Linepunter - Visualize and analyze historical sports betting odds

[linepunter]

Fellow sports betting enthusiasts,

Have you ever wondered what the result would have been if you bet on the favorite team to win for a whole season... or what the net profit would have been if you bet on the underdog win for a whole season? Would you do better than popular bettors if you simply bet the same stake for each game on the favorite for a 2-way or 3-way outcome?

One of the most important things to learn about sports betting from the start is that just because the bookmaker rates a team as a favorite doesn't mean they will win.

Basically, the odds issued by the bookmaker can be interpreted as an implicit probabilistic forecast, but it happens that the public makes an irrational decision and supports one side or the other to a ridiculous extent. When the public's expectations are skewed, the profit maximizing bookmaker can exploit this by offering non-market efficient odds.

On our platform you can visualize a team's historical wins (teams from over 60 soccer leagues and 50 basketball leagues) filtered by their average closing odds. You can select a team, filter the odds by range and get the cumulative profit at 100 units per bet. You can also select a team without filtering it and view the historical performance and cumulative profit for the 2021-22 season and the current 2022-23 season.

 

Examples:

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52587550520_3c64381935_h.jpg

If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win, the net profit would be $1799. This would give you a ROI of 12.5%.

 

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52587632408_318b98c21d_h.jpg

If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win where the odds were >=2, the net profit would be $1959. This would give you a ROI of 45.5%. With that, you would have outperformed most of the top tipsters you can find online.

 

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52587632373_652123a190_h.jpg

Miami Heat Win Odds 1 to 2.

 

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52586639917_458c813380_h.jpg

Augsburg Win Odds >=5.

 

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52587632468_f9917f042a_h.jpg

Bayern Munich vs Augsburg Head to Head

 

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52586639817_149ffe328f_h.jpg

Umea BSKT vs Norrköping Dolphins Head to Head

Can there be a reason why the bookmakers have adjusted their odds from an average of 9 to 2.7? After all, the Dolphins have won 7 of 7 games between them.

 

The main idea of the platform is to reduce the noise and bias in the betting market.

But as you can see there are many creative ways to use it.

When developing betting ideas with it, you should always keep in mind that there are no surefire certainties in betting, so manage your risk. The fractional Kelly strategy is proving to be extremely risk averse.

We offer a free 7-day trial period (with free cancellation), after the 7 days you can support the project with €10 per month, which we think is a fair price.

 

The Linepunter Team

https://www.linepunter.com

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[Ojima-ojo]

Is this an ANN thread, if yes you may have to do a couple of things to make your ANN thread more professional and organized, first you need to buy a copper member account so that you can post images and other virtual content from your site on the forum.

Secondly, odds are most misleading and if betting on football matches and the bookmakers present you with an odds you should also do your own analysis to see if the odds are to your advantage.

You mentioned that your site offers the previous games history of various clubs, which is a good feature and that can also be gotten from other sites but having it on your casinos will be convenient for your clients.

[CryptoHeadlineNews]

First of all, I wish to welcome "linepunter" unto the Bitcointalk forum. It's really a pleasure having your site which gives us an indepth analysis on what the result would have been if we did bet on our favorite team to win for a whole season, including what the net profit would have been if you bet on the underdog win for a whole season? And just as earlier said, you really need to have a copper account, so as to beautifier your ANN thread. Welcome ones again to the forum

[tbct_mt2]

Is this an ANN thread, if yes you may have to do a couple of things to make your ANN thread more professional and organized, first you need to buy a copper member account so that you can post images and other virtual content from your site on the forum.

The thread looks very similar to an announcement thread of Linepunter.com service from the content to the footer information.

Fellow sports betting enthusiasts,

The Linepunter Team

https://www.linepunter.com

Please read above idea and consider to buy a Copper membership for your account if this one is a representative account of your Linepunter company.

Buy Copper Membership for Newbies can now pay a small fee to enable images

Once you have it, you get the choice:

[yahoo62278]

I'm not knocking the idea but 1 would assume everything on your site is available by doing a little work. Researching all past results etc. Now, at 10$ or euros per month, you definitely save the consumer a lot of the legwork, so I agree that it is not too much to ask potential customers.

Will all sports be offered or only a couple?

[crwth]

I like the idea of this because you can somehow release your bets for the present by checking the past and best performance of a particular team. Still, also you need to consider what other factors are there that changed from the previous performance that it did.

I think you are onto a significant niche within the market that I believe, as far as I know, no one is yet offering.

[linepunter]

I'm not knocking the idea but 1 would assume everything on your site is available by doing a little work. Researching all past results etc. Now, at 10$ or euros per month, you definitely save the consumer a lot of the legwork, so I agree that it is not too much to ask potential customers.

Will all sports be offered or only a couple?

What other sports are you thinking about? Research shows that basketball is the least random team sport. Soccer depends most on the context. Baseball, football and ice hockey are more random.

We are in discussion about the inclusion of individual sports, rather than team sports.

[bitbollo]

it is an excellent service that helps to clearly display a whole series of fundamental statistics for bettors. nice idea.
which bookmaker you use as odds provide?

if I may give my suggestion @linepunter , also include tennis, but above all UK and IR horse racing/greyhounds.
there are a lot of bettors looking for this information

[swogerino]

That is a good thing to offer but I will speak for myself,any information I want for a specific event I like to bet I can find the historical information without much of a headache.There are a lot of free sites that offers such opportunities and I personally would only pay the subscription if you offer something more beside the historical data which is most of the time for soccer which I play readily available with just a bit of research in google.There are also apps like Flashscore which give you a lot of such information free of charge also,so you need to offer something better than these.

[Daltonik]

Fellow sports betting enthusiasts,

Have you ever wondered what the result would have been if you bet on the favorite team to win for a whole season... or what the net profit would have been if you bet on the underdog win for a whole season? Would you do better than popular bettors if you simply bet the same stake for each game on the favorite for a 2-way or 3-way outcome?

One of the most important things to learn about sports betting from the start is that just because the bookmaker rates a team as a favorite doesn't mean they will win.

Basically, the odds issued by the bookmaker can be interpreted as an implicit probabilistic forecast, but it happens that the public makes an irrational decision and supports one side or the other to a ridiculous extent. When the public's expectations are skewed, the profit maximizing bookmaker can exploit this by offering non-market efficient odds.

On our platform you can visualize a team's historical wins (teams from over 60 soccer leagues and 50 basketball leagues) filtered by their average closing odds. You can select a team, filter the odds by range and get the cumulative profit at 100 units per bet. You can also select a team without filtering it and view the historical performance and cumulative profit for the 2021-22 season and the current 2022-23 season.

 

Examples:



If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win, the net profit would be $1799. This would give you a ROI of 12.5%.

 



If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win where the odds were >=2, the net profit would be $1959. This would give you a ROI of 45.5%. With that, you would have outperformed most of the top tipsters you can find online.

 



Miami Heat Win Odds 1 to 2.

 



Augsburg Win Odds >=5.

 



Bayern Munich vs Augsburg Head to Head

 



Umea BSKT vs Norrköping Dolphins Head to Head

Can there be a reason why the bookmakers have adjusted their odds from an average of 9 to 2.7? After all, the Dolphins have won 7 of 7 games between them.

 

The main idea of the platform is to reduce the noise and bias in the betting market.

But as you can see there are many creative ways to use it.

When developing betting ideas with it, you should always keep in mind that there are no surefire certainties in betting, so manage your risk. The fractional Kelly strategy is proving to be extremely risk averse.

We offer a free 7-day trial period (with free cancellation), after the 7 days you can support the project with €10 per month, which we think is a fair price.

 

The Linepunter Team

https://www.linepunter.com

Welcome to the forum, since the service is paid, I would like to know what period the betting statistics cover and also on the bets of which bookmakers are based, if you can judge by the charts on the screenshots, then this is the period from 2021 or can you choose an earlier countdown time?

[Saint-loup]

That is a good thing to offer but I will speak for myself,any information I want for a specific event I like to bet I can find the historical information without much of a headache.There are a lot of free sites that offers such opportunities and I personally would only pay the subscription if you offer something more beside the historical data which is most of the time for soccer which I play readily available with just a bit of research in google.There are also apps like Flashscore which give you a lot of such information free of charge also,so you need to offer something better than these.

Lots of free sites are offering such services? Could you name few of them please, because it would interest many people IMO. I'm not looking for betting strategies to backtest so I'm not interested in paying $10 by month for getting such datas, but if it's free (with some ads for example) I could use it from time to time.

[linepunter]

Welcome to the forum, since the service is paid, I would like to know what period the betting statistics cover and also on the bets of which bookmakers are based, if you can judge by the charts on the screenshots, then this is the period from 2021 or can you choose an earlier countdown time?

Thanks a lot! The statistics refer to both the previous and the current season. When analyzing and predicting match results using model-based forecasts, the previous and current seasons usually provide the best estimates.

[linepunter]

it is an excellent service that helps to clearly display a whole series of fundamental statistics for bettors. nice idea.
which bookmaker you use as odds provide?

if I may give my suggestion @linepunter , also include tennis, but above all UK and IR horse racing/greyhounds.
there are a lot of bettors looking for this information

The odds are the average closing odds from mainly 3 different bookmakers.
Tennis is in discussion!

[Daltonik]

Welcome to the forum, since the service is paid, I would like to know what period the betting statistics cover and also on the bets of which bookmakers are based, if you can judge by the charts on the screenshots, then this is the period from 2021 or can you choose an earlier countdown time?

Thanks a lot! The statistics refer to both the previous and the current season. When analyzing and predicting match results using model-based forecasts, the previous and current seasons usually provide the best estimates.

Thanks for the explanation, but it seems to me that statistics should be based on a longer period covering several seasons and even when registering, the introduction of full credit card data, including CVC, is required, I think this may alienate many.

[linepunter]

Registration is now free for 30 days.
No credit card required.

[Mate2237]

You are welcome and also thank you for bringing casino to the forum. But make your ANN thread more professional by adding more features to it. You can to do two things to improve the ANN thread. Either you buy a copper member to put some images about your casino sportbooks, and other features that will attract users more. Or you can discuss with manager to do that for you. So that the ANN thread will look matured. The bookmakers much be nice with the gamblers.

[joniboini]

Registration is now free for 30 days.
No credit card required.

Removing the credit/debit card information for registration is a good move. But after the "promo" period is over, will you bring it back? Honestly, I don't think anyone would feel safe if they need to input sensitive data right at the gate just to make an account. You can probably make a "free" tier where people can simply log in and check the last few data, so they will have to pay to access the full data to get the full picture. If that's not possible, then simply removing the credit card for registration would be better.

I'm not sure if it is possible but copying Mullvad's model of business sounds good too. They don't need personal data and just provide an account number to register and log in, and then the user needs to pay if they want to use the service. With how people's awareness of privacy increases, it might be worth a shot to look at it. Just my 2 cents.

[linepunter]

That is a good thing to offer but I will speak for myself,any information I want for a specific event I like to bet I can find the historical information without much of a headache.There are a lot of free sites that offers such opportunities and I personally would only pay the subscription if you offer something more beside the historical data which is most of the time for soccer which I play readily available with just a bit of research in google.There are also apps like Flashscore which give you a lot of such information free of charge also,so you need to offer something better than these.

To our knowledge, no other platform offers the service we do. Around 90% of sports bettors lose money in the long run. The standard platforms (free or paid) do not offer valuable information, they are more likely to mislead bettors, because as the numbers show, bettors make the wrong choice time and time again. All publicly available information should be reflected in the odds offered by bookmakers.
Registration is now free for 30 days. You can try it out, take note and see if your betting performance has increased with our platform.

[linepunter]

Removing the credit/debit card information for registration is a good move. But after the "promo" period is over, will you bring it back? Honestly, I don't think anyone would feel safe if they need to input sensitive data right at the gate just to make an account. You can probably make a "free" tier where people can simply log in and check the last few data, so they will have to pay to access the full data to get the full picture. If that's not possible, then simply removing the credit card for registration would be better.

We plan to maintain a free plan with limited access to leagues and teams. For full access, the account will need to be upgraded.
To ensure the security of personal data, we use Stripe payment gateway.
We also plan to accept Paypal payments.