... most novices will only follow the hypes, taking the price when it is already pumping and then losing the chance to take profits, price falls and dropped again and again.
Well, the right coin is the one that has the best chance to keep the price going up for longer periods of time. But we do have to take into account the chance of a sudden drop due to a pump and dump scheme that would benefit very few of us. So the first idea is to do some research on a coin and check out the amount of trading volume. This would indicate if the coin has a strong user base and that will in turn indicate the strength of the community backing it.