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Author Topic: When Altseason ?  (Read 571 times)
BTC_Mouse (OP)
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May 05, 2021, 05:04:34 AM
Merited by CryptopreneurBrainboss (1)
 #1

Don't focus on a date but understand money flow. Duration of the phases are parabolic meaning first takes longest & last goes fastest. Phases overlap & can temporarily reverse. Prepare accordingly.

Path to Altseason
Alt season is a function of the market due to new participants flooding into crypto around the same time .This is usually triggered by the BTC mining supply halving every 4 years (which causes a surge in price) or a sudden loss of faith in centralized fiat currencies. The duration of the phases are parabolic in nature meaning Phase 1 takes the longest & Phase 4 goes the fastest. Phases overlap & can temporarily reverse before continuing but we always end up at the mania of Al t season . It's  likely there are multiple Al t seasons per crypto bull cycle of varying degrees. The biggest one being after the end of bitcoin's bull run when the largest number of participants enter the markets.

Phase 1: Bitcoin

Money Flow
- Flow of money moves into Bitcoin causing prices surges
Phase      - Money flows into Ethereum but it struggles to keep up with Bitcoin
Overlap   - Ethereum goes back and forth with bitcoin and starts outperforming it

Phase 2: Ethereum
Money Flow :
-Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin and we hear talks of the flippening
Phase Overlap - Money is flowing into large caps where we see large buy ups happening

Phase 3: Large Caps

Money Flow :
Ethereum has been outperforming Bitcoin and large caps are going parabolic
Phase Overlap - Regardless of market cap, some altcoins with strong fundamentals are having pumps

Phase 4: Altseason

- Large caps have gone full vertical and we're seeing blow off tops
- Mid caps, low caps, micro caps all tend to pump around the same time
- Large caps have been outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum
- It seem every coin is going parabolic regardless of fundamentals
- Meme's are everywhere, everyone is super excited and you feel the mania in the air

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May 05, 2021, 06:01:08 AM
 #2

Has not altcoin season been starting since last year? I can't believe if that cycle was true. An altcoin is still growing when bitcoin is very stable. We didn't see any increase happened with bitcoin since ethereum has been growing so much. TBH it's quite difficult to determine whether we have entered the altcoin or not.


People are arguing altcoin season is happening anytime wben bitcoin stabilizes.

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May 05, 2021, 06:45:58 AM
 #3

There is no guarantee that anything will happen in the order you say it will. We are about to see CBDCs and real world adoption. All the money in the world is going to crypto.
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May 05, 2021, 06:59:18 AM
 #4

If you look at your analysis, now we have entered phase 3 where the ethereum rise has started to occur and bitcoin dominance is slowly falling. and then we will enter the altcoin season, after that what will happen?
will there be a repeat like the previous bullrun? Where after the market reaches its peak, the market crashes and the long winter comes?

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May 05, 2021, 07:31:39 AM
 #5

after that what will happen?
will there be a repeat like the previous bullrun? Where after the market reaches its peak, the market crashes and the long winter comes?
Bull run is already occurring. The question here is until when, market will definitely go down but everybody keeps on grinding like theis season would never end. Almost all the project have been hit their new ATH even the old ones. So literally we already surpass the previous bull run and this time it's not bubble cause many institutional players that are going in too.

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May 05, 2021, 09:59:11 AM
 #6

because btc dominance has gone down now, i think now is the time for altseason and most people also assume that, but still can't say that because btc is also still stable and sometimes goes up.Maybe the next 1 or 2 months to be the determinant.

I agree with that, now it is in the Ethereum and Large Caps phase, it is very clear that Ethereum has increased when the Bitcoin price is corrected,
and also large caps such as Ethereum Classic, EOS, Doge and Binance are also experiencing the same thing, wait until the medium cap moves then low cap too will go up,
yes its calling Altcoin Season, Hold and don't sell cheap!

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May 05, 2021, 10:03:14 AM
 #7

... People are arguing altcoin season is happening anytime wben bitcoin stabilizes.

For me, the main criterion for the start of the altcoin season is the fact that the price of altcoins begins to increase not only in relation to the dollar, but also in relation to BTC. But if we look at the ETH/BTC pair, we will see that it is still very far from the maximum values of the altcoin price.

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May 05, 2021, 10:50:53 AM
 #8

I am aware of this phases as you mentioned them OP but i am not sure if they are still correct for the current market anymore. I mean it all started with a strong bitcoin performance a few months ago. Than we had the Defi-Hype with a lot of new and small projects doing x50 or even more while most of the big projects like IOTA, NEO or DASH had almost no movement at all and those coins have still not reached their old ATH from 2018 while others like ETH tripled their ATH from that time. Now in the last weeks ETH pumped in a big way and of course Doge is pumping again which i would have never expected because it already pumped a few weeks ago. So those cycles you mentioned are not always correct.
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May 05, 2021, 11:20:18 AM
 #9

The altcoin season already starts this year as we see many altcoins can increase and lift the price. Some altcoins can double their price and make a new ATH, but the other altcoins need more time to start. The altcoin season is not yet to end and will still increase this year, while bitcoin price can still increase later. But we can not expect the altcoin price can increase in a short time and we will see a fluctuation of the price from all of the altcoins.

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May 06, 2021, 10:46:38 AM
 #10

Has not altcoin season been starting since last year? I can't believe if that cycle was true. An altcoin is still growing when bitcoin is very stable. We didn't see any increase happened with bitcoin since ethereum has been growing so much. TBH it's quite difficult to determine whether we have entered the altcoin or not.


People are arguing altcoin season is happening anytime wben bitcoin stabilizes.
I believe it is safe to say that we shouldn't Waite for a particular time to consider as the Altcoin season because most Alts have really had a good run since even back as January and are still performing well now. Am afraid if we keep waiting for Alt season we might miss the market if we are already in it and less dont forget that the market situation now is different from before.
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May 06, 2021, 11:34:54 AM
 #11

Altseason is already here and it can be seen on all continents. The second question is how long can this continue.
I think that this will not last too long and it is worth being prepared for a fall in the market.
I think we still have time to grow until the next FRS meeting.
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May 06, 2021, 12:07:08 PM
 #12

As I think, the next year will be a year of growth, a lot of well-growing projects can be identified with one DEFI designation. This is something that can bring you money, and I think many centenarians will agree with me. Decide which project is closer to you and support it.
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May 06, 2021, 12:48:56 PM
 #13

There is no guarantee that anything will happen in the order you say it will. We are about to see CBDCs and real world adoption. All the money in the world is going to crypto.

Agreed, So many big companies and banks were seeing crypto as a potential way to offer the digital service. The adoption will be starting very soon. The price of crypto and bitcoin are very stable at this moment.
Im sure that the season can change anytime. That depends on the trend that happened in the crypto market.
CBDC can enter to the crypto. There are lots of crypto companies already prepared for that to happen very soon.
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May 06, 2021, 01:14:24 PM
 #14

There is no guarantee that anything will happen in the order you say it will. We are about to see CBDCs and real world adoption. All the money in the world is going to crypto.
And it is not totally Altseason but Mass adoption , because Seasonal Market flow means nonsense for me and what we need is a real movement and not manipulated like what does happen since then.
Now that we are seeing a True value of marketing and investing Lets hope that what OP posted is just a initial going and we are heading to Adoption from the whole world and the money of the world will be vested inside crypto to be used and circulated .

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May 06, 2021, 01:25:18 PM
 #15

I heard news, that investors start pay attention for altcoins and ETH, thats why we see growing of ETH last time, insiders talking that altcoin season is coming now!

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May 06, 2021, 03:57:22 PM
 #16

I guess the altcoin has started early, even at bitcoin's peak some of the major alts is moving vertically and establishing all time high. And currently, bitcoin's dominance has been slash to less than 50%, the same numbers when alts started its run in 2017. Not saying that it will end up the same, or bitcoin's bull run is already done because it is not, we are just starting to see the beginning of it. But as far as altcoin season goes, it's run has started.

 
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May 06, 2021, 07:52:54 PM
 #17

Has not altcoin season been starting since last year? I can't believe if that cycle was true. An altcoin is still growing when bitcoin is very stable. We didn't see any increase happened with bitcoin since ethereum has been growing so much. TBH it's quite difficult to determine whether we have entered the altcoin or not.


People are arguing altcoin season is happening anytime wben bitcoin stabilizes.
I would argue it is the opposite, the price of bitcoin stabilizes because people think its price is too high and they slowly but surely prefer to invest in altcoins, this makes the price of bitcoin even more stable and it definitely marks the beginning of an altcoin season, however people need to be careful as the price of altcoins can easily crash and this could be the case as sooner or later people will want to convert their profits back to fiat or bitcoin and they will leave altcoins behind and many retail investors will lose their money when they try to hold their altcoins not realizing that holding altcoins is most of the time a mistake.
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May 07, 2021, 04:38:17 AM
 #18

The question now should be when is the altcoins season ending, if anyone is still asking when is the altcoins season begining then that person must have been in the dark. Alt season started late last year and it continued into this year. Already we have seen different alts doing impressive numbers and other old coins recording new highs.

Investing in altcoins now should be very strategic as no one knows when the corrections will start coming in. We're in the last stage that's if there'll be more to come which probably will take us into year end.

If there was no precautions measure already put in place like stop loss then that should be set up immediately as anything can happen. Avoid investing in shitcoin now, sure they have given huge profit but don't let that fool you into investing in scam as that's likely what'll be trending now.

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Cling18
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May 07, 2021, 05:35:14 AM
 #19

Alt season is now occurring and it's the best time for us to grab the chance of gaining a good profit since we have waited for it for such a long time. Lots of potential altcoins are pumping but we can't say when it will end. As for me, the altcoin season could possibly end when the Bitcoin dominance occurs again so we shouldn't miss harvesting what we have sowed years ago.
malikg18
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May 07, 2021, 05:45:35 AM
 #20

Bitcoin Dominance is decreasing slowly and Ethereum is continuously increasing. Ethereum always lead the Big Altcoin season.Now Eth is increasing and will also lead the Altcoin season in the next few weeks hopefully.
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