There's a few keys to trading.
1. Know the four year market cycle and don't try to trade against it
Basically trade from the bottom up until early in the bull market. Don't keep trying to trade late into a bull market year because you never know when it'll stop or how high it'll go. Stop trading early in a bull market. But you've got two years to trade from the bottom of the market to when the bull market starts getting hot. So basically, trade for 2-2.5 years from bottom of the market up, then cash out until the next crypto winter gets deep. For instance, I stopped trading December 2021 (should have stopped earlier, lost a good amount of money keeping my trades that last month after the market peaked) and just started again at the start of this year once it became clear the bottom was almost certainly in. I'm up 33% on my trading stash in the past 24 days. Compare this to when I kept trying to trade through the bear market in 2018 and lots tens of thousands of dollars doing that, and also same thing 2014 though had much much less money in back then. Also, stick mostly to trading Bitcoin and Ethereum if you are still trading well into the bull market because altcoins are fads and one altcoin may peak early in the bull market as noobs switch to hyping up different altcoins, you can't trust any specific altcoin is going to keep going up until the end of the bull market, even if you are getting out of the bull market early as I suggest here.
2. Only trade coins you are familiar with.
Most altcoins are crap, let's be honest. If you aren't familiar with its past and its price movements and its prospects for getting hyped you're going to be taking on a lot of risk picking coins at random to trade.
3. Try to minimize risk, not maximize gains (IMPORTANT!!!!)
Trading is very risky. If you want to have long term profits, and not just get lucky here and there but lose money long term, you need to focus on minimizing risk, not maximizing your profits. This is incredibly important. Because if the market goes against you you can easily lose all your profit no matter how well you were doing up until then. Some ways to minimize risk are:
- Never go all in to one trade, always split your trading stash up into multiple trades.
- Also have those multiple trades at different price levels, don't just buy several different cryptos all at the same point in the market, make trades in a staggered approach, this way if the market drops all your trades aren't stuck in the market all at once.
- Choose small percentage profits on each trade. Don't try to hit 50% profit on a trade just because most days there is something in the market going up a ton, odds are you are rarely going to be trading that coin. Look for 2%-10% profits on each trade, 10% would be a big trade.
- Don't try to always be in the market. The market goes up and down, if you are always in it then you are gonna get trades stuck in the market or have to sell at a loss, thus erasing your profits. So when a trade completes don't just immediately get back into another trade. Watch the market, try to discern if the market is likely going to go up or down next based on recent market activity (like if it seems the market is building up, or going to drop further, or if it seems like a reversal is likely). Basically don't day trade. Day trading implies every day you are in the market putting in new trades. You want to pick specific cryptos at specific times when you think there is a good opportunity. You don't just want to blindly be starting a trade whenever you complete another trade.
- Try your best to never have all of your trading stash in the market at any one time. Occasionally it might happen, but generally shoot for at the most having maybe 60%-70% of your money in the market at any one time, because you may think you are making good trades but then the market dips and you either get out and lose profit or you have to wait for the market to come back up, which means you'll want some dry powder to be able to keep trading at the new lower price levels. Sometimes you're even going to be mostly in cash because, like I said in the previous point, you shouldn't always be in the market.
4. Only trade against USD (or whatever stablecoin)
Don't trade against BTC or ETH or any other volatile crypto. Trading one volatile cryptocurrency against another volatile cryptocurrency is just way too much risk. I, like most people, used to trade against Bitcoin because the goal was of course always to get more Bitcoin. But I always ended up losing Bitcoin in the end from trading. Only trade again fiat and stablecoins. Then if you want to accumulate Bitcoin with your trading profits, or Ethereum, or whatever, do that with your profits once your trades have completed.
5. Pay attention to taxes
Start every trading year in cash, and end it in cash. That way you know exactly how much you made (or lost) that year from trading for tax purposes. You don't want to be trying to go back through a year of trading and figure out your gains and losses. It will be a very simple calculation if you start and end the year in cash: (end of year cash + withdrawals during the year) - (start of year cash + deposits during the year) = profit or loss for the year. Oh and this is another reason you only want to trade against fiat or stablecoins. If you are trading against Bitcoin, and the price of Bitcoin drops, you may have technically made a bunch of money during the year but the Bitcoin you made could be worth significantly less than what you made come tax time, meaning you are going to be totally screwed. This has happened to plenty of people over the years. Also, if you are using your profits to accumulate Bitcoin or any other crypto, make sure you are accurately accounting for how much tax you will owe and sending that to your bank before you are making those buys. If all your profits are just staying in cash then it doesn't really matter cuz you can divy up what you need for taxes at the end of the year. Though if you're spending some of your profits for your cost of living you want to make sure you are accounting for taxes as you go as well because you don't want to have spent profits throughout the year, and then the market drops before the end of the year and you have to take losses and you lose the profits you were going to use to pay your taxes.
6. Ideally don't try to live on your trading profits
If you have to live on your trading profits, you are probably going to be trading emotionally, and you are probably going to make mistakes. Unless it is very easy to make what you need to live off of from trading, don't do it because it will put too much pressure on your trading. If you need $2000/mo to live and your trading stash is $100k so its super easy to cover everything you need, fine no problem. But if you've got $10k you're trading with and trying to live off that don't do it, your profits should just be for extra money to grow your wealth, not for monthly spending.
7. Possibly take out your profits rather than compounding your trading stash
It's always very tempting to compound your trading stash so it grows bigger and bigger. You can do this, but just know what you are doing. Remember that if the market drops and your trades get stuck or you sell for big losses then your previous profits disappear. But if you are cashing out your profits to the bank, or at least holding them in cash on the exchange and only going to use them during a market drop so you can buy in low, you're going to be a lot more successful. For instance, my plan for this year is to compound a little bit during each month but also be taking out profits as I go so that by the end of each month I'll generally have all my profits taken out and in the bank. Once my profits cover all the money I need for the year then I'll start keeping my profits on the exchange to compound my trading stash the rest of the year, but specifically that will allow me to keep a larger percentage of my trading stash in cash and look for dips to buy into, thus lowering risk.
8. Be able to read charts and use different duration charts
If you can't read charts and get a sense of momentum of the market and momentum of specific cryptos then you're going to just be randomly guessing when to do a trade. Granted, there's always an amount of random guessing when it comes to trading, but if you have a good feel for the cryptos you are trading (#2 above) and understand charts well your trading guesses will be a lot more accurate. And don't just trade on a single duration chart. Don't trade just with 15min charts, or hour charts, or whatever. When you are looking to start a trade, check several different charts for several different coins, and only put your money in when you find a coin that feels like it's going to be bullish over the coming hours or days on several different timescale charts. Maybe a coin looks great on a 15-minute chart but the 1-hour chart doesn't look good so you should be wary. Or maybe the 30-min chart looks kinda blah but you scale back to the 6-hour chart and you see it looks like the coin is building up to a breakout so you could get in a big trade from it within a few days or so.
That covers it pretty well. They keys are basically focus on minimizing risk instead of trying to maximize profits, account for taxes at all times, trade stuff you are familiar with, keep your trades small both in amount put in and in profit taken, and trade different cryptos at different points in the market don't go all in on one coin and don't go all in on multiple coins but at the same time, always try to have dry powder in your trading stash in case the market drops, don't always be in trades be strategic and only do trades when you have a good feeling, only trade against cash or stablecoin and not crypto against crypto, understand charts and check different timescale charts before every trade you do, take out at least some of your profits so you're not always risking what you've already made, and know the four year market cycle because you should really only be trading for 2-2.5 years of the upswing every four years.
To give the example of what I'm doing:
I'll be trading this year, next year, and probably just the first few months of 2025, then I plan to stop trading until the beginning of 2027. My typical trade is only with 10%-20% of my trading stash and I spread them out I don't do more than one or two trades at the same time or at the same point in the market. I typically look for 3%-10% profit, usually in the 3%-5% range but if something looks real good I'll do more like 7%-10%. Most of my trades complete within a few days, sometimes within the same day. I usually try to have no more than 50%-70% of my money in trades at any one time, and I get worried when it is higher than that. Every week or so I'm moving some of my profits to the bank. I mostly only trade coins I'm familiar with, sometimes I'll trade a random coin just because I have a real good feeling about it but honestly this causes stress. I always look at everything from 15-min charts to 1-day charts before I make a trade to get a sense of the short term and long term movements and momentum of the coin. All my trades are against USD. I only sell for profit, I'll just leave trades in for longer until they get back to profit if the market drops, which is why it is important to always have some of my trading stash in cash, and this way I'm never erasing gains I've previously gotten, but I may sometimes just not be making any trades for a bit while I wait for the market to come back up. I am using my profits to live off of (I'm retired early thanks to Bitcoin as of a few years ago but now I'm trading just to have a bunch of extra money and so that I don't have to use my Bitcoin to live off of in retirement), but I make way more from trading than I need to live so I can keep my trading unemotional, now granted it has been a great month for crypto so far but just to point out I've made over 10 months of my cost of living in these first three and a half weeks of the year, so it is very easy to make my money for living from trading so I don't get emotional trying to make them money I need to live off of. I plan to compound my profits in my trading account but only after a few months of trading once I've sent a bunch of money to my bank account so that I have no worries about how much cash I have in the bank. And at the end of the year I will get out of all trades whether they be gains or losses so I know exactly how much money I've started and ended the year with for tax purposes.