Maybe you're right, and maybe you're not - because if you remember a case that lasted almost 2 years, then there is some logic that admins & global mods do not make such statements public.
That case is exactly one of the reasons why I think it would be good to get some kind of response, instead waiting for two years to get some feedback, and it doesn't necessarily have to be public. I am pretty sure that majority of people active in that thread (or at least those that were asking for 2nd chance) would agree with this. I guess mods & admins have a good reason why they do it this way instead.
In the concrete case, saying "yes" or "no" at this point is certainly too early, but if we look realistically the chances are very small or none for a positive outcome.
Yep, totally agree on this, OP should exercise more patience as it's only been a week since he started ban appeal.