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Author Topic: Ukraine Invasion: Will Sanctions Alone Stop Russia?  (Read 296 times)
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May 21, 2022, 03:55:00 AM
 #21

The effect of the sanctions on Russia has started hitting its economy hard. The Russian ruble has lost 30% of its value trading at 100 to the dollar.
It seems that the Central Bank of Russia is no longer happy with the excessive strengthening of the ruble, and a whole series of weakening measures has not yet led to the desired result. The image effect of a strong ruble is good, but for an economy with a large trade surplus, this is not very beneficial. This afternoon, the dollar was traded on the Moscow Currency Exchange for 58 rubles, and it is not clear who and why is buying it at all, because the sanctions risks are very high.

What would happen if the Bank made one ruble equal to 1 gram of gold? I mean, all these European fuel companies buy Russian gas and paying in Rubles.

Cool
The gold standard is not a good idea because the price of gold is largely determined by non-market mechanisms. It seems like a better idea - an energy standard, because money is a kind of equivalent to life force.

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May 24, 2022, 06:36:33 PM
 #22

The effect of the sanctions on Russia has started hitting its economy hard. The Russian ruble has lost 30% of its value trading at 100 to the dollar. Economists has warned that Russian economy could shrink by 5%.

But Putin has shown no sign of slowing down the invasion. His response was placing nuclear deterrent forces on high alert and continuing missile attack on key Ukrainian cities. It has also being rumored that Belarus can now be a base for nuclear weapons and its troops can invade Ukraine at anytime.

Putin's actions is showing the Russia is economically fortified or Russia is important to NATO and its Allies economically.

Do you think sanctions alone can stop Putin?    

The current sanctions are ineffective as long as Germany is buying gas and the US is buying oil, the impact will be minimal.

If they seized all Russian state and personal assets abroad and stopped ALL trade with Russia, closed airspace to Russian planes,
and closed all borders to Russians, this conflict would stop in days.

The US (Biden) has the power to end this conflict but it chose not to act.
The sanctions placed on Russia is in my opinion a case of indecision. Because how can one place sanctions on a country and still go ahead to buy oil from them? Is there a point? Is this not an example of grounding a child and later on giving permission to go out? Will sanctions alone stop Russia? Don't think so.

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May 24, 2022, 07:23:38 PM
 #23

Of course, economic sanctions alone are not enough to deter Putin from invading Ukraine, it seems that Putin does not intend to stop, despite the Russian economy being affected by the sanctions, but this alone is not enough, especially since Russia has a strong economic card, which is Russian gas. This card is using it against the European Union and it can be a life card For the Russian economy, it is therefore unhelpful to rely on economic sanctions alone to stop Russia from invading.

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May 24, 2022, 07:56:53 PM
 #24

The sanctions placed on Russia is in my opinion a case of indecision. Because how can one place sanctions on a country and still go ahead to buy oil from them? Is there a point? Is this not an example of grounding a child and later on giving permission to go out? Will sanctions alone stop Russia? Don't think so.
Most of the countries have not developed to live without them. Germany is still buying gas from them and they indicate that they cant stop at the moment. Finland electricity was cut off by Russia itself when they are also planning to join NATO. They are forcing many countries to pay rubies and they are complying. They are the highest exporter of wheat as well, so definitely the world economy still relies on them. Now is sanctioning some names in USA from entering the country. So what are they playing as politics here? they are likely to continue

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May 25, 2022, 11:08:24 AM
 #25

The effect of the sanctions on Russia has started hitting its economy hard. The Russian ruble has lost 30% of its value trading at 100 to the dollar. Economists has warned that Russian economy could shrink by 5%.

But Putin has shown no sign of slowing down the invasion. His response was placing nuclear deterrent forces on high alert and continuing missile attack on key Ukrainian cities. It has also being rumored that Belarus can now be a base for nuclear weapons and its troops can invade Ukraine at anytime.

Putin's actions is showing the Russia is economically fortified or Russia is important to NATO and its Allies economically.

Do you think sanctions alone can stop Putin?    



Economic sanction tool has been excessively used but it is an outdated idea and hardly works to produce targeted objectives, Iran is under economic sanction since decades but still surviving. I think economic sanction don't work successfully in oil producing countries like Iran and Russia. Economic sanctions worked for short time in the beging when value of Rouble value slumped but it is now even stronger than where it was before sanctions on the other hand economic sanctions have created shortage of crude oil and food all over the world which is hurting everybody.









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May 25, 2022, 12:25:48 PM
 #26

What would happen if the Bank made one ruble equal to 1 gram of gold? I mean, all these European fuel companies buy Russian gas and paying in Rubles.
You absolutely don't know what's happening. National companies of European countries have to open ruble accounts in Russia’s Gazprombank. They can still deposit Euros or any currency they wish, it's a Russian bank that converts deposited funds to rubles and transfers to Gazprom. So, if 1 Ruble is equal to 1 gram of gold, they just get fewer Rubles, that's all. But you can't just make currency equal to something the way you wish.



People who think that sanctions can stop Russia, don't know the mentality of the Russian people. Watch this, this is a typical life outside Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Russian people don't have comfort similar to people who live in Europe, the USA, Canada, Australia and New Zealand. The propaganda works so well in Russia, check NTV and some other national TVs if you know the Russian language, speak and listen to some local Russian people, they are ready for everything in order to achieve their national Putin's goals. What do they have to lose? Comfortable life? High salaries? High quality of life? No, they have nothing to lose, sanctions will only harm average guys who are so brainwashed, support the idea of the invasion and are ready to sacrifice themselves. But rich guys, rich families, they can leave the Russian borders and continue good life in other countries.
Remember, sanctions only hurt poor people, not rich ones because the rich have good education and enough capital to keep a high standard of living. The majority of poor people don't have a good education, are easy to manipulate and brainwash.
P.S. Education is not meant to be a Ph.D. in electrical engineering, education is much more.

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May 25, 2022, 01:44:33 PM
 #27

The effect of the sanctions on Russia has started hitting its economy hard. The Russian ruble has lost 30% of its value trading at 100 to the dollar. Economists has warned that Russian economy could shrink by 5%.

But Putin has shown no sign of slowing down the invasion. His response was placing nuclear deterrent forces on high alert and continuing missile attack on key Ukrainian cities. It has also being rumored that Belarus can now be a base for nuclear weapons and its troops can invade Ukraine at anytime.

Putin's actions is showing the Russia is economically fortified or Russia is important to NATO and its Allies economically.

Do you think sanctions alone can stop Putin?    


Up till this very moment we have seen that economic sanction hasn't stopped Russia from invading Ukraine. The war is still going on, on Ukrainian soil. Russia is still holding some cities in Ukrainian hostage despite the economic sanction given to them by the USA. It will be hard to pull down Russia's economy through sanctions. Cause they do supply gas and crude oil to other countries. Some are even dependent on Russian gas and electricity.

R


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May 25, 2022, 05:41:05 PM
 #28

What would happen if the Bank made one ruble equal to 1 gram of gold? I mean, all these European fuel companies buy Russian gas and paying in Rubles.
You absolutely don't know what's happening. National companies of European countries have to open ruble accounts in Russia’s Gazprombank. They can still deposit Euros or any currency they wish, it's a Russian bank that converts deposited funds to rubles and transfers to Gazprom. So, if 1 Ruble is equal to 1 gram of gold, they just get fewer Rubles, that's all. But you can't just make currency equal to something the way you wish.



People who think that sanctions can stop Russia, don't know the mentality of the Russian people. Watch this, this is a typical life outside Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Russian people don't have comfort similar to people who live in Europe, the USA, Canada, Australia and New Zealand. The propaganda works so well in Russia, check NTV and some other national TVs if you know the Russian language, speak and listen to some local Russian people, they are ready for everything in order to achieve their national Putin's goals. What do they have to lose? Comfortable life? High salaries? High quality of life? No, they have nothing to lose, sanctions will only harm average guys who are so brainwashed, support the idea of the invasion and are ready to sacrifice themselves. But rich guys, rich families, they can leave the Russian borders and continue good life in other countries.
Remember, sanctions only hurt poor people, not rich ones because the rich have good education and enough capital to keep a high standard of living. The majority of poor people don't have a good education, are easy to manipulate and brainwash.
P.S. Education is not meant to be a Ph.D. in electrical engineering, education is much more.
If, in your opinion, sanctions are useless, then what can stop the war?
I personally do not think that sanctions are useless, they still have benefits, if the people support the war, then they must live in poverty and suffer.
This is an axiom.

❘|❘ Cлaвa Укpaинe! ❘|❘ Glory to Ukraine! ❘|❘
❘|❘ КaPФaгeн дoлжeн быть paзpyшeн ❘|❘
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May 26, 2022, 02:47:21 PM
 #29

If, in your opinion, sanctions are useless, then what can stop the war?
I personally do not think that sanctions are useless, they still have benefits, if the people support the war, then they must live in poverty and suffer.
This is an axiom.
They already live in poverty, they are even ready to live in more poverty. There was an interview on NTV and respondents were saying that they support Putin and they'll eat ground and drink water to survive but still reach their (Putin's) goals. Some may say that it's propaganda but from my experience short time experience in Russia, I think that it's really their mentality. I've seen a lot of guys who were ready to do everything in order to get Vodka. Vodka was everything for them, I was calling them бpoдя́ги  Cheesy

USA & Europe representatives were saying that sanctions would trigger Russian citizens to do something and change Putin or his decision and stop the war but in reality, sanctions can't change a thing inside Russia. What do you think, there are millionaires and billionaires in Russia but none of them have ever established a real political party and power against Putin. There is a question, why? Because Russia is a corrupt country, they make money because of Putin and his regime. Sanctions can't really stop this process, Russia is being sanctioned for months but the war still continues. What do they have to lose right now? Sanctions won't be abolished if Russia stops the war.

Si vis pacem, para bellum - If you want peace, prepare for war.
This is what life teaches us.


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May 27, 2022, 05:38:38 PM
 #30

If, in your opinion, sanctions are useless, then what can stop the war?
I personally do not think that sanctions are useless, they still have benefits, if the people support the war, then they must live in poverty and suffer.
This is an axiom.
They already live in poverty, they are even ready to live in more poverty. There was an interview on NTV and respondents were saying that they support Putin and they'll eat ground and drink water to survive but still reach their (Putin's) goals. Some may say that it's propaganda but from my experience short time experience in Russia, I think that it's really their mentality. I've seen a lot of guys who were ready to do everything in order to get Vodka. Vodka was everything for them, I was calling them бpoдя́ги  Cheesy

USA & Europe representatives were saying that sanctions would trigger Russian citizens to do something and change Putin or his decision and stop the war but in reality, sanctions can't change a thing inside Russia. What do you think, there are millionaires and billionaires in Russia but none of them have ever established a real political party and power against Putin. There is a question, why? Because Russia is a corrupt country, they make money because of Putin and his regime. Sanctions can't really stop this process, Russia is being sanctioned for months but the war still continues. What do they have to lose right now? Sanctions won't be abolished if Russia stops the war.

Si vis pacem, para bellum - If you want peace, prepare for war.
This is what life teaches us.




If sanctions are useless, then the absence of sanctions is even more useless.
If russia completely cuts off the export of oil and gas and prohibits the import of high-tech products to russia, as well as the technologies themselves, then there will be a very tangible benefit, russia finances the war at the expense of oil and gas.

❘|❘ Cлaвa Укpaинe! ❘|❘ Glory to Ukraine! ❘|❘
❘|❘ КaPФaгeн дoлжeн быть paзpyшeн ❘|❘
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May 27, 2022, 07:38:37 PM
 #31

If, in your opinion, sanctions are useless, then what can stop the war?
I personally do not think that sanctions are useless, they still have benefits, if the people support the war, then they must live in poverty and suffer.
This is an axiom.
They already live in poverty, they are even ready to live in more poverty. There was an interview on NTV and respondents were saying that they support Putin and they'll eat ground and drink water to survive but still reach their (Putin's) goals. Some may say that it's propaganda but from my experience short time experience in Russia, I think that it's really their mentality. I've seen a lot of guys who were ready to do everything in order to get Vodka. Vodka was everything for them, I was calling them бpoдя́ги  Cheesy

USA & Europe representatives were saying that sanctions would trigger Russian citizens to do something and change Putin or his decision and stop the war but in reality, sanctions can't change a thing inside Russia. What do you think, there are millionaires and billionaires in Russia but none of them have ever established a real political party and power against Putin. There is a question, why? Because Russia is a corrupt country, they make money because of Putin and his regime. Sanctions can't really stop this process, Russia is being sanctioned for months but the war still continues. What do they have to lose right now? Sanctions won't be abolished if Russia stops the war.

Si vis pacem, para bellum - If you want peace, prepare for war.
This is what life teaches us.

If sanctions are useless, then the absence of sanctions is even more useless.
If russia completely cuts off the export of oil and gas and prohibits the import of high-tech products to russia, as well as the technologies themselves, then there will be a very tangible benefit, russia finances the war at the expense of oil and gas.


You are right, they are not completely useless, just not effective.

France, Germany, and Hungary provide $1B/day to Russia to finance this ethnic genocide.

The only thing that would work IMHO is a total trade embargo on Russia, confiscation of assets of all Russian citizens,
and their deportation back to Russia.

The breakup of diplomatic ties with Russia by all civilized countries might be effective.

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May 28, 2022, 09:18:36 AM
 #32

If, in your opinion, sanctions are useless, then what can stop the war?
I personally do not think that sanctions are useless, they still have benefits, if the people support the war, then they must live in poverty and suffer.
This is an axiom.
They already live in poverty, they are even ready to live in more poverty. There was an interview on NTV and respondents were saying that they support Putin and they'll eat ground and drink water to survive but still reach their (Putin's) goals. Some may say that it's propaganda but from my experience short time experience in Russia, I think that it's really their mentality. I've seen a lot of guys who were ready to do everything in order to get Vodka. Vodka was everything for them, I was calling them бpoдя́ги  Cheesy

USA & Europe representatives were saying that sanctions would trigger Russian citizens to do something and change Putin or his decision and stop the war but in reality, sanctions can't change a thing inside Russia. What do you think, there are millionaires and billionaires in Russia but none of them have ever established a real political party and power against Putin. There is a question, why? Because Russia is a corrupt country, they make money because of Putin and his regime. Sanctions can't really stop this process, Russia is being sanctioned for months but the war still continues. What do they have to lose right now? Sanctions won't be abolished if Russia stops the war.

Si vis pacem, para bellum - If you want peace, prepare for war.
This is what life teaches us.

If sanctions are useless, then the absence of sanctions is even more useless.
If russia completely cuts off the export of oil and gas and prohibits the import of high-tech products to russia, as well as the technologies themselves, then there will be a very tangible benefit, russia finances the war at the expense of oil and gas.


You are right, they are not completely useless, just not effective.

France, Germany, and Hungary provide $1B/day to Russia to finance this ethnic genocide.

The only thing that would work IMHO is a total trade embargo on Russia, confiscation of assets of all Russian citizens,
and their deportation back to Russia.

The breakup of diplomatic ties with Russia by all civilized countries might be effective.
Wake up guys, I don't say that sanctions are useless, sanctions can destroy their economy long-term, every day it provides some mini shots to their built economy but it can't stop the war. I'm saying that sanctions can't stop the war, in this regard, yes, they are useless because Russians knew that the western world would sanction them and they were prepared for that.

Have a look at Norway and then have a look at Russia. Norway is a great Scandinavian country, it's rich, the government provides the income from gas & oil to its citizens, quality of life is very high, an amazing country in aspect except the weather. Do you know what Russia does? Russia invests most of its income in the military, that's why their quality of life is so low. I don't really believe that the statistics that Russia provides are really true, of course, they are false and Russia is not spending $65.9 billion a year on the military, they are spending more but it's fair to say that their military sucks.

There are differences between what is being done, what should be done and what will be done. Europe is dependent on Russian gas, believe it or not, Germany is not going to destroy its economy, not Austria and other countries are going to do that. Have you heard what Macron said to Zelenskyy? Macron asked him to give up some land for peace.
Don't expect much from the USA and from Europe. They have their own interests in this war too and will act according to it. Will there be a direct threat to Germany? France? NATO? We will see a whole different scenario.

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