Marcellin9 (OP)
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December 07, 2022, 03:01:36 AM |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate. The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
What is your opinion ? Please let me know. Thanks.
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BALIK
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Satoshi created bitcoin intending to replace the centralized fiat system, meaning bitcoin is designed as a currency and not an investment asset. But people turned bitcoin into an investment and spread it to the next generations, and now most people only know bitcoin as an investment rather than a currency.
Regarding the case where the fiat will disappear completely, I think it will never happen because the government will never let that happen or if it is eliminated, it will also be replaced by some government-generated method, not bitcoin.
We live in a centralized world and the government controls everything so we can't expect something decentralized to be accepted as the main and only method, if ever, bitcoin it would just be an alternative besides fiat.
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mk4
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December 07, 2022, 04:29:28 AM |
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Though it would be a lot less attractive as an investment instrument when it reaches 'peak' adoption, why would bitcoin lose value if it's capped at 21 million? Especially if we're making the assumption that it would be the only running currency.
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Gallar
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December 07, 2022, 04:46:28 AM |
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you assume too far, bitcoin will still be bitcoin as it is now, there will be no lost value from bitcoin. Bitcoin will always be an asset, and an exchange/payment alternative. the only difference is that there are more and more enthusiasts, and automatically there are more and more bitcoin users or adopters.
bitcoin was created not to sink fiat currency, but bitcoin was created to stabilize fiat money.
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SquirrelJulietGarden
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December 07, 2022, 05:02:33 AM |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset.
Governments can make Bitcoin legal tender in their countries and they can make Bitcoin as one of paymen methods in their countries. Biqtcoin has many utilities, payment, investment, trading, gambling, lending .... I am very sure that no government will eliminate their fiat currency and make Bitcoin as the only one currency or payment methid in their country. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate.
Same supply but bigger demand, it is a very simple math. With Bitcoin halvings, price will increase and in future, people will not look for 2x, 10x profit from Bitcoin. They will invest in Bitcoin like how they are investing in gold. They did not expect gold will double its price after one year now and in future, they will invest similarly in Bitcoin.
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wxa7115
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December 07, 2022, 05:48:59 AM Last edit: December 07, 2022, 06:38:00 AM by wxa7115 |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate. The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
What is your opinion ? Please let me know. Thanks.
Bitcoin at heart was designed as money, now it is also true it has been a great investment opportunity during the last decade, but this is only a side effect and nothing else. Besides even if bitcoin losses its attractiveness as an investment vehicle that does not mean that it will lose its value, its value will be more stable but that will be it, so if that scenario were to happen the only thing you will need to do is to look for other assets with high volatility and invest in them if you want.
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pooya87
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December 07, 2022, 07:26:48 AM |
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Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset.
You mean "money" not "fiat" because fiat is a currency as opposed to money that is a currency with fixed value. Which also means the two points you mentioned are contradictory concepts. Bitcoin can not be both money (fixed value) and an investment at the same time. It can be a store of value though which is what money is supposed to be. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ?
Your confusion is because you think bitcoin is an investment but that was never the case. Bitcoin was created to be a currency that you use as a medium of exchange. That's the nature of bitcoin not an investment. Satoshi created bitcoin intending to replace the centralized fiat system
Not "replace" but only to offer an alternative solution.
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worle1bm
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December 07, 2022, 08:10:56 AM |
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You are missing the part that when the adoption will rise then demand will also increase with the same rate but the limited supply of 21 million and that also with mining rewards halfed each halving will therefore reduce the circulation so it will automatically boost the prices as an investment tool for the investors.
But it's aslo treated as payment processing which will be boosted when adoption will be at peak so we can't ignore this fact also and when the time comes we will see how the situation is exactly.
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Despairo
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December 07, 2022, 08:20:31 AM |
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You have a wrong understanding, when Bitcoin are accepted everywhere in the world, it doesn't mean Bitcoin price can be manipulated or controlled by the government. They're only can control Bitcoin if the users are using centralized exchange, if the user use P2P or DEX, no one can control Bitcoin anymore. Bitcoin supply is fixed and everyone are using Bitcoin, this make Bitcoin price will keep increase until it's peak (although technically there's no peak since Bitcoin price can overtake it's previous ATH).
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ethereumhunter
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December 07, 2022, 09:03:00 AM |
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When the price of bitcoin becomes stable, we can still get investment from altcoins because I think that is the purpose of altcoins to provide other benefits besides making profits from bitcoin. The profit can be in the form of bitcoin or stable coins so that later, bitcoin will become very valuable as an investment.
You need to look at the price of gold, where many people want to buy more gold as their savings or investment. And roughly, that's what will happen with bitcoin later.
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Ucy
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December 07, 2022, 09:44:30 AM Last edit: December 07, 2022, 10:01:01 AM by Ucy |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate. The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
What is your opinion ? Please let me know. Thanks.
In regards to the underlined parts of your post, Bitcoin is more suitable for investment or for storing value long-term (Store of Value) than as a Medium of exchange. Both (MoE/Fiat & SoV/Investment) don't really contradict each other as a lot of people don't hold Bitcoin for too long. They exchange it for goods/fiats and services while others hold long-term. If you take away the Store of Value feature, you may nolonger be able to use it to preserve value longterm which is a very important feature of Bitcoin. You can only keep the price volatility moderate for most of the time and only allow the extreme price movement, mostly upward, once in a while. This will help ensure that it maintains its SoV or deflationary feature rather than being inflationary like fiat currencies. Converting it into fiat currency will require hijacking it and having it massively altered in such a way that it becomes centralized and loses it important ideals that make it decentralized and safe. It will become inflationary, less transparent, opaque, mutable, non censorship-resistance . But it will be almost impossible to altered by normal people unless they just create contrary systems such as centralized platforms and get much of the world to use fake bitcoins, probably with the aim of manipulating the price or to prevent people from using Bitcoin properly and benefit from its features.
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inthelongrun
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December 07, 2022, 10:21:47 AM |
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So it means that you are only into Bitcoin in order to grow your investment? Be aware that Bitcoin was created as a decentralized currency and its real intent is to be used regularly in our normal day-to-day transactions. It isn't happening globally because it needs to stabilize its price and there is also the regulation factor. But I wish that would become a reality one day. By that time, the whole Bitcoin capitalization would be in trillions of dollars. Not as attractive anymore for long-term HODL but you can always do leverage trading just like the current forex market.
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Cookdata
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December 07, 2022, 10:42:13 AM |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate. The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
What is your opinion ? Please let me know. Thanks.
Satisfaction is not static for everyone, it changes based on how people see it, it might be 50:50 today and 70:30 tomorrow. Governments have forced down and adopted Fiat to the people, but just because they are using it does not mean everyone actually likes it, similarly, not everyone will accept bitcoin adoption, it may go against some opinions, but that is the truth and that is how the world works, not everyone fantasizes bitcoin, not everyone like fiat either. Fiat has historically been the preferred form of payment that countries have accepted, I assumed if bitcoin would one day get to that level, it will be more of been used as a reserve than been used as means of payment and hence the nature remains the same, nothing will change like that. EL Salvador comes to my mind, despite the force and airdrops to bring people closer to bitcoin, many are still shifting away from bitcoin as a legal entity and the crash hasn't been helping their bags as well.
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Rikafip
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December 07, 2022, 10:43:55 AM |
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If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
How on earth would Bitcoin lose its value if people start massively using it for payment, which is its intended purpose? What you got wrong is that you think that majority of bitcoin value comes from its investment potential and if there are no 400% gains every few years, that is somehow not good enough for even that. When the price of bitcoin becomes stable, we can still get investment from altcoins because I think that is the purpose of altcoins to provide other benefits besides making profits from bitcoin. Purpose of 99.99% of the altcoins is to make their creators rich and nothing and they often bring "solutions for problems that don't really exist.
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CryptSafe
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December 07, 2022, 11:10:55 AM |
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Assume one day, Bitcoin would be the only survivor as cryptocurrency in the world and each individual, company, organization and goverment would abandon all fiats/currencies and take Bitcoin as the only payment. When all obstacles were gone, Bitcoin would actually become a combination of both fiat and investment asset. However, as demand and supply were not to fluctuate much, the price of Bitcoin would be really stable and the value of investment would deteriorate. The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone.
What is your opinion ? Please let me know. Thanks.
Irrespective of the growing global adoption, Bitcoin was invented for a purpose and for that purpose it would accomplish despite the challenges facing with government and other financial agencies from allowing it being adopted in their various nations. I see all these as a big solution to faster and rapid adoption of bitcoin when the time comes. Talking about bitcoin changing to another when it will be massively adopted, i doubt so if it would ever change its name or function contrary to the sole reasons for which it was invented. Come to talk of it, what aspect of change are you referring to, are you referring to change in name or change in its function for which it was created? Well either way, i do not see any changes. If there would be any changes, it might likely be in functions and not name. Like one of the reply here says Satoshi created bitcoin intending to replace the centralized fiat system, meaning bitcoin is designed as a currency and not an investment asset. But people turned bitcoin into an investment and spread it to the next generations, and now most people only know bitcoin as an investment rather than a currency.
As you can see it above that is all the situation now and if there is any change you are referring to, it simply or likely as the quote above. Talking of fiat, i really doubt if the government of various nations would allow it fade away just like that. Each and every nation has their own currency independent of any nation so how do you think for instance, American would want to do away with their dollar and opt for bitcoin as a legal tender? do you think European Nation would also do same? the hell no way. These nations would want to protect their sovereign interest.
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FatFork
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December 07, 2022, 11:15:33 AM |
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Absolutely not. To understand why, you have to understand what Bitcoin really is. It's really not that difficult to understand Bitcoin: it is a peer-to-peer, decentralized network for transferring value over the Internet.
So, it doesn't matter whether you believe Bitcoin is the future of money or not; what matters most is that you start to understand how it works. A good starting point is to understand why people use any currency in the first place: because they need to exchange goods and services with each other. If everyone in the world agreed to use Bitcoin, it would be the only currency that matters.
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Leviathan.007
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December 07, 2022, 11:59:14 AM |
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I agree with the idea of saying bitcoin is changing more than it should change for example since after bitcoin adoption the governments forced people to pass the KYC, many people shared their personal documents with the governments and their transactions are clear with their identity from their wallets, while as far and I know bitcoin was created to be anonymous for the users and let them do transitions with out of passing any KYC or leaking their personal information with anyone.
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fennic
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December 07, 2022, 12:47:59 PM |
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That's impossible that a whole adopt btc. Cause Bitcoin cannot reach max numbers or even anything in world cannot outreach max capacity. I think in 2100s, Bitcoin might be adopted to the 20 to 30% people cause that's the reality. There are many bugs that needed to be fixed and they might need to fix for a long time.
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witcher_sense
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December 07, 2022, 12:53:50 PM |
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<…> The two factors/purposes (fiat vs investment asset) will be contradicting each other all the time. If that happened, what's the point of making Bitcoin worldwide acceptable while losing its value and nature of Bitcoin ? Metaphorically speaking, the hunting dog may be killed when all prey animals are gone. <…>
Can gold be considered an investment asset if people who buy it only expect their holdings to be protected from devaluation and likely do not expect them to grow in value? Investors base their reasoning on historical data that may confirm that gold is more than suitable when it comes to preserving the value of investments. Bitcoin is often compared to gold as being a good digital substitute for traditional precious metals used as a store of value. Bitcoin can be said to be an emerging means of preserving value; in this context, "emerging" means that its price fluctuates and is growing long-term, and eventually, it will become a proper store of value, maybe even better than gold, thanks to its unique characteristics. When it finally transforms into a new form with valuable functions, it won't stop being seen as an investment asset because people will still be eager to alleviate the consequences of an unpredictable future via reasonable investments in established stores of value.
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taufik123
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December 07, 2022, 01:49:56 PM |
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Satoshi created bitcoin intending to replace the centralized fiat system, meaning bitcoin is designed as a currency and not an investment asset. But people turned bitcoin into an investment and spread it to the next generations, and now most people only know bitcoin as an investment rather than a currency.
This is due to the fluctuating price of bitcoin and it provides fast returns as an investment compared to other types of investment. Bitcoin is also used for trading and some say it is only a speculative asset and has not been fully used as bitcoin was originally made for. some bitcoin adoptions have indeed been carried out and applied to real transactions. countries like EL-Salvador an early examples of countries adopting bitcoin as a legal tender. Regarding the case where the fiat will disappear completely, I think it will never happen because the government will never let that happen or if it is eliminated, it will also be replaced by some government-generated method, not bitcoin.
The government does have full control and will not allow bitcoin to become the main currency even though Fiat will disappear. There will be another fiat coming up that will remain a priority. We live in a country where everything is regulated by the government, so there is no way for bitcoin to become a single currency.
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