When do you swap your BTC for ETH and then ETH back to BTC in macro terms?

[4thewin]

Hi,  

BTC has a 4 year cycle. When it peaks, the next month or so ETH has run up  like crazy.  
What is the general consensus on when it's a good idea to ditch BTC and swap it into ETH?  And how much of your BTC do you swap to ETH? 100%?
I understand that when ETH is doing better against BTC you should swap, but it's not so easy in real-time when you do not know how the future is going to unfold.
So would appreciate your insights.

Also, is there a go-to place to discuss strategy, either on this board or somewhere else? I actually can't find a crypto strategy forum that isn't littered with nonsense.

Thank you!

[tbct_mt2]

BTC has a 4 year cycle. When it peaks, the next month or so ETH has run up  like crazy.

You can not rely on past records to make your speculation then decisions. Bitcoin and Ethereum are different cryptocurrencies and their prices will be decided by upgrades, developments on their networks.

What you said is relating to capital flow on the market. From Bitcoin to altcoin and Ethereum is the biggest altcoin. However capital flow solely can not help price to rise.

Ethereum can rise one, two or three moths after Bitcoin tops up. You can not certainly it will in only one month.

[4thewin]

Thanks but all we have is historical data, and it appears that it's quite predictive. 
So within those parameters, there is a significant amount one can do to improve one's timing.
It's not just quite a guessing game.

So far ETH peaks in macro terms after BTC peaks, about a month later.