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Author Topic: Bitcoin has no intrinsic value  (Read 422 times)
Silberman
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April 19, 2022, 03:44:15 PM
 #41

Is it really the best way to invest your money?

Because of the way Bitcoin generates value or becomes more expensive, it could potentially lose all its value and became worthless.
Who assures you that this will not happen?
When you invest your money in any asset a certain degree of risk needs to be accepted, if for you the risk that investing in bitcoin entails is too high for you for one reason or another I do no have any problem with it, find another asset in which you are comfortable to invest then do so and call it a day, it is that simple, now technically there is not really anything that has intrinsic value as things do not have value just for existing, they have value for their characteristics, and if you think that a decentralized network in which you can send your money all over the world without any third party interfering with it has a value of zero then that is your call, but do not expect everyone to agree.
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April 19, 2022, 05:28:53 PM
 #42

real value is where there has been some real hard labour cost put into the assets creation/acquisition, whereby people refuse to sell at a loss because there is real cost involved.  in that loss.

gold is only $1,800 instead of just $1 because it costs over $900 instead of $0.50 to mine it.

a $200k house is based on all the bricklaying and plumbing and modernisation updates being around $100k of costs.

understand that the speculative price is not the same as value. and that price is usually above value within a safe amount to still be deemed as within value.
..
however when things 'bubble', is when the PRICE (not to be confused with underlying value) when the speculative price is pushed out to a random number that has no bases of stability or rational thought.
EG when a house build cost was $100k but they are trying to market it for $5million.. that is a market bubble. and not sustainable.
houses being sold way above value is a signal that there will be a market crash.
...
take most POS coins. assuming there is 46,000 people 'validating' POS blocks
now assume there are ~2 coins mined per block every 15 seconds.
meaning 480 a hour, meaning 11520 a day, meaning 46,000 in 4 days

this suggesting each person probably gets 2 coin every 8 days

that makes their coin have an underlying cost of 96hours of passive computer time per coin. which at say 0.04/kwh puts an average desktop computer at half that cost of electric(500w). meaning 2cents per hour or $1.92 cost for mining POS on a popular coin with many thousands of people validating(mining)

well. what i have described is Ethereum after its 'detonation'.. whereby it shifts over from POW to POS
so although Ether while on POW has a mining cost of over $2000. when it switches to POW its value turns into $2

so watch Ethers value plummet by atleast 1000x
..
however bitcoins 'value' sits at a bottomline value of $30k(including the hardware costs) because right now the cheapest you cam mine bitcoin anywhere on the planet is about $30k. the most expensive electric cost using latest gen asic hardware costs included is about $70k

this value window of $30k-$70k. and then seeing that bitcoin PRICE sits happily within this value window shows that bitcoin is a good store of value, without having much of a hyper inflated bubble of speculations pushing the price way outside the value limits.

but with that said. bitcoin could lose hashrate competition and next gen miners could be more efficient which could bring the cost value down and thus cause the price to come down too.. but this is less probable compared to the known drop ether is about to experience soon

I feel that we are similar in our understanding of what gives Bitcoin its present value.

Though I believe the blockchain is the real value of the Bitcoin network and the coin only acts as lubrication for the needs of the distributed ledger. The POW is correlated with the cost of mining, the block reward gives incentive for the cost of equipment and electricity as well as noise/heat pollution.
The tx fee is the price to store information on the ledger.

On a side note, I posit that the mining industry (ASIC and GPU) manufacturers have a hand in price development because they control the distribution of mining equipment.  In the beginning Bitmain was only accepting Bitcoin for machines to produce Bitcoin. Seemingly rather self-fulfilling.

There is a documentary (The Price of Everything) that explains why the art industry keeps its prices in check. May shed some light on why BTFD is such an important concept when it comes to Bitcoin.

https://soap2day.cool/watch-movie/watch-the-price-of-everything-free-939.5368558

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April 19, 2022, 06:30:37 PM
 #43

If you have any doubt about Bitcoin then you should avoid investing on it.And we know that Bitcoin is much popular now and its truely decentralized.So better if invest how much you can afford.
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April 19, 2022, 08:07:14 PM
 #44

Is it really the best way to invest your money?

Because of the way Bitcoin generates value or becomes more expensive, it could potentially lose all its value and became worthless.
Who assures you that this will not happen?

If you look at it solely as an investment opportunity then yeah, maybe there are better ways of pure investments, but some investors believe in the concept of bitcoin, its potential as a disruptive technology, and the potential of economic freedom it brings to the individual, so I would say that it has intrinsic value for some people, it depends how you look at it. To me, BTC and crypto, in general, are a continuation of '80s hacker culture to some extent.

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April 20, 2022, 02:16:03 AM
 #45

What is your standard for investment? You better follow that standard of yours whether it means investing in Bitcoin is good or bad. At least you won't be having regrets in the end. Or perhaps get to know Bitcoin more and reconsider your standard.

I'm afraid much of Bitcoin's price right now is speculative, so decide for yourself if this means Bitcoin is a good or bad investment. Everything could potentially lose its value. Nobody is assuring anybody that something will remain valuable throughout eternity. But it seems to me the potential of Bitcoin is bright. I don't know if you share the same view.

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franky1
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April 20, 2022, 04:56:32 AM
 #46

I'm afraid much of Bitcoin's price right now is speculative, so decide for yourself if this means Bitcoin is a good or bad investment. Everything could potentially lose its value. Nobody is assuring anybody that something will remain valuable throughout eternity. But it seems to me the potential of Bitcoin is bright. I don't know if you share the same view.

bitcoins PRICE is speculative.. but that PRICE does sit within a value window
that window is between $30k to $70k right now

easiest way to see if a buy is a good or bad investment is to see if the price is good value or bad value in a easy to understand scale
EG

I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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April 20, 2022, 06:18:22 AM
 #47

Is it really the best way to invest your money?

Because of the way Bitcoin generates value or becomes more expensive, it could potentially lose all its value and became worthless.
Who assures you that this will not happen?
Bitcoin has value because it cannot be printed. Bitcoin has a mining cost, which most cryptocurrencies do not have on the POS algorithm.If you invest in bitcoin, you won't get x10 at the end of the year, but you will keep your savings. So far, bitcoin is the most decentralized and independent cryptocurrency in the world.

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April 20, 2022, 06:53:47 AM
 #48

So is there a better place to invest our money now than here?

There is no guarantee that this is indeed the best and there is no guarantee that there are even better ones like bitcoin, right?
We all know that this could be a blunder, but this is a risk, isn't there a risk when investing?
At least when we are here for now and in the next few years we will still be safe from the risk of total loss considering bitcoin is still growing

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April 20, 2022, 07:12:41 AM
Last edit: April 20, 2022, 11:06:48 AM by franky1
 #49

So is there a better place to invest our money now than here?

There is no guarantee that this is indeed the best and there is no guarantee that there are even better ones like bitcoin, right?

some say real estate is the big win.. but thats only if you have the money upfront to buy it whole and then flip it quick, then rinse and repeat..

however when "investing" into a house by paying a mortgage long term..
imagine the initial purchase price, for instance $200k. but with mortgage interest and the insurances, maintenance, security and modernisations that many mortgage companies like to see the person do to protect the property. the actually amount of money put into that soon turns into $300k-$400k over a few decades. meaning to break even you have to hope the housing market doubles by the time you want to sell.

also if during the mortgage, you lose your job and skip just a few payments. most banks claim that the first few years you are paying off the insurance and interest only and yet to pay anything towards a % of ownership of the actual property. and so losing your job in the first few years means its all gone, you lose everything. you get nothing back and lose the house.

We all know that this could be a blunder, but this is a risk, isn't there a risk when investing?
At least when we are here for now and in the next few years we will still be safe from the risk of total loss considering bitcoin is still growing

'total loss' is a bit of an over statement.
no one on the planet can mine for less than $30k and no one is buying for less than $40k
so even if you bought at say $45k . you will always find willing buyers for $30k plus
i think we are safely way above the realm of 'bottom' being below $20k. so the new 'zero' is not zero.

yes in the realm of possibilities the new 'zero' might go down to $25k with new asic efficiencies but no incremental hash competition. but to have a true 'zero' of 'zero'. bitcoin would literally need to have a massive unrepairable flaw/bug that is a 'killer' of crypto.

as long as bitcoin stays as POW ii cant see 'zero' being below $20k again. where this bottom slowly moves up over time.. but if it does a ethereum style 'detonation' flip to POS then yes the new 'zero' can go down to a couple dollars


I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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April 20, 2022, 10:35:54 AM
 #50

Is it really the best way to invest your money?

Because of the way Bitcoin generates value or becomes more expensive, it could potentially lose all its value and became worthless.
Who assures you that this will not happen?

This depends on your goal but the only person that can answer that is yourself.

If you have the means of investing for long-term, then I highly recommend so. There are lots of people (including myself) have profited in investing into cryptocurrencies (BTC to be specific). It has an inflationary nature where its value may increase substantially in the following years. But again, this is subject to certain risks that are associated with it.

If I where you, I suggest watching videos about BTC as there are tons of materials available in the internet. Upon learning everything, you decide if you think it is best investing.
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April 20, 2022, 11:21:04 AM
 #51

Is it really the best way to invest your money?

Because of the way Bitcoin generates value or becomes more expensive, it could potentially lose all its value and became worthless.
Who assures you that this will not happen?

Yeah! this kind of speculation has been said 10 years ago and now they regret what they've said and only you can hear them say 'if only" and "if only". You too, if you are not aware of what's the reality of bitcoins and the opportunity that they will bring to the masses, also lose the chance to buy low and sell high which most people have regret already. Now is not the time to speak about mere speculations rather we look at the crypto market and the liquidity, numbers, and companies that have already gotten their hands on bitcoins.
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