Amuls (OP)
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January 01, 2022, 04:27:12 PM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
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harizen
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January 01, 2022, 11:09:28 PM |
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Well, generally, if you found that strategy effective to you then you are good to go.
Obviously, there are no safe bets so don't expect a lessen risks when placing a bet even involving a sure Favorites or not. There will really be a time that you need that strategy of yours and see if that's effective in the long run.
Good luck and hope your insight will be effective for long.
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chaser15
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January 01, 2022, 11:24:55 PM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
An odds of 1.32-1.40 is a favorite odds to consider by most sports betting. This means the chances of getting it happened has a good percentage. Sports are unpredictable, upset happened and for me, it's not worth betting on that kind of odds but in the end your money, your decision.
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magneto
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January 02, 2022, 12:08:33 AM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen. Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities. Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.
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bering
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January 02, 2022, 03:21:31 AM |
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The idea seems to be new for me because during sports bets usually i bet for total goals, matches results or total scores but never tried to bets on cornerkick options however may i know if OP bets on this options and during this season how much percentages to win the bets because I so curious what to see his bets results
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romero121
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January 02, 2022, 04:11:16 AM |
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The idea seems to be new for me because during sports bets usually i bet for total goals, matches results or total scores but never tried to bets on cornerkick options however may i know if OP bets on this options and during this season how much percentages to win the bets because I so curious what to see his bets results
Most of the sports betting people go for the total goals or the match win. Gamblers who are very much into soccer or the specific match used to place bets on these bets. Op have mentioned 80-85% of the matches have got the corner over 3.5 which is a safe bet, but we don't know whether this will continue. When it comes to sports betting going with analytics and choosing the odds will increase the chance of winning.
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YOSHIE
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January 02, 2022, 05:06:18 AM |
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so bet your own risk.
Of course, everyone knows that, gambling is risky. What is certain is that everyone has good and bad experiences in soccer betting, it all depends on how they make bets there are direct low odds, but they make a bet 10x the betting odds for example: 2.71 : 3.39 : 2.47 this is the initial bet if one soccer team is weak. That's my experience, as I said above, I bet depending on the team, I mean the opposing team is weak, but if the second team is strong I don't place a bet in the first half, I will place in the last bank at 70-80 minutes, the odds for me are quite promising and the bet goes up from the beginning to 40.60x10. Eg: English league today Chelsea vs. Liverpool, of course I will bet at the last minute and if the opposing team like Leeds United vs. Burnley I will double the bet for one of them 10x the original bet.
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ralle14
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January 02, 2022, 10:07:29 AM |
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Interesting information, I rarely go for the corner markets in football but I might give it a try next time if I get a free bet and maybe include it in a bet builder since the bookie i'm using at the moment barely has alt lines on the first half corners. The only downside in this type of strategy is that it only takes a couple of losses until you find yourself in a hole but if you're finding success then good to know. Also instead of staking high I suggest following some bet sizing (units) in order to maintain a bit of bankroll management.
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KTChampions
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January 02, 2022, 10:37:56 AM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
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BitcoinAccepted
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January 02, 2022, 10:54:36 AM |
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I am also intrigued about this information from OP, and I would want tot try it and see the results for myself. You are indeed right about the downside of this strategy, and that being said although it may have worked, there still risks in doing so. I bet you would also agree that no strategy has nor risks, right? Nevertheless, you’ll never know if you won’t try, so I’ll go try it while taking note of what you guys have been responding here.
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Amuls (OP)
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January 02, 2022, 11:09:19 AM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right? The odds fixed between 1.32-1.40
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Boristhecat
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January 02, 2022, 11:34:02 AM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
If this event really has a stable probability in the range of 80-85%, and the bookmakers offer odds of 1.32-1.4, then the bet on this outcome is profitable. Can you tell in more detail how you got this data and based on statistics for what period? In 10 matches, in 100 or more? Because if this is a small dataset, then fluctuations can be very large and the real probabilities of the occurrence of this event will be very different from those obtained by you.
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Doell
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January 02, 2022, 12:05:01 PM |
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good for your observation OP ,to be honest never bet on corner kick also not as good at observing gambling stations as you ! will try to deepen the strategy that you posted at one time bet with a small amount but with other statistics because if lose then I can't blame anyone ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) thanks your experience looks easy
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KTChampions
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January 02, 2022, 12:15:40 PM |
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Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
The odds fixed between 1.32-1.40 So, you are just suggesting to bet on this outcome because you think that the bookmakers misjudge the chances of this event? To be honest, it's hard to believe in this - bookmakers use statistics for such long periods that are simply not available for ordinary bettors. Plus, they process it not only with the help of experts, but also using AI, so I strongly doubt that they are mistaken in such simple estimates as in your example.
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madnessteat
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January 02, 2022, 12:47:09 PM |
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TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.
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mindrust
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January 02, 2022, 01:01:43 PM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen. Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities. Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past. This. If It was possible to exploit a certain pattern, then everybody do it and everybody would win. Since everybody cannot win at the same time, no pattern/strategy can work in the long term. For this strategy to work, you need to win every 3 games out of 4. That is If the odds are ~1.34. With lower odds, then you'll need to win more. Out of 100 games, you need to win 75 of them at least so you won't lose money. The moment you catch an unlucky streak, you'll lose your principal and it will be over. Unlucky streaks do happen.
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Fortify
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January 02, 2022, 05:36:17 PM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen. Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities. Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past. This is true, while there may be small anomalies that pop up there is unlikely to be any advantage you can get from established bookmakers in the long term.You might win 10 games in a row using this strategy and think it pays off - only to have all your victories reset by the statistical average reverting causing 4 losses in a row. Bookmakers add a certain margin to each bet which gives them a buffer, so while the actual bet before this margin might be 1.2, the bookmaker will bump it to 1.3 or 1.4 to make sure that they have enough margin for error over a wide range of bets that they accept. No bookmaker will last for long if they were leaking money and they are always adjusting their strategy behind the scenes to cope with things like this.
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fiulpro
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January 02, 2022, 05:54:29 PM |
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That's honestly something that can work for some people and for some, it might not, I honestly loved the idea of YOSHIE to bet at the second half, my friends generally try and place the bets as soon as the match start because of the impaired judgement by alcohol or maybe by their biases. At the same time I am super careful and try and avoid betting on the scores, honestly I never won on that, people usually just try and bet on simple things like *who will win?* That's about it and most of them usually go through the *expert picks*as well there are so many articles that you can find online where people sit back and analyze who might win and why ? I have been going through quite a few and taking them as references, here on the forum as well we have so many prediction threads but no trick at the end of the day can work 100% of the time.
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AmoreJaz
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January 02, 2022, 08:38:44 PM |
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I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen. Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities. Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past. This. If It was possible to exploit a certain pattern, then everybody do it and everybody would win. Since everybody cannot win at the same time, no pattern/strategy can work in the long term. For this strategy to work, you need to win every 3 games out of 4. That is If the odds are ~1.34. With lower odds, then you'll need to win more. Out of 100 games, you need to win 75 of them at least so you won't lose money. The moment you catch an unlucky streak, you'll lose your principal and it will be over. Unlucky streaks do happen. the strategy has really no assurance of winning all the time. it depends on the situation. and you're right, one losing match, and all your winnings will be wiped out. but good that the OP share his observations, who knows such insight will be used by some bettors here. but they do need to be careful in selecting the team. still, in sportsbetting, there's no 100% assurance of the winning team even if the team you are rooting for is the stronger one. there will be other factors that may possibly affect the outcome of the game.
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wxa7115
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January 03, 2022, 05:54:03 PM |
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TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.
I am glad that someone else picked up as well because that is what I got from it as well, it seems @Amuls is using a very simple betting strategy that according to him has a high chance of happening. However then he recommends that in the case that you happen to lose to increase the amount we bet during the next match, which is just another form of martingale, and we know that martingale has no chance of working over the long term.
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