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Author Topic: Bitcoin Every 4 Year  (Read 721 times)
ImThour (OP)
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April 08, 2022, 01:20:46 AM
 #1

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?


https://twitter.com/ChartsBtc/status/1512222716153065472
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April 08, 2022, 03:44:29 AM
 #2

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?

Whatever. There are infinite ways to follow a series, especially as in this case the numbers are taken in isolation from what may happen in the real world in 2026. It will not be the same that in 2026 there will be several more countries like El Salvador with Bitcoin as a legal currency, that some of the largest companies in the world, such as Amazon, have bought Bitcoin for their reserves and accept it as a means of payment, than if all this has not happened and very unfavorable regulations are approved as the one planned in the European Union:

Goodbye, privacy, goodbye, it was nice while it lasted.

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April 08, 2022, 05:57:35 AM
 #3

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?

400k->6000 = > 15
6k   ->50k   = > 8.333
If the ratio will fall again 1.8x then 8.333 / 1.8 = 4.629
So 50k * 4.29 = 214k, not 300k.

However, literally nothing proves that these numbers are correct and this is gonna happen. So it's a speculation, as worthless as any.

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April 08, 2022, 06:59:30 AM
 #4

Actually thats really something to look forward but it doesnt mean the price would hit that target. Halving is something a significant event on bitcoin, but honestly I dont feel its a booster on its price but just a hype made on social media. Bitcoin will go up with or without it.

Well the trends says it is gonna go up then so be it. Lot of bitcoiners will be happy.

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April 09, 2022, 09:02:39 PM
 #5

But you had missed the value of 19k dollars in 2017.I think for the good view of chat you made this.Only the people who doing continues trading from 2016,we know this part in details.But after that 19k dollars,again crypto crashed the market and suddenly gone to 6k dollars in 2018,which was not the expected one.Many people skip that opportunities to buy bitcoin at cheaper price.
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April 09, 2022, 09:28:07 PM
 #6

The most encouraging part of these years comparison for the price of bitcoin is the all time low. We'll be seeing how far bitcoin has gone although people are into its all time highs.
I've read it from someone and it really makes sense to look at it. Well, 4 years from now, I'd like to see it goes 6 digits and even just $100k, that would suffice the long wait.

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April 09, 2022, 09:39:41 PM
 #7

It is probably no secret to anyone who is interested in crypto of the 4-year cycle based on Bitcoin's halving. For anyone following the price, the events are always a source of tension and excitement. About 12-18 months after halving, Bitcoin reaches the peak of its market cycle, then falls, and then begins to rise again before the next halving. But is it really correct to view these halvings as a great predictor of where the price will go next?

It is evident that each new cycle is actually getting longer, and with each new cycle, the peak is less pronounced than in the previous cycle. The reason for this is a simple matter of supply and demand. The halving event reduces the supply of the Bitcoin, but does not affect the demand for the cryptocurrency.

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April 09, 2022, 09:53:58 PM
 #8

The most encouraging part of these years comparison for the price of bitcoin is the all time low. We'll be seeing how far bitcoin has gone although people are into its all time highs.
I've read it from someone and it really makes sense to look at it. Well, 4 years from now, I'd like to see it goes 6 digits and even just $100k, that would suffice the long wait.
^ That is possible to happen because as we can see, every 4-5 years, BTC price will really increase probably that is the demand and supply, many will leave but the number of adoptions more than those who leave in BTC. Halving has a great impact on the price and the most awaited moment when BTC price will increase too much in the market and create another hype. Everything is unpredictable but in a long term, BTC always ends up at a high price which a good for those who wanted to hold their BTC in a long term to make a better profit and be safe.
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April 10, 2022, 05:12:06 AM
 #9

The most encouraging part of these years comparison for the price of bitcoin is the all time low. We'll be seeing how far bitcoin has gone although people are into its all time highs.
I've read it from someone and it really makes sense to look at it. Well, 4 years from now, I'd like to see it goes 6 digits and even just $100k, that would suffice the long wait.
^ That is possible to happen because as we can see, every 4-5 years, BTC price will really increase probably that is the demand and supply, many will leave but the number of adoptions more than those who leave in BTC. Halving has a great impact on the price and the most awaited moment when BTC price will increase too much in the market and create another hype. Everything is unpredictable but in a long term, BTC always ends up at a high price which a good for those who wanted to hold their BTC in a long term to make a better profit and be safe.

It's more likely what will be the demand in the next 4-5 years, government adopting it? whales continue to accumulate? retail investors still saving? speculators and average joe traders still trying to squeeze and make more money out of it?

Still a lot is going to happen in the future and we will see if the cycle will still holds true for us that the price will going on another X amount of growth.

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April 10, 2022, 08:36:49 AM
 #10

400k->6000 = > 15
6k   ->50k   = > 8.333
If the ratio will fall again 1.8x then 8.333 / 1.8 = 4.629
So 50k * 4.29 = 214k, not 300k.
However, literally nothing proves that these numbers are correct and this is gonna happen. So it's a speculation, as worthless as any.
You are right, it is 214k, not 300k.
However, both are the same, that the price may be above $200k in 2026.

I agree with you that all of this is a prediction only. We don't know if the same scheme will return, the next price improvement can be different than previously. We must remember that nothing is sure (certain) in the crypto world, crypto nature is unpredictable.

Bitcoin price cannot be 100% determined by a mathematical formula. It purely depends on demands that have no exact numbers.  Smiley

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April 10, 2022, 05:22:14 PM
Last edit: April 10, 2022, 05:58:30 PM by macson
 #11

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?
snip
2026 is 4 years from now and the chances of bitcoin reaching that price ($300k) are huge considering the good news like shopify adoption and countries recognizing bitcoin as bitcoin will increase.  Positive trend of Bitcoin price per 4 years, can't be avoided anymore.

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April 10, 2022, 06:08:19 PM
 #12

400k->6000 = > 15
6k   ->50k   = > 8.333
If the ratio will fall again 1.8x then 8.333 / 1.8 = 4.629
So 50k * 4.29 = 214k, not 300k.
However, literally nothing proves that these numbers are correct and this is gonna happen. So it's a speculation, as worthless as any.
You are right, it is 214k, not 300k.
However, both are the same, that the price may be above $200k in 2026.

I agree with you that all of this is a prediction only. We don't know if the same scheme will return, the next price improvement can be different than previously. We must remember that nothing is sure (certain) in the crypto world, crypto nature is unpredictable.

Bitcoin price cannot be 100% determined by a mathematical formula. It purely depends on demands that have no exact numbers.  Smiley


Well its in the right board "Speculation" and as everyone realises its just
a guessing game. There is rightly so a very big chance that Bitcoin will be
valued higher than it is now, we have a halving in 2024 which means the block
reward and supply to the market will be 3.125, th9is will certainly be reflected
in the value. $214K or $300k and anything in betwen is realistic IMO, the future
holds many events which we cannot comprehend.

R


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April 10, 2022, 07:06:13 PM
 #13

Ohhhh look at that 2020 price to 2022 and yet we can see trends about "When Bitcoin bull?".  Grin Scary and funny.
That's what you get from new investors who are looking for rush profits and didn't even have a clue of how long old investors had waited just to get into this amount.
I dare them hold it for 2-3 years minimum. They got used to that invest and run schemes of different projects now and they want to do the same with Bitcoin.
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April 10, 2022, 07:50:10 PM
 #14

This was popular called as halves in the prices.This was working,if you check on previous chart.You can clarify this with the old price history.The new people can even start to inverse your money now.Because you can even buy the bitcoin now and earn huge profit in four years.You may ask,it’s possible for bitcoin to end path.It’s almost not possible because of the many countries legalised already.



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April 10, 2022, 08:24:16 PM
 #15

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?
snip
2026 is 4 years from now and the chances of bitcoin reaching that price ($300k) are huge considering the good news like shopify adoption and countries recognizing bitcoin as bitcoin will increase.  Positive trend of Bitcoin price per 4 years, can't be avoided anymore.
I wonder if Bitcoin price would reach that high though in the next 4 years from now. I wonder what biggest companies or investors would have to invest in Bitcoin during that year that makes Bitcoin reaching almost 300k or maybe 200k and that's still quite high for an ATH though. But whatever we are all just speculating here so the chances of getting that price in the future is slim imo since I feel like that's too much if there's no large institutional investors would like to invest in Bitcoin during that time. But if there's then that's quite a large money though like how MicroStrategy invest in Bitcoin.

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April 10, 2022, 10:33:25 PM
 #16

The most encouraging part of these years comparison for the price of bitcoin is the all time low. We'll be seeing how far bitcoin has gone although people are into its all time highs.
I've read it from someone and it really makes sense to look at it. Well, 4 years from now, I'd like to see it goes 6 digits and even just $100k, that would suffice the long wait.
^ That is possible to happen because as we can see, every 4-5 years, BTC price will really increase probably that is the demand and supply, many will leave but the number of adoptions more than those who leave in BTC. Halving has a great impact on the price and the most awaited moment when BTC price will increase too much in the market and create another hype. Everything is unpredictable but in a long term, BTC always ends up at a high price which a good for those who wanted to hold their BTC in a long term to make a better profit and be safe.
Due to the halving, rewards are cut into half and that's also going to make the demand higher. That's why it's really possible but most speculations are saying about higher price than $100k after the next halving.
We've been about to see that last year but it didn't happened because many have thought that $100k would be the highest on 2021. It's okay even if it didn't reached that price because there's still a long way to go until we see it come.

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April 10, 2022, 10:40:41 PM
 #17

Ohhhh look at that 2020 price to 2022 and yet we can see trends about "When Bitcoin bull?".  Grin Scary and funny.
That's what you get from new investors who are looking for rush profits and didn't even have a clue of how long old investors had waited just to get into this amount.
I dare them hold it for 2-3 years minimum. They got used to that invest and run schemes of different projects now and they want to do the same with Bitcoin.

let's admit that very few people can hold their satoshis long-term. most maybe can hold for months and sell their stash once they got good profits. but years and years of waiting, very few in my opinion. anyway, if you are a believer of btc and you have extra funds, anytime is a good time to collect more as you are looking for long-term here. and hoping that such predictions will at least give you good returns.

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April 10, 2022, 11:24:41 PM
 #18

2026: $300,000?

when I looked at these numbers the first thing I thought was: " where is the price forecast for 2026?" then I see 300,000$ Grin well honestly it seems to me a very exaggerated price prediction, if we look at the current price that we are not even at 100,000$ and we are in 2022 and we look at that there are also always some years when the price drops a lot and is stagnant, we can see that for 2026 the price of bitcoin could be in your $150,000 to $200,000. I think it's a very realistic number. Of course if regulation chokes the market then the price could be less than $150,000

Ohhhh look at that 2020 price to 2022 and yet we can see trends about "When Bitcoin bull?".  Grin Scary and funny.
That's what you get from new investors who are looking for rush profits and didn't even have a clue of how long old investors had waited just to get into this amount.
I dare them hold it for 2-3 years minimum. They got used to that invest and run schemes of different projects now and they want to do the same with Bitcoin.

let's admit that very few people can hold their satoshis long-term. most maybe can hold for months and sell their stash once they got good profits. but years and years of waiting, very few in my opinion. anyway, if you are a believer of btc and you have extra funds, anytime is a good time to collect more as you are looking for long-term here. and hoping that such predictions will at least give you good returns.

most of the time people buy and when they think the price is going down for months they sell at a loss

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April 11, 2022, 12:02:46 AM
 #19

Avoid taking the highest prices, it would be like judging the fluid level of a pan by the amount its boiled over each time.   It obviously comes with alot of noise, the truest trend in most prices but especially crypto has been the lowest least interest times when most dont expect any special rise.    Selling at a high is a luxury but its only really there if you can hold the negative gloom price also, market is reflection of all kinds of things not just value and usage but often weakness in other currencies also.

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April 11, 2022, 12:40:40 AM
 #20

I would rather look at peaks of the cycles:

$1,200 -> $20,000 : ~16.6 times increase

$20,000 -> $69,000 : 2.5 times increase

$69,000 -> ??

$172,500 is the upper bound, assuming it will be lower than 2.5 times increase

a 1.5 times increase would be $103,500, so under such model the next ATH will be in that range. After that ATH the price will drop and stabilize, and it's a big question just how big the crash will be. Previously Bitcoin was sinking to just 20% of its ATH value, but this time could be different and we might see only 50% bottom, and the next cycle's bottom could look even better
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