Sport's betting experience

[uneng]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.

Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.

[dunfida]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.

Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.

This is why people should really be keen on believing on things specially on dealing with gambling predictions on where someone do really make out some predictions and telling it that it is on the safe side

which same as you said that nothing is assured and this one is really contradicting thats why people reading up specially noobs should really be careful on believing on things.

Nothing beats out when you do play and make bets according into your own knowledge and specifically on a certain sport.

[paxmao]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Not going to happen.

Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities.

Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.

I agree. The opportunities for profitable and successful beting do not happen when the result is clear, but rather when you are able to gain some inside knowledge or have some advantage that is not known to the general public and allows you to place a bet with some asymmetric advantage to your forecast. That is very rarely if ever going to happen with teams that are well known and well followed, as people and bookies are really on top of them.

[STT]

Live betting can be very profitable if you are more certain of the game then those who fear losing their bet, you take part in that premium of them closing a bet early and its usually more rewarding to do well then betting long before the game.   Makes spectating with some insight an enjoyable thing to do, also slightly frantic as the odds are constantly changing but I like how the odds flip during the game events.

[Silberman]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.

Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.

It is the same old story, while there are many that enjoy gambling for what it is, which is nothing more but a form of entertainment, there are others that want to make out of it a profession, and in order to do that then there is a need to create a method that earns money while they gamble, but taking into account that the expected value we have on each bet is negative this means that the only way to win, at least when it comes to sport bets, is to find markets that are priced incorrectly, and this incredibly difficult as this will require massive amounts of knowledge and information that the average sport bettor simply does not have.

[DoublerHunter]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

^ I think not every match has the same result and you are right, bet at your risk because these tips won't have a guarantee that has a perfect result.
Predicting what will be the result per match is very hard to know, what if you will lose in the first match and applying those strategies in the next match but it will lose again. This conclusion won't work perfectly and probably knowing the team condition is a better way to draw a conclusion on who will win in the next match.

[dothebeats]

The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

[VanityWallets2015]

The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

Match fixing is something I don't recommend to anyone unless you want to get yourself in trouble. There are also players looking for mistakes on websites that claim they are value bets. What do other people actually think about this? It's also a bit like cheating. Recently had several examples around this situation with covid. On the one hand, it's very smart, but on the other hand, I think bookmakers are cracking down on this too?

[iv4n]

The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

It's not gambling if you know that you will win!!!

I guess that OP had some lucky strake with his bets! Why not, that happens to every regular gambler... he found some nice method and he just shared it! Like with all others, I believe this can work sometimes, but there's no method that works all the time! After all, "80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3."  are nice and high chances, but we saw them fall... even higher ones fall! By the way, I don't bet on corners, I think it's all about pure luck!

[cafucafucafu]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Any stats to back this claim up?

I don't think that it's a long term feasible strategy to adopt. People are going to realize that this trend exists (if it actually exists in the first place) and the odds will start to reflect that sooner or later.

Unless you have an algorithm and extensive research, I don't think that these simplistic bets work anymore to generate positive EV consistently.

[swogerino]

TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.

I am glad that someone else picked up as well because that is what I got from it as well, it seems @Amuls is using a very simple betting strategy that according to him has a high chance of happening.

However then he recommends that in the case that you happen to lose to increase the amount we bet during the next match, which is just another form of martingale, and we know that martingale has no chance of working over the long term.

It depends in sport betting as you can't always in theory lose every bet you make so as long as you have enough bankroll to double your bet until you win Martingale can work here.This is theory only because in practice is different.Of course it needs a hell lot of patience which is missing in 99% of us,the gamblers but if you put some effort to it you can win.The example the OP makes is a good one with just over 3.5 corners in the first half and if in a couple of games this does not happen I am confident in the third or fourth bet it can happen.In the end let us keep in mind that there is no working strategy in gambling and sport betting otherwise we would not have as many bookies as we have right now.

[AicecreaME]

so bet your own risk.

Of course, everyone knows that, gambling is risky.

What is certain is that everyone has good and bad experiences in soccer betting, it all depends on how they make bets there are direct low odds, but they make a bet 10x the betting odds for example: 2.71 : 3.39 : 2.47 this is the initial bet if one soccer team is weak.

That's my experience, as I said above, I bet depending on the team, I mean the opposing team is weak, but if the second team is strong I don't place a bet in the first half, I will place in the last bank at 70-80 minutes, the odds for me are quite promising and the bet goes up from the beginning to 40.60x10.

Eg: English league today Chelsea vs. Liverpool, of course I will bet at the last minute and if the opposing team like Leeds United vs. Burnley I will double the bet for one of them 10x the original bet.

Betting is a risk, so anyone should really do it just based on their risk appetite. We all have varying risk tolerance which explains why some win big and win small, while some win small or lose small. It just depends on how much you are willing to shed for a sports bet.

In sports betting, the chances of you as a gambler winning a bet is in the hands of the player, so you must know how to distinguish which team is strong and which team is weak. By knowing which of the teams have the higher edge of getting the goal will give you a better opportunity to win your bet. So, in this case, you must know first the backgrounds of the teams playing, most specifically their history and track records. Although sometimes there is also a sudden and quick turn of events despite being certain on the first half that the team you bet on is going to win. I think it's a mix of luck and skills of the players and the twists of events that could get you your bag of money.

[Hydrogen]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

I'm not a fan of european football. I don't follow the sport or watch games.

Here are some ideas for accurately predicting points over / unders based on observations of other sports.

1.  Some teams start quickly and score more points in the 1st half than the 2nd half. Other teams are the opposite, slow starters. Some teams have good cardio and endurance, while others are explosive but lack the endurance to play well in the 2nd half. Observations can be drawn based on team performance, which can increase accuracy.

2.  In the mid to late season, teams that are in the running for playoffs will usually be more competitive and score more points than teams that are out of contention for playoffs. Factors such as these can help to generalize how motivated teams are to show up, score points and win games.

3.  Team rivalries. There are rivalries which lead to some teams trying much harder to win the game, than they would if they played a team they didn't care about. Team rivalries are sometimes a good environment for calling points over.

Long story short, there are many indicators and observations which can be drawn from sports which remain somewhat consistent over time.

Part of being a successful gambler is observing games and finding patterns and a formula for making predictions that have good accuracy. IMO anyway.

[hahay]

There are a lot of betting options on sports and if it's about betting with an option for the number of corners like for example only half time for a total of 3.5 at odds like that, I personally probably wouldn't be able to bet there. Because for me, right now corner kicks even though it looks easy to get but in fact, when we bet with that option it's like something that is difficult. But yes, it will still depend on what kind of team is competing, because here even if we side with the favorite team it still doesn't make us easy to win even though we only bet on the option number of corner kicks.

[Gozie51]

As far betting is being discussed, no particular betting option is better than the other one or it is a guarantee for winning every option is a potential winning or losing. Manchester for example has not been a reliable betting team this season. They have not been consistent and going to bet on corner with them is risky. It is better to bet your wish and not to follow prediction because is still falling back to luck.

[South Park]

The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

That is exactly the issue, it seems people do not understand that the odds for each match and each kind of bet are not generated by people but by very complex algorithms that take a great deal of factors into account, so it is almost impossible to find an instance in which a particular bet is going to give you profits consistently, as such it is better to not waste our time with something like this as it has no chance to be a profitable strategy over the long term.

[Fortify]

I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

It comes back to raw mathematics at the end of the day and the house is far ahead of the average sports better. Let's assume that the sportsbook adds a little edge to every bet, so in reality you see a 1.33 bet but at the core it is a 1.25 with a margin of protection for the house. That means that for you to win over the long term, you need to win once out of every 5 bets - at which point you've made 125% of your original stake in profit. However, if you were to lose just one of those games you'd be at 25% profit. This leaves very little margin for error and whereas you say it is not "100%" guaranteed, there are actually quite a few games out there with over 7 corners total (over both halves) which can easily translate into 3.5+ corners in the first half. Just remember, you're up against these sportsbooks with very deep statistical analysis going on, so it's almost impossible to find a long term edge.

[Hamphser]

The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

That is exactly the issue, it seems people do not understand that the odds for each match and each kind of bet are not generated by people but by very complex algorithms that take a great deal of factors into account, so it is almost impossible to find an instance in which a particular bet is going to give you profits consistently, as such it is better to not waste our time with something like this as it has no chance to be a profitable strategy over the long term.

Speaking or talking about some consistent profits then this could be possible but of course it would really be still having those losses.What matter most here is that you do able to make profits in the end of the day
but always be mindful that gambling is something that shouldnt really be engaged too much so that you would really make yourself get rid of possible addiction problems.

Bet according to your knowledge and dont tend to go overboard with your limits. Odds is there and analysis should be made off and not just on jumping without any idea in mind
on what you are doing.

[VanityWallets2015]

There are very few people who can really make sports betting their job. And if they do, it is often accompanied by mala fide practices. in the long run, a gambling site will always win if you play fair. And if you are lucky enough to win a lot, then you will soon get a limit, then the party will be over quickly I think. No idea how much this can be expressed in percentages.

[kotwica666]

Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?

The odds fixed between 1.32-1.40

So, you are just suggesting to bet on this outcome because you think that the bookmakers misjudge the chances of this event? To be honest, it's hard to believe in this - bookmakers use statistics for such long periods that are simply not available for ordinary bettors. Plus, they process it not only with the help of experts, but also using AI, so I strongly doubt that they are mistaken in such simple estimates as in your example.

I think you don't have to wait for the match with no 3.5 corner in the first half. All matches are with odds 1.32-1.40.
In his first statement, OP just suggested that anything can happen and if there is no 3.5 corner in some match in the first half, the odds should be higher in the next match and that you will be able to recover a bit losses from the match when you lose.