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[philipma1957]

talk has started on a July tighter by the fed. As we approach July 15 if we have a high inflation rate the talk will say .75 looks like the goal. maybe .5 or maybe 1.0 If it is July 5 and that
is the talk about the fed btc will drop under 20k.

I reset my coin holdings. I increased all my btc and sold my shit coins. I also have cash and will buy more when we go under 20k. Going under 20k seems pretty certain. Only Putin dying and Russia ending its war with the Ukraine will stop inflation which is very unlikely.

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[lornadane]

So, back to what you wrote in topic: if we get back to 40-50k this year... it'll be a surprisingly nice development.

This will be the recovery period that is needed now, and I also expect just such price values. If we recall the crypto winter of 2018 and ATH $20,000, then after falling by 85%, Bitcoin rose to $14,000, recovering ~ 70% of its price. Falls, like growth, cannot be eternal and a rebound will still occur, even if we plunge even deeper. But in my opinion, the fall to such extreme values ​​is still too early or the industry has become more rapid. There is also an opinion that we will hang out in the range of $10-50k for the next 2 years, and only then we will have a real bull run and new ATH.

Of course it will take more time to wait for a new ATH in a few more years.
But are they also able to be patient for some time to come?
Because I see many of them who want to run away with the current situation and it will make them regret that they have left the current market situation.

[Tony116]

The world situation is less stable and according to Mr. Powell's statement, the Fed will not stop raising interest rates until they see real inflation come down. This statement means that high-risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies will remain under a lot of pressure this year.

So the expectation of a new ATH at the end of the year is pretty far-fetched, personally I just hope bitcoin doesn't fall as deep as $9k, $10k. My expectation bitcoin will hit 40k by end november early december this year.

[Sir Legend]

Inflation that occurs in almost all countries makes crypto users shift assets. After the bitcoin price drops more than 34% within 5 days then I will not make a high target of bitcoin, maybe the highest price that can be achieved is $50k, and it may take a long time or at least 2 more years to be able to make new ATH.

[aylabadia05]

Bitcoin first half of 2022 ended in disappointment and complaints came from many people who expected the Bitcoin price to break above $40k. Of course the people who complained about the condition of Bitcoin in the first half were those who could not hold this valuable asset. Instead of holding back, they actually sell because of negative whispers.

Just like you, my hope in the second half of 2022 will not have to reach the new ATH. At least in the second half of this year, Bitcoin can return to a point that is better than the conditions in the first half. Based on the experience I've had, the movement of the graph will change after increasing and will return to the bottom. I firmly believe Bitcoin's new ATH will be reached once these perceived bad market conditions are over.

Stopping at over $35K in December 2022 is good enough in my opinion.

[Poker Player]

Personally, I do not expect a new ATH in the second half of the year, but there is still a chance to return to 40-50k this year. I also expect a red annual candle, since according to the theory of cyclicality, 2022 is a year of decline, after a year of growth and a new ATH, that is, the price will close on December 31 below $45,600.

I am of the same opinion. I think this cycle, as far as good things go, is over and we won't break $69k again until the next one. And while I don't rule out that we may test new lows, I think it's unlikely. In the second half of the year I don't rule out what you say, that we will go up to $50k and stay in a $30-$50k range, but it will depend on many things, the evolution of the war, energy policies, if the Fed decides to give some liquidity again before the mid-term elections. If the general situation improves I think we will be in the upper part of the range, if everything goes worse I think we will move most of the time in levels below $30k and maybe testing new lows.

[ShowOff]

I am of the same opinion. I think this cycle, as far as good things go, is over and we won't break $69k again until the next one. And while I don't rule out that we may test new lows, I think it's unlikely. In the second half of the year I don't rule out what you say, that we will go up to $50k and stay in a $30-$50k range, but it will depend on many things, the evolution of the war, energy policies, if the Fed decides to give some liquidity again before the mid-term elections. If the general situation improves I think we will be in the upper part of the range, if everything goes worse I think we will move most of the time in levels below $30k and maybe testing new lows.

It's hard to say about ATH in the second half of 2022 while $40K is always possible to achievable. I think the market is not just working to grow and could still fall at any time. The probability of the market falling may be greater than the probability of growing, but it is always difficult to be sure even if one can make an analysis. I think the highs during the second half will be around $30K - $40K, but it is possible to see bitcoin retest its lows around $10K - $12K before the end of the year.

[Republikcoin.com]

Bitcoin first half of 2022 ended in disappointment and complaints came from many people who expected the Bitcoin price to break above $40k. Of course the people who complained about the condition of Bitcoin in the first half were those who could not hold this valuable asset. Instead of holding back, they actually sell because of negative whispers.

In addition to negative whispers from other people that can make everyone's spirit panic and change in a very short time, I think some of them also sell because they need money even though the fear of loss still haunts them every time when they see the market that has not changed before second half of this year.

Just like you, my hope in the second half of 2022 will not have to reach the new ATH. At least in the second half of this year, Bitcoin can return to a point that is better than the conditions in the first half. Based on the experience I've had, the movement of the graph will change after increasing and will return to the bottom. I firmly believe Bitcoin's new ATH will be reached once these perceived bad market conditions are over.

If you look at the Bitcoin price chart now, there has been a change from the $18k price range to the $22k price range in the market and that is a sign that Bitcoin will still increase this year. I personally also hope that Bitcoin can be in the price of $50k by the end of this year or before next year.

[Wilhelm]

I think everyone waiting for lower bitcoin prices are going to end up bag holders.
My 2cts

[traderethereum]

Bitcoin first half of 2022 ended in disappointment and complaints came from many people who expected the Bitcoin price to break above $40k. Of course the people who complained about the condition of Bitcoin in the first half were those who could not hold this valuable asset. Instead of holding back, they actually sell because of negative whispers.

In addition to negative whispers from other people that can make everyone's spirit panic and change in a very short time, I think some of them also sell because they need money even though the fear of loss still haunts them every time when they see the market that has not changed before second half of this year.

Just like you, my hope in the second half of 2022 will not have to reach the new ATH. At least in the second half of this year, Bitcoin can return to a point that is better than the conditions in the first half. Based on the experience I've had, the movement of the graph will change after increasing and will return to the bottom. I firmly believe Bitcoin's new ATH will be reached once these perceived bad market conditions are over.

If you look at the Bitcoin price chart now, there has been a change from the $18k price range to the $22k price range in the market and that is a sign that Bitcoin will still increase this year. I personally also hope that Bitcoin can be in the price of $50k by the end of this year or before next year.

Let's hope it will come true as I see that there is a possibility it could return to the $22k price tag again.
Now the bitcoin price has touched the price of $21.8k and there is still a little bit to go to $22k and hopefully, it doesn't stop at that price but can continue to rise.
If bitcoin can get back to $50k before the end of the year or next year, it will be a treat for us, especially those who bought a lot of bitcoins at $18k a while ago.
But bitcoin has a long way to go and we don't know what's next.

[rodskee]

we have stepped at second half of the year and we are already in the second week, so anything may come from here now.

and starting the 1st day of the second week shows another green market, Bitcoin and most currencies increase 2 digits and this is a great showing of power from the investors .

but Hoping that this is not another trap before the true dumping happens any time this year.

[NeuroticFish]

but Hoping that this is not another trap before the true dumping happens any time this year.

While I cannot complain, since the price is not like in (my) worse scenario (under 10k), it still can go lower in the next few months. So being wary is important.
I've read today something that I don't know how accurate it is, but it's certainly a possible scenario:

This is what I think how price might move in upcoming months:
17.5k -> 28k -> 15k -> 19k -> 12.5k
12.5k > 22k -> 28k -> 45k

ATH to be near $180k once we start the bull run after Bitcoin Halving in April/May 2024.

[pooya87]

Only Putin dying and Russia ending its war with the Ukraine will stop inflation which is very unlikely.

From the first day humanity started using fiat the inflation has been caused by printing more money than you should and US has been printing trillions and trillions of USD without it being backed by anything but a false faith. The inflation you see today is because of the fact that 60% of the world economy is slowly dumping US dollar as reserve currency and all those trillions are coming back to America causing high inflation.

This is not the first time US dollar gets dumped hard either. Last time was when Europe found out USD is not backed by gold as promised so they dumped it and over about 6 months the value of US dollar was halved.

But it is always easier to blame it on a conflict on the other side of the world or on a senility of the old man in oval office than to solve the actual problem.

[Wilhelm]

Only Putin dying and Russia ending its war with the Ukraine will stop inflation which is very unlikely.

From the first day humanity started using fiat the inflation has been caused by printing more money than you should and US has been printing trillions and trillions of USD without it being backed by anything but a false faith. The inflation you see today is because of the fact that 60% of the world economy is slowly dumping US dollar as reserve currency and all those trillions are coming back to America causing high inflation.

This is not the first time US dollar gets dumped hard either. Last time was when Europe found out USD is not backed by gold as promised so they dumped it and over about 6 months the value of US dollar was halved.

But it is always easier to blame it on a conflict on the other side of the world or on a senility of the old man in oval office than to solve the actual problem.

Exactly this. The problem is a global one caused by central banks going brrrrrr.

Just like they are talking about a mild recession when they know full well everyone is going to get REKT. "Mild" is the keyword for the rich to dump their stonks and buy back in the depth of the recession.

Fuel prices high in the US when the US doesn't even use Russian gas, yet still call it a Putin price hike.

Games are being played...

[doomloop]

we have stepped at second half of the year and we are already in the second week, so anything may come from here now.

and starting the 1st day of the second week shows another green market, Bitcoin and most currencies increase 2 digits and this is a great showing of power from the investors .

but Hoping that this is not another trap before the true dumping happens any time this year.

Second half or not, anything is always possible to happen here in cryptos. It's just that the year is getting close to an end when we entered the second half so the expectations or the desire of the people is also getting stronger and also if we look on the past performance of cryptos we can see that cryptos value's are doing good starting in the second half of some years.

People then assume that similar events can repeat again especially now that they are too desperate to see a bullish market. They say that the dump we have now is calculated at 74 percent but won't you consider it as true dump? Though there might be some trap in which the price can go back again at 20 to 19k levels.

[JohnBitCo]

What are your expectations and what do you consider first of all, fundamental analysis or technical analysis based on charts and indicators?

I hope i am wrong but to me, it seems that there won't be much change in the bitcoin price action and the price may hover between 18K-30K.
Also, there is a chance that we may see a big dump towards 13K and this could be the final dump and bottom for this bear market. I don't see any chance of bitcoin recovery in the next 6 months or so.

[Nrcewker]

Yes, Bitcoins have already tortured very badly to all of us in the first half.
So atleast we expect something better at the second half.
If not the best, then atleast recover to it’s original price.
In this bear market, the whole crypto market has become red, so in the later half atleast there should be a good graph.
We need to just wait and watch. Many have already predicted that this half won’t be very bad.
We need to also show some support by buying as much Bitcoins as we can in this cheaper price.

[Viscore]

The world situation is less stable and according to Mr. Powell's statement, the Fed will not stop raising interest rates until they see real inflation come down. This statement means that high-risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies will remain under a lot of pressure this year.

So the expectation of a new ATH at the end of the year is pretty far-fetched, personally I just hope bitcoin doesn't fall as deep as $9k, $10k. My expectation bitcoin will hit 40k by end november early december this year.

With the continuously bearish market we are still witnessing today, I don’t see a new ATH is coming this year. Bitcoin is still in a range of $20k-$21k and we might even see price drops after these. In general, looks like the whole 2022 is a year of fully bearished market, there might be slight recoveries but after that, the market value gradually falls down. However, these are still considered educated guesses as we all know bitcoin will always has its own way of breaking the silence and surprise us with its unpredictable price.

[wagmi]

People need to realise, why Bitcoin is so valuable.
It's valuable because BTC is capped at 21M coins, Bitcoin's supply can't get inflated.
Imagine in 100 years, FIAT inflation is 2 to 10 percent every year, but Bitcoin is capped.

Bitcoin can get a real alternative for gold, digital gold and a very reliable store of value. But people need to do research about Bitcoin and halving mechanism.
Satoshi did a very good job by keeping Bitcoin scarce.


Next, people need to realise, why Bitcoin crashed recently.
It was because a Shitcoin collapsed (Terra Luna).
And one more Shitcoin, too (Celsius)
NOT because Bitcoin had issues!

It was only Altcoin related but Bitcoin declined in price, too.
Completely unreasonable because Bitcoin had NO issues.
It was only Altcoin related.

People need to learn to differenciate between Bitcoin and Altcoins.

[ethereumhunter]

What are your expectations and what do you consider first of all, fundamental analysis or technical analysis based on charts and indicators?

I hope i am wrong but to me, it seems that there won't be much change in the bitcoin price action and the price may hover between 18K-30K.
Also, there is a chance that we may see a big dump towards 13K and this could be the final dump and bottom for this bear market. I don't see any chance of bitcoin recovery in the next 6 months or so.

Maybe so but we are often surprised by the movement of bitcoin in the market. Starting from a low price, the price increases rapidly without stopping and vice versa. But hopefully, after this month or even this month, the bitcoin price can start to increase again and reach $30k. Yes, bitcoin is still in a downturn and we can only hope its price can go back up. We should not feel pessimistic about the situation because bitcoin will return to its highest price so we have to be patient.