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Author Topic: Tokyo 2020 Men's Olympics Basketball Tournament  (Read 2734 times)
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August 01, 2021, 03:51:13 PM
 #201

Today, we had 2 important group games.

The first one was between Argentina and Japan. It was a really important game for Argentina as they had a chance to be one of the best third-placed teams and qualify for the next round. They had to defeat Japan to make it. And they did it with a 97-77 score. And they have moved up to the 1st place among the third-placed teams. It was really unfortunate for Czech Republic to be out of top 2 and be eliminated.

The second one was between Spain and Slovenia. This was an important game in terms of finishing at the 1st place. And Slovenia were the losing side until the end of the 3rd quarter but they made a really huge comeback and managed to win the game, 95-87. Now they are the opponent of Germany in the quarter finals. And I feel like Slovenia will manage to move them out of their way as well. By the way, Slovenia have a really great win streak now. This is also one of the factors that fire up the team. And I wouldn't like to overlook Doncic. He is the most valuable player for the team surely.

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August 01, 2021, 04:39:38 PM
 #202

This Spain loss to Slovenia cost them a lot. Now they will have to face USA in 1/4 final - matchup worth final. I don't write-off Sapin, I think they are capable to beat USA, but obviously, it's opponent that you want to avoid until final.
Meanwhile, Slovenia will avoid USA in the road to the final. Germany isn't the most dangerous opponent. Potentially they will face France in semifinal, it will be tough, but still ,not USA.

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August 01, 2021, 06:05:49 PM
 #203

It looks like Spain is not lucky, considering that they will play against the USA in the quarter-finals. Regarding other teams, I guess France and Slovenia might be playing against each other in 1/2 finals. So the USA vs Slovenia match in the final is quite likely.
They should play the USA, they have to prove that they are a good team, USA is not that good as they were in the past Olympics, they lose their opening game and loss a couple of games in exhibition matches, so there's a chance that they'll be eliminated by Spain.

I would have fancied Slovenia chances of eliminating USA than that of Spain's, USA seemed to found quite a rhythm but that suggest they're unstoppable, The lines are up already and it's an early -12.5 for USA, that'd be the ride for me to be honest.

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August 01, 2021, 08:17:22 PM
 #204

^^This is how you know a good team and this is what differentiates a winner from a loser. If you are a winner team then even if your best player ends up scoring just 12 points then you still end up beating a good team. Everyone needs to realize that this is not the same Spain that gave USA trouble a decade ago, there are still same players in there with Rubio and gasol brothers and fernandez all of which are super old and even Pau is there so I think it is obvious that we should not see them as a great team, it is cool but that's about it. Doncic will score a lot of points of course but Slovenia needs to keep scoring even when he may not and then there is a chance they could win it all.

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August 01, 2021, 08:35:47 PM
 #205

It looks like Spain is not lucky, considering that they will play against the USA in the quarter-finals. Regarding other teams, I guess France and Slovenia might be playing against each other in 1/2 finals. So the USA vs Slovenia match in the final is quite likely.
Yeah unliky for spain they will face usa which after the loss against france i dont think they will repeat that mistake again plus that was the first game they lose in their last three olympics so i think the only capable team to beat them are slovenia.
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August 01, 2021, 09:10:49 PM
 #206

Spain drew the short straw and will face Team USA in the quarter-finals, here's rest of the matchups:


image source: https://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/men/2020/live-blog

Doncic is still undefeated with Slovenia, 16-0 now, and not so crazy path to the finals imo. 👀

Hmmm, I don't know, but I'm thinking the finals will be USA vs Slovenia

What do you think?

The Slovenia vs Spain game was interesting and competitive.
By the way, I was happy to see Abrines is playing for the Spain national team, he was even a good player in OKC (in my opinion)


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August 01, 2021, 09:24:36 PM
 #207

Spain drew the short straw and will face Team USA in the quarter-finals, here's rest of the matchups:


image source: https://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/men/2020/live-blog

Doncic is still undefeated with Slovenia, 16-0 now, and not so crazy path to the finals imo. 👀

Hmmm, I don't know, but I'm thinking the finals will be USA vs Slovenia

What do you think?
France has the chance this time so I think this will be hard battle for Slovenia if they are able to move on semi-final and face USA in the finals. These team for this Olympic is amazing, they all exceed my expectation and seeing the top countries in the quarter-finals, can't wait to watch them. I'll go for USA vs FRANCE in the finals!
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August 01, 2021, 09:26:32 PM
 #208

It looks like Spain is not lucky, considering that they will play against the USA in the quarter-finals. Regarding other teams, I guess France and Slovenia might be playing against each other in 1/2 finals. So the USA vs Slovenia match in the final is quite likely.
Yeah unliky for spain they will face usa which after the loss against france i dont think they will repeat that mistake again plus that was the first game they lose in their last three olympics so i think the only capable team to beat them are slovenia.

Upsets do happen in Olympics as well, the fact that USA can be beaten by a lower ranking than Spain, I think Spain here also has a chance to upset the USA. Spain is currently +12.5 and +540 on ML in my sports bookie, I guess we will see lots of bettors here backing Spain.
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August 01, 2021, 09:46:08 PM
 #209

Spain drew the short straw and will face Team USA in the quarter-finals, here's rest of the matchups:


image source: https://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/men/2020/live-blog

Doncic is still undefeated with Slovenia, 16-0 now, and not so crazy path to the finals imo. 👀

What a great match for the USA and this will be a must-win game since that team won the FIBA World CUP championship last time, Yeah! they are capable of beating the Team USA but I'm not sure if they can execute their skills when Kevin Durant and the other players are in their prime mode which will not give any chances to any team they will face in the Olympics.

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August 01, 2021, 09:56:49 PM
 #210

Upsets do happen in Olympics as well, the fact that USA can be beaten by a lower ranking than Spain, I think Spain here also has a chance to upset the USA. Spain is currently +12.5 and +540 on ML in my sports bookie, I guess we will see lots of bettors here backing Spain.

It's a trap. The USA now becomes more aggressive and serious after that first loss in the preliminary round. And besides, I think they are feeling relaxed during that time as even losing one, they will still have another chance for the Gold. Now entering the next round, they will be in serious mode.

Glad that my bet Slovenia is able to avoid France next round. I'm sure they can handle Germany. Likely, France and Slovenia might face each other on the Semis.

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August 01, 2021, 10:01:00 PM
 #211

Did someone watched Nigeria F team ? Because just by looking at stats, this team shoots the ball a lot so why would Japan be favorite with 1.10 odd ? I might risk it here and go with Nigeria F team as I have some faith in this girls that they will come and play aggressive as this is literally the last game for a chance to move on. By the way , odds are near 5 for Nigeria which is pretty great.

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August 01, 2021, 11:59:27 PM
 #212

So what happens here?

I just saw the scoreboard, the game is over and France won by 17 points,  the final score was 79-62.

What's the point spread of this game?
I'm guessing France still covers the spread here.

I lost my fun bet. Already expected but it's ok. I placed a $5 to win @24 odds which is worth risking because of the pointers on that game I mentioned. France is too much to handle and they are even able to cover a large handical.

By the way, the tournament is now in the Quarterfinals phase, and what a nice bracket there. Top teams won't compete with each other on that round so we will expect to see a good and exciting Finals match a few days from now. Like to see if what teams can make an upset against Favorites?
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August 02, 2021, 01:47:52 AM
 #213

France has the chance this time so I think this will be hard battle for Slovenia if they are able to move on semi-final and face USA in the finals. These team for this Olympic is amazing, they all exceed my expectation and seeing the top countries in the quarter-finals, can't wait to watch them. I'll go for USA vs FRANCE in the finals!
Hmmm, what you said makes a lot of sense, I didn't think about that possibility, France have a chance of going to the finals.

But I don't know, Luka Dončić is playing really well lately, if he can already contrast in NBA, imagine in the Olympics? Not all players participate in the NBA.

I believe, for France beat Slovenia, they will have to "annul" Luka Dončić and "not let him breathe". If France can do that, they have a good chance to beat Slovenia.

If Goran Dragic were playing, I believe the victory over France would be easier.

It will be a competitive game, but I still believe Slovenia will to the finals.

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August 02, 2021, 02:10:24 AM
 #214

Hmmm, what you said makes a lot of sense, I didn't think about that possibility, France have a chance of going to the finals.

It will be a competitive game, but I still believe Slovenia will to the finals.

Hold on, guys. Before that possibility of France vs Slovenia, they need to settle things first on their respective matches in the next round.

For Italy vs France, the former isn't a team that can be taken lightly. Their only 1 loss against undefeated Australia is a close match and ended up in just a 3 point lead. That's why even France is considered one of the tops as they beat the USA, people should expect that Italy will able to give a good close game against them.

For Slovenia vs Germany, I will be biased for Slovenia lol because of Luka being on my long-time fave team in NBA, Dallas Mavericks (I'm with Germany before when Dirk Nowitzki, still on Dallas Mavericks, is actively playing). But technical analysis-wise, Germany is also a team that can't be taken lightly.

And aside from that, the next round is a knockout round so no room for bad and worst performance so players will surely give their all. All teams on the next round are exciting to watch.

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August 02, 2021, 06:29:32 AM
 #215

Hold on, guys. Before that possibility of France vs Slovenia, they need to settle things first on their respective matches in the next round.

For Italy vs France, the former isn't a team that can be taken lightly. Their only 1 loss against undefeated Australia is a close match and ended up in just a 3 point lead. That's why even France is considered one of the tops as they beat the USA, people should expect that Italy will able to give a good close game against them.

For Slovenia vs Germany, I will be biased for Slovenia lol because of Luka being on my long-time fave team in NBA, Dallas Mavericks (I'm with Germany before when Dirk Nowitzki, still on Dallas Mavericks, is actively playing). But technical analysis-wise, Germany is also a team that can't be taken lightly.

And aside from that, the next round is a knockout round so no room for bad and worst performance so players will surely give their all. All teams on the next round are exciting to watch.
This is an interesting topic for us to discuss.

France is a good team, Slovenia too, I don't know, but as I said earlier, for France to win, it will be necessary to defend against Luka Dončić, if France will do that, their chances of winning will increase.

Ohh, I almost forget, with France's victory against the US, the confidence of the French players increased, and they proved that the US is a beatable team

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August 02, 2021, 06:47:15 AM
 #216

Ohh, I almost forget, with France's victory against the US, the confidence of the French players increased, and they proved that the US is a beatable team
It's true but it's still a long way. Although Germany, Italy, and Argentina are on the bad position at preliminary, they cannot just mess with them.
Italy especially who defeated 2 teams in their preliminary bracket and will face the France team now. Argentina also has a big chance to defeat Australia.
They were in the strongest bracket with Slovenia and Spain that is why their record went bad at 1-2. Australia could be at a good record at 3-0 but they cannot relax in this quarter Finals.
All games will be tomorrow at my time, I guess there will be no turning off the television.  Grin

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August 02, 2021, 07:52:27 AM
 #217

It looks like Spain is not lucky, considering that they will play against the USA in the quarter-finals. Regarding other teams, I guess France and Slovenia might be playing against each other in 1/2 finals. So the USA vs Slovenia match in the final is quite likely.
Yeah unliky for spain they will face usa which after the loss against france i dont think they will repeat that mistake again plus that was the first game they lose in their last three olympics so i think the only capable team to beat them are slovenia.

Upsets do happen in Olympics as well, the fact that USA can be beaten by a lower ranking than Spain, I think Spain here also has a chance to upset the USA. Spain is currently +12.5 and +540 on ML in my sports bookie, I guess we will see lots of bettors here backing Spain.

It happened before and it can happen again if team US will relax, Though for sure that last lost from France gives them the wake call that it's their country's pride that in stake,

And yeah you are right Spain is also a good contender here, might bring much emotions trying to extend their chance for a possible semis.

All in all, we have to wait for all those games and see who will advance. Good luck!

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August 02, 2021, 11:11:07 AM
 #218

It looks like Spain is not lucky, considering that they will play against the USA in the quarter-finals. Regarding other teams, I guess France and Slovenia might be playing against each other in 1/2 finals. So the USA vs Slovenia match in the final is quite likely.
Yeah unliky for spain they will face usa which after the loss against france i dont think they will repeat that mistake again plus that was the first game they lose in their last three olympics so i think the only capable team to beat them are slovenia.

Upsets do happen in Olympics as well, the fact that USA can be beaten by a lower ranking than Spain, I think Spain here also has a chance to upset the USA. Spain is currently +12.5 and +540 on ML in my sports bookie, I guess we will see lots of bettors here backing Spain.

It happened before and it can happen again if team US will relax, Though for sure that last lost from France gives them the wake call that it's their country's pride that in stake,

And yeah you are right Spain is also a good contender here, might bring much emotions trying to extend their chance for a possible semis.

All in all, we have to wait for all those games and see who will advance. Good luck!

Everyone is putting their bet on the USA, let's remember that this is a quarter-final, so Team Spain will give everything they have to compete. We also have to remember that this team has competed against the better USA version and they always give them good competition, therefore IMO the spread is just to high and Spain could cover it.

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August 02, 2021, 12:49:23 PM
 #219

Spain drew the short straw and will face Team USA in the quarter-finals, here's rest of the matchups:


image source: https://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/men/2020/live-blog

Doncic is still undefeated with Slovenia, 16-0 now, and not so crazy path to the finals imo. 👀

It feels like an early final for Spain and USA game. It's kinda bad match-up for the tournament, I wish they meet in finals like they used to in two of last three Olympics. I think whoever reach semi final from this match-up will get gold medal. When you think about USA's France loss you can understand Spain has a decent chance to beat USA too. If they achieve this they can get gold medal. USA is favorite anyway.
I expect France to beat Italy and Slovenia to beat Germany, for Australia I don't think they can pass Argentina. So semi finals could be France - Slovenia and Argentina - Spain/USA.
At that moment I won't be surprised any team to reach the final. I can't really pick a team between France and Slovenia. It's more dependent about Doncic's performance.
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August 02, 2021, 03:02:10 PM
 #220

Okay, so the bets for the quarter Finals opened already at Stake.com. Last time I checked it was not there yet. My bets are already locked in early for this 3 games.

Going underdogs for Argentina as I think there's a possibility for a win given they were grouped with Slovenia and Spain at preliminary. I just can't decide for Spain versus USA. Both teams are good but USA is the favorite here which had been going for most Olympics meet.
I am thinking risk high or just go with the spreads with +10 for Spain and be on the safe zone.  Undecided

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