that thinks that it will replace the current system, satoshi dreamt of an alternative not a replacement, if he did dreamt so, he would have created more bitcoin.
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April 17, 2021, 02:29:53 PM
 #14

Even the most successful investor can't be right all the time with his decisions so if there are people who doesn't recognize their bitcoin but still their are successful then its pretty normal. But want to say something still the boats are waiting for them, the prices are literally low since the crypto adoption is in early phase so they can bag profits even if they change their decisions now.









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April 17, 2021, 02:48:48 PM
 #15

In my perspective, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger might have intentionally missed the boat or decided to be left out by the train.  As we know it, they don’t even need Bitcoin to get more wealth.  These people aren't a master of cryptocurrencies but they are the masters of traditional finance.  And If I were them as well, I would better stick with the field I'm used to as I have paid a lot of struggles, pain, and disappoints already before I mastered it.

These people have a lot of things to do on a daily basis.  That’s why I think they couldn’t give enough time to study cryptocurrency.  One perspective is, their allies and investors are against bitcoin as it is a threat to their business. So If that’s the case, they would better stick to usual IMO.

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April 17, 2021, 03:07:01 PM
 #16

The clip over at Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Zh_9cBQSYU

While I have great respect for Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett, it feels like they have missed the boat on Bitcoin

Why would they miss the boat? The point of Bitcoin is to store wealth. They have wealth and can be stored in Bitcoin. Bitcoin will be very useful for both Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett in the near future. Right now is still very early. But once hyperinflation kicks in things will start roll much faster.
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April 17, 2021, 03:22:21 PM
 #17

I think Digital Gold best describes btc more than an artificial substitute, btc is not artificial because it has a total different features and functions from gold, there is no point comparing btc and gold in the first place because they are different, this is his opinion anyways, nobody really cares.

Btc is Gold in what sense exactly? Gold is neither as volatile as btc and nor its going up constantly. Gold is being traded at its 2013 price while btc is at its ATH and getting new ATH's. I see no similarities between gold and bitcoin tbh. Gold has nearly unlimited supply too. Asteroids, the earth core, sea water all filled with gold.

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April 17, 2021, 04:57:37 PM
 #18

I guess the confusion is from the term 'Digital Gold' but he should already know this is just a way of describing btc superiority and not because it has any similarities to Gold, am surprise he is even making such statement because nothing about btc display any similar nature with gold. The guy can't seem to tell the difference between btc and gold even when it is very clear.

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April 17, 2021, 06:15:10 PM
 #19

While I have great respect for Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett, it feels like they have missed the boat on Bitcoin - leaving a lot of money on the table as it were. They have famously avoided tech stocks until investing in Apple relatively late and it seems they have gotten increasingly risk adverse in their old age.
They have their reasons for avoiding Tech stocks as they identified them as a bubble and it was a fact that those years were termed as the Dot Com bubble and we know what happened the bubble burst and many lost their money while anyone who entered early made their profit as well.
So you cannot blame them completely and we will see the same situation in the cryptocurrency market as well.


Personally I think that Bitcoin is an artificial substitute for gold and that is actually a good thing. 
I just like to see them as virtual currency and not adding any other addition meaning to it  Grin.
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April 17, 2021, 06:57:58 PM
 #20

I don't know his reason entirely why he isn't buying any Gold, and there shouldn't be any reason why not to buy it as well. He wants people to follow his views on Gold and Bitcoin by not buying them, and I don't think it's ever going to change anytime soon. They are scared of something they don't know, and they want to be out of it. I don't know about Gold though, it's a great asset to have, but maybe they would stick to jewelry pieces, etc.

Isn't the term, substitute for Gold is already a good thing? It's not physical but the idea of having it is what makes it valuable? To be demanded?

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