Distinctin (OP)
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April 27, 2022, 10:44:45 AM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
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Coin_trader
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April 27, 2022, 11:49:57 AM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
This is a DOA game for Nuggets so it’s risky to with that kind of huge lead. Bet on over total score or plus handicap with double digit to play this last game safe. We can safely assume that GSW win rate is high with there home court advantage but Nuggets is a beast if Jokic and Gordon will play a good performance on this game. They can either win or close the gap by GSW. Do the live bet instead of prematch bet so that you can assess first the players performance to increase your chance of winning.
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Japinat
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April 27, 2022, 11:54:00 AM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
This is a DOA game for Nuggets so it’s risky to with that kind of huge lead. Bet on over total score or plus handicap with double digit to play this last game safe. We can safely assume that GSW win rate is high with there home court advantage but Nuggets is a beast if Jokic and Gordon will play a good performance on this game. They can either win or close the gap by GSW. Do the live bet instead of prematch bet so that you can assess first the players performance to increase your chance of winning. I'd say take this while it's too early. Warriors are more motivated to finish the series because they lose last game, and the Warriors have been playing exceptional basketball at home, so that double-digit is nothing for them. Let's make the first 2 games in the series as the basis. Game 1 - Warriors won by 16 points Game 2 - Warriors won by 20 points.
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Coin_trader
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April 27, 2022, 12:19:12 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
This is a DOA game for Nuggets so it’s risky to with that kind of huge lead. Bet on over total score or plus handicap with double digit to play this last game safe. We can safely assume that GSW win rate is high with there home court advantage but Nuggets is a beast if Jokic and Gordon will play a good performance on this game. They can either win or close the gap by GSW. Do the live bet instead of prematch bet so that you can assess first the players performance to increase your chance of winning. I'd say take this while it's too early. Warriors are more motivated to finish the series because they lose last game, and the Warriors have been playing exceptional basketball at home, so that double-digit is nothing for them. Let's make the first 2 games in the series as the basis. Game 1 - Warriors won by 16 points Game 2 - Warriors won by 20 points. IMO, the recent 2 games is more reliable to base prediction compared to the first two games since there’s already adjustment been done compared on the early 2 games that Nuggets still can’t find solution to there problem. As you notice on recent games, Aaron Gordon already contributing points which gives Jokic more space and less pressure so he is now conserving energy until the final minutes. You still have a valid point since the next game will be on GSW home which is same with game 1 and 2. Let’s see the result tomorrow. I will not bet on this match, Too risky for me.
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kaya11
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April 27, 2022, 12:44:20 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
I would be betting on Warriors till the end, win or lose, I love the team and I know they could do this. They've won the first and second game with distant point leads. 20 points for Curry is easy and, I am confident with them. I hope I can bag on tomorrow's bet, it is exciting however good luck to all us guys.
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ultrloa
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April 27, 2022, 01:21:35 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
I would be betting on Warriors till the end, win or lose, I love the team and I know they could do this. They've won the first and second game with distant point leads. 20 points for Curry is easy and, I am confident with them. I hope I can bag on tomorrow's bet, it is exciting however good luck to all us guys. Their last lose is hard to them so for sure there's adjustment happen since they might get compromised by Nuggets as this team deliver quality gameplay last game 4. I'm going to bet on Warriors this time and I'm predicting that they will finish the run of Nuggets on their next game, let see if their death line up will still relevant on that game.
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inthelongrun
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April 27, 2022, 01:28:11 PM |
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I was planning to bet on Denver earlier. Getting back from a 1-3 situation is not common to them. I believe this will be a close game and GSW might not cover the spreads if they still win. One thing that only stopped me from betting yet is Denver's lack of firepower. Is their current line up enough? Monte Morris scoring over 20 points in their last game is unusual and he may not reach that score again.
Over the last years in NBA, I think this season's playoffs is one of the most difficult to predict. At least for me. I used to win a lot during playoffs first round matches but currently I am losing.
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dothebeats
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April 27, 2022, 04:12:09 PM |
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I was planning to bet on Denver earlier. Getting back from a 1-3 situation is not common to them. I believe this will be a close game and GSW might not cover the spreads if they still win. One thing that only stopped me from betting yet is Denver's lack of firepower. Is their current line up enough? Monte Morris scoring over 20 points in their last game is unusual and he may not reach that score again.
Morris' scoring isn't always consistent, but he delivers when the Nuggets needed him to. Personally I will avoid betting on the Nuggets seeing that Poole and Curry has already heated up and are scoring more consistently, but that's just me. Both teams lack aggressive defense, but GSW has loads of shooters on all sides of the court that it's hard to bet against them not unless you're sure that the opposing team pulls their aces up their sleeves.
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YOSHIE
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April 27, 2022, 05:28:40 PM |
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What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
As long as the two teams meet between Warriors vs. Nuggets, indeed a draw is a game in the fourth month of 2022, both teams can be said to be strong, but their Nuggets only have Jokic, Gordon and Hyland, for the Nuggets team that often appears. But you can still count on Curry, Wiggins, Green and poole from the Golden State Warriors team, they are also the most reliable and best players in basketball. Ever since Porter jr and Murray left the Nuggets team I've seen them look faded, I believe Warriors vs. Today's Nuggets will place points and hopes for Warriors 70% and Nuggets 30%.
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TravelMug
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April 27, 2022, 06:38:58 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
Why will you pass the game when you think that Warriors are going to win it? They are going to play at their home court and usually they play good at Chase and winning with double digits. The handicap for them is -8.5 initially, with a good odds at above 1.8x so that is very attractive and I would say go for it.
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btc_angela
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April 27, 2022, 07:07:38 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
I would be betting on Warriors till the end, win or lose, I love the team and I know they could do this. They've won the first and second game with distant point leads. 20 points for Curry is easy and, I am confident with them. I hope I can bag on tomorrow's bet, it is exciting however good luck to all us guys. Their last lose is hard to them so for sure there's adjustment happen since they might get compromised by Nuggets as this team deliver quality gameplay last game 4. I'm going to bet on Warriors this time and I'm predicting that they will finish the run of Nuggets on their next game, let see if their death line up will still relevant on that game. It's because the Warriors has played badly with their defense. And then Jordan Poole has a so so performance. But this time, I think it will be a very different ball game as they are very comfortable at home. I'm seeing GSW starting very hot in the first quarter and taking a lead and then protecting it. Next to the Suns, they are the team that is good at protecting their lead so it will be very difficult to beat them. And then Poole or Wiggins stepping up they play in this game, so GSW clinching the series.
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ultrloa
Legendary
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April 27, 2022, 09:53:07 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
I would be betting on Warriors till the end, win or lose, I love the team and I know they could do this. They've won the first and second game with distant point leads. 20 points for Curry is easy and, I am confident with them. I hope I can bag on tomorrow's bet, it is exciting however good luck to all us guys. Their last lose is hard to them so for sure there's adjustment happen since they might get compromised by Nuggets as this team deliver quality gameplay last game 4. I'm going to bet on Warriors this time and I'm predicting that they will finish the run of Nuggets on their next game, let see if their death line up will still relevant on that game. It's because the Warriors has played badly with their defense. And then Jordan Poole has a so so performance. But this time, I think it will be a very different ball game as they are very comfortable at home. I'm seeing GSW starting very hot in the first quarter and taking a lead and then protecting it. Next to the Suns, they are the team that is good at protecting their lead so it will be very difficult to beat them. And then Poole or Wiggins stepping up they play in this game, so GSW clinching the series. Yes that is they are been outsmarted in defensive ends by nuggets and there weakness has been exposed in that game so hopefully we can see an adjustment made by Warriors because they are 1 win away to move up. They don't have time to waste and avoid getting choked especially on dying minutes of the game so that nuggets will not get a momentum since if they let them get a good run then maybe they can get another win and warriors will be at bad position. But I believe Steve Kerr is smart coach and already have good game plan on their next game.
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goinmerry
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April 27, 2022, 10:05:21 PM Last edit: April 27, 2022, 10:15:36 PM by goinmerry |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
+8.5 for Denver Nuggets is nothing for me. Golden State Warriors can surely cover that. No need really much analysis on that game in terms of covering the spread since the only thing you can rely on is the result of Games 1 and 2 and how the Nuggets are struggling to close the score with the Warriors. This is a Do-Or-Die for the Nuggets but they already gave their best. Ask for me, Warriors can cover the 8.5 And besides, it's gambling after all that's why we can't really help you to decide. If you think Golden State Warriors can cover it, just place your bet and hope for the best. If lose, then better luck next time.
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Yogee
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April 27, 2022, 10:24:39 PM |
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Just want to let you guys know that Iggy will be out in game 5. It's minor setback for the Warriors but his absence could still have impact in the game. I would probably avoid double digit handicap. Lines for GSW -7.5 and -6.5 are good unless you want to be more greedy. Better be closer to "sure win" than sorry hehe.
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goinmerry
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April 27, 2022, 10:38:14 PM |
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Just want to let you guys know that Iggy will be out in game 5. It's minor setback for the Warriors but his absence could still have impact in the game. I would probably avoid double digit handicap. Lines for GSW -7.5 and -6.5 are good unless you want to be more greedy. Better be closer to "sure win" than sorry hehe.
Sorry but I have to disagree with you and can't include that on my analysis. Iggy is only playing at limited minutes and he isn't really having an impact on their games. He is giving his minutes to his teammates instead as for him, he is not that productive anymore at both offense and defense. More on he is just there as a pure backup. Also acting as an advisor to their young players like Draymond Green is doing. If let's say the Golden State Warriors can't cover the -8.5, -7.5, or -6.5, that's not because of Iggy's absence but the Nuggets just played good to close the score til the end.
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agustina2
Legendary
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April 27, 2022, 10:58:19 PM |
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I'm thinking of betting on the home team as I believe (not 100% -convince me...) they will finish the series and will win by double-digit. Curry, Poole, and Thompson, if they would score at least 20 points each, I think the series is over, but of course, I have a little worry, what if they will not cover the spread?
What's the right call here, should I go with the spread or will just pass this game?
For me just have the guts to place a bet for them and believed. We can't really say what will happen but just check how the Warriors dominate the Nuggets on their homecourt and the lead is really huge in the 2 games they played at home that we can think that the point spread of -8 points for the Warriors can really cover. If you want to skip betting on the game, it's your decision too. You have no other options but to take that Warriors spread and nothing else to have good odds in return as betting on Moneyline is not worth it unless you are willing to bet a decent amount just to feel the profits.
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Yogee
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April 27, 2022, 10:58:25 PM |
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Just want to let you guys know that Iggy will be out in game 5. It's minor setback for the Warriors but his absence could still have impact in the game. I would probably avoid double digit handicap. Lines for GSW -7.5 and -6.5 are good unless you want to be more greedy. Better be closer to "sure win" than sorry hehe.
Sorry but I have to disagree with you and can't include that on my analysis. Iggy is only playing at limited minutes and he isn't really having an impact on their games. He is giving his minutes to his teammates instead as for him, he is not that productive anymore at both offense and defense. More on he is just there as a pure backup. Also acting as an advisor to their young players like Draymond Green is doing. If let's say the Golden State Warriors can't cover the -8.5, -7.5, or -6.5, that's not because of Iggy's absence but the Nuggets just played good to close the score til the end. I said minor setback if you haven't noticed since I am also aware that he plays limited minutes. It's obvious that he's not the main defender anymore and less of a scorer now but little things like stopping a Nuggets player or forcing him to take tough shots in at least two possessions could have an impact in the game. Steve Kerr also describes his absence as a huge loss in his interview but I think he's exagerating.
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Coin_trader
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April 28, 2022, 04:26:57 AM |
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There's only last 2 minutes in the game while GSW has 2 points lead. This is not over for Nuggets since they still have the momentum to overturn the result. This is what I'm talking about on my yesterday analysis on this thread. There's no way this game will turn out to be like game 1 and 2 which GSW can get a huge score lead especially the double digit that OP wants to bet. This is a very close game since Nuggets will not gonna give up easily on this one.
I hope OP didn't place bet yesterday although there's still chance that GSW can get a double digit lead if there will be OT.
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Hypnosis00
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April 28, 2022, 04:44:07 AM |
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Series is over but unfortunately, the Warriors did not cover the spread.
It was a close game from the very start, in fact, Nuggets have led a double digit but good thing the Warriors did a great job. Nuggets played a very defensive game, however, only the two big man are scoring so it's not really enough for them to win.
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Distinctin (OP)
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April 28, 2022, 05:17:17 AM |
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I hope OP didn't place bet yesterday although there's still chance that GSW can get a double digit lead if there will be OT.
I placed my bet so I lose. ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif) That's alright, it's gambling, you never know what would happen, you guess it right, you win. Anyway, there's a 2nd round of the series and I think I'll still be backing the Warriors.
This thread is locked now.
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