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Author Topic: Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC?  (Read 713 times)
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October 08, 2022, 04:46:50 PM
 #21



BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
It is hardly possible to predict what the price of bitcoin or other cryptocurrency will be in about ten years from now. In addition to purely mathematical calculations, the price of a cryptocurrency is greatly influenced by economic and political events that occur daily in the world. These events are impossible to predict. But it is they who will influence the ratio of supply and demand, which directly form the price of the cryptocurrency.

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October 09, 2022, 11:00:43 PM
 #22



BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

Your first calculation is wrong. Where did you get your 21 billion  caps? In mathematics if you mis-insert one figure with another or miss-express the sum then every other calculation is wrong. Because the first formula determine the answer. The total bitcoin created by Satoshi was 21 Million caps and not 21 billion caps. Its like you manufacture your own bitcoins. I do not think, it is possible for one to calculate the unit of BTC that will go up and come down in the market. Because BTC is in the market and the total number of users buying and selling at the same time is differ. You can only predict the movement of the market. That is to say, btc can go up in the next 3 days based the news. Please do not stress yourself to calculate the price of btc in the 10 years. Though I am not a mathematician but I don't think you can do it,
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October 09, 2022, 11:24:01 PM
 #23

You really can't — simply because supply is one thing, but demand is the second major factor whereas you can't really know how much demand an asset has until you see it. Bitcoin can literally be at the 21 million supply cap right now but if not much people are buying it and lots more people are selling, the price will drop regardless if bitcoin already has zero inflation.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/law-of-supply-demand.asp
Exactly. You will never know it’s price until you see it with your own two eyes it’s high demand from its users and investors. The higher the demand, the bigger the price, while it’s supply will become lessen. So most probably, you can freely predict its price 5-10 years from now, but you can never tell if you can hit the exact price since the demand varies depending on the crypto market condition. However, I would say that the price of bitcoin will keep on growing and increasing as years pass by, as many people have start to experience bitcoin more than fiat.
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October 10, 2022, 05:00:56 PM
 #24

No one will be able to predict the price of bitcoin in the future, analyzing does not mean being able to know about the price of bitcoin. We can see now, who can analyze what the bitcoin price will be in the future? I don't think so. But the analysis of the bright future of bitcoin in the future is something that can be predicted, because it does not say what the exact price will be, maybe 100k, 200k or more than that.
We don't need to argue about this, because everyone has a different opinion. One thing is certain, the future of bitcoin is bright. Wink Wink

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October 10, 2022, 07:09:19 PM
 #25

You can't calculate, you can only estimate, the same way you can't calculate the price of Tesla stock in 10 years. Maybe they will disappear by then or Musk dies and the new CEO bankrupts the company.

All I can tell you is that if bitcoin continues to exist it will be worth more in 10 years than it is today. Will that be 50k or 500k USD, we'll know in 10 years.
In short time frame like 1 year, it's possible its price will be lower but the value is around 20k so if the spot price goes below the current level don't be alarmed.

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October 10, 2022, 07:27:08 PM
 #26

You can't calculate, you can only estimate, the same way you can't calculate the price of Tesla stock in 10 years. Maybe they will disappear by then or Musk dies and the new CEO bankrupts the company.

All I can tell you is that if bitcoin continues to exist it will be worth more in 10 years than it is today. Will that be 50k or 500k USD, we'll know in 10 years.
In short time frame like 1 year, it's possible its price will be lower but the value is around 20k so if the spot price goes below the current level don't be alarmed.

there is no mathematical formula to determine the price of bitcoin for certain period of time. that is right, we have no idea what will happen next. if btc will continue to expand in the market, and the demand will progress throughout these years, high probability of increasing its price. however, if something new will be introduced that we don't know yet, then, that's the trouble here.
right now, what we can do is just speculate what will happen to this market few years from now. experts, self-proclaimed ones and others are just doing their predictions. no one can guarantee what will happen in the next couple of years, or 10 years from now. so big NO, no one can calculate the price of btc as the factors also vary from time to time.

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October 10, 2022, 07:56:32 PM
 #27

I would like to have that magic formula, but I prefer to think that bitcoin will go up a lot next year, it is the most likely thing I see, I am guided by the projection that the S2F model has, many say that it has already failed, but it is not like that, It is the most approximate and real model that I see for bitcoin, here in the forum there are many guys who are PRO -S2F and few who are against it, but since such extreme things are happening in the world, it is the reason why it does not go up bitcoin like foam, there are many who do not believe that it will rise, that when it reached 70,000 dollars I thought it would reach more than 100,000 dollars, but the whales did not think so.

R


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October 10, 2022, 08:46:10 PM
 #28



BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
You can have all the calculations you want, but it won’t give you a fixed and precise amount of price for bitcoin since it’s price never fails to fluctuates from time to time. And you cannot tell exactly how high or low its demand 5-10 years from now as its price greatly depends on its supply and demand factor. Also, bitcoin is too much volatile, that you can expect it to have a roller coaster price movement most of the time.

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October 11, 2022, 12:26:37 PM
 #29

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
If Bitcoin won't die, it will be accepted more globally. And if it continues its existence and expands its adoption, with each halving its price will be boosted to a new higher all time high.

I can not give you predictions about future price because it depends on so many parameters and many of them I can not control.

However, if you want to get something about current and near future vision, you can use the Realized price chart from Lookintobitcoin.com. Currently we are in a good price range to accumulate and DCA Bitcoin. You can wait for a bit lower price but don't bet on too lower price, you might miss a train.



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October 11, 2022, 01:50:30 PM
 #30

I think it is definitely impossible to determine absolutely with accuracy the price of BTC in the market. There are several factors that drive its price, which is mostly dependent upon supply and demand. Given that BTC is also volatile in nature, its value changes at least almost every single minute or second of the day.

Many have attempted to at least forecast the price of BTC in the following days by considering both intrinsic and extrinsic factors. When you put them into consideration, it can yield to to you some signs and factors that can somehow determine whether to invest or not.

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October 11, 2022, 02:26:51 PM
 #31

I say good luck finding that out.
Many have tried but all of them failed. If you see someone who did it correctly, he could just be a lucky guy who predicted it right once in his lifetime.
It's like bruteforcing a password containing every special character, letter, and number. It will take time, and once you are done the password was already changed, or in Bitcoin's market perspective, the price already changed.
It's easy to buy Bitcoin and even a kid can do it now unlike other assets and investments. That's why. Demand could go soaring in an instant.



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October 13, 2022, 03:20:08 PM
 #32

Calculating the price of Bitcoin is a personal race because the price of Bitcoin never never the predictable because of it is a foot waiting kind of market that you cannot know the stance of it unless the market itself is that mine by itself without anyone controlling it so that's analysis or calculation of Bitcoin personally is not always accurate because of the nature of cryptocurrency

Especially if this cryptocurrency is very easy to manage and has a very high volatility. If the bear market is comfortable for the whales, they will do it, if they need growth, they will do it too. Because it's their benefit.

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October 14, 2022, 07:54:02 AM
 #33

You can't calculate, you can only estimate, the same way you can't calculate the price of Tesla stock in 10 years. Maybe they will disappear by then or Musk dies and the new CEO bankrupts the company.

All I can tell you is that if bitcoin continues to exist it will be worth more in 10 years than it is today. Will that be 50k or 500k USD, we'll know in 10 years.
In short time frame like 1 year, it's possible its price will be lower but the value is around 20k so if the spot price goes below the current level don't be alarmed.

there is no mathematical formula to determine the price of bitcoin for certain period of time. that is right, we have no idea what will happen next. if btc will continue to expand in the market, and the demand will progress throughout these years, high probability of increasing its price. however, if something new will be introduced that we don't know yet, then, that's the trouble here.
right now, what we can do is just speculate what will happen to this market few years from now. experts, self-proclaimed ones and others are just doing their predictions. no one can guarantee what will happen in the next couple of years, or 10 years from now. so big NO, no one can calculate the price of btc as the factors also vary from time to time.
I totally hear what you are saying and don't want to disagree cos I believe the same opinion too but I am a bit confused here looking at this Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart (Log Scale)
This first image shows just about the exact price amount of Bitcoin at the time of making this post


And this second Image is telling us that (IF) Bitcoin gets to that point on 23.04.2023, its price would be $38,528.89



But I get the argument will be, will Bitcoin be in that point, above it, or below that point on that particular day hence my concern of, is this, not some sought of Calculation into the future? Because if you put your cursor everywhere within that Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart, a price will pop up meaning there has been some price calculation into the future regardless of where Bitcoin price ends up. Just trying to understand it.

 



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October 14, 2022, 08:34:26 AM
 #34

Any Mathematical calculation for the future price of Bitcoin in my opinion would just be base on probality,  because those Mathematical calculation did not put into account the effect of supply and demand side which is unexpected events that could occur in the future,  precisely government ban or adoption which can either be a catalyst and favour the price of BTC or deter the price movement from reaching the expected price and hence will alter the overall future mathematical price prediction for Bitcoin.

R


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October 14, 2022, 09:04:07 AM
 #35

And maybe the OP is confused with calculating and predicting.  Obviously both are not possible, we will just have our rough estimates base on several factors like supply and demand, our best guestimate.
In the case of the assumption it might be possible, because people can see the amount of bitcoin circulating in the exchange of exchanges, as well as making rough estimates. But unable to present a definite amount.

Quote
And we have seen that it could be a a hit or miss, which then goes to show that no one here can exactly tell us how big the price will be in the future.
Bitcoin is not only for predictions, I mean the presence of Bitcoin has shown how great it is in the development process to reach the current price. Predictions will make it difficult for people to make choices, considering that there will be a risk of fluctuating prices, but it is better to take a direct role, because Bitcoin is the best investment and assets at this time.

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October 14, 2022, 11:38:09 AM
 #36

First, How we could calculate the price in an unpredictable market? Guess what, only we have is assumption and price speculation and it all is uncertain. So, accept the thing that no matter what we do or whatever calculation we have made, all of them are not reliable - that is the reality in crypto. Many experts make their own market views and price speculation but never think they are right as for sure they are wrong. That is why if you are investing in Bitcoin never expect of earning a huge amount if you were not able to hold long-term and are not able to wait for the Bull season.

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October 14, 2022, 12:06:35 PM
 #37

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion million out of the 21 billion million caps...

The only reason why the price of any commodity, including bitcoin, changes is determined by supply and demand. And if buyers refuse to buy bitcoin at the price of 70 thousand dollars, then sellers will reduce the price until this price satisfies the other side. Therefore, it is impossible to accurately predict the value of bitcoin without knowing the general state of the economy by the time BTC reaches Max Supply.

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October 14, 2022, 01:23:58 PM
 #38

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
You can not calculate the price of Bitcoin in the future, I have never found anyone who can calculate the movement of the price of Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years, there is only Bitcoin price predictions for the next 10 years., and even then it could be wrong or close, mostly taken in terms of experience from year to year.

My understanding of Bitcoin, if you are serious about trading Bitcoin at least you can learn on the internet about Analysis, predictions, history, charts and ask some crypto experts, for you to learn.

Bitcoin is hard to count, Bitcoin is not as we guessed it, in minutes Bitcoin changes can happen in hours it can change suddenly and the Crypto market can be excited because of Bitcoin's actions, for that learn and do as you have in mind youabout Bitcoins, That's the basis that many people say Bitcoin trading & investing is risky, all actions and decisions, only you can determine the clockwise direction of Bitcoin for the next 5-10 years.

R


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October 14, 2022, 09:20:06 PM
 #39

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
No way to calculate the price in the future, it purely depends on the demand. While the demand is determined by many factors that make it complicated to measure. BTC supply isn't the ultimate factor that influences the price, don't forget that issues/news related crypto and Bitcoin sometimes have a bigger influence. They even can trigger the BTC price to move significantly in a short time. And, there are other factors such as inflation, that can contribute to influencing the price of BTC as well.


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October 14, 2022, 09:36:35 PM
 #40



BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?
You could really able to know those numbers involved like total supply, current supply,currently mined,total cap etc. but one thing that we cant actually able to do so or calculate which on what would be
its future price.No one knows on this market on where it would be dropping or on what extent it could reached out possible price because it would really be depending on certain or different factors.
Specially which "DEMAND" will really be the first thing to consider.If we do see that there's an influx of demand and recognition then expect something like increase of price
because this is how supply and demand works.Nothing cant be determined or having able to make conclusions towards possible price points.

R


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