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Author Topic: The Life Cycle of Bitcoin  (Read 242 times)
ZOOOOM
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June 07, 2021, 02:14:05 AM
 #21

4. Decline Stage: Everything that has a beginning has an end. At the stage sales deteriorate drastically. And the product will phase off the market unless the product is redesigned. .
The days that will not come, or the days that will take centuries to come. Bitcoin is deflationary, people will like to hold and you will see all-time-high. Just see it as the digital gold.
I like your point of view, digital gold, the future of Bitcoin is the reference standard for the new economic order, the basic law of exchange rate reformulation, it will coexist with FIAT
SquirrelJulietGarden
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June 07, 2021, 02:28:13 AM
 #22

Bitcoin is in the growth stage and has yet matured.

Each four years, Bitcoin has a big bull run and it follows the Psychology of Market Cycle.
 
When the growth stage of Bitcoin expands further, I believe the cycle will be shorter than four years. Four years for big bull runs certainly but there will be more mini bull run in each 4 years. The bearish market during each four years will be shorter.

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Darker45
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June 07, 2021, 03:26:08 AM
 #23

The difference between Bitcoin and fleeting products is that Bitcoin is almost half-idea half-product. I don't disagree with the life cycle of a product. But I'm afraid it couldn't be fully applied to Bitcoin. The internet, for example, might survive for as long as humanity exists, but the dotcom and other internet-based products have already went through all the stages including the Decline Stage.

Bitcoin has definitely an end just like the earth, but it is not as if it could be likened to the life cycle of Bitcoin-based products. There was already rise and fall on Bitcoin-based products but Bitcoin itself will probably thrive for several more decades if not centuries. We're still at the earliest phase of the Introduction Stage.

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shoreno
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June 07, 2021, 05:48:13 AM
 #24

Now, trying to relate the above to BTC.
Is BTC at the introduction stage? I asked because there are still campaigns promoting BTC and BTC is not yet generally accepted by all.
where did you saw the campaign ? i dont see btc being promoted but it was the product/service that is being advertised and if you saw a btc logo in it , that means btc is supported  . btc is not new to be in the introduction stage but thousand and millions of people in the world already recognized btc.

Is BTC in growth stage? I asked because in past few years we have experienced improved sales of BTC.
yes it can be . the price of btc continues to grow except if there was a bear because the price growth was paused during these times .

Is BTC in maturity stage? I asked because after the recent dip in BTC it seems it's sales has reduced and there are altcoins too that are competing with BTC.
But I am very sure BTC is not in Decline Stage.
maturity stage is where btc fits the most but maturity stage does not define a decline but it defines a growth aswell . recently btc is going in a decline stage but that seem to be over now
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June 07, 2021, 04:10:08 PM
 #25

.


In your study of Product life cycles, I hope they taught you that the average product life cycle is ~10 years.
BTC born in 2010, so 11 years old, past the age of collapse for most products.
New Phase is beginning of Government Banning of said bitcoin product,
if Bitcoiners don't find a way to stop the increasing bans due to their global energy waste,
then we will be in the decline cycle with a very fast ride on the way down.

If I were you, Check out Cardano and it is a New 3rd Generation Blockchain product
It solved the energy efficient issue
It solved the onchain transactions issue
It has capabilities Bitcoin can't even dream of.
It product cycle is just beginning.  Smiley


FYI:
The thing Bitcoin needs to stay out of the decline stage is a design change to PoS,
but bitcoiners are refusing to evolve, so a permanent decline to $0 is possible.
Ethereum is evolving by switching to PoS design, so their product cycle will be continuing .

You are saying that bitcoin needs a redesign in order to remain relevant in the market. Also you noted that 10yrs is let's say average product life, now BTC is more than 10yrs.

But from mining table of bitcoin, it's estimated as the times goes the BTC becomes more valuable and scarce. It is somewhat confusing to determine actually how it will be in the future.

R


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Kez1817
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June 07, 2021, 04:34:48 PM
 #26

Bitcoin of course has also a life cycle because it consist of demand and supply. The life cycle of a product is broken into four stages—introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. From the introduction stage, we are now in developing or growth stage because we can see that bitcoins value are now increasing from $ cent to $62K. As for maturity, I don’t think it’s there yet because bitcoin’s adoption is just beginning. As for the decline, it depends on the demand and supply of bitcoin in the market. The decline for every product is inevitable. It means the product sales drop significantly and the demand will also decrease. The same with bitcoin but, it's to early to discuss about that. Also, I believe the demand for bitcoin will continue until next next generation as long as the adoption continue to increase.


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June 07, 2021, 07:53:12 PM
Last edit: June 07, 2021, 10:01:13 PM by TangentC
 #27

.


In your study of Product life cycles, I hope they taught you that the average product life cycle is ~10 years.
BTC born in 2010, so 11 years old, past the age of collapse for most products.
New Phase is beginning of Government Banning of said bitcoin product,
if Bitcoiners don't find a way to stop the increasing bans due to their global energy waste,
then we will be in the decline cycle with a very fast ride on the way down.

If I were you, Check out Cardano and it is a New 3rd Generation Blockchain product
It solved the energy efficient issue
It solved the onchain transactions issue
It has capabilities Bitcoin can't even dream of.
It product cycle is just beginning.  Smiley


FYI:
The thing Bitcoin needs to stay out of the decline stage is a design change to PoS,
but bitcoiners are refusing to evolve, so a permanent decline to $0 is possible.
Ethereum is evolving by switching to PoS design, so their product cycle will be continuing .

You are saying that bitcoin needs a redesign in order to remain relevant in the market. Also you noted that 10yrs is let's say average product life, now BTC is more than 10yrs.

But from mining table of bitcoin, it's estimated as the times goes the BTC becomes more valuable and scarce. It is somewhat confusing to determine actually how it will be in the future.

* The Product Cycle is more powerful, than the bitcoin mining table. *
* As Governments are going to have no choice but to ban it , to protect their power grids and their people.*

BTC has become more valuable as the number of altcoins have increased,
since this adds more bitcoin that have to offset the price of the market pairs with the altcoins.
Problems for Bitcoin , is more exchanges have begun direct US dollar pairing with alts,
which means BTC can now be left out of the trades all together.
Also the reason why Dodge is doing well, as it has many market pairing.
But as the Bans of BTC increase , more people are going to migrate to coins that
have cheaper transaction fees, are faster to transact with,
don't harm the environment or cause their personal electricity bills to increase.

Bitcoin is like Freon (what they used to put in the Air conditions) ,
Once it was discovered Freon was bad for the environment, they started banning it use,
As of Jan 1st , 2020 Freon has been permanently banned in the US,
Expect the same to happen to bitcoin,
if they don't redesign their PoW to quit harming the environment thru unnecessary waste.


FYI:
While their are only 21 million bitcoins,
Look at what happens when it is divided
If the smallest unit of bitcoin was
.5  then their are 42 million units of usable bitcoins
.25 then their are 84 million units of usable bitcoins
Bitcoin allows eight places to the right of the decimal
.00000001 gives 2.1 Quadrillion units of usable bitcoins called a satoshi
If you look at many exchanges , they are even trading at further to the right than 8, and LN has proposed 12 places to the right.
So Bitcoin is not as really scarce as they make out.
1 bitcoin continuing increasing to the right , is basically an unlimited commodity.
* No where in the real pysical world can you continue inflating to the right and
the unit still have any utility, where as in the virtual world such limits do not exist.  Smiley
 

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June 07, 2021, 10:09:30 PM
Last edit: June 07, 2021, 10:20:41 PM by TangentC
 #28

But, I didn't understand what you depicted in the above post. Has there ever been a scenario that only BTC is banned in a country and altcoins allowed to flourish?
Though BTC is the mother of cryptocurrency but special interest has never been taken on her during bans. It is always said "we ban Cryptocurrencies " and not we ban "Bitcoin ". It therefore means that where ever bitcoin suffers, altcoins suffer too vice versa.


Normally, but the current mining bans are bitcoin only ,
and only Bitcoin is receiving the bad PR.

China , Iran , and New York have banned bitcoin mining,
they have not banned any Proof of Stake from staking,
and to be honest PoS coins use so little power , they can't be tracked by power usage.
So staking is next to impossible to stop, and can even be run from a VPS or with a VPN in a country where it is acceptable.

But this movement to ban only bitcoin due to it's energy waste is growing.
https://www.treehugger.com/ban-bitcoin-5094352
Quote
Make Bitcoin carbon neutral with renewables or credits, or ban them.


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June 08, 2021, 03:32:49 AM
 #29

Bitcoin has a cycle. Of course, in this cycle, it is normal that there will be ups and downs. This time, Bitcoin's plunge is not the demise of Bitcoin, but rather normal things that happened in this cycle, which is a stage that Bitcoin's development must go through.
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June 08, 2021, 10:30:47 AM
 #30

~
But I am very sure BTC is not in Decline Stage.

Meh and it will never be.
I would not categorize BTC as a product but since we seemed to talk about product life stages here. Here is one from my findings about "growth stage".
"Growth Stage is the period during which the product eventually and increasingly gains acceptance among consumers."
Now to put it into perspective of Bitcoin, it hasn't been adopted a lot yet that most are dreaming of so yeah pretty much we're still in the growth stage.

Source: https://courses.lumenlearning.com/boundless-marketing/chapter/product-life-cycles/
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