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[Symmetrick]

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[thecodebear]

I expect price to bottom at current prices ($25k to low $30,000s), perhaps throughout the summer if macro environment contintues to look negative for the next few months. But in the Fall I think we'll start to see a recovery. Might just be a slow grinding recovery, or we could see it leap back into the $40k's rather quickly if people start thinking the bear market is over. Basically I don't expect much but I think the recovery will have started before end of the year.

When people really start coming back to the market the price should shoot up because of the supply shock from all the accumulation that has happened the past 12 months, but I don't expect a ton of people to come back into the market until next year so I think it's more likely we'll see this bottom play out and then grind up a bit to finish the year, and then next year we'll start to see strong price growth and new ATHs.

[hatshepsut93]

I expect stagnation and slow decline. With this global economic turmoil, high risk assets don't seem attractive to many investors. Most of the doomers have likely already sold, so the price shouldn't fall below $20k, I'd expect it to slide to 24-25k and stay there. The true bull market will come somewhere in 2024, together with new halvening.

[The Author]

I don't really see much prospect for Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency for that matter for the second half of the year as the global economic situation is depreciating. Many countries that the major whales below to are currently facing some challenges. And with the red candlesticks portrayed on exchanges, I would say getting a new ATH in the second half is seemingly impossible. (I stand to be corrected though) lol.

[Fundamentals Of]

I am actually still hopeful that Bitcoin could still manage to get back to somewhere in the $50,000 level in the second half of this year. We've had enough red in the first half. Although it could very well extend to the other remaining half, I think the green and better days are coming. But it might come a little late, in the last quarter of this year, the later part of the second half.

There are good news happening and coming but they're still pooling up power. So Bitcoin is probably just consolidating during these boring days. Once it bursts, the price could go into a strong rally toward $50,000.

[adaseb]

Most likely for the first half of the second half there won’t be much action. Kind of like 2018. Maybe there will be more trends than sideways chop like we have no in September but I think most of the biggest moves will be sometime in Oct-Dec.

Right now you can see with all the barting around that there is very little liquidity. And most likely this will continue until Friday when the CPI numbers come out.

Then if the numbers are a surprise we should get a decent move.

[Reatim]

We are 3 weeks far from the ending of 1st half and still we are now seeing anything yo grind and to wait but I am not losing my hope in this coming second half , I believe that we will be maintaining the 50k level at least till the end of December.

I don't really see much prospect for Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency for that matter for the second half of the year as the global economic situation is depreciating. Many countries that the major whales below to are currently facing some challenges. And with the red candlesticks portrayed on exchanges, I would say getting a new ATH in the second half is seemingly impossible. (I stand to be corrected though) lol.

it is not really worth believing that new ATH will be recorded , but at least will recover from this dip losses , and i know there are many things to expect here in the second half of 2022.

[pooya87]

It is not possible to predict because the world is becoming less stable and that is affecting the economy too which in turn could severely affect bitcoin market (either positive or negative). There are certain events that are going to happen within the next 10 to 20 days that could have significant effects.
We also have another major war that could happen in winter (China/Taiwan) that could mess up the world even more than the Russia/Ukraine one has done.

But if the "doomsday" scenarios don't take place I expect price to start rising very soon. Breaking certain resistances such as the $50k one could speed up the rise significantly and $100k would be in reach in a very short time after.

[LogitechMouse]

Personally, I do not expect a new ATH in the second half of the year, but there is still a chance to return to 40-50k this year. I also expect a red annual candle, since according to the theory of cyclicality, 2022 is a year of decline, after a year of growth and a new ATH, that is, the price will close on December 31 below $45,600.

What are your expectations and what do you consider first of all, fundamental analysis or technical analysis based on charts and indicators?

Looks like the 4-year cycle is happening right? It happened in 2018 where Bitcoin went down from $20,000 to near $3,000. Base on what is happening around the world, it seems like it will happen again. The good thing is it isn't that worse like what happened in 2018.

My prediction to what will happen this year is Bitcoin might go sideways and as long as Bitcoin will not pass the resistance which is the $46,000-$48,000 (highest price reached before the 9 week red candle happened), we might remain stagnant the whole year. I hope that all of us are ready with this one. On the other hand, the good thing is we already saw an inverted hammer candle last week which often means that a trend reversal is happening base on technical. Technical isn't 100% accurate though and it might happen or not. As of now, the weekly candle is in green.

[m2017]

I expect stagnation and slow decline. With this global economic turmoil, high risk assets don't seem attractive to many investors. Most of the doomers have likely already sold, so the price shouldn't fall below $20k, I'd expect it to slide to 24-25k and stay there. The true bull market will come somewhere in 2024, together with new halvening.

I also don't expect the value of bitcoin to rise in the second half of 2022 at all. The economic situation in the light of recent and previous events has a very unstable position and it would be naive to expect that everything will improve overnight and investors will massively start buying bitcoin. It seems to me (I can only assume) that in the next year or two we will not see a serious bitcoin price growth. I think there will be small growth surges, but this is unlikely to greatly affect the current trend.
 

[bittraffic]

We all have a positive outlook this next half of the year though so that's enough to be bullish I think we're all gonna reach the new ATH by mid 2023.

Monitoring exchange netflow, there are whales buying up BTC in billions of USD so we're probably going there once again. By the end of the year I think we'll hit $50K again. Hopefully.

[mk4]

No technical analysis or indicators, just mostly broadly based on market sentiment: we're just going to have sideways chop for months and months, angling slightly towards the downside rather than the upside.

Fun fact: most of the pain in bear markets isn't necessarily the sharp price drops, but the slow and boring grind to the downside.

[Smartvirus]

For this thread to have presented some accurate prediction on the activities of bitcoin in the second half of the year, maybe if it the thread came a lot more earlier than this, it would have been fun to test once closeness to accuracy with the market still way back to play out. Although, the effort and intent as I see it is not totally defeated as 6months ahead could be a long time.

Taking a page in this, we've seen bitcoin dump in a bearish market in such a way that wasn't anticipated and it dumped suddenly and dip too. What to expect next is a period of consolidation where the market gets to struggle back up, with the bulls gaining momentum at each step on the way in preparation for a bullish market during the halving yet to come. So what am expecting is some slight move to the top, let's say $55k and then it stabilises for a long time.

[Beparanf]

Bitcoin usually continue the trend of the 2nd half but change the trend around October to December with greater volume either down or upward. I think the current price movement is just a preparation for a big pump on the Q4 because the price keeps battling the bears just to keep above 30K many times. I’m still optimistic that Bitcoin will recover and attempt to reach new ATH on Q4 this year despite there is recession looming around the world.

[TravelMug]

If we look at the market movement right now, this is bearish. So I'm not expecting any huge change in the next 6 months, on the contrary, it could be worst because the war in Europe is still on-going.

Worst meaning, the price could still go down and we might see another bottom, lowest low.

We've seen this in 2018 and it could be another repeat this bear cycle. And it's better not to expect something big in the second half, just saying.

[NeuroticFish]

but there is still a chance to return to 40-50k this year

If we get back there is already very much okay, really.
We're in the middle of the 4-year cycle. If the historical data means anything the next 6 months the price may not go higher, may even get lower.
However, we had some sort of double-ATH/double bull run this cycle, so I would not be so much surprised if more modifications will happen in the (more or less) pattern.
If this means earlier start of the bull run, or at least a bit of recovery, even better.

[hugeblack]

I was one of the people who expected that the price would break 70K by last April and unfortunately we only reached about 48k and then I had to sell some bitcoin at a price of about 29K (I had to sell  )

Personally, I hope that we will get 55k levels because it means that I will compensate for my loss in the short term, but if there is an increase, it will be temporary, followed by a strong correction, so it is likely that we will witness four months of crazy changes or stability at the levels of 30K.

Generally, the best plan for now is to leave a little cash around if the price collapses in order to buy more.

[Zilon]

The second half  of the year 2022 is indecisive for now because the bitcoin chart is looking too noisy and there is no strong candle to suggest any new upward trend even on higher time frame. I think the end of June will give a clearer picture of what to expect in the second half, a major breakout will tell where the market will possibly move next for now the month of June might either be choppy or range trend.

[NeuroticFish]

We're in the middle of the 4-year cycle.

What kind of mid-cycle are we talking about and where do these cycles come from and why, after the market recently reached the new ATH, is this the middle of a cycle? Can you elaborate on this, this is the first time I hear this theory?

I calculate the cycle from halving to halving. 4 years.
A rough calculation tells that at around 1.5 years after halving there's the ATH and the downtrend starts, after one more year (more or less) it's basically in the crypto winter and from that point we're getting slowly back to bullish trend, and in 1.5 years there's halving again.
Am I wrong?

[Ojengonggu]

The second half  of the year 2022 is indecisive for now because the bitcoin chart is looking too noisy and there is no strong candle to suggest any new upward trend even on higher time frame. I think the end of June will give a clearer picture of what to expect in the second half, a major breakout will tell where the market will possibly move next for now the month of June might either be choppy or range trend.

It seems difficult for us to predict what will happen to bitcoin towards the end of the middle of this year, the many pressures that exist in the market make the price of bitcoin experience a significant decline unexpectedly, just like all of us here, I hope if the price of bitcoin can get back on the trend positive that is able to push the price of bitcoin back up later and at the end of june maybe we will see if whether our expectations will be fulfilled or not at all.