Bitcoin 2022 bear market?

[Why you bully me]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

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[sunsilk]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

It's true that if we follow the 4-year cycle, it should start the bear market by now. But before the bull run has started by 2021 and halving of 2020. The bull run has already started by the end of 2020 which shouldn't happen if we're following the cycle.

In that case, there's already the change from that pattern and cycle that we used to follow.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

That's too low but we did saw bitcoin dropped by $28k last year after it went from its first ATH.

[Why you bully me]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

It's true that if we follow the 4-year cycle, it should start the bear market by now. But before the bull run has started by 2021 and halving of 2020. The bull run has already started by the end of 2020 which shouldn't happen if we're following the cycle.

In that case, there's already the change from that pattern and cycle that we used to follow.




Isn't that just by only a few months though? Shouldn't be too much of a change.

[Jating]

Yeah we could be in the bear market short term, but perhaps in the middle of the year we might see some recovery on the price.

Probably the price will go down as low as $20k (which is the previous all time high in 2017), so for the majority is is not cheap, but we can still take that advantage and fill our wallets.

In any case, everyone should be prepared for the worst, it might not soon good, but we all know that the market works in cycle.

[Taskford]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

This could possibly happen since initially after the halving + the bullish season already happen the bear will follow but every year is different we know the adoption and the people's outlook toward crypto became different since there are lots of good things happen for the past years so I think we cannot see more huge downfall since many whales will support bitcoin.

[michellee]

I am not sure if the bear market comes but it could happen but hopefully, that will not happen this year. So far, I still think that is just a correction that always comes to the market after the price reaches the highest price. And the price can rise again this year, especially since much good news comes out to support bitcoin's growth. We all want to see the bull market come again but we also need to be ready if that will not come.

[Lucius]

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

What you think is completely irrelevant and makes no sense, because you just want to buy cheap - but your wishes are one thing and reality is quite another. It is not ruled out that the correction will continue, but since the last ATH Bitcoin has lost about $30 000, but now a lot depends on the big players, weak hands have already sold anyway believing that the bull run is over.

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting

[sulis sudibyo]

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

even if the market crashes today, bitcoin will not fall more than 30k. so what you say will never happen. I'm sure, because I saw yesterday when bitcoin hit 60k for the first time, and in the middle of the year there was a crash. at that time bitcoin never fell to touch 25k, btc only stayed at the price of 30k until it finally continued its rally and touched ATH again.

[Rikafip]

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

[TheNineClub]

Well, I am not going to predict the price as I am not sure enough to do that, however, I am inclined to believe that the cyclic nature of the market is something to bank on. So as predicted we are heading to a drop in price with a bottom correction and then a return to an upward motion. I'm guessing will be in the down-low during 2022 and 2023 with perhaps returning to upward mobility sometime in late 2023. However, there's also the super cycle theory, but again, I am more inclined to belive the past cycles showed us how things will develop for some time in the future.

[mk4]

I really don't know because the recent movements haven't been what people expected which is a blow-off top by December. But I have this sort of "belief" that whatever the masses think will happen, won't actually happen.

e.g. if most people expect a bear market at a certain quarter, I'm going to guess that the bear will happen either earlier or later than that quarter.

[Lucius]

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others.

Given that he mentions the year 2025, it is more than clear that he believes in repeating the cycle and that the price will explode again after halving 2024. If this has been the case so far, it is quite normal to believe that the same thing can happen again - although few want to lock up their investment for 3-4 years.

Either way, time is running relentlessly and what seems very far away today will soon become a reality - so while anything is possible, I don't want to believe the price of BTC could fall below $20k, it would take us back 5 years. Like it or not, hundreds of thousands of BTCs today are owned by wealthy individuals and various companies, they have changed the rules of the game and therefore a four-year cycle could be broken.

[Top Discounts]

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

I completely agree with your comment. As soon as Bitcoin skyrockets again, everybody wll jump in and we will continue the bull run.

[Ebede]

I am not sure if the bear market comes but it could happen but hopefully, that will not happen this year. So far, I still think that is just a correction that always comes to the market after the price reaches the highest price. And the price can rise again this year, especially since much good news comes out to support bitcoin's growth. We all want to see the bull market come again but we also need to be ready if that will not come.

But last year people are saying that this year 2022 bull run will come and till now it have not come, that means we are into bear market because market continuous to fall steady and instead of it to recover it continues going down, i believe that bitcoin can get self by the end of March, because what we are experiencing today is bad.

[sunsilk]

Isn't that just by only a few months though? Shouldn't be too much of a change.

Yes, there's not that much of a change.

And that's why it could be that the cycle is no longer being followed by the market and bitcoin itself. Having that said, many are speculating about the new ATH by this year.

But there's no confirmation yet, we're just starting out and the year still has a long way to go until we validate and see it happens.

[Jawhead999]

Bitcoin could be dump to $16K-$22K but saying Bitcoin will stay in such average price until 2025 is completely wrong! Even technically it's possible because the price depends on demand and supply, but seeing how this world really want to migrated from physical to digital... there should be mass adoption. I'd say average Bitcoin price should be above $50K since $50K is the strong resistance now.

[GreatArkansas]

For me, I have price levels watching before saying we are in a bear market.
Mine is dropping below $20,000 and that's the time I consider we are in a bear market, but with these really small dumps and bounce backs. I don't think we are in a bear market. I expect this 2022 will be long sideways, $30,000 will be the strong psychological price support.

[JohnBitCo]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

As per the on chain data and analysis by many experts, no one is willing to accept this as a bear market. Everyone is of the point of view that we may be another big bull run before the start of the bear market. Some people say that cycles are extended. I think that since the marketcap of bitcoin is so high, it won't be easy for bitcoin to either pump hard or dump hard. Bitcoin may move in ranges and movement will be slow.

[aoluain]

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

And when we look back when Bitcoin is $60k there will be those complaining
they didnt buy in the $40k's.

There will always be those calling for the bear market.

Long term we know the Bitcoin price will be higher, it just takes time, buy the dips
and be positive in the future, you dont need to ask the community about that move.

[Vaskiy]

From the past years of bull market, once after every bull market year there used to be a year of bearish move. In such a way this year is gonna be bearish. We don't know to what extent the market will go down in price. As of now the market is quite fluctuating within limits. Maybe the movement upwards or downwards over the next few weeks will decide the trend for the year.