A closer zoom in of that channel (I readjusted it, messed it up sligtly in the first image in OP)
If 42k wont hold (I guess it wont because there was no buying pressure at 43k, bounce to 45k is weak and with low volume - and caused by tweet) I'll be aiming for 38-40k$ range. I expect to see lots of blood in this area. Extreame fear. We will break suport from 28 FEB, we will break 40k - psychological support, we will reach -40% from ATH, we will hit 200MA on daily. At this price we will see "bitcoin is dead" articles all around the place. This will be a great bottom.