Will Bitcoin do the same scenario in 2018 ?

[Shasha80]

I still believe that the current decline in the price of Bitcoin is very different from what happened in 2018. So selling Bitcoin right now is not
a good decision to make, as there is still a chance that the price will recover and go back above $ 60k again. So don't be in a hurry to make
a decision, now we still have to monitor Bitcoin's price movements. Hopefully Bitcoin doesn't drop below the $ 40k price, because if it drops
below the price of $ 40k, I'm sure there will be a panic sell and it will make Bitcoin fall even deeper. I still hope that Bitcoin can at least get back
above the $ 55k price first.

[Mahanton]

I still believe that the current decline in the price of Bitcoin is very different from what happened in 2018. So selling Bitcoin right now is not
a good decision to make, as there is still a chance that the price will recover and go back above $ 60k again. So don't be in a hurry to make
a decision, now we still have to monitor Bitcoin's price movements. Hopefully Bitcoin doesn't drop below the $ 40k price, because if it drops
below the price of $ 40k, I'm sure there will be a panic sell and it will make Bitcoin fall even deeper. I still hope that Bitcoin can at least get back
above the $ 55k price first.

Sadly for those who panic sell because the price  hadnt dip down wayback below 40k and as far as i remember it did only had that 46-47k price bottom and the price had made out some
recovery after that which is a good sign that there is really a strong support within those levels which do indicate that this isnt something that we can compare in 2018 price crash.
Nothing is guaranteed though because we know that this market can potentially crash without knowing on whats the reason behind.Therefore, as a trader or investors then
always set out Plan B's and Plan C's if the price turns out to be going into the opposite side.

[coupable]

If the question in the topic title is only based on the actual decrease in btc price, then i think it's not the same condition as back to 2018. Actually everybody is waiting for the bear market, and personally i don't think it would happen sooner as it's expected to be 50 to 80% after hitting the 100,000$ and this probably strong to happen as the demand for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies growth. I think it's mainly related to get over with the corona virus .

[LUCKMCFLY]

The truth is, I do not think it has the same scenario as 2018, because now the circumstances are very different, there are other living conditions, in addition there are many more new investors, the whales are the ones that have taken advantage of the movements since 2018, but since This 2020 they have had another type of strategy, in this article they show how they have possibly moved:

According to Dilution-proof, whales who bought BTC around $10,000-$11,000 last year saw the move above $60,000 as a chance to take profits and lock in gains of about 445%.

As Bitcoin’s upward momentum lost steam, the on-chain analyst says that whales who bought BTC when it broke out of $20,000 in December 2020 took the chance to take profits.

Source: https://dailyhodl.com/2021/04/26/heres-how-crypto-whales-are-playing-the-bitcoin-correction-according-to-on-chain-analyst/

[Febo]

i am wondering if Bitcoin will fall again like it happened in 2018 after the Bull run !

i know that some news affect the market, but should we sell now in this panic ! or should we hold 

Yes, After bull market bear market will start. There is zero chances for that not to happen.

No you should not sold now since we are in middle of a bull market and price will grow much higher. Most people expect it between $100-300k

[BrewMaster]

Yes, After bull market bear market will start. There is zero chances for that not to happen.

the important matter is timing.
we cannot have 2018 like bear market without a 2017 like bull market. right now we are still in 2016 like bull market and price has to go up a lot more than this and probably even reach  half a million before it can burst and drop.

[Febo]

Yes, After bull market bear market will start. There is zero chances for that not to happen.

the important matter is timing.
we cannot have 2018 like bear market without a 2017 like bull market. right now we are still in 2016 like bull market and price has to go up a lot more than this and probably even reach  half a million before it can burst and drop.

Right now we are in June 2017. 2016 is far behind us. In 2016 price had not reached 2013 ATH price. Right now we are x3 of 2017 ATH. There is not much time until this cycle ATH but a lot % to increase. Last month gets crazy.

[Gozie51]

No, we are not in the same situation. There is a very strong fiat devaluation and economics crisis is coming (not only due to COVID).

I think this situation is a reason that bitcoin has risen this high. In 2017, the economic situation was not as it is today, it is very harsh and many economic issues and war , terrorism etc have reason which has opened more channels for bitcoin patronage. Also, there was no covid-19 that has the major role for not contacting it is avoiding constants and fiat passes from one person to the other person. As such it was a reason for the early off shoot of price last year April and may. So at the moment, the harsh economic development is going to benefit the rising of bitcoin more.

[wheelz1200]

i am wondering if Bitcoin will fall again like it happened in 2018 after the Bull run !
even in this time the price raised too much faster in shorter time.
last two days Bitcoin price felt 10000 $
i know that some news affect the market, but should we sell now in this panic ! or should we hold 
i am a little bit confused
 

Nothing ever goes exactly what it did before.  But knowing now what bitcoin did from 2018 to now, I'm sure abunch of people wouldn't mind another discount drop on bitcoin prices. 

[milewilda]

i am wondering if Bitcoin will fall again like it happened in 2018 after the Bull run !
even in this time the price raised too much faster in shorter time.
last two days Bitcoin price felt 10000 $
i know that some news affect the market, but should we sell now in this panic ! or should we hold 
i am a little bit confused
 

Nothing ever goes exactly what it did before.  But knowing now what bitcoin did from 2018 to now, I'm sure abunch of people wouldn't mind another discount drop on bitcoin prices. 

Some are really hoping for some crash and some doesnt really like to see the market to crash because they are already aiming for new all time highs but there are people whom do
 want to buy bitcoin for bargain price and do sell up when it recovers.Sounds a very typical or basic thing but really hard to be done when you are on the actual situation.
There might be no guarantees of such repeat of history but no one really knows on what would happen next because it would always vary with the demand
and other sentiments in the market which can really affect on the movements.

[karanggatak]

maybe yes but with a different floor, the scenario of bitcoin will be from the start of the halving to the halving now everything is similar but this year bitcoin has not yet reached its peak so we don't know the next lowest floor of bitcoin until nearing the halving in 2024, for those who want to invest are advised to wait until the end the year or mid-2022 may be able to get the best price for HODL until the next halving.

[Ridwan Fauzi]

If you doubt to hold bitcoin then you have to sell your bitcoin now, don't hold it for long term pariode. Also, investing in bitcoin is not easy as you think. You have to know the characteristic price movement first before you buy it because eventually you will be like that.

I guess if you know already about technical analyst and fundamental analyst then you will know what will you do. And yeah, this situation will just make you confuse to what will you have to do and this will only tire you out.

[South Park]

i am wondering if Bitcoin will fall again like it happened in 2018 after the Bull run !
even in this time the price raised too much faster in shorter time.
last two days Bitcoin price felt 10000 $
i know that some news affect the market, but should we sell now in this panic ! or should we hold 
i am a little bit confused
 

No, it will not be the same and that will be because everyone is aware of what happened during 2018, if someone had known beforehand what bitcoin would do during that year then he could have taken perfect decisions based on that information, this time it is going to be different, we could still see a crash but it could happen sooner or the crash could not be as big as the one we saw or there is the possibility there is no crash at the end of this year and the price keeps increasing in a constant way for months or even for a year after 2021 ends.

[Zemomtum]

The 2017 Bullrun was orchestrated by the Whales and this time around, the institution and right people in the world are involved. The game gonna be different and we might likely have a year-long bull run this time around.

[jaberwock]

The 2017 Bullrun was orchestrated by the Whales and this time around, the institution and right people in the world are involved. The game gonna be different and we might likely have a year-long bull run this time around.

But I am not seeing any big differences between whales and institutions; both are dangerous as they may manipulate up to any level just for their benefits and definitely may not look for long term holding. Usually people do say like, we just needs adopters and not buyers. It means only when more people get involving into bitcoin ecosystem the we can have sustaining market conditions otherwise high volatility is the final condition of bitcoin markets.

I still agree, this time bitcoin bull cycle will be different as there are lots of new investors are on board and bull run may last longer than 2017's bull run.

[STT]

Dollar index rose in 2018 for most of the year and it had fallen in 2017.    Also you could off the presidential cycle in USA which is the world reserve global currency, it shouldnt be moving off dollar that much but its a funding currency and strength or weakness drives the pricing in lots of volatile or risk based assets which I guess has to apply to crypto which is still under much development and expansion.   I'll always argue crypto has to keep innovating and thats the ultimate guide to its continued success and expansion and so to price will follow but its on a lagged effect and its easier to keep watching dollar in comparison it degrades at a faster rate but still I expect BTC to develop further also.

[ultrloa]

The 2017 Bullrun was orchestrated by the Whales and this time around, the institution and right people in the world are involved. The game gonna be different and we might likely have a year-long bull run this time around.

But I am not seeing any big differences between whales and institutions; both are dangerous as they may manipulate up to any level just for their benefits and definitely may not look for long term holding. Usually people do say like, we just needs adopters and not buyers. It means only when more people get involving into bitcoin ecosystem the we can have sustaining market conditions otherwise high volatility is the final condition of bitcoin markets.

I still agree, this time bitcoin bull cycle will be different as there are lots of new investors are on board and bull run may last longer than 2017's bull run.

Its dangerous to the extent that they might manipulate and dump more the price after they done take advantage on its profitability, but I guess this is far to happen imagine how big they can possibly lost for then in the long term if they will just do a 1 time big shot. For sure they will make this last long since this is the resort where they can earn big money by quick scheme.

[LogitechMouse]

I've watched videos on Youtube regarding this and the bull run in general.
Some of them said that the bull run might end this year specifically in September-October. Some are saying that we are just at the beginning of the bull run and some said that we are at the middle of it base on some charts.

For me, its yes and its a no in short we don't know. You are just asking the same question that I always see on social media. Asking if it will go down or will go up. Is it a good time to buy because they are also confused like you and stuffs like that. Why did you invest in the first place though?? Panic? I don't think that there is panicking right now aside from you and the newbie investors out there.

As for me, I'm not panicking and I'm still holding. Now regarding to the OP's question, it might happen or it might not. Build a strategy that will help you whenever it will happen or it will not.

[Ararbermas]

i am wondering if Bitcoin will fall again like it happened in 2018 after the Bull run !
even in this time the price raised too much faster in shorter time.
last two days Bitcoin price felt 10000 $
i know that some news affect the market, but should we sell now in this panic ! or should we hold  
i am a little bit confused
 

bitcoin always find new support in order for the price to don't fall like a rock.. And yes i agree that there's always a the same scenario every year but in my opinion it's impossible to make the same structure of the graph especially if it has new ATH. for that reason its a big advantage for the growth rate to reach resistance again after falling.. Just imagine if we will make a comparison between the prices way back 2018-20121 i think its impossible to happen again..

[LUCKMCFLY]

Eventually 2018 was a very black year for Bitcoin, because the truth was there was no institutional investment that could support the price of Bitcoin, but today it is different, many institutions do believe in bitcoin, such as Paypal, Microestrategy, Elon Musk, among others.

There are also other institutions that did not trust bitcoin and are totally sorry, because at the time they could have bought bitcoin what they did was buy gold, due to the safe haven issue and the high volatility of the Bitcoin market, such is the case BNY BELLON FUND, in this article they relate it:

Despite regretting the lack of MSTR exposure of its Opportunistic Small Cap Fund, BNY Mellon is making significant investments in the crypto sector, leading the $133 million Series C funding round of institutional crypto custodian Fireblocks last month.

In February, BNY Mellon also announced plans to offer Bitcoin custody services.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bny-mellon-fund-laments-we-should-have-bought-bitcoin-not-gold

They make a lot of emphasis that Microstrategy did not hesitate to invest in bitcoin, which are now making great profits, for their part BNY are changing the strategy and will start investing in Bitcoin, not bad, I think it is never too late. If this scenario had happened in 2018, the price of Bitcoin currently I think it would be trading in the order of $ 200k.