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Author Topic: Dumb plan?  (Read 732 times)
Cuda911 (OP)
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May 28, 2022, 07:28:52 AM
 #1

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?

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May 28, 2022, 07:56:29 AM
 #2

It's hard to say whether history will repeat itself. In 2017, the entire crypto industry was in a different place of development than it is now. However, I agree that it is also worth having new, promising projects in your portfolio, as they seem to have the most room for value growth. However, you must always remember the basics of investment - portfolio diversification, own research, as well as control of market trends.

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May 28, 2022, 08:02:37 AM
 #3

It's hard to say whether history will repeat itself. In 2017, the entire crypto industry was in a different place of development than it is now. However, I agree that it is also worth having new, promising projects in your portfolio, as they seem to have the most room for value growth. However, you must always remember the basics of investment - portfolio diversification, own research, as well as control of market trends.

Even without taking into consideration on the history. You can easily what's gonna happened by understanding the investor's thinking towards crypto projects. Most of the crypto investors want a quick profit that's why they are always FOMO buying to ride the hype of the project and then move on once they already reached the target profit since project development hype always has an expiration due to its slow development nature. So you will get much larger profit if you will invest on new project that surpass the existing top project because the tendency is investors will just change boat and ride the much newer one that has the hype.

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May 28, 2022, 08:53:06 AM
 #4

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
It is because many of them are prone in rugpulling. It's true that many of the top altcoins now are likely new but they're launched a few years ago. I get the idea of your thought that new projects are going to replace a lot from the top. But that shouldn't also give you the confidence that all of them will be there. Just think of it that a few of them will be at the top but also many of them are likely have no chance at all and might even caught as a scam.

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May 28, 2022, 09:09:41 AM
 #5

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?

Just because it happened a few years ago does not mean that it will happen again the same way in the futures. That is also the reason why i think that all that trend analysis stuff and other predictions that are based on the past can never really tell what will happen in the future. Maybe they can give a slight indication in what overall direction the market will move but nothing more than that.
In a few years the top 20 of the coinmarketcap ranking will definitely look a little different than now. That is just part of that industry and within 4 or 5 years there will definitely be a few new projects that will come up and move to the top 20 relatively quickly like Solana for example did it last years.
Other projects like Shiba Inu will probably not be in the top 20 anymore in a few years.
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May 28, 2022, 09:39:26 AM
 #6

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
Actually investing in a new project is not completely bad but we know the risk of investing in cryptocurrency is very high even if the project is successful in the future no one knows when the project is just released. While there are many scam projects that can be found almost every day, both of them cannot be predicted with certainty whether it is potential or it is just a scam.

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May 28, 2022, 09:58:15 AM
 #7

That’s the thing about crypto market, uncertainty at its peak. You never know which coin will take downturn and up turn. You have to rely completely on precise study of that project and invest accordingly. One should only invest if they know the coin and it’s detailed roadmap. That’s too unsure if they gonna follow it or not properly. Many of them change the course of same. I have seen so many project with active community, project leads, team members and stuff but suddenly they go vanish in thin air. CMC makes up based on volume, price etc. That’s not entire factor to understand projects destiny.
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May 28, 2022, 10:05:08 AM
 #8

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
Actually it's not a bad problem if you want to invest in a new project now, but for some reason they (the new project) don't have such a strong foundation and their popularity is still less than the old project, so the risk is bigger if you invest in a new project if you invest in a new project. in case they're not really good, unless you've researched them over and over again to make sure the new project is good.

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May 28, 2022, 10:15:13 AM
 #9

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
No one said that it is a bad idea to invest in new project but it is a bad idea that you are going to invest in a project based on hype such as meme coins and other hyped tokens that doesn't have an actual use in real world. If you managed to find a good and unique project, then that is a good sign and opportunity. Just beware of the other scam projects honestly nowadays I cannot tell exactly which one is a real project and which one is not.

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May 28, 2022, 11:23:14 AM
 #10

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
Take a closer look at why you think it's bad, see for yourself how you understand it, and whether your experience with this market is real. Of course, most of what I've seen after every trend is an exaggeration of the future when they offer nothing but quick gains and losses, we get carried away. during those trends when it is easy to make a profit. But you need to think more about what you will gain and what you will lose when buying them. Having an easy strategy for these will reduce the risk of loss even more. I myself now spend some time researching new projects and looking for profit opportunities they bring, but basically we should still hold more BTC. Find a way to increase your BTC over time.

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May 28, 2022, 11:44:22 AM
 #11

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too,
The new tokens will rise to replace the existing major coin in the market and this cycle is always running. i have no doubt if you will be always seeing the new face that will come everyyear. The competition of crypto is very strict these days. So think about that.

now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
It's not a bad idea but the difficult thing is which token that worth to invest these days? I meant if you are looking at the market and that makes even more difficult to pick the best token for now.

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May 28, 2022, 11:55:14 AM
 #12

Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
only a few new projects can survive and compete with older projects already on the market. some developers certainly experience different obstacles in doing development.
indeed there are new assets that suddenly attract large investors. but their efforts also take a long time.
If you can pick a quality new project for the long term, that's fine.
but for new tokens or coins, I will only use them for short term planning.



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May 28, 2022, 12:42:16 PM
 #13

~ now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
1. The past condition doesn't merely suggest the future will be the same, especially if you barely researching what is the new project that trying to solve.

2. Note the possible economic/market downturn that spread around recently. Taking the bigger picture, a lot of big companies are laying off their employees for efficiencies and some big investors are drawing back from spending funds recklessly.

3. Separating the wheat from the chaff is a monstrous job. Do you have the capacity for finding which project is a hidden gem?
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May 28, 2022, 01:01:52 PM
 #14

I think that new projects have far more potential to generate more profits than older projects or those that have lasted for years. Even I believe those who are now occupying the top positions in the market will sooner or later be replaced by a new generation that is much more powerful than that coin. It's just that new coins tend to carry a lot of risk too, because we can't just believe that they really match their strong fundamentals until we see for ourselves how they survive in a bear market.

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May 28, 2022, 01:06:28 PM
 #15

You need a huge capital and to accept that more than half of your investments will go to zero.

There are multiple possibilities you can lose your coins.  A coin out of your investments going through a fork, being attacked (see Luna) and scamming are only a few to name.  I have lost some of my coins years ago due to a fork I have not been up to date with.  The more coins you have, the harder it will get for you to keep up.

Then there is one more possibility.  The coin might simply die out due to a lack of interest from the community or due to lack of development.  So many coins came out of nowhere and vanished forever in the last few years.  I can not even imagine how many billions have simply gone forever during the ICO hype times.

Now about the capital requirement.  You can not just place your bets on a single coin or a few of them and roll with it.  You will have to invest in multiple assets as you have no idea which will succeed, if ever.  So let us say you will draw a line and find out you want to invest in 100 coins.  How much money can you invest in them?  $100 in each?  Is it all worth the risks?  Why not just invest in something that has active development, a strong community backing it and a real possible future?  How many of these 100 do you think will reach top 10 within years?  What if none of them ever will?  That is money thrown into the pits of hell!

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May 28, 2022, 01:21:28 PM
 #16

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?
Can't say that investing in new projects is a bad idea, it would be correct to say that you can invest in new projects if you have enough knowledge and skills to choose from a variety of new projects one, or maybe several of those projects, that can grow and develop to get into the top 100. It's not easy otherwise everyone would be able to do it. If you want to try how well you can do it, then do it with a small amount so that in case of failure, the losses are minimal.

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May 28, 2022, 01:28:10 PM
 #17

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?

It's quite simple. Invest in a project which solves something and addresses a new problem.
There are hundreds of projects out there which is addressing the same problem and solutions are already there for it.
Those projects never succeed in the long run and they are there just to bank of the users.
So invest in a project which you think is doing something new and has a great potential.

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May 28, 2022, 01:34:34 PM
 #18

It will always be beneficial to invest in new stuff because that will bring innovation and other things to the world. It's like getting from beepers to smartphones kind of thing. Where are the old things now? Sometimes it's just better to have a new one.

You would want to do just some things when replacing the older crypto. These are just what I can think of from the top of my head.
  • Faster transaction speeds
  • Less strain on handling the current blockchain
  • More people easily understand it and how to use it
  • More secure network

The cryptocurrencies that are still on top probably have a lot of users, and that just says a lot, and you wouldn't go flawed with them. So maybe that's going to help you in something.

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May 28, 2022, 01:35:03 PM
 #19

It seems that every three to four years cycle new altcoins always takes a position in top 20 list on coinmarketcap, those who are leading the top 20 of 2017 are done for right now, only very few remains, now it seems this is what's going to happen in 2024-2025 too, now tell me why investing in a new project a bad idea? Cos I plan to look into new projects for the future instead, what do you think?

You need to be lucky to profit from the alts. Yes there will be new alts replace the old ones in the future but there will also be losers among those new altcoins. How you gonna know which will be the winners? You need to be extremely lucky for that. I’d say just play dice instead. It is also luck based.

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May 28, 2022, 01:41:31 PM
 #20

I think that new projects have far more potential to generate more profits than older projects or those that have lasted for years. Even I believe those who are now occupying the top positions in the market will sooner or later be replaced by a new generation that is much more powerful than that coin. It's just that new coins tend to carry a lot of risk too, because we can't just believe that they really match their strong fundamentals until we see for ourselves how they survive in a bear market.

can you mention which new projects have good potential that can beat the popularity of coins that have been in the crypto market for a long time, and are they as popular as binance, ethereum, solana, or other coins, indeed there are currently many new projects being developed but their growth is only due to hype and never lasts long, it's best before investing in a new project you should do in-depth research so that you know how big the chances are to survive and be profitable for you.

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