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Author Topic: Crypto Market 2022 | Back to the Bearish cycle: 2018-2020 year?  (Read 212 times)
Coronama (OP)
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June 02, 2022, 06:41:27 PM
 #1

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
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June 02, 2022, 07:48:07 PM
 #2

Yes, could be because we learn from basic history.

Basic crypto-movement, after we reach new ATH. The market will go down around -75% to -85% counted from All-time high price. It's already been proved by 4 cycle and we moving to next ATH each time there has some new halving bitcoin.

The next halving bitcoin in 2024, based on the bearish from 4 cycles the good entry during bearish in around 12,000-15,000$/BTC. Then, try to long term with estiamtion target around 15-20x.
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June 02, 2022, 09:50:18 PM
 #3

The bear cycle began last year and is now in its most active phase, even the Winklevos brothers are downsizing because of crypto winter. Now most analysts have other questions, namely when will crypto winter end and how much more can prices fall? Bears have been reigning in the market for a month now, and it is felt in volatility, demand, and the number of new projects.

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June 02, 2022, 10:59:45 PM
 #4

It wasn't too long ago when some projections suggests that BTC hasn't peaked yet and here we are now discussing about bear market hehe. What happened in the past two years like the covid and conflict in Europe disrupted the market cycle momentarily but we're probably back at it now. We may have a good bounce back next year.
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June 02, 2022, 11:12:30 PM
 #5

It wasn't too long ago when some projections suggests that BTC hasn't peaked yet and here we are now discussing about bear market hehe. What happened in the past two years like the covid and conflict in Europe disrupted the market cycle momentarily but we're probably back at it now. We may have a good bounce back next year.

in my opinion, it is hard to compare the market to a specific period in the past because what we have today is a lot different than in the previous years. but anyone can do their speculation here as we are free to do so. we can only give a good conclusion once a certain period is already over. and from that point, we can easily compare it with other years.
but some people do want to know the pulse of the community, just to check what are the sentiments in this market.

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June 02, 2022, 11:33:27 PM
 #6

Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
4 year cycle was a real thing. I can't say if this is proacted the bearish trend but it's a bit different compared with what happened in 2018 - 2020. I know that if people are feeling frustated caused by the bearish market but they were not even making the right point about this.
This time the bearish market is also being supported by the very bad global condition where the inflation is happening everywhere. The war is still continue and various virus that was coming.
The fundamental of market is also following the fundamental of global. Everything gets even expensive.

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June 02, 2022, 11:43:47 PM
 #7

Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
4 year cycle was a real thing. I can't say if this is proacted the bearish trend but it's a bit different compared with what happened in 2018 - 2020. I know that if people are feeling frustated caused by the bearish market but they were not even making the right point about this.
This time the bearish market is also being supported by the very bad global condition where the inflation is happening everywhere. The war is still continue and various virus that was coming.
The fundamental of market is also following the fundamental of global. Everything gets even expensive.
We should take the bearish market very positive. I mean if you have the last bear market, then you will know that a lot of solid projects goes down. Like Ethereum for example, went below $100 but in the bull run of 2021, it went as high as $4k. So the bear market is a perfect opportunity to all of us to fill our wallets.

As for the cycle, so far, it holds true so nothing to complain about. As bitcoin halving happens every 4 year cycle, and as it is the catalyst for a a bull run, then for now we can conclude that after the halving in 2024, we might see another massive bull run. So this is the time to buy more and wait and hold.

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June 03, 2022, 02:15:26 AM
 #8

(....)
 Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Yes, there is a possibility. As we recall last bear market was around 2017 - 2018 when it was started, as you can see it was also started there, losing too much in just a short period of time. But you should also consider that the volume before is far different from now, so we can also say that the market now is already matured.

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June 03, 2022, 02:57:06 AM
 #9

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
43% means it can fall more. Historically Bitcoin has more than 80% falls in previous bear markets. I don't imply that Bitcoin will repeat 80% correction in this bear market. It might or might not have it but it is a view from past cycles.

Quote
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Market can change its sentiment and direction any time. Because if everyone are bullish, market will turn to bearish. If everyone is bearish and have very negatively sentiment, market will turn to be bullish. Leverages as long and short and future markets are helpful to turn market around from bull to bear and bear to bull.

Turning points appear and are confirmed if you see big moves and spikes in trading volume.
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June 03, 2022, 04:30:06 AM
 #10

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
So like what previous post above, it will be the same or will not be the same, because we don't know how the market will be, may new players inside for this session buy and learn what did happen in the past. several whales have bought altcoin which makes the investment in the company's future. this is different from what did happen in the past when only person by person. So, the risk is always there prepare, so self to manage it, if you were in the market/exchange, prepare to cut and stop lose also.

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June 03, 2022, 07:12:29 AM
 #11

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
43% means it can fall more. Historically Bitcoin has more than 80% falls in previous bear markets. I don't imply that Bitcoin will repeat 80% correction in this bear market. It might or might not have it but it is a view from past cycles.

Quote
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Market can change its sentiment and direction any time. Because if everyone are bullish, market will turn to bearish. If everyone is bearish and have very negatively sentiment, market will turn to be bullish. Leverages as long and short and future markets are helpful to turn market around from bull to bear and bear to bull.

Turning points appear and are confirmed if you see big moves and spikes in trading volume.
Most likely, in the coming summer months, the bearish period in the cryptocurrency market will continue. In summer, we almost never see a good rise in prices. In addition, given that the bearish period began last year, it is very unlikely that prices will resume growth in the summer. Therefore, it is most likely not worth hoping for positive changes in this market until autumn. Lately, I'm not even in a hurry to look at price dynamics because of this. Of course, there are always exceptions. But the current unfavorable situation with the war unleashed by Russia against Ukraine and the subsequent tough sanctions that are only getting worse, the threat of starvation due to the blocking of grain in Ukrainian ports, all this does not contribute to the growth of the cryptocurrency market.

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June 03, 2022, 08:11:57 AM
 #12

(....)
 Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Yes, there is a possibility. As we recall last bear market was around 2017 - 2018 when it was started, as you can see it was also started there, losing too much in just a short period of time. But you should also consider that the volume before is far different from now, so we can also say that the market now is already matured.

Definitely, we will go back to the bearish cycle again. It will happen again during the ups and downs of the market, and the only option we need to do with a bearish market is to buy and hold, but sometimes we also need to sell if the price is more than the ATH because dump will surely happen after the buy volume is much higher.

We just need to learn from those past years and take advantage of the market.


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June 03, 2022, 08:30:14 AM
 #13

Some people are thinking if we have been going back again to the old bearish cycle which already happened a few years ago but we have also experienced a very big pump during 2019 - 2021 that makes sense if we are facing another big pump today. I do believe once you realized the fact that if the bearish market like this is just a common thing in the crypto. This can be going up again anytime. people realized that if this time we are in the bearish market.

Just buy and buy as preparation for the next big cycle next years.

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June 03, 2022, 08:45:29 AM
 #14

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
I will not draw a conclusion that the market will be going that way again, nor I would say history repeats itself and probably because the market behavior has been changed already. I can say that people have been prepared already, people had already learned about the past bear season, so I guess, they will respond to the situation differently and even more positive, unlike before were the majority are in the selling. 

Even though the bear season will continue for quite longer, however, I'm not going to think about the worse impact on the market.

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June 03, 2022, 09:32:48 AM
 #15

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
This season has been like what happened in the 2018-2020 season because the price has dropped back to its lowest level without us knowing when it will end. I feel that this situation remains unpredictable as crypto players have grown in number and projects have been launched to attract investors. But even so, we must remain optimistic that this is only temporary and will surely end sooner or later.

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June 03, 2022, 09:36:26 AM
 #16

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Possibly but werent sure of course. Most of the projects or investors might waiting for a good accumulatiom period. But it seems for me that with recent consolidatiom, I think were near getting the bottom and will last a year of volatility until next year. But who knows what could bring the end months it could rebound strong like it always used to.

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June 03, 2022, 09:42:35 AM
 #17

The bearish cycle will continue. If no major fixes are made at this time, this bearish cycle may be very long and last for several years. Currently, it is better to hold BTC than to invest new money in this market. Of course, it is not easy to wait 1-2 years. It is very easy to buy the bottom now, but very difficult to "hold" when the market is falling. especially today there is news that has an additional impact in that direction https://prnt.sc/bIGwViFWl1Ad

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June 03, 2022, 09:48:35 AM
 #18

Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
I can't give the full expression but one thing for sure is that if the scenario of what happened during then affect this day current market I m sure none could bears it. We don't have to panic over the market knowing that it's one thing pertinent in crypto industry whereby everyone should be able to keep records on this occurrence possibly the time frame it always happened.

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June 03, 2022, 09:49:33 AM
 #19

This market cap has fallen 43% since the start of the year, which is equivalent to $1 trillion leaving the market.
For those of you who have been on this forum for a long time, I would like to ask about the current state of the crypto market. Does this mark the start of a protracted bearish cycle. Like in the 2018-2020 season?
Yes, the bear period has started already since some months ago, some people had made profit and sold, some people are also buying more now. The bear market has just started and will last for many months and some people are waiting for that period to buy more. This 2022 is like 2018 and there can still be more price decrease.

The bearish cycle will continue. If no major fixes are made at this time, this bearish cycle may be very long and last for several years. Currently, it is better to hold BTC than to invest new money in this market. Of course, it is not easy to wait 1-2 years. It is very easy to buy the bottom now, but very difficult to "hold" when the market is falling. especially today there is news that has an additional impact in that direction https://prnt.sc/bIGwViFWl1Ad
I will not say people should buy the bottom now because the price may still decrease further. People that wants to buy bitcoin should have long term holding plan or they can still wait or buy with just one quarter of their money and invest more as it becomes more bearish. Fixes do not have to be made, everything should be naturally happening.

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June 03, 2022, 10:01:07 AM
 #20

The cycle can change anytime and this is not always following the old pattern that already happened before. People are being trapped if any bearish market will always be the same like what happened with crypto in the past. They forgot if everything change now. It's started from so many companies are seeing bitcoin as investment opportunity and then it's not only that. There are so many venture capital from various major companies were also coming to the crypto as well.
Just  think the bullish momentum can come anytime soon.

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