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Author Topic: AI prediction/forecasting for Bitcoin and crypto trends  (Read 677 times)
nites (OP)
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July 25, 2022, 07:39:12 PM
 #41

This one will close downwards as predicted, as BTC dropped more than -4.00%.

Wondering if this guy above is shocked, since I must stole something from people that control market.

Next forecast will be tonight when candle closes.
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July 25, 2022, 11:47:54 PM
 #42

This one will close downwards as predicted, as BTC dropped more than -4.00%.

Wondering if this guy above is shocked, since I must stole something from people that control market.

Next forecast will be tonight when candle closes.

Keep'em comin nites, my retirement is on the line. Soon as U say upwards , I'm placin some baller orders, and sayin bye to day tradin, when the $$$ rain down on me:-)
nites (OP)
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July 26, 2022, 12:46:28 AM
Last edit: July 26, 2022, 01:02:35 AM by nites
 #43

We will have to wait for upwards movement for now. FED is meeting today and tomorrow, probably going to increase interest rate, and markets might go down heavily. Good thing AI agree on all of it.
Current standings: 6/6.

Prediction for 26.07.2022 is downwards.
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July 28, 2022, 01:11:27 AM
 #44

Prediction for 28.07.2022 is upwards.
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July 28, 2022, 03:48:29 PM
 #45

We will have to wait for upwards movement for now. FED is meeting today and tomorrow, probably going to increase interest rate, and markets might go down heavily. Good thing AI agree on all of it.
Current standings: 6/6.

Prediction for 26.07.2022 is downwards.

I think your omission of the 10-15% upwards movement, across the crypto spectrum, between 12am (EST) 7/26/22/ to 12am 7/27/22 would be considered a strike, a costly one, but I’m still rootin for you.
nites (OP)
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July 28, 2022, 03:59:21 PM
 #46

We will have to wait for upwards movement for now. FED is meeting today and tomorrow, probably going to increase interest rate, and markets might go down heavily. Good thing AI agree on all of it.
Current standings: 6/6.

Prediction for 26.07.2022 is downwards.

I think your omission of the 10-15% upwards movement, across the crypto spectrum, between 12am (EST) 7/26/22/ to 12am 7/27/22 would be considered a strike, a costly one, but I’m still rootin for you.

Daily candle for 26.07.2022 closed at -0.22% at price: 21259.78, as predicted downwards. Price rallied on 27th 8%, and there was no prediction, as I wasn't able to run it that day.

Still standing at perfect accuracy, but expecting it to fail soon. Smiley
nites (OP)
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July 29, 2022, 12:51:30 AM
Last edit: July 31, 2022, 04:31:16 PM by nites
 #47

Prediction for 29.07.2022 is downwards.

Current standing at 9/9.
nites (OP)
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July 30, 2022, 12:43:30 AM
 #48

This is incredible. Price was ~1% up 30 minutes before closing, and then it dropped to -0.28% to close the day, making prediction correct. There must be some hidden order behind.

Prediction for 30.07.2022 is downwards.

Current standings since start of the predictions:


Mr.right85
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July 30, 2022, 01:40:28 AM
 #49

Hi,

The model is built using cutting edge algorithms and it is capable of predicting 5 days ahead with more than 90% accuracy.



EDIT:
One more photo where model is trained for daytrading, predicting next day in advance:


It is indeed as you say looking at what is presented there in the chats using the key nations but, you keeping an update on this using future predictions would be a better clarifier as, forum users would be on the prowl to see how it performs. If it could give the same results as in OP.

Should the later be true, I wonder what would become of trading as a whole. Especially when it goes down  to the fact that, many would want to depend on this for analysis and market prediction. Maybe we would have an era change where users no longer want to use indicators no more.

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Davidvictorson
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July 31, 2022, 09:04:08 AM
 #50

There are so many AI prediction for Bitcoin prices. As a matter of fact, I came across one project like this a couple of days ago. I have played around with models like this but end up getting confused by their predictions. I think more details needs to the added to the model to make it more robust. You have done a got thing no doubt but I have found that ai models can't make long-term predictions. How are you able to manage the humongous processing power needed to run it?

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nites (OP)
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July 31, 2022, 01:53:27 PM
Last edit: July 31, 2022, 04:31:04 PM by nites
Merited by Davidvictorson (2)
 #51

Quote
There are so many AI prediction for Bitcoin prices. As a matter of fact, I came across one project like this a couple of days ago. I have played around with models like this but end up getting confused by their predictions. I think more details needs to the added to the model to make it more robust. You have done a got thing no doubt but I have found that ai models can't make long-term predictions. How are you able to manage the humongous processing power needed to run it?

Hi davidvictorson,

It took me more than two years to research and later to develop the model. Yes, you need to add more features and processing to make models work, simply plugging price, indicators or news into neural network will give you nothing. As I mentioned on the thread, speech recognition problems are very similiar to markets, taking ideas from that field is quite useful.

What do you mean about long term predictions - predicting longer horizon e.g. 10 days into the future, or the performance will not be good long term?

Currently I have 2080ti GPU, and it takes me ~50 minutes to compute the prediction I post here regularly.
Well, there's plan to make server with multiple Nvidia Tesla GPUs, so I can run predictions for more instruments, coins, but I will need to raise some serious money to be able to set up something like that.
nites (OP)
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August 02, 2022, 12:43:15 AM
Last edit: August 05, 2022, 09:56:28 PM by nites
 #52

Let's continue with predictions.

Prediction for 02.08.2022 is downwards.

Recap:
System predicted 10 closing candles in a row.
To put things in a perspective of probability; probability of that happening is 0.0009766 and chance of success is 0.097%.
You might not think that 10 is a lot, but doing it in a row is indeed remarkable.

nites (OP)
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August 03, 2022, 01:24:38 AM
 #53

This one was also correct, 11 in a row.

Prediction for 03.08.2022 is downwards.
nites (OP)
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August 04, 2022, 12:51:59 AM
 #54

Another one, 12 correct predictions in a row!

Prediction for 04.08.2022 is downwards.
nites (OP)
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August 05, 2022, 12:46:36 AM
 #55

This prediction is also correct, 13/13 in a row.

No prediction for tomorrow, because system returned same price, interpreting it as uncertain whether will price go up or down.
nites (OP)
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August 06, 2022, 01:13:03 AM
 #56

Prediction for 06.08.2022 is downwards.
nites (OP)
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August 07, 2022, 01:12:22 AM
Last edit: August 07, 2022, 02:13:58 AM by nites
 #57

Another one, 14 out of 14 predictions correct in a row.

@stompix

How many correct predictions you need, to believe it's possible to predict price direction with ~90% accuracy?

I removed prediction for 07.08.2022; run system again, and it returned same price as yesterday, meaning that direction for today's price is highly uncertain.
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August 07, 2022, 04:42:04 AM
 #58

@stompix
How many correct predictions you need, to believe it's possible to predict price direction with ~90% accuracy?

You will need 900 out of 1000 to make me think you're extremely lucky at following a trend when the price isn't moving at all because of external factors, I've seen guys managing to get lucky shoots with less than 250$ deviance over the price 3 months in advance three times in a row with pure guesses while we had competitions here with no machine learning, just typing a random number.
But even that won't mean I trust a single word about:
- you running a system based on speech recognition that predicts the price
- you have an actual system at all and it's not just basic TA that will go terrible wrong
- your need of money when you could have already made tens of thousands starting with 10$

After the data faking in the first post I don't trust your results with down up posted at random hours at all without a double checking, but since nobody seems interested in your obvious fake system there is no need for it.

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nites (OP)
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August 07, 2022, 11:48:13 AM
 #59

I'm again baffled with your comment and your ability to blatantly lie and ignore facts.

You are making yourself extremely ignorant with this comments, I would ask you why, but you might lie and pretend again.

900 out of 1000 just to be lucky following a trend? What on earth are your process of reasoning, I will suggest you learn some probability before talking about numbers like complete ignorant fool.

- you probably don't know, as that is expected from you from this point; but most successful hedge funds like RenTec employs speech recognition to predict price, their CEO literally said that in quote, Google a bit maybe.
-try to build any system with TA, AI or regular one and u will not predict direction of closing candle 3 times in a row, and it is literally impossible to do it 14 in a row like I did
-again you showing extreme levels of ignorance about numbers and probability, I made thousands, but not starting with 10$. If you knew basic math, you would know that's impossible.

Again and again, you lie. I never faked anything, only one doing it here is you.
You have date and time of predictions I posted, and you have last edit time, so you can see predictions are posted and not edited.

Yes, no one is interested seems like, or they don't post amount of posts like you do.

But that speaks more about you and people here. It speaks very loudly that you are completely ignorant, rude lier with enormous amount of low importance complexity. And somehow people believe in your ability to cope with your problems. It is one more confirmation that people don't know anything and they thing stuff you write on this forum makes sense and you know something, not realising you are completely ignorant.

Here's small advice, go learn some basic maths and statistics, it will help you lie more efficiently

Cheers.




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August 07, 2022, 12:17:12 PM
 #60

If you succeed in developing such a tool, you will be rich in a short time. All you have to do is take a loan and then buy and sell, and since you will know the best time to buy and sell during the next four days, day trading for you will be very profitable.

  • As for trying to sell such a service, you will find it difficult to do so in the forum.
  • Post constant price updates prediction and gain trust, and then you may raise money.



From my perspective i will not encourage to obtain loan and accomplish his project, rather i will advice that taking loans is not the major concerns, because it might taken a loan and after developing the program or delivered the project and it fails to function the way anticipated. So the best thing to do is to develop it with your capital irrespective how long it might taken, but develop with your fund without debiting yourself.

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