Hold on!
I'm focussing on the word being used "
Guess", it is impossible* to guess a seed phrase,
so memorising it is perfectly safe provided you can recall the 24 words
anytime and are in full
control of your faculties in 10, 20, 30+ years from now.
Also if we disregard another word "hypothetically" and look at what o_e_l_e_o posted
in a related thread from earlier this week >
Crypto vs "the lucky dude" --- Is Bitcoin really SAFE?From what I understand the only defense against this event is to divide your assets into many accounts to reduce the risk.
No, the defense against this is math:
Let's say we have a trillion planet Earths. On each Earth, there are a trillion people. Each person has a trillion computers. Each computer generates a trillion keys a second. All these computers have been creating a trillion keys per second since the birth of the universe 13.7 billion years ago. 10^12 * 10^12 * 10^12 * 10^12 * 60 * 60 * 24 * 365 * 13.7 * 10^9 = 4.3*10^65. This means thay they would have so far generated approximately 0.0000000004% of all private keys.
If you are worried about someone using such a site to stumble across your private key, then you should be absolutely terrified of dying from a meteor strike, shark attack, or lightning strike, all of which are exponentially more likely to happen. You should also be terrified about someone guessing your credit card number and stealing all your fiat, since for every possible credit card number there is somewhere in the region of 10 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion possible private keys.
I think he got some spent addresses but all of them were empty already.
If he did, then it was because those addresses were generated insecurely (e.g. brain wallets), or he had some additional information or knowledge about those addresses. No one has ever or will ever randomly stumble across the same private key as anyone else, period.
Sorry, but your chances of winning a lottery are higher.
Given that most lotteries have a chance to win the jackpot in the region of 1 in 10
8, and there are around 10
77 possible private keys, then you are a few trillion trillion trillion times more likely to win the jackpot 5 times in a row than to find a single previously used private key.
Imagine stumbling across an address with a only few thousand sats in it, knowing you could have exponentially more easily just won several billion dollars by winning the lottery over and over and over!