Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A

[Lucasgabd]

as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

Vasco da Gama, who was seen as the favorite in this game, showed that the bookmakers were very right in placing them as the favorites to win this game, it was a game in which Botafogo focused more on playing, it seemed like they were facing a amateur game while Vasco was taking the game more seriously, meaning that in the first big opportunity they had in the half they didn't waste it and scored the first goal. Afterwards, Vasco continued to play well and they even managed to score the second goal, but it was considered offside.

Afterwards, Vasco continued to put pressure on Botafogo's defense and was once again close to scoring another goal, while Botafogo didn't have any great space to create great dangers for Vasco's defense, it was a game in which Vasco played very well and also It was a game that showed that Botafogo do not have the conditions to be champions, in my opinion the most likely champion will be Palmeira. For me, Palmeiras will be champion. I don't see another team that can be champion. It was a shame for Botafogo fans to see such a sad thing this season.

so are you calling Slow Death for Botafogo from now on? haha
let's see what will happen afterwards
have you called this one before the fact? are you betting on the game results?
just curious here

[1714853898]

1714853898

[1714853898]

1714853898

[1714853898]

1714853898

[1714853898]

1714853898

[1714853898]

1714853898

[1714853898]

1714853898

[rdluffy]

as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

The worst part is that I actually bet on Botafogo, who had good odds, and lost another bet.
In fact, I lost two bets yesterday because I also believed that Santos could beat Cuiaba
Two losses in a row

there are still some ways to make money betting on the Brazilian championship with low odds, high probability events like over 0.5 goals and this kind of bet than pay 10-25% but have really high chances of happening.

a bit of work to do it and keep track of everything but not hard.

Are you betting too Lucasgabd? hahaha  
Be careful, the championship is crazy right now  
I didn't think the championship would be so exciting in the end

Edit: look at the top 10

[gagux123]

Have you been placing bets too?

(...)

Not much, lately I was losing a lot lol
The complicated thing is that at the end of the championship everything is very unpredictable, as the teams will do everything they can to become champions or they will do everything they can to get out of the relegation zone.

For example, who would have imagined that Vasco would beat Botofogo? lol
Well, this was an opportunity that Botafogo missed to distance itself from Palmeiras, who are in the second place.

for example, in the next round of the Brasileirão we will have two close and competitive games.

Botafogo x Gremio
Palmeiras x Flamengo

Victory will be extremely important for these teams, and if they draw against each other, the teams in 6th, 7th and 8th place will be able to benefit from this if they win... and the top 4 teams draw

Of course, what I said was just a hypothesis of what could happen and that's why I say again... this championship finals will be exciting

[rdluffy]

For example, who would have imagined that Vasco would beat Botofogo? lol

Nobody, I even lost a few dollars on that bet haha 

Botafogo x Gremio
Palmeiras x Flamengo

Victory will be extremely important for these teams, and if they draw against each other, the teams in 6th, 7th and 8th place will be able to benefit from this if they win... and the top 4 teams draw

I won't be placing any bets on these two matches, I don't have any good guesses as to who will win. Even betting on goals is risky
These matches are only good to watch

Take a look at the odds for this round's games, practically all balanced, no easy bets
The most "easy" bet would be Inter against Fluminense, but I don't think Inter is that much of a favorite, after all Fluminense just won the Libertadores

[Lucasgabd]

as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

The worst part is that I actually bet on Botafogo, who had good odds, and lost another bet.
In fact, I lost two bets yesterday because I also believed that Santos could beat Cuiaba
Two losses in a row

there are still some ways to make money betting on the Brazilian championship with low odds, high probability events like over 0.5 goals and this kind of bet than pay 10-25% but have really high chances of happening.

a bit of work to do it and keep track of everything but not hard.

Are you betting too Lucasgabd? hahaha  
Be careful, the championship is crazy right now  
I didn't think the championship would be so exciting in the end

Edit: look at the top 10

I'm not but I have a friend who has a friend whose cousin's best friend is betting

he says that he's profitable and that most of the time he manages bank roll well and bet mostly on game winners, double chances (one or another, one or draw), draw no bet and one team to score over 0.5 (1 goal)

what are you betting on more often? the team to win?

[rdluffy]

I'm not but I have a friend who has a friend whose cousin's best friend is betting

 

he says that he's profitable and that most of the time he manages bank roll well and bet mostly on game winners, double chances (one or another, one or draw), draw no bet and one team to score over 0.5 (1 goal)

what are you betting on more often? the team to win?

I'm also making a profit from the Brasileirao, but it's not easy, I've lost several bets with surprise results

I don't usually bet on double chances and goals.
I've only been betting on the winners, and sometimes I place multiple bets
Of course, every now and then I place a different bet on the number of goals, but it's more rare

I see a lot of users placing riskier bets that pay out very well. In the past, I used to place bets on the number of goals, fouls and cards, but I realized that I lost a lot
The simple way has given me better results

[Lucasgabd]

I'm not but I have a friend who has a friend whose cousin's best friend is betting

 

he says that he's profitable and that most of the time he manages bank roll well and bet mostly on game winners, double chances (one or another, one or draw), draw no bet and one team to score over 0.5 (1 goal)

what are you betting on more often? the team to win?

I'm also making a profit from the Brasileirao, but it's not easy, I've lost several bets with surprise results

I don't usually bet on double chances and goals.
I've only been betting on the winners, and sometimes I place multiple bets
Of course, every now and then I place a different bet on the number of goals, but it's more rare

I see a lot of users placing riskier bets that pay out very well. In the past, I used to place bets on the number of goals, fouls and cards, but I realized that I lost a lot
The simple way has given me better results

interesting my friend's friend cousin shenanigans have been wondering if it's better to focus on high reward/low probability bets or low reward/high probability bets
or a combination of the two
I understand that having a simple system you can follow and stick to is usually the best way
just curious on everyone's thoughts on this one

[Ondekinecakabilirim]

The match between Botafogo and Gremio had some great highlights. Botafogo finished the first half leading 3-1. Then Luis Suarez came on the scene in the second half and scored a hatrick. I had the chance to watch the 3 goals he scored. He scored some really classy goals and gave Gremio the 3 points. Suarez may not be as athletic as he used to be but his technical skills are still the same. Form goes but technique stays. He has been one of the best examples of this. I am sure he will continue to score beautiful goals after meeting Messi in America.

[rdluffy]

interesting my friend's friend cousin shenanigans have been wondering if it's better to focus on high reward/low probability bets or low reward/high probability bets
or a combination of the two
I understand that having a simple system you can follow and stick to is usually the best way
just curious on everyone's thoughts on this one

I don't have an answer for that haha
I'm betting this way because I can get a lot of results right as to who wins. But I'm not good at predicting how many goals there will be in the match, or the other bets
So I see if the match has good odds, if I have a good guess and then I place my bet
There are some people who just do multiples, they get a lot wrong, but when they get it right, it all pays off and they make a profit because the odds are so high

Try placing a few bets, it can be as little as 1 or 2 dollars, it's a lot of fun haha

The match between Botafogo and Gremio had some great highlights. Botafogo finished the first half leading 3-1. Then Luis Suarez came on the scene in the second half and scored a hatrick. I had the chance to watch the 3 goals he scored. He scored some really classy goals and gave Gremio the 3 points. Suarez may not be as athletic as he used to be but his technical skills are still the same. Form goes but technique stays. He has been one of the best examples of this. I am sure he will continue to score beautiful goals after meeting Messi in America.

The Botafogo x Gremio game was incredible, even more so with Suarez doing a hat trick. He's managing to help Grêmio at the right time
Botafogo are in serious danger of losing the championship right now, the team are completely lost right now, looks like Arsenal last season 

[alegotardo]

Hello!
After some time away from this topic, today I would like to share a piece of news that I just read about the probabilities of relegation (loss of a place in the main Brazilian championship due to poor performance) of major Brazilian teams.

The most "relieved" are Internacional with a 1.4% "fall", Cuiabá with 0.35%, Fortaleza with 0.34%, São Paulo and Fluminense with practically zero chances of being relegated.
Those who are not doing so well are Goiás, who now have an almost 85% chance of being relegated after losing to Santos.
Bahia also increased its odds to 49.7% after losing to Cuiabá.

Apart from these, I found that Santos, Corinthians and Cruzeiro also reduced their chances of being relegated to less than 10%.

Well... while some teams dream of a good ranking, others fear the worst rankings in the table.

[rdluffy]

Hello!
After some time away from this topic, today I would like to share a piece of news that I just read about the probabilities of relegation (loss of a place in the main Brazilian championship due to poor performance) of major Brazilian teams.

The most "relieved" are Internacional with a 1.4% "fall", Cuiabá with 0.35%, Fortaleza with 0.34%, São Paulo and Fluminense with practically zero chances of being relegated.
Those who are not doing so well are Goiás, who now have an almost 85% chance of being relegated after losing to Santos.
Bahia also increased its odds to 49.7% after losing to Cuiabá.

Apart from these, I found that Santos, Corinthians and Cruzeiro also reduced their chances of being relegated to less than 10%.

Well... while some teams dream of a good ranking, others fear the worst rankings in the table.

This year's competition is very tight, with many big teams in or near the relegation zone

In my opinion, the relegated teams will be:
América MG - this is already mathematically confirmed
Coritiba - This one is not mathematically relegated, but the chances are very low, with 26 points they couldn't escape

Goiás - the team has been playing badly, they'll face Grêmio and Atlético MG, they're losing games, and they'll also face Cruzeiro who are direct rivals for the Z4.
Then they face easier games, but they won't be able to overcome them.

Now there's 1 team left to be relegated, it could be Cruzeiro, Vasco or Bahia
I believe that Corinthians and Santos won't have too many problems staying in the same position, with 4 points more than the Z4.

My vote goes to Cruzeiro, I believe their games will be more difficult and they won't be able to stay in the Brazilian A championship

[gagux123]

Lately I was analyzing and researching about Brasileirao and I would like to share with you guys something interesting that I found 

I found a website from the mathematics and statistics research department from Federal University of Minas Gerais. Well, according to the studies, there are great chances of Palmeiras being champions (again)

Botafogo, Bragantino, Gremio, Flamengo and Atlético-MG also have chances of becoming champions, but with a lower probability.

The chances of each team being champions:

Palmeiras - 46.1%
Botafogo - 28.3%
Bragantino - 15.4%
Gremio - 6.2%
Flamengo - 3.3%
Atlético-MG - 0.81%

For more information: https://www.mat.ufmg.br/futebol/campeao_seriea/

[rdluffy]

Lately I was analyzing and researching about Brasileirao and I would like to share with you guys something interesting that I found 

This forecast that ufmg makes is very cool, most newspapers use it as a source

It's amazing how the Brazilian championship still surprises us every year, it's considered the most equilibrated championship and we can see why
Before it started, I was betting on Palmeiras winning the title, I even posted my prediction here, but as the championship went on I doubted it and started to be sure that Botafogo would be champions, after all they were undefeated for many rounds, hadn't lost a game and were unbeatable playing in RJ

In my opinion, Palmeiras improved a lot after being eliminated from the Libertadores, after all they could focus totally on the Brazilian championship and now we're seeing the results

Despite everything, I would like Bragantino to be the champions, so that we can have a new champion 

What do you think?

[joker_josue]

Despite everything, I would like Bragantino to be the champions, so that we can have a new champion 

What do you think?

Even though I'm not following the Brazilian championship as much this year, this final stretch of the championship is being very exciting.
Looking at the league table, I think Palmeiras will be champions again, despite Botafogo and Bragantino practically only depending on themselves to win (mainly Botofogo).
Has Bragantino ever won the Brasileirão?

POS	Team	PLD	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	34	18	8	8	56	30	26	62
2	Botafogo	33	18	6	9	53	30	23	60
3	Grêmio	34	18	5	11	57	50	7	59
4	Red Bull Bragantino	33	16	11	6	46	29	17	59
5	Atlético Mineiro	34	16	9	9	43	27	16	57
6	Flamengo	33	16	9	8	50	37	13	57
7	Athletico Paranaense	34	13	12	9	47	39	8	51
8	Fluminense	33	13	8	12	43	42	1	47
9	Cuiabá	34	13	8	13	36	35	1	47
10	São Paulo	33	12	10	11	37	35	2	46
11	Corinthians	34	10	14	10	39	39	0	44
12	Fortaleza EC	33	12	7	14	36	38	-2	43
13	Internacional	34	11	10	13	38	43	-5	43
14	Santos	34	11	9	14	37	55	-18	42
15	Vasco da Gama	33	11	7	15	35	43	-8	40
16	Cruzeiro	33	10	10	13	30	28	2	40
17	Bahia	34	10	8	16	39	47	-8	38
18	Goiás	34	8	11	15	34	49	-15	35
19	Coritiba	34	8	5	21	39	67	-28	29
20	América Mineiro	34	4	9	21	39	71	-32	21

___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against
Source: https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/brazilian-league/table

[rdluffy]

Even though I'm not following the Brazilian championship as much this year, this final stretch of the championship is being very exciting.
Looking at the league table, I think Palmeiras will be champions again, despite Botafogo and Bragantino practically only depending on themselves to win (mainly Botofogo).
Has Bragantino ever won the Brasileirão?

Bragantino has never won the Brazilian championship, and for many years it didn't even compete in the main Serie A championship
When Red Bull bought the team in 2019, things changed a bit and the money coming into the team improved a lot

Bragantino were a good team, they were 2nd place of Brasileirao in 1991, and were champions of Paulista in the A series in 1990, among other minor titles in the B and C series

But after 2019 it really improved, and today it's a more constant team that can fight on equal terms with any Brazilian team
Interestingly, they come from a small town in the interior of São Paulo, Bragança Paulista, with just over 170,000 inhabitants

That's why I'd like them to be champions, but their chances are only 15.4% against Palmeiras and Botafogo, it's not easy
Keep following the end of the championship with us, it's going to be great joker 

[swogerino]

Tonight the odd of Botafogo is really big at over 3 against Fortalezza.I know that Botafogo has been doing really bad at the fact that they lost the leadership in the standings and it is a golden opportunity to win tonight as they would regain their well deserved first place on the standings,most likely the bookies want to scare us by putting such a high odd on them.Personally I bet on them and I don't care if I lose,I will only lose money while if Botafogo loses today or draws they most likely will lose the title or put it at a big risk at least so I am taking this risk.

[rdluffy]

Tonight the odd of Botafogo is really big at over 3 against Fortalezza.I know that Botafogo has been doing really bad at the fact that they lost the leadership in the standings and it is a golden opportunity to win tonight as they would regain their well deserved first place on the standings,most likely the bookies want to scare us by putting such a high odd on them.Personally I bet on them and I don't care if I lose,I will only lose money while if Botafogo loses today or draws they most likely will lose the title or put it at a big risk at least so I am taking this risk.

Good luck swogerino, I confess I didn't place a bet because I didn't see this opportunity, but I'll take the chances, even if Fortaleza already scored



I'll do a draw no bet, paying 5.20 hehe
Botafogo REALLY NEED this win, otherwise they will face some serious problems

[Slow death]

as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

Vasco da Gama, who was seen as the favorite in this game, showed that the bookmakers were very right in placing them as the favorites to win this game, it was a game in which Botafogo focused more on playing, it seemed like they were facing a amateur game while Vasco was taking the game more seriously, meaning that in the first big opportunity they had in the half they didn't waste it and scored the first goal. Afterwards, Vasco continued to play well and they even managed to score the second goal, but it was considered offside.

Afterwards, Vasco continued to put pressure on Botafogo's defense and was once again close to scoring another goal, while Botafogo didn't have any great space to create great dangers for Vasco's defense, it was a game in which Vasco played very well and also It was a game that showed that Botafogo do not have the conditions to be champions, in my opinion the most likely champion will be Palmeira. For me, Palmeiras will be champion. I don't see another team that can be champion. It was a shame for Botafogo fans to see such a sad thing this season.

so are you calling Slow Death for Botafogo from now on? haha
let's see what will happen afterwards
have you called this one before the fact? are you betting on the game results?
just curious here

I bet on Botafogo when the coach was Luís Castro, Botafogo when I was with Luís Castro they had a good defense and a decent attack, I made some money betting on them at that time, but unfortunately for me when coach Luís Castro left I stopped betting For a few games, I watched how the new coach placed the players on the field and what formation he chose, then there was a game in which I said: "it's okay, I'll take the risk of betting on them again". As it was a game against a weak team, I didn't see them having any difficulty winning, that's what I thought. That's why I put more money than I used to in my bets, man I went to sleep because these Brasileirao games always happen at bedtime in my country.

When I wake up and enter the stake, I see that my balance has not increased, at the same time I immediately conclude that I lost my bet, so I went to see what the result of the game was and to my shock the guys had lost the game, I even thought they had tied, but what I was seeing was defeat. so I stopped betting on them and started following the team and to my chagrin the guys started to play badly with the new coach, the team was no longer the same team as when coach Luís Castro was there, see that coach Luís Castro left from Botafogo to go and train Al Nassr, Cristiano Ronaldo's team. In my opinion, Brazilians need to have more quality in their teams, when I watch the games I soon get sleepy because I don't see much quality in the games, especially in the attack of many teams

as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

The worst part is that I actually bet on Botafogo, who had good odds, and lost another bet.
In fact, I lost two bets yesterday because I also believed that Santos could beat Cuiaba
Two losses in a row

Betting on Botafogo to win is the same as asking to lose money. in today's game they had a good opportunity to stay in first place again and also get out of the cycle of many consecutive games without winning, on paper their opponent is also in the same situation as them in terms of performance in the last 5 games, but unfortunately the Botafogo disappointed again, they were unable to win, the best they managed was a draw that keeps them in second place, but I highly doubt that these guys will be able to finish above position number 4, I say this because they have already played 5 consecutive games. without winning and good teams like Famengo (only 1 point behind Botafogo), Gremio (only 2 points behind Botafogo) and Bragantino (only 2 points behind Botafogo) are teams with good performance compared to Botafogo and Iran. occupy this position for Botafogo, with only 4 games left to finish the league, I see that of the remaining 4 games, Botafogo would win 2 games at most

[rdluffy]

Betting on Botafogo to win is the same as asking to lose money.

At least in the bet I made (as shown in the previous post) I didn't lose money because I bet on Draw no bet, but Botafogo lost valuable points that will make the difference
Now the team doesn't depend on itself to be champions, it will have to hope that Palmeiras loses some game

All the teams have played 34 games, and now it's easier to see the table
Here's what it looks like:



Awesome in my opinion, 5 teams will total possibilities to be the champion, only 3 points of difference between them

[QueenVera]

Betting on Botafogo to win is the same as asking to lose money. in today's game they had a good opportunity to stay in first place again and also get out of the cycle of many consecutive games without winning, on paper their opponent is also in the same situation as them in terms of performance in the last 5 games, but unfortunately the Botafogo disappointed again, they were unable to win, the best they managed was a draw that keeps them in second place, but I highly doubt that these guys will be able to finish above position number 4, I say this because they have already played 5 consecutive games. without winning and good teams like Famengo (only 1 point behind Botafogo), Gremio (only 2 points behind Botafogo) and Bragantino (only 2 points behind Botafogo) are teams with good performance compared to Botafogo and Iran. occupy this position for Botafogo, with only 4 games left to finish the league, I see that of the remaining 4 games, Botafogo would win 2 games at most

The Brazilian league is one I don’t watch but the few I see from my betting accounts are always less on goals and the ball play is box to box no creativity in the midfield, more reason why I think this coach left to Saudi is because of the investment the Arabians have done to their league football by investing and getting quality European players and that’s a huge boost to the league.

 This is one cue I think other leagues should take amd watch football become more competitive and much more interesting, no business will thrive without investment; quality investment and football is one business and requires greater attention and greater investment.