Still planning on getting yourself those shiny GPUs because the price are down 11% well now isn't a good time to buy graphic cards.
1. The main reason why you should wait is because price are dropping and by the mid of this year gpu price will be better, since February some GPUs even go way down to 15% , at one point the shortage will end.
2. New generations of GPUs are on the way, by second half of the year I'm expecting AMD RX7000 to launch, for Nvidia the RTX4**** are coming.
3. Before RX7000 and RTX4*** gets here the Intel Alchemist GPUs are on the way which they promised huge amount of supply.
All you need to do is have some more patience I believe this will pay off.
I agree with your analysis. There is also the summer approaching and nobody wants extra heat when they're already having to cool their home down (for home miners). Waiting until after summer could mean a newer generation graphics card for cheaper, without it being used, and instead of paying to cool the cards for the summer you'll be enjoying their heat for the winter. With graphics card prices plummeting and the supply chain issues still being worked through as a new generation of cards is about to hit the market, now would seemingly be the obvious time to wait. If that will end up being the smart thing, we'll have to wait and see. Crypto is always full of surprises.