JJG’s Outline of Bitcoin Investment Ideas

[Grease5000]

I think we should be careful not to be treating the four year cycle as if it is a guarantee of more recent market outcomes. The fact that it has happened several times in the past doesn’t mean it must happen again the same way

Of course every market cycle has unfolded under different conditions over the years, but while history can be able to give us a perspective of what might happen in the market, but it shouldn’t be the basis for certainty.

Perhaps investing with the understanding of bitcoin fundamentals and having a long term outlook is a more better approach than trying to rely on historical patterns before making investments decisions. That way even if the market behaves differently one day, you’re gonna be less likely to be caught off guard.

I agree with you. For me, I think the four year cycle is something we should learn from, not something to depend on because no one knows what  the next cycle will be like or if the next cycle will look like the previous ones.

That's why I  will tell investors not to  base their investment on market patterns or sentiment. I prefer  to stick to DCA, by using my discretionary income and focus  mainly on accumulating Bitcoin for the long term. If history repeats itself, that's fine. But if it  doesn't I will still stick to a plan that doesn't depend on predicting the market.

[ruykeri]

I think we should be careful not to be treating the four year cycle as if it is a guarantee of more recent market outcomes. The fact that it has happened several times in the past doesn’t mean it must happen again the same way

Of course every market cycle has unfolded under different conditions over the years, but while history can be able to give us a perspective of what might happen in the market, but it shouldn’t be the basis for certainty.

Perhaps investing with the understanding of bitcoin fundamentals and having a long term outlook is a more better approach than trying to rely on historical patterns before making investments decisions. That way even if the market behaves differently one day, you’re gonna be less likely to be caught off guard.

I agree with you. For me, I think the four year cycle is something we should learn from, not something to depend on because no one knows what  the next cycle will be like or if the next cycle will look like the previous ones.

That's why I  will tell investors not to  base their investment on market patterns or sentiment. I prefer  to stick to DCA, by using my discretionary income and focus  mainly on accumulating Bitcoin for the long term. If history repeats itself, that's fine. But if it  doesn't I will still stick to a plan that doesn't depend on predicting the market.

An investor does not need to worry so much about cycles at the beginning of his investment. It is important to maintain consistency in investment while investing in Bitcoin. A new investor does not need to worry about how many cycles it will go through and what the price of Bitcoin will be after the cycle. These thoughts can create unnecessary mental instability in an investor.

[Yablee0]

You are right, investing with money that you can afford to lose doesn’t mean that people should expect that bitcoin will crash one day or that theyre going to lose all their money. It is just a warning that people shouldn’t invest with money meant for house rent, fees school, bill or food stuff. 

I completely disagree with your explanation about investing with what you can afford to loss. Of course the reason why we frequently suggest that every person should invest with what they can afford to loss is due to the fact that there's no guarantee if the price of Bitcoin will go up in the future. then again we don't know if Bitcoin will crash one day so these are the reasons why it is advised to invest with what  you can afford to loss. Isn't because of house rent, school fees or bla bla bla, But it's due to these reasons I gave here, there's every possiblity that Bitcoin will crash one day you really can't tell because it's a decentralized digital asset.

I think you mixing up things. If you are claiming that wasn't the right explanation of what we can afford to lose then what better way can you explain it for newbies not to be mislead. Because from what I understand is that the discretionary funds is the funds we can afford to lose as it's the remaining funds after every necessary expenses ( feeding, house rentage, children school fees etc) has already been taking care of so that if their is any uncertainty just as you earlier said one won't be totally distabilize. Perhaps, I was just curious if their is any other funds that better describe the funds we can afford to lose like the discretionary funds.

[Soldroplet]

[Edited Out]

An investor does not need to worry so much about cycles at the beginning of his investment. It is important to maintain consistency in investment while investing in Bitcoin. A new investor does not need to worry about how many cycles it will go through and what the price of Bitcoin will be after the cycle. These thoughts can create unnecessary mental instability in an investor.

I think it’s helpful for new investors to have a basic understanding of cycles. But investment decisions should never be based on cycle predictions or future price predictions. None of us can say for sure what the price of Bitcoin will reach in the next cycle or how long it will last. When planning based on such assumptions, many investors use the DCA- method to stop investing in Bitcoin or wait for a better price.
The most important thing about investing in Bitcoin in the long term is to maintain your cash flow, buy Bitcoin regularly from your discretionary income, and consistently grow your savings. Market cycles will come and go over time, but in the end, consistent savings are more important. Also, you should maintain financial discipline so that you don’t have to force yourself to sell Bitcoin during a sudden market decline.

[alankasman]

...

I agree with you. For me, I think the four year cycle is something we should learn from, not something to depend on because no one knows what  the next cycle will be like or if the next cycle will look like the previous ones.

That's why I  will tell investors not to  base their investment on market patterns or sentiment. I prefer  to stick to DCA, by using my discretionary income and focus  mainly on accumulating Bitcoin for the long term. If history repeats itself, that's fine. But if it  doesn't I will still stick to a plan that doesn't depend on predicting the market.

You're right, in a way. It can't be relied on especially since we don't fully understand what will happen over a significant period of time. The goal is simply to avoid things going in a direction that doesn't align with our desires. Moreover current market cycles are always different whether daily or monthly. Moreover there are those who like to predict cycles. This is certainly not something that needs to be done. It's difficult to rely on them without studying the relevant events that will occur over a specified period of time.

Currently, I think it's better to just accumulate to increase the amount we'll have in the future. Long-term accumulation is better than worrying about market sentiment. Market sentiment will always happen differently than we predict. Therefore right now accumulating Bitcoin is the most appropriate way to make a long-term investment. It's more appropriate because we clearly understand the amount we've accumulated against the value that will become our future assets. By doing so I think we're freeing ourselves from our thoughts which aren't always focused on market prices.

[Popkon6]

I agree with you. For me, I think the four year cycle is something we should learn from, not something to depend on because no one knows what  the next cycle will be like or if the next cycle will look like the previous ones.

That's why I  will tell investors not to  base their investment on market patterns or sentiment. I prefer  to stick to DCA, by using my discretionary income and focus  mainly on accumulating Bitcoin for the long term. If history repeats itself, that's fine. But if it  doesn't I will still stick to a plan that doesn't depend on predicting the market.

An investor does not need to worry so much about cycles at the beginning of his investment. It is important to maintain consistency in investment while investing in Bitcoin. A new investor does not need to worry about how many cycles it will go through and what the price of Bitcoin will be after the cycle. These thoughts can create unnecessary mental instability in an investor.

Those who research the price before or after investing in Bitcoin will not be able to survive for a long time, they will have to face problems with Bitcoin investment. Researching the price of Bitcoin will create greed in that investor, as a result, the person whose greed for money will be manifested will never be able to hold Bitcoin investment in the long term. Therefore, before investing in Bitcoin, one must make up one's mind and be patient by investing in Bitcoin in the long term.
Those people who have these things in their heart, will be able to travel the future days with their Bitcoin investment. So we will not research the price of Bitcoin here, we will research, and how to invest in Bitcoin safely in the future days

[Merit.s]

None of us can say for sure what the price of Bitcoin will reach in the next cycle or how long it will last. When planning based on such assumptions, many investors use the DCA- method to stop investing in Bitcoin or wait for a better price.

When using DCA method to accumulate bitcoin, you don't stop because the price of bitcoin is high or low. You keep buying regularly weekly provided that your discretionary income is available. You can only stop or skip your weekly buying when you don't have discretionary income at that particular time.

When you are waiting for a better price to buy bitcoin and stop your buying because you prefer waiting. You are buying at the dip and that's not DCA because when you're using DCA method to accumulate bitcoin, you don't time the market. You ongoingly buy bitcoin regularly, consistent and persistent and if possible aggressively overtime till you reach your bitcoin target.