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Author Topic: What have changed in BTC price  (Read 536 times)
BIN-BIN (OP)
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July 24, 2021, 03:45:36 PM
 #1

As at the time of creating this thread Bitcoin is sold for $33,900, in recent days the entire market led by Bitcoin has faced what looks like a bear market where bitcoin went below $30,000 late last week before recovering back to its present price. This has driven me to the conclusion that bitcoin in this year 2021 made the highest price movement since it was created a decade ago.
Can we now call 2021 the year of Bitcoin/crypto adoption year?
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July 24, 2021, 04:05:14 PM
 #2

If you look at the various statistical data on Bitcoin adoption so far, then I really agree that the increase is much more significant than in previous years. I really can't show all the evidence and data related to it all. maybe there are some pictures that I can show, regardless of the relevance it goes back to the extent to which you understand all the context of Bitcoin adoption from various elements.

You can see the source here:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/647374/worldwide-blockchain-wallet-users/
https://assets.bbhub.io/promo/sites/12/1060725_Crypto-Apr2021Outlook.pdf
https://research.aimultiple.com/cryptocurrency-stats/
https://techjury.net/blog/cryptocurrency-statistics/#gref
https://triple-a.io/crypto-ownership/


NOTE:
the rest use research first, because the sources I have listed are not necessarily authentic.

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elda34b
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July 24, 2021, 04:10:16 PM
 #3

I don't think price is the right indicator for the rate of adoption though. Obviously we got new ATH, but it's not the biggest jump if you compare it with the previous ATH. I think the hype is always bigger for each bull cycle, compared to 2017 it was definitely bigger imo.
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July 24, 2021, 04:19:53 PM
Merited by so98nn (1)
 #4

The price of Bitcoin increasing does not mean we have more adoption it just means there was more positive things effecting the price. Adoption is proven by the amount of people sending transactions on the Blockchain and that is the only indicator we have for adoption. Adoption is probably down from what it was pre 2018.
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July 24, 2021, 04:30:06 PM
Merited by AverageGlabella (1)
 #5

The price of Bitcoin increasing does not mean we have more adoption it just means there was more positive things effecting the price. Adoption is proven by the amount of people sending transactions on the Blockchain and that is the only indicator we have for adoption. Adoption is probably down from what it was pre 2018.

Decent!
Gold was also at it's best this year per ounce but we don't call it as Gold's adoption year since Gold has been valued and adopted since thousands of years ago! The preciousness of this asset was already known to the B.C. people as well as A.D. people.

The value of Gold is increasing ever since but it does not mean it was not adopted then or now!

The valuation is not from the value itself but the usefulness, properties and other factors define the ultimate adoption. Agree to this one.

The BTC price will keep hiking all the time based on direct and indirect factors but that never account for its real value and adoption criteria.
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July 24, 2021, 04:33:19 PM
 #6

Decent!
Gold was also at it's best this year per ounce but we don't call it as Gold's adoption year since Gold has been valued and adopted since thousands of years ago! The preciousness of this asset was already known to the B.C. people as well as A.D. people.

The value of Gold is increasing ever since but it does not mean it was not adopted then or now!

The valuation is not from the value itself but the usefulness, properties and other factors define the ultimate adoption. Agree to this one.

The BTC price will keep hiking all the time based on direct and indirect factors but that never account for its real value and adoption criteria.
People are not using Bitcoin as it was intended to be used at the moment and are using it for investing and will take out their earnings and put that back into fiat currencies. If the unstable prices of Bitcoin change and become more stable that is when more people will use Bitcoin as a currency instead of investing and profiting on it.
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July 25, 2021, 03:44:47 AM
 #7

To some extent the price of bitcoin is not a reflection of the level of adoption, the price remains a significant reflection of demands in the market and this increase in demand is traceable to more hands getting involved in Bitcoin trading, which shows one thing that is new investors buying into Bitcoin.

I quite agree that good news also contributes to the increase in Bitcoin price in the past, but currently, there is no such news on the headline lately if any please share with me.
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July 25, 2021, 03:51:25 AM
 #8

Can we now call 2021 the year of Bitcoin/crypto adoption year?

I mean, sure, but technically isn't every single succeeding year better than the previous year? 2021 is better than 2020, and 2022 will be better than 2021, etc etc. Taking note that Bitcoin adoption is still low(in contrast to TAM) and that the cryptocurrency space simply moves so fast.

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July 25, 2021, 05:16:07 AM
 #9

Maybe it is because Elon Musk effect. Actually I did a calculation for forecasting bitcoin price movement but since there is Elon Musk who get involved in bitcoin market then I have to count it by another way. I think significant bitcoin adoption will be happen for next 10 years since there are many countries which still ban bitcoin. Most of bitcoin buyers are investors who only want a profit. The impact of that will be different if those who buy bitcoin is an ordinary people who want to use bitcoin as payment method because if bitcoin is used to buy goods and etc then the company that earn profit from bitcoin will create more products that people need, at the same time it also increase the adoption of bitcoin, that's my opinion. Actually I have calculated bitcoin price movement, maybe it will not 100% accurate but I think the lowest level of bitcoin price at this bearish market is between 30k - 20k. I am not an expert so maybe I am wrong but I planning to buy bitcoin at 25k - 20k.

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July 25, 2021, 05:22:33 AM
 #10

As at the time of creating this thread Bitcoin is sold for $33,900, in recent days the entire market led by Bitcoin has faced what looks like a bear market where bitcoin went below $30,000 late last week before recovering back to its present price. This has driven me to the conclusion that bitcoin in this year 2021 made the highest price movement since it was created a decade ago.
Can we now call 2021 the year of Bitcoin/crypto adoption year?
The huge demand this year (Covid 19) has created a huge value driver for bitcoin. It is a fact, the popularity has increased, the application has also had new changes that are very practical and promising (El Salvado). I suppose, with the growth of bitcoin and crypto this year. It has achieved many successes in terms of popularity as well as the effect of influence from bitcoin.
Perhaps not yet, but we can count on it to be universally accepted by 2025.

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July 25, 2021, 05:28:16 AM
 #11

A bear market is when the price continues to go down. For example when price reached $30k in exactly 3 months ago if price went down to $25k 2 months ago and $20k 1 month ago and $15k today then it could have been considered a bear market.

A sideways market which could also be interpreted as the accumulation phase before the bull run on the other hand is when price stays in the same tight range for a long time. Which is exactly what has been happening for the past 3 months. When price entered the $30k range it remained there and the range it fluctuates in eventually got narrowed down to between $29k and $35k.
Unless price goes beyond any of these 2 numbers the trend remains the same sideways, not bull and not bear.

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July 25, 2021, 07:36:59 AM
 #12

Adoption rate is different from its current pricing.

The two cannot be compared to each other as they've got their own stats for each year. Well, if we're going to say that due to the ATH makes this year as the best year of bitcoin's adoption.

Then it won't be the best anymore next time once the price will be surpassed.

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July 25, 2021, 08:50:08 AM
 #13

The price of Bitcoin increasing does not mean we have more adoption it just means there was more positive things effecting the price. Adoption is proven by the amount of people sending transactions on the Blockchain and that is the only indicator we have for adoption. Adoption is probably down from what it was pre 2018.

How can you say that bitcoin adaption is down from 2018 ? In 2018 and prior, there was only whales and retail in the market but in the present time many institutions have adopted bitcoin. Marketcap is another way of looking at the adoption of bitcoin. As the marketcap grows, it means more and more people are holding and using bitcoins.

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July 25, 2021, 09:10:11 AM
 #14

As at the time of creating this thread Bitcoin is sold for $33,900, in recent days the entire market led by Bitcoin has faced what looks like a bear market where bitcoin went below $30,000 late last week before recovering back to its present price.
I think we've been in the bear market for months now, and I don't see any signs of recovery. As for the price growth, it was higher in 2017 than in 2021.
If you look at the various statistical data on Bitcoin adoption so far, then I really agree that the increase is much more significant than in previous years. I really can't show all the evidence and data related to it all. maybe there are some pictures that I can show, regardless of the relevance it goes back to the extent to which you understand all the context of Bitcoin adoption from various elements.
You can see the source here:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/647374/worldwide-blockchain-wallet-users/
Statista's visualization looks very weird, I don't think it's helpful in seeing the general trend, given how it's more detailed closer to the current date. But blockchain offers data of their own, and the adoption rate going higher in 2021 than could be expected from the graph is more obvious there. But still, 75 million users is close to nothing when we compare it with the world's population, and at this rate true mass adoption (similar to that of smartphones or the Internet) is unlikely within our lifetimes.

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July 25, 2021, 09:11:20 AM
 #15

As at the time of creating this thread Bitcoin is sold for $33,900, in recent days the entire market led by Bitcoin has faced what looks like a bear market where bitcoin went below $30,000 late last week before recovering back to its present price. This has driven me to the conclusion that bitcoin in this year 2021 made the highest price movement since it was created a decade ago.
Can we now call 2021 the year of Bitcoin/crypto adoption year?

What do you mean? bitcoin has been rebounding since hitting $29k, perhaps it was really cheap for the majority of us and bought a lot during this dip. No, 4 years we will see the price moving very high, it's cyclical, so there's no such thing as highest price movement because obviously the next couple of years we will see another exponential growth. Same as crypto adoption, every year it's growing, so there is no definite "Bitcoin/crypto adoption year".

Every 4 year cycle is different.

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July 25, 2021, 10:29:33 AM
 #16

Hopefully, the bear trend is leaving the market and the bull trend comes to the market as we know that the price has already increased and back to $34k.
But if that is about bitcoin/crypto adoption, I think that already happened a few years ago and maybe it started from 2013-2015.
Maybe the peak of the adoption happened in 2017 as the bitcoin price reached $20k but unfortunately, the price is down too deep and makes many people frustrated to see the price.
But in this year, people see that bitcoin price get the chance to increase and they see bitcoin already hit $64k.
That makes the adoption process run and gives courage to some countries to accept bitcoin.

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July 25, 2021, 08:37:14 PM
 #17

It might seem so, @2021 being the year of bitcoin adoption in comparison to the past years and there is way too much events to have made this transformation  possible. The 2020 year was a year clouded with events. From the biggest event of all which was the covid pandemic, the bitcoin halving and the bullrun followed by Elon musks Tesla bitcoin purchase. All these contributed to why bitcoin had the sort of surge it had this year and why the bearish looks of the market is most likely to take a while before we see some substantial move towards the bullish side that would last much longer. The market is a bit stabilized now the way I see it. Still hoping it stays so though.

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July 25, 2021, 08:53:48 PM
 #18

As at the time of creating this thread Bitcoin is sold for $33,900, in recent days the entire market led by Bitcoin has faced what looks like a bear market where bitcoin went below $30,000 late last week before recovering back to its present price. This has driven me to the conclusion that bitcoin in this year 2021 made the highest price movement since it was created a decade ago.
Can we now call 2021 the year of Bitcoin/crypto adoption year?
Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency present today is still undervalued and still has low adoption. Rember that every year, there are more and more bitcoin adoption that is happening. Just like the recent news in which some countries lawfully turned bitcoin as their currency. Imagine having more countries doing that in the next years.
Just like what others said, adoption doesn't necessarily mean it affects the price directly.

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July 26, 2021, 08:19:27 AM
 #19

After the price reached the ATH this had to get some correction and rest in lower levels to save the potential for reaching a new ATH. There are many factors for bitcoin to start growing and some factors are actually happening, when the prices reach lower prices levels and people start to buy dip greedy the first factors will happen, and since the price could reach nearly 29.2K, many people were greedy and this greed made the bullish cycle get started, also we should consider the fundamental side of the story were Dorsey and Mask made a positive fundamental effect that's how everything changed on market.

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July 26, 2021, 05:55:22 PM
 #20


Statista's visualization looks very weird, I don't think it's helpful in seeing the general trend, given how it's more detailed closer to the current date. But blockchain offers data of their own, and the adoption rate going higher in 2021 than could be expected from the graph is more obvious there. But still, 75 million users is close to nothing when we compare it with the world's population, and at this rate true mass adoption (similar to that of smartphones or the Internet) is unlikely within our lifetimes.

Therefore, I provide a note below so as not to use what I say as a benchmark to see the current statistical comparison. And with that I totally agree with you that the mass adoption that is happening is more of a big big act which we can access via smartphones.

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