Oscar Awards 2022 betting thread

[bbc.reporter]

Perhaps the only surprise in the nominees for best picture is the absence of House Of Gucci, but all other nominees on the list are well-deserved (except, maybe, Don't Look Up). Power Of The Dog by Jane Campion is a strong favorite, with Spielberg's West Side Story as a strong secondary contender.

I agree on Don’t Look Up. It was an entertaining comedy but not a movie for the Oscar awards. However, always there is politics in this. Leonardo di Caprio has the Hollywood connections to make his contemporaries vote for his projects in exchange for a chance to get favors hehehe.

My strong secondary is Belfast and my third is Coda. They are very good movies that everyone should watch. I shake my head when someone said there were no good movies created on 2021.

[fzkto]

I saw Matrix and its not half as bad as some are describing it, its not near to as good as the original but its not a bad stand alone movie by  itself.   I was especially impressed by the special effects and the general pace of action in the movie, Im glad they made the movie as its watchable for sure.   Its not likely an Oscar contender imo unless I missed a technical award it might receive but I'd expect other movies to qualify better overall.
  I dont think they advanced the story enough, its more of a revisit to the universe.   Anyone new to Matrix should make certain they watch them all in order dont begin with this and work backwards.

I thought the last part of the matrix was terrible, Keanu Reeves may have played his part well but the film was no different from regular action movies. I didn't like this film and I don't think it's worthy of an Oscar nomination in any way.

[RealMalatesta]

Perhaps the only surprise in the nominees for best picture is the absence of House Of Gucci, but all other nominees on the list are well-deserved (except, maybe, Don't Look Up). Power Of The Dog by Jane Campion is a strong favorite, with Spielberg's West Side Story as a strong secondary contender.

I agree on Don’t Look Up. It was an entertaining comedy but not a movie for the Oscar awards. However, always there is politics in this. Leonardo di Caprio has the Hollywood connections to make his contemporaries vote for his projects in exchange for a chance to get favors hehehe.

My strong secondary is Belfast and my third is Coda. They are very good movies that everyone should watch. I shake my head when someone said there were no good movies created on 2021.

Have you seen Belfast? It wasn't a comedy, it wasn't a historical mastermind like Schindler's list, it wasn't proper drama that made you cry, it was absolutely nothing. What was it that made it so "sure to win Oscars" movie? The great communication of the troubles some people had back in the day. That is literally it, nothing more. Political is the way to go now, and if you do historical "minority" then you would be sure to be somewhere.

King Richard was literally just a historical thing talking about father of Williams sisters father and even that got something, why? Because, it was political while talking about the life of them which is understandable because as black kids playing a majority white kid sport, it was a bit political. So Don't Look Up had all the potential to be nominated as any other, but will not get it just because it is not what was but what will be.

[PX-Z]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

[KTChampions]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

Betting on this event, it seems to me, is already quite an old game and we can say that it is quite widespread. At least every year before the ceremony in many media, news about these events are presented as "according to bookmakers, the favorite for the award is ...". When it comes to winning, it's like in sports, the bookies are pretty accurate in their predictions, so it's pretty hard to beat them.

[CaVO32]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

Betting on this event, it seems to me, is already quite an old game and we can say that it is quite widespread. At least every year before the ceremony in many media, news about these events are presented as "according to bookmakers, the favorite for the award is ...". When it comes to winning, it's like in sports, the bookies are pretty accurate in their predictions, so it's pretty hard to beat them.

Are you sure with that? This is Oscar Awards, so for me, this is quite hard to predict as it depends on the judges of this event. Bookies may have their pulse but I don't believe that it will be pretty accurate. But anyway, let's see if they can get most of the categories. Bookies are getting money also from this event as some people are really betting because they have their own favorites when it comes to film industry. But if you are not very familiar with their ways of selecting a winner, would be a challenge to bet for the winners.

[STT]

Last year I predicted The Father (2020) as an oscar winner just purely because its a difficult subject that would appeal in a lasting way to the oscar committee who are naturally older then average.   Obviously Hopkins does a great job, it did win but I didnt have enough faith that the simple theme that appeals in some community way would get the win.  I just want to spot a similar idea this time too, well acted produced and with that wider message that gets the oscar win quite often.
  It got actor + Best Writing Adapted Screenplay Oscar wins.

[KTChampions]

Betting on this event, it seems to me, is already quite an old game and we can say that it is quite widespread. At least every year before the ceremony in many media, news about these events are presented as "according to bookmakers, the favorite for the award is ...". When it comes to winning, it's like in sports, the bookies are pretty accurate in their predictions, so it's pretty hard to beat them.

Are you sure with that? This is Oscar Awards, so for me, this is quite hard to predict as it depends on the judges of this event. Bookies may have their pulse but I don't believe that it will be pretty accurate. But anyway, let's see if they can get most of the categories. Bookies are getting money also from this event as some people are really betting because they have their own favorites when it comes to film industry. But if you are not very familiar with their ways of selecting a winner, would be a challenge to bet for the winners.

Yes, you can easily check it through search. For example, here is an article discussing the chances of actors to win an Oscar and the odds given by bookmakers: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-1251424/Oscar-2010-nominees--Imax-view-Jeff-Bridges-Sandra-Bullock-odds-favourites-win-line-nominees-attend-pre-event-luncheon.html This article is from 2010. I think for every year you can find a lot of these "footprints". I don’t bet with fiat bookmakers, so I can’t say who specializes in this, but I think that the largest bookmakers have been providing the opportunity to bet on such events for a long time.
As for the strength of forecasts, the strongest analysts work for them, plus they have more insider opportunities, so they are difficult to beat.

[bbc.reporter]

Perhaps the only surprise in the nominees for best picture is the absence of House Of Gucci, but all other nominees on the list are well-deserved (except, maybe, Don't Look Up). Power Of The Dog by Jane Campion is a strong favorite, with Spielberg's West Side Story as a strong secondary contender.

I agree on Don’t Look Up. It was an entertaining comedy but not a movie for the Oscar awards. However, always there is politics in this. Leonardo di Caprio has the Hollywood connections to make his contemporaries vote for his projects in exchange for a chance to get favors hehehe.

My strong secondary is Belfast and my third is Coda. They are very good movies that everyone should watch. I shake my head when someone said there were no good movies created on 2021.

Have you seen Belfast? It wasn't a comedy, it wasn't a historical mastermind like Schindler's list, it wasn't proper drama that made you cry, it was absolutely nothing. What was it that made it so "sure to win Oscars" movie? The great communication of the troubles some people had back in the day. That is literally it, nothing more. Political is the way to go now, and if you do historical "minority" then you would be sure to be somewhere.

It was a story about childhood and living under a type of environment where violence might erupt anytime because of different religious beliefs. It was also a movie showing that despite the violence and the useless conflict, there was beauty and happiness in the innocence of childhood. I very much liked the movie and it might win best original screenplay. The production design was also good, the cinematography good and the music used in the movie was very good.  It was also based on the director’s childhood.

[FatFork]

The 2022 Oscars nominees are official and were announced a little while ago, so now it's time to start thinking about who's going to win and who you're going to bet on. It’s about a month until the awards, so there's still time to make a good pick. 

To help you with that, I have put together a list of nominees with their odds for each of my favorite award categories for the upcoming Academy Awards.

	Best Picture
	The Power of the Dog	[imdb]	1.55
	Belfast	[imdb]	3.90
	West Side Story	[imdb]	7.50
	CODA	[imdb]	23.00
	Licorice Pizza	[imdb]	17.00
	King Richard	[imdb]	26.00
	Dune	[imdb]	21.00
	Drive My Car	[imdb]	39.00
	Don’t Look Up	[imdb]	41.00
	Nightmare Alley	[imdb]	61.00
		‎
	Best Actor
	Will Smith		1.33
	Benedict Cumberbatch		4.00
	Andrew Garfield		7.00
	Denzel Washington		27.00
	Javier Bardem		34.00
		‎
	Best Actress
	Nicole Kidman		2.05
	Kristen Stewart		3.15
	Olivia Colman		5.00
	Jessica Chastain		6.00
	Penelope Cruz		20.00
		‎
	Best Supporting Actor
	Kodi Smit McPhee		1.30
	Troy Kotsur		4.40
	Ciaran Hinds		6.00
	Jesse Plemons		23.00
	Jonathan Kimble Simmons		27.00
		‎
	Best Supporting Actress
	Ariana DeBose		1.30
	Kirsten Dunst		3.50
	Aunjanue Ellis		11.00
	Judi Dench		21.00
	Jessie Buckley		21.00
		‎
	Best Director
	Jane Campion	[imdb]	1.15
	Steven Spielberg	[imdb]	12.00
	Kenneth Branagh	[imdb]	12.00
	Ryûsuke Hamaguchi	[imdb]	17.00
	Paul Thomas Anderson	[imdb]	19.00

[STT]

I never thought I would see such odds for Will Smith, he has come a long way to do so well amazing!    He was first nominated 20 years ago, he has to be a fair contender but I think those odds are over done.   I do like him and the movies he has been in but I dont know its enough this time to get over that obstacle of a first win.
  Only true way to judge is properly view the films and decide best then vs all factors involved, I would be swayed towards Javier as he has quite a pedigree.  

   King Richard   [imdb]   26.00

Also does this not equate as a disparity, long odds on the film but short for the actor.   Im more confident to bet these kind of odds when a film will take an oscar in several categories.

[perfect999]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

What about in sports betting? Would you place your bet on it if you don't know who are the players or the teams that are involved? Unless if you are just trying your luck and don't mind losing. I am not really into sports and I don't know if which last longer, is it the sports or the movie?

I mean the duration of the movie and a sports match but i think it also depends on the game and on the movie but we can also used the internet as a reference to instantly know the player or the cast. That cuts time if your not really a fan of watching the whole movie or watching the sport. Oscar awards/betting is a serious event and there is nothing funny about it.

[PX-Z]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

What about in sports betting? Would you place your bet on it if you don't know who are the players or the teams that are involved? Unless if you are just trying your luck and don't mind losing. I am not really into sports and I don't know if which last longer, is it the sports or the movie?

I mean the duration of the movie and a sports match but i think it also depends on the game and on the movie but we can also used the internet as a reference to instantly know the player or the cast. That cuts time if your not really a fan of watching the whole movie or watching the sport. Oscar awards/betting is a serious event and there is nothing funny about it.

Now, now, you seem a very serious person who get annoyed just because you saw someone's laugh without understanding whats behind it.

Sports bet is very different and seems to easy to bet and choose, mostly sports only have 2 choices to bet.
Unlike this oscars that has lots of entries which last 1 to 2 hours per movie. You cant bet yet and have full analysis not until you watch all of them. So think and decide what is longer to watch.

Yes internet is everything, but you cant just decide that the movie is good just watching a single or two clips in the internet even reading reviews, you need to see it yourself.
Oscars is serious event, but betting is fun.

[YuginKadoya]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

What about in sports betting? Would you place your bet on it if you don't know who are the players or the teams that are involved? Unless if you are just trying your luck and don't mind losing. I am not really into sports and I don't know if which last longer, is it the sports or the movie?

I mean the duration of the movie and a sports match but i think it also depends on the game and on the movie but we can also used the internet as a reference to instantly know the player or the cast. That cuts time if your not really a fan of watching the whole movie or watching the sport. Oscar awards/betting is a serious event and there is nothing funny about it.

Now, now, you seem a very serious person who get annoyed just because you saw someone's laugh without understanding whats behind it.

Sports bet is very different and seems to easy to bet and choose, mostly sports only have 2 choices to bet.
Unlike this oscars that has lots of entries which last 1 to 2 hours per movie. You cant bet yet and have full analysis not until you watch all of them. So think and decide what is longer to watch.

Yes internet is everything, but you cant just decide that the movie is good just watching a single or two clips in the internet even reading reviews, you need to see it yourself.
Oscars is serious event, but betting is fun.

I sure think he is getting serious and at the same time confuse aswell in lumping the two because I think there is a big difference, Sports and movies can not go along or even players or key actors although we can surely bet on everything, we can not always assume that they can not go along even though we can make sports movies, and I agree, in movie's you would need to watch the whole movies even the slight details to really get the main point of the story, you can not assume by just looking at the title, or seeing their movie poster, or watch a quick 1 minute of the movie and saying it has a good story, or giving the plot of it, while in sports you don't need to see the whole game to see the results, for us getting the results in the sports is more important than watching the whole game,

Right now I am seeing copies of some of the movies given, but I could not watch them all because it will surely depend on your country if they would want to preview it on a cinema, or having access for that particular clip, but I will surely make my picks, on this.

[bbc.reporter]

I just see this thread and it make me laugh and awe. That even an event like this can be put in for betting on sportsbooks.
Betting on this should have seen those movies to have better knowledge and analysis who can get the award and I guess this is harder to win than a common sports betting.

What about in sports betting? Would you place your bet on it if you don't know who are the players or the teams that are involved? Unless if you are just trying your luck and don't mind losing. I am not really into sports and I don't know if which last longer, is it the sports or the movie?

I mean the duration of the movie and a sports match but i think it also depends on the game and on the movie but we can also used the internet as a reference to instantly know the player or the cast. That cuts time if your not really a fan of watching the whole movie or watching the sport. Oscar awards/betting is a serious event and there is nothing funny about it.

Now, now, you seem a very serious person who get annoyed just because you saw someone's laugh without understanding whats behind it.

Sports bet is very different and seems to easy to bet and choose, mostly sports only have 2 choices to bet.
Unlike this oscars that has lots of entries which last 1 to 2 hours per movie. You cant bet yet and have full analysis not until you watch all of them. So think and decide what is longer to watch.

Yes internet is everything, but you cant just decide that the movie is good just watching a single or two clips in the internet even reading reviews, you need to see it yourself.
Oscars is serious event, but betting is fun.

As far as I can remember this is the gambling subforum. Also, if the sportsbooks did not list the odds for the Oscar awards, no person would be in awe and make them laugh. I like movies and I like gambling. The combination of the 2 is good for me. You should wait for Eurovision season and be again in laughter and awe.

Also, what does everyone predict the Oscar voters’ favorite political and social storyline might be for 2022? Will this be LGBTQ, religion and conflict, minorities and acceptance or children with disabilities awareness? It might be Elon and aliens hehehe.

[PX-Z]

As far as I can remember this is the gambling subforum. Also, if the sportsbooks did not list the odds for the Oscar awards, no person would be in awe and make them laugh.

Well, this is my first time seeing such betting, so it is. I knew such bets occurs even the simplest competition, or going to happen is capable of being gambled or having bets.

Anyway, by such kind of gambling, this is not like a common in gambling where the victor totally depends on score in the fight or a fair play, judges has lots of influence for the outcome, so this may sound like a fixed match, it could happen or happened before, but who knows.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

Hollywood died because of our sins. If we weren't torrenting the shit out of them, they would be still alive and kicking now. 

Because of that, the best we got is shitty netflix productions full of sjw & lbgt propaganda.

We are the victims of our own greed.

Look how they massacred my boi. The Matrix Resurr... I can't even say its name. That fucking cocksucker Ton... I mean Lana Skorsky destroyed a fookin legend.

Not just Hollywood, it is same in every country, or maybe most countries, one of the greatest problem or rather, challenge the entertainment industry has is piracy , piracy is not just about fake copied movies on fake CD plates and all that, it boils down to downloading movies from illegal sources online too, almost everyone is a victim to this crime(if not everyone actually), except those who don't have a smart phone and an internet connection, the makers of this movies get nothing or gain nothing when we download and watch their movies from illegal or unverified sources, so truthfully, we individually contributed to the challenges the different movie industries around the world are facing today, so we really can not complain.

[TimeTeller]

As far as I can remember this is the gambling subforum. Also, if the sportsbooks did not list the odds for the Oscar awards, no person would be in awe and make them laugh.

Well, this is my first time seeing such betting, so it is. I knew such bets occurs even the simplest competition, or going to happen is capable of being gambled or having bets.

Anyway, by such kind of gambling, this is not like a common in gambling where the victor totally depends on score in the fight or a fair play, judges has lots of influence for the outcome, so this may sound like a fixed match, it could happen or happened before, but who knows.

There are sportsbooks that have the list of odds already for Oscar Awards.
But I don't know if this kind of event really does attract the interest of gamblers.
And it is true, the judges are of great influence with the results.
Some are not confident to place bet because it depends on the mood of those judges.
We don't know their criteria of judging as it evolves thru time, their preferences and whatnot.

[bbc.reporter]

As far as I can remember this is the gambling subforum. Also, if the sportsbooks did not list the odds for the Oscar awards, no person would be in awe and make them laugh.

Well, this is my first time seeing such betting, so it is. I knew such bets occurs even the simplest competition, or going to happen is capable of being gambled or having bets.

Anyway, by such kind of gambling, this is not like a common in gambling where the victor totally depends on score in the fight or a fair play, judges has lots of influence for the outcome, so this may sound like a fixed match, it could happen or happened before, but who knows.

 

Fixed match similar to what occurs to any sport like boxing or basketball games where referees, coaches or referees can be paid to influence the winners and losers of a game?

In any case, an argument can be made that match fixing in boxing or games similar to football and basketball are much easier than fixing the Oscars because the winners are determined by votes of the Academy of motion picture arts and sciences members. This will be similar to match fix an election because someone made a bet hehehe. You thought the winners are determined only by judges?

[paxmao]

For what I know, there is not much doubt that when Penelope is around, Almodóvar gets at least a nomination. This is all a very corrupt (perhaps corrupt may be too much) a a system. People in the academy sometimes are old glories that may be selling their votes for work or compensations of shorts and is all about a show of sponsoring brands and product placement by the "artists". We should re-think if all this is to the benefit of the arts.

e.g. Penelope does not do theatre. That is where a true actress shows what's got.